THK 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
THK (는) 각각 연간 17.7% 및 5.8% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 20.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 12.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
17.7%
이익 성장률
20.21%
EPS 성장률
| Machinery 이익 성장 | 10.0% |
| 매출 성장률 | 5.8% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 12.87% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 21 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 06
6481: Higher Assumed P/E Will Likely Limit Future Equity Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on THK to ¥3,787 from ¥2,999, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and an increased future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposing of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Board Meeting).
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 21
6481: Stable Assumptions And Governance Moves Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have kept their ¥5,376 price target on THK steady, with only small adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that fine tune rather than reset their view on the stock. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026, with an agenda item to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 07
6481: Higher Profitability Assumptions And Capital Moves Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from about ¥4,400 to roughly ¥5,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the higher price target. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (company board meeting) Resolution passed on February 19, 2026 to change THK's accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC, with a proposal for a new auditor to be submitted at the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting) Board meeting held on February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, indicating ongoing adjustments in workforce and human capital policies (company board meeting) Board meeting on February 2, 2026 to review transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and assignment of receivables, indicating changes in group structure and internal financing arrangements (company board meeting) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from about ¥4,441 to roughly ¥5,376, reflecting higher assumptions in the model.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 24
6481: Higher Margin Outlook And Governance Changes Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have raised their price target for THK to ¥6,020 from ¥5,310, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin outlook, a slightly lower discount rate, and a revised future P/E expectation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 20, 2026, to consider the disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
6481: Lower Profit Margin Outlook Will Pressure Future Equity Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on THK from about ¥2,857 to roughly ¥2,999, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News THK resolved at its Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting on February 19, 2026, to change its accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC and plans to submit the appointment of a new accounting auditor to the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
6481: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Pressure Equity Returns
Analysts have reduced their price target on THK to ¥2,856.81 from ¥3,034.68 after revising their assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and the future P/E, which has changed their view of fair value. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, highlighting a focus on workforce related policies (Key Developments).분석 기사 • Feb 13
Need To Know: This Analyst Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) Estimates
The analyst covering THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...분석 기사 • Feb 09
Revenues Not Telling The Story For THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) After Shares Rise 25%
The THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09
6481: Weaker Industrial Machinery Outlook And Tariff Headwinds Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥4,322 to ¥4,442, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for February 2, 2026, to discuss the transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and the assignment of receivables, which could reshape parts of the group structure (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 26
6481: Tariff And Restructuring Headwinds Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have revised their view on THK's outlook, keeping fair value steady at ¥5,310.0 while adjusting their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated mix of risk and earnings. What's in the News THK revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now expecting revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with prior guidance of revenue of ¥363,500 million, operating income of ¥23,500 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥18,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥148.14 (company guidance).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
6481: Weaker Industrial Orders And Tariff Costs Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for THK from ¥3,021.55 to ¥3,034.68, reflecting updated assumptions of higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E. What's in the News THK lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now guiding to revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with its earlier outlook.분석 기사 • Dec 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights THK's estimated fair value is JP¥3,541 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity THK's JP¥4,061 share...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14
6481: Higher Discount Rate And Weaker Orders Will Pressure Earnings
Narrative Update The analyst price target for THK has been trimmed slightly. Fair value is edging down by approximately ¥0.34 per share as analysts factor in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by a modestly improved profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.분석 기사 • Dec 06
Does THK (TSE:6481) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...분석 기사 • Nov 13
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...분석 기사 • Oct 01
THK (TSE:6481) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...분석 기사 • Sep 09
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, THK fair value estimate is JP¥3,747 Current share price of...분석 기사 • Aug 08
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its half-year result to the market. The early...분석 기사 • Jul 24
Investors Interested In THK Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6481) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) may be sending very bearish signals at...분석 기사 • Jun 19
Here's Why THK (TSE:6481) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...새로운 내러티브 • Jun 15
Lean Reforms And Automation Will Drive Global Efficiency
Structural reforms, automation investments, and resource reallocation are aimed at improving profitability, operating margins, and revenue resilience through efficiency and market diversification.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 311,838 | 33,989 | 19,926 | 45,920 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 302,973 | 31,221 | 27,587 | 47,663 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 284,562 | 27,839 | 25,984 | 42,438 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 255,306 | 14,702 | 21,760 | 38,965 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 240,444 | 10,149 | 23,853 | 42,748 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 355,856 | 6,503 | 15,124 | 36,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 349,154 | 6,953 | 6,241 | 30,200 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 352,578 | 8,798 | 6 | 26,946 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 352,759 | 10,439 | -1,151 | 28,412 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 348,950 | 13,514 | 3,889 | 32,542 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 346,197 | 13,569 | 7,501 | 36,714 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 343,529 | 13,467 | 15,609 | 43,554 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 351,939 | 18,398 | 12,287 | 39,332 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 374,270 | 11,958 | 18,623 | 46,312 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 392,610 | 18,874 | 21,476 | 49,867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 399,127 | 21,195 | 15,303 | 44,766 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 393,687 | 21,198 | 8,154 | 37,561 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 375,578 | 33,408 | -3,101 | 23,820 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 353,818 | 29,852 | -15,003 | 10,488 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 335,533 | 27,203 | -14,195 | 8,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 318,188 | 23,007 | -3,605 | 15,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 292,608 | 6,413 | 3,126 | 20,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 266,987 | 887 | 11,221 | 26,373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 234,315 | -4,639 | 8,550 | 24,173 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 218,998 | -9,992 | 7,390 | 25,399 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 216,145 | -1,096 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 228,516 | -1,523 | 7,919 | 29,730 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 253,700 | 3,382 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 274,599 | 11,690 | N/A | 28,383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 303,246 | 16,213 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 323,163 | 25,648 | N/A | 40,392 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 342,418 | 31,866 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 353,479 | 35,400 | N/A | 55,177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382,137 | 34,305 | N/A | 34,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 339,713 | 29,305 | N/A | 39,572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 328,856 | 24,925 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 273,577 | 16,731 | N/A | 40,175 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 270,182 | 13,483 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 264,524 | 11,094 | N/A | 30,807 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 252,943 | 8,928 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 240,478 | 13,575 | N/A | 19,753 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 230,112 | 15,773 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 223,657 | 19,527 | N/A | 20,772 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 221,893 | 23,218 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: 6481 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(17.7%)이 saving rate(0.8%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: 6481 의 연간 수익(17.7%)이 JP 시장(8.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: 6481 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: 6481 의 수익(연간 5.8%)이 JP 시장(연간 5.4%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: 6481 의 수익(연간 5.8%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: 6481의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 12.9%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/25 09:28 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/25 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
THK Co., Ltd.는 23명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 10명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Tsutomu Kijima | Barclays |
| Kenjin Hotta | BofA Global Research |
| Graeme McDonald | Citigroup Inc |