Mercari 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 2/6
Mercari (는) 각각 연간 9.4% 및 8.8% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 9.4% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 19.5% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
9.4%
이익 성장률
9.39%
EPS 성장률
| Multiline Retail 이익 성장 | 19.4% |
| 매출 성장률 | 8.8% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 19.53% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 02 Jul 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
분석 기사 • May 14
Earnings Beat: Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market...분석 기사 • Feb 11
Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
Shareholders of Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to JP¥3,567...분석 기사 • Nov 11
Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 10% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a...분석 기사 • Aug 08
Mercari, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 46%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Last week, you might have seen that Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 02
4385: U.S. Cross-Border App Expansion Will Support A Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Mercari's implied fair value has shifted from ¥3,500.0 to approximately ¥5,488.34, reflecting analysts' updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a slightly different discount rate, a modestly lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app in the U.S., offering American users a dedicated cross-border shopping platform to buy items from Japan’s Mercari and Mercari Shops marketplaces.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 18
4385: Revised Guidance And User Trends Will Support Steady Cash Flows
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥4,176.92 from ¥3,848.46, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, modestly higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 03
4385: Raised Revenue Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Discount Rate
Analysts have raised Mercari's fair value estimate from ¥2,700 to about ¥2,812, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that refine their overall outlook on the stock. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.내러티브 업데이트 • May 19
4385: Revised Guidance And User Retention Will Support Steady Cash Flows
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,303 to roughly ¥3,848, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E ratios. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million compared with the prior range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million (company guidance).분석 기사 • May 19
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...분석 기사 • May 14
Earnings Beat: Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market...내러티브 업데이트 • May 03
4385: Raised Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Stable Profitability Assumptions
Analysts have reaffirmed Mercari's price target at ¥2,700, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with prior views. What's in the News Mercari raised consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (company guidance).내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18
4385: Raised Guidance And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have lifted their price target on Mercari from ¥2,500 to ¥2,700, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated revenue and core operating profit ranges.분석 기사 • Apr 07
At JP¥3,930, Is Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Worth Looking At Closely?
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 04
4385: Raised Guidance And Rich Margin Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have kept Mercari's price target at ¥2,500.00. They point to slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that still support the same overall valuation view.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21
4385: Rich Profit Assumptions And Lower Future P/E Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk
Mercari's analyst price target is held at ¥2,500, as analysts balance a slightly higher discount rate with updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercari raised its consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to a range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 06
4385: Earnings Guidance Updates Will Gradually Support Stable Cash Flows And Margins
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥3,303 from ¥3,288, reflecting slightly adjusted views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, updating both its revenue and core operating profit ranges.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 20
4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,097 to roughly ¥3,288, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that slightly adjust the discount rate used in their models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated ranges for revenue and core operating profit.분석 기사 • Feb 11
Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
Shareholders of Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to JP¥3,567...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 06
4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari higher from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097 as they factor in slightly lower discount rates, moderately stronger revenue growth assumptions, a firmer profit margin outlook, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097, reflecting a modest upward adjustment to the intrinsic value per share.분석 기사 • Feb 01
Here's Why We Think Mercari (TSE:4385) Is Well Worth Watching
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23
4385: Lower Forward P/E And Rich Profit Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target setup for Mercari, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth of 5.02%, a profit margin of 11.90% and a future P/E of 19.03x, while keeping fair value at ¥2,500. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at ¥2,500, indicating the updated assumptions did not alter the overall valuation anchor.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 08
4385: Higher Future P/E Will Eventually Expose Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥2,500 from ¥1,984, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥1,984 to ¥2,500, reflecting the updated model assumptions.분석 기사 • Dec 23
Investors Will Want Mercari's (TSE:4385) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 18
4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mercari from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, citing slightly lower perceived risk, firmer expectations for mid single digit revenue growth, a gradual improvement in profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 04
4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Are Expected To Gradually Stabilize
Analysts modestly raised their price target on Mercari, with fair value estimates increasing from approximately ¥2,713 to ¥2,774, as they refine discount rate and valuation assumptions despite slightly softer long term growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Mercari remain generally constructive, with the modest price target increase reflecting confidence in the platform’s ability to sustain cash flow generation while navigating a more normalized growth environment.분석 기사 • Nov 27
Is It Time To Consider Buying Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...분석 기사 • Nov 13
Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...분석 기사 • Nov 11
Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 10% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a...분석 기사 • Nov 02
Do Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...분석 기사 • Oct 04
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)
Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 13
Advanced AI And International Expansion Will Drive Future Success
Mercari's consensus price target saw a slight decrease to ¥2713, as modestly improved revenue growth forecasts were offset by an essentially unchanged net profit margin. What's in the News Mercari provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, expecting revenue of JPY 200,000 million to JPY 210,000 million and core operating profit of JPY 28,000 million to JPY 32,000 million.분석 기사 • Aug 08
Mercari, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 46%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Last week, you might have seen that Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...분석 기사 • Aug 06
Here's Why Mercari (TSE:4385) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
TSE:4385 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Mercari's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Warren...분석 기사 • Jul 21
The Price Is Right For Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider...
새로운 내러티브 • Feb 09
Transitioning Hallo To Paid Service Will Generate New Revenue Streams
Enhancing user experience and implementing user safety measures may boost engagement, trust, and retention, positively impacting revenue and margins.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 292,976 | 41,676 | 5,010 | 10,310 | 4 |
| 6/30/2028 | 274,355 | 41,275 | -890 | 26,279 | 12 |
| 6/30/2027 | 251,665 | 36,373 | -6,650 | 18,246 | 13 |
| 6/30/2026 | 225,812 | 28,619 | -15,645 | 4,563 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 215,857 | 33,813 | -42,597 | -39,349 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 204,727 | 29,316 | -23,082 | -20,237 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 197,149 | 28,168 | 13,602 | 14,932 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 192,633 | 26,114 | -12,249 | -11,949 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 190,596 | 16,439 | 2,493 | 2,857 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 189,182 | 16,295 | -7,034 | -6,763 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 188,060 | 13,583 | -39,750 | -39,524 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 187,407 | 13,461 | -43,492 | -43,337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 185,029 | 16,768 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 180,165 | 16,418 | -45,238 | -45,012 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 176,306 | 15,469 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 172,064 | 13,070 | -37,354 | -36,883 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 165,261 | 5,195 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 160,143 | -3,639 | -23,064 | -22,297 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 153,444 | -7,038 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 147,049 | -7,569 | -26,886 | -26,217 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 138,915 | -5,564 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 129,093 | -1,119 | -24,630 | -24,321 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 117,593 | 1,320 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 106,115 | 5,720 | 2,947 | 3,367 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 99,826 | 3,016 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 91,495 | -4,558 | 16,091 | 16,703 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 83,883 | -11,378 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 76,275 | -22,772 | 11,760 | 12,533 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 67,655 | -28,635 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 60,888 | -23,392 | N/A | -3,437 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 55,679 | -17,990 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 51,683 | -13,764 | N/A | -7,289 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 46,996 | -10,948 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 35,765 | -7,041 | N/A | -3,437 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 22,071 | -4,207 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 12,256 | -348 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: 4385 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(9.4%)이 saving rate(0.8%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: 4385 의 연간 수익(9.4%)이 JP 시장(10.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: 4385 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: 4385 의 수익(연간 8.8%)이 JP 시장(연간 6.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: 4385 의 수익(연간 8.8%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: 4385의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 19.5%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/07/12 10:04 |
| 종가 | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/06/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Mercari, Inc.는 21명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 13명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Yoshitaka Nagao | BofA Global Research |
| Junko Yamamura | Citigroup Inc |
| Keiichi Yoneshima | Citigroup Inc |