View ValuationTraton 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 3/6Traton (는) 각각 연간 23.1% 및 5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 23.4% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 12.9% 로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보23.1%이익 성장률23.39%EPS 성장률Machinery 이익 성장23.5%매출 성장률5.0%향후 자기자본이익률12.89%애널리스트 커버리지Good마지막 업데이트20 May 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트공시 • Jul 25Traton SE Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025Traton SE updated earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the period, the company now expects a range of negative 10% to 0% (previously negative 5% to positive 5%) for unit sales and sales revenue.모든 업데이트 보기Recent updatesNew Risk • May 05New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 24% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (2.7% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.0% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Apr 30First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: €0.45 (vs €0.93 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: €0.45 (down from €0.93 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: €10.2b (down 3.5% from 1Q 2025). Net income: €225.0m (down 52% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 2.2% (down from 4.4% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Apr 30+ 1 more updateTraton SE announces Annual dividend, payable on June 19, 2026Traton SE announced Annual dividend of EUR 0.9300 per share payable on June 19, 2026, ex-date on June 17, 2026 and record date on June 18, 2026.공시 • Apr 02TRATON GROUP and Applied Intuition Announces TRATON ONE OS, a Unified Software Platform for Improved Fleet Uptime Across TRATON's Four Global BrandsThe TRATON GROUP and Applied Intuition, Inc. announced TRATON ONE OS, a next-generation software-defined vehicle platform that will power all new vehicles across TRATON's four brands: Scania, MAN, International and Volkswagen Truck & Bus. Building on more than a year of co-development, the two companies are deploying a single unified platform that's at the forefront of innovation to deliver benefits to customers: Prevent costly downtime: The system's unified data access is designed to enable predictive maintenance capabilities that allow fleet operators to identify and address potential mechanical issues before they lead to breakdowns, service recalls or unplanned downtime. Future-proof fleets: Customers will be able to receive new applications, features and full-cabin user-interface upgrades via over-the-air software updates, eliminating many workshop visits and allowing vehicles to improve throughout their operational life. Unlock the autonomous future: The platform's adaptive middleware is designed to serve as a foundation for autonomous driving systems, enabling TRATON to layer autonomous capabilities onto the same architecture over time. Designed to bring the speed, flexibility and continuous update cycles of modern software development to the commercial vehicle industry, TRATON ONE OS will operate on all high-performance computers (HPCs) in TRATON's new vehicle architecture. The platform supports multiple hardware chipsets and global regulatory environments while giving TRATON teams a common foundation to build on — all without compromising each brand's distinct customer experience. Testing of the first integrated ECU hardware will begin in April 2026, with rollout across new trucks targeted for 2028. The platform is being co-developed as a white-box modular architecture that combines TRATON's internal development with Applied Intuition's Vehicle OS for trucking, as well as trusted third-party and open-source components. This modular approach allows TRATON to replace or consolidate compute units over time without fragmenting the software stack or rewriting the platform or applications, supporting the company's long-term ambition to move toward fewer, more powerful high-performance computers.Reported Earnings • Mar 05Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: €3.09 (vs €5.61 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: €3.09 (down from €5.61 in FY 2024). Revenue: €44.1b (down 7.2% from FY 2024). Net income: €1.55b (down 45% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.5% (down from 5.9% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 8% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 12Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 26% to €36.08. The fair value is estimated to be €45.82, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.6% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.공시 • Jan 30Traton SE to Report Nine Months, 2026 Results on Oct 28, 2026Traton SE announced that they will report nine months, 2026 results on Oct 28, 2026공시 • Jan 29Traton SE to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Jul 23, 2026Traton SE announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Jul 23, 2026Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.65 (vs €1.45 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: €0.65 (down from €1.45 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: €10.4b (down 12% from 3Q 2024). Net income: €324.0m (down 55% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.1% (down from 6.1% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year.Reported Earnings • Jul 27Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.49 (vs €1.17 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: €0.49 (down from €1.17 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: €11.3b (down 2.5% from 2Q 2024). Net income: €246.0m (down 58% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.2% (down from 5.0% in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.2% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 35% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 28% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.공시 • Jul 25Traton SE Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025Traton SE updated earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the period, the company now expects a range of negative 10% to 0% (previously negative 5% to positive 5%) for unit sales and sales revenue.Upcoming Dividend • May 08Upcoming dividend of €1.70 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 May 2025. Payment date: 19 May 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 34% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 6.0%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2025 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2025 results: Revenue: €10.6b (down 10% from 1Q 2024). Net income: €466.0m (down 38% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 6.4% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 51% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 09Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to €25.52, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Machinery industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders of 90% over the past three years.공시 • Mar 28Traton SE, Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2025Traton SE, Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2025, at 10:00 W. Europe Standard Time.이익 및 매출 성장 예측BIT:18TRA - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (EUR Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수12/31/202851,3993,2102,8026,0051512/31/202748,5912,8022,3715,2641812/31/202645,7192,0081,3994,097183/31/202643,6771,306-2,123726N/A12/31/202544,0521,547-1,894902N/A9/30/202544,5421,779-1,2371,652N/A6/30/202545,9922,179-4302,490N/A3/31/202546,2812,518-4022,400N/A12/31/202447,4732,804-4012,340N/A9/30/202447,9492,572-9301,606N/A6/30/202447,4052,550-4411,990N/A3/31/202447,4842,6482822,593N/A12/31/202346,8722,4513742,583N/A9/30/202345,9662,4231692,236N/A6/30/202345,2071,689-5961,403N/A3/31/202342,9961,274-2,245-312N/A12/31/202240,3351,141-2,569-660N/A9/30/202237,495449-2,203-338N/A6/30/202234,981802-2,473-643N/A3/31/202232,601750-922798N/A12/31/202130,620457-651,534N/A9/30/202128,5107082211,640N/A6/30/202126,1285168862,106N/A3/31/202123,445-681,0942,334N/A12/31/202022,580-1016761,987N/A9/30/202022,8141733521,735N/A6/30/202023,4334743921,883N/A3/31/202026,1671,2362061,715N/A12/31/201926,9011,520N/A1,088N/A9/30/201927,1311,419N/A959N/A6/30/201926,8591,491N/A373N/A3/31/201926,2891,228N/AN/AN/A12/31/201825,9271,140N/A382N/A12/31/201724,366880N/A726N/A12/31/201621,915186N/A758N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: 18TRA 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(23.1%)이 saving rate(3.3%)보다 높습니다.수익 vs 시장: 18TRA 의 연간 수익(23.1%)이 Italian 시장(11.3%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 수익: 18TRA 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.수익 대 시장: 18TRA 의 수익(연간 5%)이 Italian 시장(연간 5.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: 18TRA 의 수익(연간 5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: 18TRA의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 12.9%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YCapital-goods 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/05/25 20:46종가2026/05/25 00:00수익2026/03/31연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스Traton SE는 27명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 18명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Erwann DagorneBarclaysKai MuellerBarclaysHarry MartinBernstein24명의 분석가 더 보기
공시 • Jul 25Traton SE Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025Traton SE updated earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the period, the company now expects a range of negative 10% to 0% (previously negative 5% to positive 5%) for unit sales and sales revenue.
New Risk • May 05New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 24% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (2.7% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.0% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Apr 30First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: €0.45 (vs €0.93 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: €0.45 (down from €0.93 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: €10.2b (down 3.5% from 1Q 2025). Net income: €225.0m (down 52% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 2.2% (down from 4.4% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Apr 30+ 1 more updateTraton SE announces Annual dividend, payable on June 19, 2026Traton SE announced Annual dividend of EUR 0.9300 per share payable on June 19, 2026, ex-date on June 17, 2026 and record date on June 18, 2026.
공시 • Apr 02TRATON GROUP and Applied Intuition Announces TRATON ONE OS, a Unified Software Platform for Improved Fleet Uptime Across TRATON's Four Global BrandsThe TRATON GROUP and Applied Intuition, Inc. announced TRATON ONE OS, a next-generation software-defined vehicle platform that will power all new vehicles across TRATON's four brands: Scania, MAN, International and Volkswagen Truck & Bus. Building on more than a year of co-development, the two companies are deploying a single unified platform that's at the forefront of innovation to deliver benefits to customers: Prevent costly downtime: The system's unified data access is designed to enable predictive maintenance capabilities that allow fleet operators to identify and address potential mechanical issues before they lead to breakdowns, service recalls or unplanned downtime. Future-proof fleets: Customers will be able to receive new applications, features and full-cabin user-interface upgrades via over-the-air software updates, eliminating many workshop visits and allowing vehicles to improve throughout their operational life. Unlock the autonomous future: The platform's adaptive middleware is designed to serve as a foundation for autonomous driving systems, enabling TRATON to layer autonomous capabilities onto the same architecture over time. Designed to bring the speed, flexibility and continuous update cycles of modern software development to the commercial vehicle industry, TRATON ONE OS will operate on all high-performance computers (HPCs) in TRATON's new vehicle architecture. The platform supports multiple hardware chipsets and global regulatory environments while giving TRATON teams a common foundation to build on — all without compromising each brand's distinct customer experience. Testing of the first integrated ECU hardware will begin in April 2026, with rollout across new trucks targeted for 2028. The platform is being co-developed as a white-box modular architecture that combines TRATON's internal development with Applied Intuition's Vehicle OS for trucking, as well as trusted third-party and open-source components. This modular approach allows TRATON to replace or consolidate compute units over time without fragmenting the software stack or rewriting the platform or applications, supporting the company's long-term ambition to move toward fewer, more powerful high-performance computers.
Reported Earnings • Mar 05Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: €3.09 (vs €5.61 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: €3.09 (down from €5.61 in FY 2024). Revenue: €44.1b (down 7.2% from FY 2024). Net income: €1.55b (down 45% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.5% (down from 5.9% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 8% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 12Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 26% to €36.08. The fair value is estimated to be €45.82, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.6% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.
공시 • Jan 30Traton SE to Report Nine Months, 2026 Results on Oct 28, 2026Traton SE announced that they will report nine months, 2026 results on Oct 28, 2026
공시 • Jan 29Traton SE to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Jul 23, 2026Traton SE announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Jul 23, 2026
Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.65 (vs €1.45 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: €0.65 (down from €1.45 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: €10.4b (down 12% from 3Q 2024). Net income: €324.0m (down 55% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.1% (down from 6.1% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.4% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year.
Reported Earnings • Jul 27Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: €0.49 (vs €1.17 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: €0.49 (down from €1.17 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: €11.3b (down 2.5% from 2Q 2024). Net income: €246.0m (down 58% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.2% (down from 5.0% in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.2% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 35% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 28% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
공시 • Jul 25Traton SE Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025Traton SE updated earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the period, the company now expects a range of negative 10% to 0% (previously negative 5% to positive 5%) for unit sales and sales revenue.
Upcoming Dividend • May 08Upcoming dividend of €1.70 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 May 2025. Payment date: 19 May 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 34% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 6.0%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).
Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2025 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2025 results: Revenue: €10.6b (down 10% from 1Q 2024). Net income: €466.0m (down 38% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 6.4% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Machinery industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 51% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 09Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to €25.52, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Machinery industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders of 90% over the past three years.
공시 • Mar 28Traton SE, Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2025Traton SE, Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2025, at 10:00 W. Europe Standard Time.