Stock Analysis

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners' (AMS:CCEP) 12% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same five-year period

ENXTAM:CCEP
Source: Shutterstock

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (AMS:CCEP) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 53% over five years, which is below the market return. On a brighter note, more newer shareholders are probably rather content with the 26% share price gain over twelve months.

Since it's been a strong week for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 9% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ENXTAM:CCEP Earnings Per Share Growth March 14th 2024

We know that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Coca-Cola Europacific Partners' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners' TSR for the last 5 years was 78%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Coca-Cola Europacific Partners better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Coca-Cola Europacific Partners .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Dutch exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Coca-Cola Europacific Partners is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.