M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:MDC 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$4.7b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

M.D.C. Holdings 과거 순이익 실적

과거 기준 점검 2/6

M.D.C. Holdings은 연평균 17.9%의 비율로 수입이 증가해 온 반면, Consumer Durables 산업은 수입이 1.2% 증가했습니다. 매출은 연평균 12.7%의 비율로 증가했습니다. M.D.C. Holdings의 자기자본이익률은 11.9%이고 순이익률은 8.6%입니다.

핵심 정보

17.85%

순이익 성장률

16.14%

주당순이익(EPS) 성장률

Consumer Durables 산업 성장률24.52%
매출 성장률12.74%
자기자본이익률11.87%
순이익률8.59%
최근 순이익 업데이트31 Dec 2023

최근 과거 실적 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Jan 18

M.D.C. Sells To Sekisui At An Attractive Price; Further Upside Is Unlikely

Summary M.D.C. Holdings shares rallied 18% after the acquisition announcement by Sekisui, nearing the purchase price. Sekisui aims to achieve its goal of building 10,000 homes in the US by 2025 with the acquisition of MDC. It is unlikely for the deal to be blocked due to low market share and no antitrust or foreign investment concerns. At 12x earnings and 1.4x book value, no other bidders are likely to emerge. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Jan 03

Earnings Working Against M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) may be sending bullish signals at...
분석 기사 Dec 18

We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
분석 기사 Nov 18

Returns On Capital At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have Hit The Brakes

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...
Seeking Alpha Nov 17

M.D.C. Holdings: Navigating Through A Tough Housing Market

Summary Home builder M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. stock has risen over 35% so far in 2023 despite challenges in the housing sector. Earnings and revenues are projected to fall significantly in FY2023, and there is or has been some substantial insider selling in the stock this year. However, the company has a strong balance sheet and also pays a five percent dividend yield. Buy, Sell, or Hold?  An analysis of M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Nov 03

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
분석 기사 Sep 22

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for M.D.C. Holdings is US$31.53 based on Dividend Discount Model M.D.C. Holdings...
Seeking Alpha Sep 06

M.D.C. Holdings: Awaiting Q3 Results To Validate If Earnings Normalization Phase Has Started

Summary I maintain a hold rating for MDC as I await 3Q23 results to confirm the start of the earnings normalization phase. 2Q23 earnings exceeded expectations, with a 54% growth in orders and improved pricing trends. It is important to remember that further increases in mortgage rates will certainly impact the earnings trajectory of the business. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Sep 05

We Think M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
분석 기사 Aug 01

Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Increase To Their M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Forecasts

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...
분석 기사 Jul 28

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

While M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it led the NYSE...
분석 기사 Jul 13

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Seeking Alpha Jul 09

M.D.C. Holdings: Not The Best Financially But Has A Margin Of Safety

Summary MDC is a cyclical company as its performance is tied to US Housing Starts, where there was no growth in the long-term annual average over the past 70 years. MDC had hardly any revenue growth over the past 18 years and should be valued based on its cyclical Earnings Power Value. A valuation of MDC on such a basis showed that there are margins of safety. But I have concerns about MDC financial strengths. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Jun 05

Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Seeking Alpha May 26

M.D.C. Holdings: Trends Are Turning, But Better To Wait And See

Summary Despite initial concerns, M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. experienced a smaller drop in orders than anticipated, with a notable improvement in market conditions during Q1 2023. Cancellation rates also showed significant improvement. Moving forward, investors should monitor M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.'s efforts to reduce cycle times, as well as the potential for increased gross margins. Given the need for more information to confirm the trend aligns with assumptions, a hold rating is recommended for M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. stock until sufficient data becomes available. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Apr 21

M.D.C. Holdings' (NYSE:MDC) Dividend Will Be $0.50

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.50 per share on the 24th of May...
분석 기사 Apr 14

When Should You Buy M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC)?

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
분석 기사 Mar 30

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
분석 기사 Mar 07

Does M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Seeking Alpha Feb 08

M.D.C. Holdings: Near-Term Concerns May Weigh On Share Price Performance

Summary Guidance for 1Q23 includes closings of 1,500 to 1,600 and ASPs of $550 to $560K with a gross margin of 18-19%. Orders dropped in 4Q22, but there was a return to order in January and an improvement is expected in 1Q23. I have near-term concerns about performance due to a weak sales forecast, declining margins, and uncertain demand and interest rate trends. Description I think M.D.C. Holdings (MDC) is entering the very early stage of an up-cycle, which I believe investors seem to think of as well given the share price reaction. However, I have my concerns on the near-term performance of MDC, especially given a weak order guide, declining gross margins, uncertain interest rate environment, and yet-to-be confirmed demand trends. On this backdrop, valuation has already increased to price in an up-cycle movement, which I think an investment today carries much more risk than pre-earnings. In my opinion, if this were to be a true up-cycle, there would be opportunities to make money out of it, there is no need to take additional risk to get exposure today. As such, my recommendation would be to wait out a couple of quarters, at least until we see a more stabilize demand trend. 4Q22 Review Several key points emerged during the earnings call. To begin, at the mid-point, MDC expects a decline in closings of 31% y/y and a decline in gross margins to 18.5% for 1Q23. With regards to demand trends, demand patterns improved in January as a result of MDC's increased market aggression following the completion of its higher-margin backlog. In addition, the majority of the company's 4Q gross orders (74%) were spec, as such MDC plans to keep expanding its spec construction to better meet the needs of modern buyers. On the pricing side of things, discounts for 4Q orders rose by about 4ppts q/q to around 12%, while order ASPs fell by about 6% q/q and 1% y/y on a gross order basis. If we extrapolate these results literally into FY23/24, we could very well see a downward trend in earnings. Order book Orders dropped 94% in 4Q22 due to a decrease in absorption, while average community size increased 13%. An important metric to keep an eye on is the 4Q22 cancellation rate, which hit 87%, up from 81% in 3Q22 and 20% in 4Q21. To combat this, MDC has responded by increasing the amount of the deposit it requires from customers interested in purchasing a built-to-order home. On the bright side, management noted a return to order in January, and this trend is only expected to further improve in 1Q23. This is likely because MDC has become more competitive in the market due to the anticipated Spring selling season. Additionally, as 74% of its 4th quarter orders were for spec construction, management expects to increase their spec constructions to better cater to current buyer preferences. Impairments The $93 million recorded in 4Q22 land impairments is the highest quarterly amount recorded since Q4 of 2008, and is a significant increase from the $28 million recorded in 3Q22. Impairments affected ten communities in MDC's West region and six communities in the Mountain region, most of which were already open for sales with a few that MDC had planned openings in 1Q23. Although I don't find this particularly concerning at the moment, I do think it's something we should keep an eye on in the future in case it's a precursor to a more serious threat. Guidance
Seeking Alpha Jan 30

M.D.C. Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

M.D.C. (NYSE:MDC) is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results on Tuesday, January 31, before market open. The consensus EPS estimate is $1.52 and the consensus revenue estimate is $1.31B (-8.4% Y/Y). Over the last 1 year, MDC has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 5 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 2 downward.
분석 기사 Jan 28

M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.50

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) will pay a dividend of $0.50 on the 22nd of February. The dividend yield will be...
Seeking Alpha Jan 24

M.D.C. Holdings declares $0.50 dividend

M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) declares $0.50/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 5.45% Payable Feb. 22; for shareholders of record Feb. 8; ex-div Feb. 7. See MDC Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
분석 기사 Jan 13

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Shares Could Be 24% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights M.D.C. Holdings' estimated fair value is US$28.8 based on Dividend Discount Model Current share price of...
분석 기사 Dec 29

Is M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:MDC) Potentially Undervalued?

While M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:MDC ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit...
분석 기사 Dec 13

Returns On Capital Are A Standout For M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC)

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...

매출 및 비용 세부 내역

M.D.C. Holdings가 돈을 벌고 사용하는 방법. 최근 발표된 LTM 실적 기준.


순이익 및 매출 추이

NYSE:MDC 매출, 비용 및 순이익 (USD Millions)
날짜매출순이익일반관리비연구개발비
31 Dec 234,6433994300
30 Sep 234,8163594350
30 Jun 235,1473964750
31 Mar 235,4984925020
31 Dec 225,7185595360
30 Sep 225,6646425350
30 Jun 225,5236435130
31 Mar 225,4376085080
31 Dec 215,2555714940
30 Sep 215,0145554820
30 Jun 214,7505094650
31 Mar 214,2694394290
31 Dec 203,9013654030
30 Sep 203,7813113900
30 Jun 203,5162633790
31 Mar 203,3482333700
31 Dec 193,2932373630
30 Sep 193,0711993510
30 Jun 193,0842023420
31 Mar 193,1032113410
31 Dec 183,0652103300
30 Sep 182,9071803180
30 Jun 182,7261873030
31 Mar 182,6231582930
31 Dec 172,5781412870
30 Sep 172,5871572740
30 Jun 172,5801222670
31 Mar 172,5011152610
31 Dec 162,3271032510
30 Sep 162,176852460
30 Jun 162,048742420
31 Mar 161,932672320
31 Dec 151,909662260
30 Sep 151,836582170
30 Jun 151,786582100
31 Mar 151,755602050
31 Dec 141,698632030
30 Sep 141,661772040
30 Jun 141,691972110
31 Mar 141,6642992130
31 Dec 131,6803092130
30 Sep 131,6143102070
30 Jun 131,5002941940

양질의 수익: MDC는 고품질 수익을 보유하고 있습니다.

이익 마진 증가: MDC의 현재 순 이익률 (8.6%)은 지난해 (9.8%)보다 낮습니다.


잉여현금흐름 대비 순이익 분석


과거 순이익 성장 분석

수익추이: MDC의 수익은 지난 5년 동안 연평균 17.9% 증가했습니다.

성장 가속화: MDC은 지난 1년 동안 수익이 감소하여 5년 평균과 비교할 수 없습니다.

수익 대 산업: MDC은 지난 1년 동안 수익이 감소(-28.7%)하여 Consumer Durables 업계 평균(-16.4%)과 비교하기 어렵습니다.


자기자본이익률

높은 ROE: MDC의 자본 수익률(11.9%)은 낮음으로 평가됩니다.


총자산이익률


투하자본수익률


우수한 과거 실적 기업을 찾아보세요

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2024/04/19 12:15
종가2024/04/19 00:00
수익2023/12/31
연간 수익2023/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

M.D.C. Holdings, Inc.는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 3명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
John LovalloBofA Global Research
Willy RandowCitigroup Inc