New Risk • May 02
New major risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than a year old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2024. This is considered a major risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. In the worst case scenario, it may be facing other major going concern issues jeopardizing its viability as a listed company. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Latest financial reports are more than 1 year old (reported December 2024 fiscal period end). Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (د.م123.9m market cap, or US$13.4m). New Risk • Mar 04
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 5.8% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2024 fiscal period end). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.8% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (د.م113.1m market cap, or US$12.2m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 03
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to د.م21.50, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 12.9x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total loss to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 01
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21% After last week's 21% share price decline to د.م29.97, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 18x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 8.8% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26% After last week's 26% share price gain to د.م39.27, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 23.5x. Average trailing P/E is 7x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 58% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 14
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to د.م31.50, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 18.9x. Average trailing P/E is 7x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 31% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 26
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 27% After last week's 27% share price gain to د.م25.27, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 15.1x. Average trailing P/E is 7x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 8.5% over the past three years. New Risk • Jun 25
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (د.م109.9m market cap, or US$12.1m). New Risk • Oct 14
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: د.م98.1m (US$9.96m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.3x net interest cover). Market cap is less than US$10m (د.م98.1m market cap, or US$9.96m). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). New Risk • Aug 22
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.3x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (د.م127.2m market cap, or US$13.1m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 16
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to د.م22.00, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 18.3x. Average trailing P/E is 17x in the Forestry industry in Africa. Total returns to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. 공지 • May 31
Med Paper S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2024 Med Paper S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2024. Location: casablanca Morocco Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: د.م107.9m (down 20% from FY 2022). Net income: د.م5.75m (down 23% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.3% (down from 5.5% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. New Risk • Apr 17
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Moroccan stocks, typically moving 5.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Market cap is less than US$10m (د.م96.6m market cap, or US$9.53m). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.2% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.2% net profit margin). New Risk • Apr 14
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Market cap is less than US$10m (د.م91.8m market cap, or US$9.17m). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.2% net profit margin). New Risk • Dec 03
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: د.م100.5m (US$9.96m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (85% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$10m (د.م100.5m market cap, or US$9.96m). Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.2% net profit margin). New Risk • Jun 08
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 5.5% Last year net profit margin: 12% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.7x net interest cover). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (85% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.4% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.5% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (د.م117.2m market cap, or US$11.6m). Reported Earnings • Oct 11
First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: د.م1.56 (vs د.م1.42 loss in 1H 2021) First half 2022 results: EPS: د.م1.56 (up from د.م1.42 loss in 1H 2021). Revenue: د.م64.5m (up 95% from 1H 2021). Net income: د.م4.03m (up د.م7.69m from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 6.2% (up from net loss in 1H 2021). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 109% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 08
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to د.م32.80, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8.9x. Average trailing P/E is 10x in the Forestry industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 24% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 18
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to د.م29.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8.1x. Average trailing P/E is 10x in the Forestry industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 8.8% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 03
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to د.م25.22, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.9x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Forestry industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 7.3% over the past three years. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 10
New 90-day low: د.م13.52 The company is down 5.0% from its price of د.م14.30 on 12 November 2020. The Moroccan market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 19% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 20
New 90-day high: د.م14.77 The company is up 17% from its price of د.م12.61 on 19 August 2020. The Moroccan market is up 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 04
New 90-day high: د.م13.00 The company is up 7.0% from its price of د.م12.10 on 06 August 2020. The Moroccan market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 4.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 19
New 90-day low: د.م12.00 The company is down 15% from its price of د.م14.18 on 19 June 2020. The Moroccan market is down 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 13% over the same period.