Portillo's 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 2/6
Portillo's (는) 각각 연간 16.7% 및 5.3% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 14.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 4.7% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
16.7%
이익 성장률
14.25%
EPS 성장률
| Hospitality 이익 성장 | 18.1% |
| 매출 성장률 | 5.3% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 4.69% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 07 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 07
Portillo's Could Still Work, Just Not The Way Market Expected
Summary Portillo's remains a 'Buy' as the market has likely priced in a worst-case scenario, despite a double miss and post-earnings sell-off. PTLO is transitioning from a high-growth to a cash-generative, operationally focused model, with a strategic reset under new leadership and reduced restaurant openings. Near-term headwinds include margin compression from operational deleveraging, weak same-store sales, and pricing challenges, but positive FCF inflection is expected by FY 2027. Valuation scenarios suggest a price target range of $4.65 (bear) to $6.20 (bull), with risk justified at a small portfolio allocation given turnaround uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 29
PTLO: Future Upside Will Depend On Turnaround Execution In Underperforming Texas Market
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Portillo's higher by $0.44, citing recent bullish initiations that point to improving growth expectations, while also noting caution about margins and execution timing. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Portillo's, with some firms leaning constructive on the growth story and others urging patience given execution risk and recent financial trends.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15
PTLO: Extended Texas Weakness And Limited Inflection Visibility Will Pressure Near Term Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to Portillo's implied price target of around $5, reflecting mixed views. Recent coverage highlights strong customer affinity but limited visibility on when the turnaround in comparable sales and new markets might show through in the numbers.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 31
PTLO: Reset Plan And Texas Turnaround Prospects Will Shape Near Term Upside
Portillo's updated analyst price target holds near $5, with recent research pointing to higher modeled revenue growth, lower profit margin assumptions, and a much higher future P/E as analysts watch for clearer proof that traffic trends, new market performance, and the planned reset can gain traction. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has leaned cautious, with several firms highlighting execution risk around the reset plan, traffic trends, and new market performance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 17
PTLO: Unit Expansion And Operational Reset Will Support Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have trimmed Portillo's implied fair value estimate by about $0.41 to roughly $14.32. They attribute this to slightly softer margin and future P/E assumptions, while also pointing to muted momentum, limited visibility on a sales inflection and ongoing operational reset efforts.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 03
PTLO: Transition Year Unit Expansion And EBITDA Reset Will Support Long-Term Margin Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their Portillo's fair value estimate by about $0.31 per share to $14.73, reflecting higher revenue growth assumptions, thinner profit margins, and a richer future P/E following recent price target adjustments, muted momentum commentary, and expectations for a transition year. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but constructive picture for Portillo's, with several bullish analysts still highlighting areas of support for the story even as others flag a transition year and cost pressures.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
PTLO: Transition Year Execution Reset Will Support Same-Restaurant Sales And Margin Resilience
Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to their Portillo's price targets, trimming them by a few dollars to reflect muted same store sales momentum, expectations for a transition year with leadership changes and higher investments, and slightly softer long term margin assumptions, even as revenue growth and long term P/E expectations remain broadly intact. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but constructive picture, with some firms trimming expectations while others point to reasons for optimism as Portillo's works through what several describe as a transition period.분석 기사 • Feb 16
Is Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 03
PTLO: Execution Reset Will Support Same-Restaurant Sales Stabilization And Margin Resilience
Our updated analyst price target for Portillo's moves slightly lower to about $15.04 from $15.25, as analysts factor in more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, tempered by modestly muted momentum, a transition year tied to leadership and investment shifts, and recent price target adjustments across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed but useful picture for you if you are tracking Portillo's valuation reset and execution plans.분석 기사 • Jan 22
Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 20
PTLO: Muted Traffic And Cost Pressures Will Restrain Near Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Portillo's by $1, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, a higher future P/E multiple, and modestly stronger revenue growth expectations, even as profit margin estimates ease and recent research continues to flag muted momentum, cost pressures, and a transition year ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Portillo's, with some firms lifting price targets modestly while others turn more cautious on execution, cost trends, and the near term growth setup.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06
PTLO: Fair Outlook Balances Same Store Sales Pressures And New Unit Plans
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Portillo's, with our fair value estimate moving to about $5 per share from roughly $7 as they factor in softer same store sales trends, higher G&A expenses, and ongoing questions around new unit productivity and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Portillo's has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and, in one case, downgrading the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 18
PTLO: Execution Improvements Will Drive Same-Restaurant Sales Stabilization And Margin Resilience
Analysts have reduced our Portillo's fair value estimate to $15.25 from $18.00. This reflects lower growth expectations and a reset sector valuation framework in light of recent price target cuts and concerns over same store sales trends, new unit productivity, and margin headwinds.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 04
PTLO: Future Confidence Will Hinge On Same-Store Sales Reset Year Execution
Our Portillo's analyst price target has been revised lower to align with the Street's recent cuts, which range from about $1 to $4 per share, as analysts factor in weaker same store sales trends, higher G&A expenses, and greater uncertainty around new unit productivity and margins. Analyst Commentary Street research has turned more cautious on Portillo's outlook, with multiple recent price target cuts and at least one downgrade, reflecting growing concern around the balance of risk and reward at current valuation levels.분석 기사 • Nov 27
At US$5.21, Is Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Worth Looking At Closely?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 20
PTLO: Confidence Will Return As Same-Store Sales Recovery Follows Leadership Reset
Portillo's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $8.15 from $9.75. Analysts cite lower expected revenue growth and margin pressure because of concerns over same-store sales and increased costs.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 05
PTLO: Same-Store Sales Recovery Will Renew Confidence After FY25 Leadership Reset
Portillo's fair value price target has been modestly lowered from $9.85 to $9.75. Analysts cite continued uncertainty in same-store sales recovery and margin improvement, even though there have been incremental gains in projected revenue growth and profit margins.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 22
Analysts Lower Targets for Portillo's Amid Leadership Changes and Cautious Growth Outlook
Portillo's fair value estimate has been reduced from $10.55 to $9.85. Analysts cite ongoing concerns over subdued demand trends, lower revenue growth expectations, and continued challenges to new store productivity and profitability.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 08
Digital Technology And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Long-Term Opportunity
Analysts have lowered their fair value price target for Portillo's from $11.90 to $10.55. They cite reduced sales growth expectations and softer new store performance as key factors behind the revision.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 07
Digital Technology And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Long-Term Opportunity
Portillo’s future P/E has increased notably while net profit margin is stable, suggesting higher valuation expectations despite unchanged fundamentals, with the consensus price target steady at $12.20. What's in the News Portillo's Inc.분석 기사 • Jul 30
Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) may be sending bearish signals at...분석 기사 • May 25
Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...분석 기사 • Apr 15
Is There Now An Opportunity In Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO)?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Seeking Alpha • Mar 20
Portillo's: Surprising Recovery In Sales Growth, But Risks Remain
Summary Shares of Portillo's have handily beat the markets this year with a surprising 30%+ surge. Investors cheered the company's return to positive same-store sales comps, buoyed by recent price increases. The company is increasing prices by a further 1.5% in January, while also rolling out a new loyalty program, Portillo's Perks (which offers free fries immediately upon joining). The loyalty program as well as a continued expectation of labor wage bumps may have detrimental impacts on Portillo's margin expansion. Despite being cheap at ~8x adjusted EBITDA, I remain neutral and on the sidelines here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Feb 06
What Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) 51% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 51% after a shaky period beforehand...분석 기사 • Feb 02
We Think Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jan 20
Portillo's: Stock Skyrockets With 'Hartung Effect' And ICR Conference Success
Summary Portillo's has shown resilience with a 0.3% same-store sales growth in Q4 FY 2024, beating expectations and signaling potential positive sales for FY 2025. The introduction of 'Units of the Future 2.0' promises reduced construction costs and quicker payback periods, aiding expansion into smaller markets. The new 'Portillo's Perks' loyalty program, leveraging mobile wallets, aims to boost repeat visits and personalized promotions, targeting 1.5-1.7 million users by summer. With the 'Hartung Effect' and strategic growth plans, I raise my PT to $15, making Portillo's a buy at around $12. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Jan 15
Should You Investigate Portillo's Inc. (NASDAQ:PTLO) At US$11.63?
Portillo's Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTLO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...분석 기사 • Dec 19
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Portillo's Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PTLO) P/E
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Dec 16
Portillo's: This High-Growth Fast-Casual Is Really Cheap Right Now
Summary Portillo's is rapidly expanding, growing from 61 to over 90 locations since its 2021 IPO, focusing on the Sunbelt with cost-effective prototypes. Despite declining comparable sales, PTLO maintains strong top-line growth, targeting 920 locations with a 12–15% annual growth rate. The stock has fallen 40.3% YTD, presenting a buying opportunity under $10, with a potential upside to $12 as new markets and a loyalty program rollout. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
Portillo's: Weak Same-Store Sales Are Concerning (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I'm downgrading Portillo's to neutral due to declining same-store sales and disappointing Q3 earnings, despite previous optimism about its regional expansion. Declining same-store sales may finally be a reaction to recent price increases to combat inflation. The company’s valuation remains attractive compared to peers, but guidance cuts and declining sales trends warrant a cautious “watch and wait” approach. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 14
Portillo's: Bank On This Turnaround As Hot Dog Chain Goes Nationwide
Summary I recommend buying Portillo's stock due to its potential for a turnaround, driven by strategic expansion and improved margins despite recent poor performance. Portillo's plans to build out smaller store footprints to enhance profitability, and expand its store count by 10%+ annually. Despite a slowdown in same-store sales, Portillo's maintains strong operating metrics with high average unit volumes and competitive restaurant-level margins. The stock trades at a much cheaper revenue and EBITDA multiple versus many restaurant peers, which offers a nice cushion against its fundamental risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Oct 08
Is Portillo's (NASDAQ:PTLO) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Oct 07
Portillo's: A Hidden Gem Investment In The Fast-Casual Restaurant Industry
Summary Portillo's, a Midwest-based restaurant chain, is expanding nationally with a focus on regions with favorable demographics, particularly the Sunbelt. The company boasts high Average Unit Volumes and profitability. Portillo's aims to grow its restaurant count by 12%-15% annually, leveraging its proven unit economic model in markets outside Chicagoland. With solid customer loyalty and high Net Promoter Scores, Portillo's has the potential to replicate returns seen in other successful regional to national restaurants like Wingstop. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 863 | 31 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 809 | 18 | 12 | 71 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 777 | 15 | 6 | 66 | 13 |
| 3/29/2026 | 738 | 16 | -10 | 80 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 732 | 19 | -19 | 72 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 731 | 24 | -15 | 75 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 728 | 31 | -2 | 85 | N/A |
| 3/30/2025 | 721 | 28 | 8 | 98 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 711 | 30 | 10 | 98 | N/A |
| 9/29/2024 | 714 | 26 | 2 | 89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 702 | 23 | -3 | 81 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 690 | 24 | -11 | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 680 | 18 | -17 | 71 | N/A |
| 9/24/2023 | 643 | 15 | -3 | 71 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 627 | 12 | -8 | 63 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 609 | 10 | 2 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 587 | 11 | 10 | 57 | N/A |
| 9/25/2022 | 575 | -51 | 3 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 562 | -51 | 4 | 35 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 552 | -48 | 7 | 39 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 535 | -54 | 7 | 43 | N/A |
| 9/26/2021 | 515 | 3 | 21 | 60 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 496 | 5 | 33 | 70 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 464 | -8 | 22 | 53 | N/A |
| 12/27/2020 | 455 | -8 | 37 | 58 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 479 | -13 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: PTLO 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(16.7%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: PTLO 의 연간 수익(16.7%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: PTLO 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: PTLO 의 수익(연간 5.3%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: PTLO 의 수익(연간 5.3%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: PTLO의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 4.7%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/11 12:59 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/29 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/28 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Portillo's Inc.는 17명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 13명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Sara Senatore | BofA Global Research |
| Matthew Curtis | D.A. Davidson & Co. |