DashboardPortfoliosWatchlistCommunityDiscoverScreener
  • Community
  • /
  • United States
  • /
  • Commercial Services
Published
26 Apr 26
Updated
12 Jul 26
Views
284
Not Invested
CopartCPRT
CPRT logo
Fair Value
US$26.71
Share price12 Jul
US$31.7318.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Loading
1Y-33.34%
7D-5.90%

CPRT 04-2026

ES
Esteban

Author hasn't set their bio yet

Published
26 Apr 26
Updated
12 Jul 26
Views
284
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$26.71
Share priceUS$31.73
18.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates1

Last Update 12 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 16%

Update 07-2026

Esteban has decreased revenue growth from -0.8% to -2.8%.

Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Copart is a compounding machine wearing the clothes of a salvage yard. It has built the only infrastructure on earth — a two-sided digital marketplace spanning 1M+ registered buyers in 190+ countries, anchored by owned physical storage across 21,000+ irreplaceable acres — capable of converting an insurance industry's inconvenient problem (the totaled car) into global liquidity at scale. The business earns 36% operating margins on a fee-based model that carries zero inventory risk, compounds FCF at 20%+ over a decade, and operates counter-cyclically: recessions raise total-loss frequency as repair costs rise relative to vehicle values. The insurer supply relationships are embedded in claims workflows — Copart does not merely auction cars; it processes titles, dispatches towing networks, and runs the digital infrastructure through which carriers make total-loss decisions. Switching is operationally punishing. The moat is wide, the durability is 4/5, and management is a net positive: a founder-anchored governance structure (13%+ insider ownership) with a PE-trained capital allocator at the helm who has demonstrated patience (3-year buyback pause, debt elimination), opportunism (January 2026 buyback at prices below year-end), and intellectual honesty (no guidance, frank discussion of headwinds). At a 30% margin of safety and a 22× FCF exit multiple, the Neutral scenario implies a 10-year FCF runway of $3,886M — a business worth owning for a decade.

Have other thoughts on Copart?

Create your own narrative on this stock, and estimate its Fair Value using our Valuator tool.

Create Narrative

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Comments

0 comments

Disclaimer

The user Esteban holds no position in NasdaqGS:CPRT. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives

CPRT logo
Copart
26.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Updated

Compounder to Cash Generator in Real Time

View narrative
BR
Brunhilde_Wagner
Brunhilde_Wagner
Updated 14 Sep
Read Narrative
CPRT logo
Copart
26.9% overvalued intrinsic discount

ADAS Safety Gains And Lower Total Losses Will Gradually Erode Salvage Auction Volumes

View narrative
AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget
Updated 3 Sep
Read Narrative
CPRT logo
Copart
21.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Digital Tools And Ecosystem Partnerships Will Shape Automotive Industry Outlook

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 20 Aug
Read Narrative
CPRT logo
Copart
42.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Global Salvage Demand And Total Loss Trends Will Drive Powerful Long Term Upside

View narrative
AN
AnalystHighTarget
AnalystHighTarget
Updated 6 Aug
Read Narrative
View all narratives

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$26.71
vs US$31.7318.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture05b20152018202120242026202720302031Revenue US$4.0bEarnings US$1.4b
-2.8%
Revenue growth
33.8%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Copart

  • Fair value estimate changes
  • Narrative and analyst updates
  • Key company announcements

Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

Market capUS$27.7b
PB3.2x
Estimated Growth10.1%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

A. Adair
CEO
3.8yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain.

Make Better Investing Decisions Anywhere

Scan to download
Open AppStoreOpen Google Play
Chrome Web Store
Level 5, 320 Pitt Street, Sydney
Financial Data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC, analysis provided by Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd. Copyright © 2026, S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. All rights reserved.
View Data Sources
Markets
  • US: NYSE & NASDAQ
  • UK: FTSE
  • Australia: ASX
  • India: NIFTY
  • Canada: TSX
  • South Africa: JSE
  • Japan: NIKKEI
  • South Korea: KOSPI
  • Germany: DAX
Investing Ideas
  • Undervalued Companies
  • Dividend Powerhouses
  • Insider Buying
  • Nuclear Energy
  • Autonomous Vehicles
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Crypto and Blockchain
  • Cybersecurity
  • More ideas
Stock Communities
  • AstraZeneca
  • HSBC Holdings
  • Shell
  • Unilever
  • Diageo
  • Rio Tinto Group
  • RELX
  • BP
  • Barclays
Features & Tools
  • Portfolio Tracker
  • Stock Screener & Alerts
  • Narratives & Fair Values
  • Dividend Calculator
News & Discovery
  • Latest Stock News
  • Global Market Insights
  • The Foxhole
  • Investing Ideas
  • Community Narratives
  • What's New
Simply Wall St
  • Plans & Pricing
  • Advertising
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Careers
  • Help Center
  • Learn Stock Investing
  • Affiliate Program
  • Business & Enterprise
  • Charlie AI
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.
© 2026 Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd, US Design Patent #29/544/281, Community and European Design Registration #2845206
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • AI Terms
  • Financial Services Guide