Stock Analysis

Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Grupa Kety S.A.'s WSE:KTY) Stock?

WSE:KTY
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Grupa Kety (WSE:KTY) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 19% over the last three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Grupa Kety's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Grupa Kety

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grupa Kety is:

29% = zł540m ÷ zł1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every PLN1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn PLN0.29 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Grupa Kety's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Grupa Kety has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 8.9% the company's ROE is quite impressive. This probably laid the groundwork for Grupa Kety's moderate 18% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing Grupa Kety's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 20% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
WSE:KTY Past Earnings Growth April 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Grupa Kety is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Grupa Kety Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 87% (or a retention ratio of 13%) for Grupa Kety suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, Grupa Kety is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 82% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 33%.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Grupa Kety's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.