공시 • Jun 03
Verisk Unveils Major Update To Its Tropical Cyclone Model For The United States On Synergy Studio Platform
Verisk announced a major update to its Tropical Cyclone Model for the United States (hurricane) model—delivering advances in how hurricane risk is quantified and applied across insurance, reinsurance and capital markets. Delivered on Verisk’s cloud-native Synergy Studio platform, the updated model uses flexible computing and automated workflows to generate faster insights into individual risks and portfolio exposure. The updated U.S. Tropical Cyclone model reflects a near-present climate view, grounded in recent tropical cyclone behavior and impacts, enhanced hazard and vulnerability modeling, and a clearer representation of loss drivers. It combines an updated stochastic event catalog, peer-reviewed wind-field methodology, and a comprehensive reevaluation of vulnerability to better capture how hurricanes behave today and how that translates into losses—such as damage driven by storm surge in coastal areas and rainfall-driven inland flooding—delivering a more accurate and transparent view of risk. The model is exclusively available through Verisk Synergy Studio. The updated model adopts a single, near-present view of tropical cyclone risk that reflects the impact of both global warming and the natural variability of the ocean and atmosphere in the Atlantic Basin. The underlying framework supports more flexible climate sensitivity analysis while remaining grounded in established science and physical plausibility. The update comprehensively modernizes the representation of tropical cyclone risk—from the underlying event catalog and hazard framework to vulnerability and loss dynamics. This includes a reevaluation of how buildings, infrastructure, and communities sustain damage, reflecting changes in construction practices, mitigation, and exposure that increasingly shape actual losses. Modernized tropical cyclone hazard modeling significantly enhances the representation of wind fields, storm surge, and inland flooding, incorporating improved simulation of storm structure, land interaction, impact of event duration, and physical realism of these sub-perils. Enhanced vulnerability modeling reflects how modern buildings and infrastructure withstand peak hurricane winds and duration, incorporating updated construction practices, mitigation measures, and component-level damage behavior. The update improves model differentiation of risk across older versus newer structures, capturing key drivers that influence how similar storms can produce significantly different damage and recovery outcomes. A reengineered stochastic event catalog captures a broader range of plausible tropical cyclone behavior, including tropical storms and extratropical transition. Event tracks are generated using physically consistent atmospheric and oceanic variables known to influence tropical cyclone activity, which provides more physics-based information in the simulation of rare tail events. Together, these advances provide insurers and reinsurers with a clearer view of individual risks, drivers of loss, and how portfolios are exposed to extreme but plausible events—particularly in high exposure regions such as the U.S. Southeast and Gulf Coast, where multiple risks increasingly interact. The updated model underwent extensive external evaluation, including academic peer review and publication of the new hurricane wind-field methodology, and review and evaluation of the new event set and vulnerability modules by independent experts. This process complements internal scientific validation by Verisk’s domain-area experts and reflects the level of rigor required for risk assessments that inform high stakes public and private decision-making. The updated model, along with Verisk’s global suite of catastrophe models, is delivered on Verisk Synergy Studio, a cloud-native platform designed to unify catastrophe modeling, exposure management, and risk analytics in a single environment. The platform supports larger, more complex portfolios with modern workflows and high-performance computing, while leveraging open, non-proprietary exposure data formats and an updated, globally connected financial modeling framework. By pairing advanced science with a modern platform, Synergy Studio enables more frequent model updates and improved integration with enterprise risk workflows. The Verisk Tropical Cyclone model for the United States will be delivered natively through Verisk Synergy Studio. Both offerings will be available starting June 15, 2026. Verisk is supporting clients through a phased migration process, with validation resources and model documentation available to support adoption. The Verisk Tropical Cyclone Model for the United States is developed by AIR Worldwide Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Verisk Analytics, Inc.