Stock Analysis

ASML Holding (AMS:ASML) Could Easily Take On More Debt

ENXTAM:ASML
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that ASML Holding N.V. (AMS:ASML) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for ASML Holding

What Is ASML Holding's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 ASML Holding had debt of €4.76b, up from €4.49b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €7.01b in cash, so it actually has €2.25b net cash.

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ENXTAM:ASML Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024

How Healthy Is ASML Holding's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ASML Holding had liabilities of €16.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €10.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €7.01b and €7.26b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €12.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given ASML Holding has a humongous market capitalization of €358.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, ASML Holding boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that ASML Holding has boosted its EBIT by 39%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ASML Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While ASML Holding has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, ASML Holding generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 92% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that ASML Holding has €2.25b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 92% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €3.2b. So is ASML Holding's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with ASML Holding (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ASML Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.