Stock Analysis

Does Cogra 48 Société Anonyme (EPA:ALCOG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ENXTPA:ALCOG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Cogra 48 Société Anonyme (EPA:ALCOG) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Cogra 48 Société Anonyme

How Much Debt Does Cogra 48 Société Anonyme Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme had €8.79m of debt in December 2023, down from €11.7m, one year before. On the flip side, it has €5.23m in cash leading to net debt of about €3.55m.

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ENXTPA:ALCOG Debt to Equity History April 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme had liabilities of €7.99m due within 12 months and liabilities of €8.79m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €5.23m in cash and €5.40m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €6.15m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Cogra 48 Société Anonyme is worth €23.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's net debt is only 0.42 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 44.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme has seen its EBIT plunge 13% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Cogra 48 Société Anonyme recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

While Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has us nervous. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Cogra 48 Société Anonyme , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cogra 48 Société Anonyme is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.