View ValuationLeone Film Group 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 4/6Leone Film Group (는) 각각 연간 85.3% 및 10.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 85.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 4.6% 로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보85.3%이익 성장률85.24%EPS 성장률Entertainment 이익 성장54.9%매출 성장률10.7%향후 자기자본이익률4.60%애널리스트 커버리지Low마지막 업데이트23 Apr 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트Price Target Changed • Apr 24Price target increased by 25% to €2.50Up from €2.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 46% above last closing price of €1.71. Stock is up 8.2% over the past year.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 23Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €72.1m to €58.9m. Forecast loss of -€0.02, down from profit of €0.287 per share profit previously. Entertainment industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 40% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.00 to €1.92. Share price was steady at €1.58 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 23Price target decreased by 8.6% to €1.92Down from €2.10, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 7.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.02 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.47 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Oct 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.10 per share. Revenue forecast steady at €99.5m. Net income forecast to grow 94% next year vs 94% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.70 to €2.50. Share price rose 2.1% to €1.47 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 26Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from €91.5m to €99.5m. EPS estimate fell from €0.30 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to grow 50% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €3.00 to €2.70. Share price was steady at €1.94 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11Consensus revenue estimates fall by 36%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €75.7m to €48.6m. EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.18 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 49% next year vs 3.3% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.60 to €3.00. Share price fell 4.0% to €1.91 over the past week.모든 업데이트 보기Recent updatesBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 28Now 22% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 22% to €1.67. The fair value is estimated to be €2.14, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to grow by 25% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 2,199% in the next 2 years.Price Target Changed • Apr 24Price target increased by 25% to €2.50Up from €2.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 46% above last closing price of €1.71. Stock is up 8.2% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Apr 06Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €46.7m (up 11% from FY 2024). Net income: €100.0k (up €6.75m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.2% (up from net loss in FY 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by higher revenue.New Risk • Apr 05New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 66% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 66% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks High level of debt (162% net debt to equity). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€19.2m market cap, or US$22.1m).공시 • Apr 02Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2026Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2026, at 17:00 W. Europe Standard Time. Location: in via birmania 74 and 76, roma ItalyNew Risk • Mar 08New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (162% net debt to equity). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€21.6m market cap, or US$25.0m).Board Change • Aug 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Fabrizio de Scisciolo was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.분석 기사 • Jun 21Does Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Major Estimate Revision • Apr 23Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €72.1m to €58.9m. Forecast loss of -€0.02, down from profit of €0.287 per share profit previously. Entertainment industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 40% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.00 to €1.92. Share price was steady at €1.58 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 23Price target decreased by 8.6% to €1.92Down from €2.10, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 7.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.02 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.47 last year.Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: €0.47 loss per share (further deteriorated from €0.055 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: €43.1m (down 49% from FY 2023). Net loss: €6.65m (loss widened €5.87m from FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 14%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 108 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.공시 • Apr 07Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 17, 2025Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 17, 2025, at 17:00 W. Europe Standard Time. Location: in via birmania 74 76, roma Italy분석 기사 • Jul 02Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return TrendsIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...New Risk • Apr 15New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 8.2% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 112% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 8.2% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€24.1m market cap, or US$25.6m).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 18Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to €1.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 6x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 18% over the past three years.분석 기사 • Dec 18Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG) Screens Well But There Might Be A CatchWith a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Entertainment industry in Italy, you could be...Major Estimate Revision • Oct 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.10 per share. Revenue forecast steady at €99.5m. Net income forecast to grow 94% next year vs 94% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.70 to €2.50. Share price rose 2.1% to €1.47 over the past week.Buying Opportunity • Jul 03Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 14%. The fair value is estimated to be €2.28, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.0% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 82%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 121% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 93% in the next 2 years.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 26Upcoming dividend of €0.90 per share at 4.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 03 July 2023. Payment date: 05 July 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 51% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.1%).Major Estimate Revision • Apr 26Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from €91.5m to €99.5m. EPS estimate fell from €0.30 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to grow 50% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €3.00 to €2.70. Share price was steady at €1.94 over the past week.분석 기사 • Feb 08Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To ContinueThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). Independent Director Marra De Fabrizio was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.분석 기사 • Oct 12Leone Film Group S.p.A.'s (BIT:LFG) Analyst Just Slashed This Year's EstimatesThe analyst covering Leone Film Group S.p.A. ( BIT:LFG ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11Consensus revenue estimates fall by 36%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €75.7m to €48.6m. EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.18 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 49% next year vs 3.3% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.60 to €3.00. Share price fell 4.0% to €1.91 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.10 (vs €0.034 in 1H 2021)First half 2022 results: EPS: €0.10 (up from €0.034 in 1H 2021). Revenue: €25.2m (down 31% from 1H 2021). Net income: €1.37m (up 183% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 5.5% (up from 1.3% in 1H 2021). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 46% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 13Upcoming dividend of €0.14 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 June 2022. Payment date: 22 June 2022. Trailing yield: 5.1%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.9%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).분석 기사 • Apr 30This Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG) Analyst Is Way More Bearish Than They Used To BeThe latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Leone Film Group S.p.A. ( BIT:LFG ), with the covering analyst...Major Estimate Revision • Apr 29Consensus revenue estimates fall by 32%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €112.1m to €75.7m. EPS estimate fell from €0.39 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 37% next year vs 6.4% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.90 to €3.60. Share price rose 7.7% to €2.80 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €3.90Up from €3.30, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 40% above last closing price of €2.79. Stock is up 3.3% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.39 for next year compared to €0.42 last year.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). Independent Director Marra De Fabrizio was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Reported Earnings • Apr 19Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2021 results: EPS: €0.42 (up from €0.085 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: €81.6m (up 31% from FY 2020). Net income: €5.87m (up €7.07m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 7.2% (up from net loss in FY 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 100%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 37%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 26% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 18% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.분석 기사 • Jan 11There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Leone Film Group's (BIT:LFG) Returns On CapitalWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...Reported Earnings • Oct 01First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.03 (vs €0.24 loss in 1H 2020)The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €36.2m (up 152% from 1H 2020). Net income: €486.0k (up €3.94m from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 1.3% (up from net loss in 1H 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 63 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.분석 기사 • Jun 25Here's Why Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt LoadLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...분석 기사 • May 05Calculating The Fair Value Of Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG)Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Leone Film Group...Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 19New 90-day high: €3.00The company is up 47% from its price of €2.04 on 21 October 2020. The Italian market is up 13% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Entertainment industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period.분석 기사 • Dec 29Health Check: How Prudently Does Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Use Debt?Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 21New 90-day low: €2.04The company is down 30% from its price of €2.90 on 22 July 2020. The Italian market is down 7.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 22% over the same period.Reported Earnings • Oct 01First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €4.29m, with earnings decreasing by €10.3m from the prior year. Total revenue was €55.3m over the last 12 months, down 28% from the prior year.Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 25New 90-day low: €2.60The company is down 6.0% from its price of €2.78 on 26 June 2020. The Italian market is down 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. However, its price trend is similar to the Entertainment industry, which is also down 6.0% over the same period.이익 및 매출 성장 예측BIT:LFG - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (EUR Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수12/31/2027572341112/31/20265711747112/31/2025460-142N/A9/30/202544-3541N/A6/30/202542-71141N/A3/31/202542-71338N/A12/31/202442-71534N/A9/30/202460-41239N/A6/30/202478-1843N/A3/31/202481-1345N/A12/31/202385-1-246N/A9/30/2023710-1048N/A6/30/2023571-1749N/A3/31/2023542-1941N/A12/31/2022512-2132N/A9/30/2022595-1629N/A6/30/2022677-1125N/A3/31/2022746-335N/A12/31/2021826546N/A9/30/2021834545N/A6/30/2021843544N/A3/31/2021731237N/A12/31/202062-1029N/A9/30/202059-3-425N/A6/30/202055-4-922N/A3/31/202058-2-1122N/A12/31/2019611-1422N/A9/30/2019694N/A19N/A6/30/2019776N/A15N/A3/31/2019896N/A13N/A12/31/20181017N/A11N/A9/30/20181026N/A18N/A6/30/20181035N/A25N/A3/31/2018975N/A26N/A12/31/2017914N/A27N/A9/30/2017733N/A25N/A6/30/2017542N/A24N/A3/31/2017532N/A25N/A12/31/2016512N/A25N/A9/30/2016553N/AN/AN/A6/30/2016604N/A22N/A3/31/2016504N/A20N/A12/31/2015394N/A19N/A9/30/2015283N/AN/AN/A6/30/2015182N/A9N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: LFG 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(85.3%)이 saving rate(3.3%)보다 높습니다.수익 vs 시장: LFG 의 연간 수익(85.3%)이 Italian 시장(11.3%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 수익: LFG 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.수익 대 시장: LFG 의 수익(연간 10.7%)이 Italian 시장(연간 5.9%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: LFG 의 수익(연간 10.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: LFG의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 4.6%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMedia 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/06/01 08:00종가2026/05/29 00:00수익2025/12/31연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스Leone Film Group S.p.A.는 3명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 1명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Stefano GamberiniEquita SIM S.p.A.Antonio TognoliIntegrae SPAGiada CabrinoIntesa Sanpaolo Equity Research
Price Target Changed • Apr 24Price target increased by 25% to €2.50Up from €2.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 46% above last closing price of €1.71. Stock is up 8.2% over the past year.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 23Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €72.1m to €58.9m. Forecast loss of -€0.02, down from profit of €0.287 per share profit previously. Entertainment industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 40% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.00 to €1.92. Share price was steady at €1.58 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 23Price target decreased by 8.6% to €1.92Down from €2.10, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 7.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.02 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.47 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.10 per share. Revenue forecast steady at €99.5m. Net income forecast to grow 94% next year vs 94% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.70 to €2.50. Share price rose 2.1% to €1.47 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 26Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from €91.5m to €99.5m. EPS estimate fell from €0.30 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to grow 50% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €3.00 to €2.70. Share price was steady at €1.94 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11Consensus revenue estimates fall by 36%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €75.7m to €48.6m. EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.18 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 49% next year vs 3.3% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.60 to €3.00. Share price fell 4.0% to €1.91 over the past week.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 28Now 22% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 22% to €1.67. The fair value is estimated to be €2.14, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to grow by 25% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 2,199% in the next 2 years.
Price Target Changed • Apr 24Price target increased by 25% to €2.50Up from €2.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 46% above last closing price of €1.71. Stock is up 8.2% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Apr 06Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €46.7m (up 11% from FY 2024). Net income: €100.0k (up €6.75m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.2% (up from net loss in FY 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by higher revenue.
New Risk • Apr 05New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 66% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 66% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks High level of debt (162% net debt to equity). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€19.2m market cap, or US$22.1m).
공시 • Apr 02Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2026Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2026, at 17:00 W. Europe Standard Time. Location: in via birmania 74 and 76, roma Italy
New Risk • Mar 08New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (162% net debt to equity). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€21.6m market cap, or US$25.0m).
Board Change • Aug 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Fabrizio de Scisciolo was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
분석 기사 • Jun 21Does Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 23Consensus revenue estimates fall by 18%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €72.1m to €58.9m. Forecast loss of -€0.02, down from profit of €0.287 per share profit previously. Entertainment industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 40% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.00 to €1.92. Share price was steady at €1.58 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 23Price target decreased by 8.6% to €1.92Down from €2.10, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 7.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.02 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.47 last year.
Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: €0.47 loss per share (further deteriorated from €0.055 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: €43.1m (down 49% from FY 2023). Net loss: €6.65m (loss widened €5.87m from FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 14%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 108 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
공시 • Apr 07Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 17, 2025Leone Film Group S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 17, 2025, at 17:00 W. Europe Standard Time. Location: in via birmania 74 76, roma Italy
분석 기사 • Jul 02Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return TrendsIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
New Risk • Apr 15New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 8.2% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 112% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 8.2% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€24.1m market cap, or US$25.6m).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 18Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to €1.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 6x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total loss to shareholders of 18% over the past three years.
분석 기사 • Dec 18Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG) Screens Well But There Might Be A CatchWith a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Entertainment industry in Italy, you could be...
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.10 per share. Revenue forecast steady at €99.5m. Net income forecast to grow 94% next year vs 94% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.70 to €2.50. Share price rose 2.1% to €1.47 over the past week.
Buying Opportunity • Jul 03Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 14%. The fair value is estimated to be €2.28, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.0% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 82%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 121% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 93% in the next 2 years.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 26Upcoming dividend of €0.90 per share at 4.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 03 July 2023. Payment date: 05 July 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 51% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.1%).
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 26Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from €91.5m to €99.5m. EPS estimate fell from €0.30 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to grow 50% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €3.00 to €2.70. Share price was steady at €1.94 over the past week.
분석 기사 • Feb 08Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To ContinueThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). Independent Director Marra De Fabrizio was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
분석 기사 • Oct 12Leone Film Group S.p.A.'s (BIT:LFG) Analyst Just Slashed This Year's EstimatesThe analyst covering Leone Film Group S.p.A. ( BIT:LFG ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11Consensus revenue estimates fall by 36%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €75.7m to €48.6m. EPS estimate fell from €0.26 to €0.18 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 49% next year vs 3.3% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.60 to €3.00. Share price fell 4.0% to €1.91 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.10 (vs €0.034 in 1H 2021)First half 2022 results: EPS: €0.10 (up from €0.034 in 1H 2021). Revenue: €25.2m (down 31% from 1H 2021). Net income: €1.37m (up 183% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 5.5% (up from 1.3% in 1H 2021). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 46% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 13Upcoming dividend of €0.14 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 June 2022. Payment date: 22 June 2022. Trailing yield: 5.1%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.9%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).
분석 기사 • Apr 30This Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG) Analyst Is Way More Bearish Than They Used To BeThe latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Leone Film Group S.p.A. ( BIT:LFG ), with the covering analyst...
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 29Consensus revenue estimates fall by 32%The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from €112.1m to €75.7m. EPS estimate fell from €0.39 to €0.26 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 37% next year vs 6.4% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy . Consensus price target down from €3.90 to €3.60. Share price rose 7.7% to €2.80 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €3.90Up from €3.30, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 40% above last closing price of €2.79. Stock is up 3.3% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.39 for next year compared to €0.42 last year.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). Independent Director Marra De Fabrizio was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Reported Earnings • Apr 19Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2021 results: EPS: €0.42 (up from €0.085 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: €81.6m (up 31% from FY 2020). Net income: €5.87m (up €7.07m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 7.2% (up from net loss in FY 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 100%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 37%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 26% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 18% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
분석 기사 • Jan 11There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Leone Film Group's (BIT:LFG) Returns On CapitalWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Reported Earnings • Oct 01First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.03 (vs €0.24 loss in 1H 2020)The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €36.2m (up 152% from 1H 2020). Net income: €486.0k (up €3.94m from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 1.3% (up from net loss in 1H 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 63 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
분석 기사 • Jun 25Here's Why Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt LoadLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
분석 기사 • May 05Calculating The Fair Value Of Leone Film Group S.p.A. (BIT:LFG)Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Leone Film Group...
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 19New 90-day high: €3.00The company is up 47% from its price of €2.04 on 21 October 2020. The Italian market is up 13% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Entertainment industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period.
분석 기사 • Dec 29Health Check: How Prudently Does Leone Film Group (BIT:LFG) Use Debt?Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 21New 90-day low: €2.04The company is down 30% from its price of €2.90 on 22 July 2020. The Italian market is down 7.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 22% over the same period.
Reported Earnings • Oct 01First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €4.29m, with earnings decreasing by €10.3m from the prior year. Total revenue was €55.3m over the last 12 months, down 28% from the prior year.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 25New 90-day low: €2.60The company is down 6.0% from its price of €2.78 on 26 June 2020. The Italian market is down 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. However, its price trend is similar to the Entertainment industry, which is also down 6.0% over the same period.