View ValuationErajaya Swasembada 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 1/6Erajaya Swasembada (는) 각각 연간 9.1% 및 6.5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 7.3% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 14% 로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보9.1%이익 성장률7.29%EPS 성장률Specialty Retail 이익 성장10.0%매출 성장률6.5%향후 자기자본이익률13.99%애널리스트 커버리지Good마지막 업데이트29 Jul 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 8.8% to Rp538Down from Rp590, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 26% above last closing price of Rp426. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp55.91 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from Rp65.26 to Rp58.29 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp56.9b. Net income forecast to grow 35% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp590 to Rp556. Share price fell 6.7% to Rp332 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 12Price target decreased by 9.8% to Rp600Down from Rp666, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of Rp535. Stock is down 3.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp78.41 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.Price Target Changed • Dec 09Price target decreased to Rp692Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 74% above last closing price of Rp398. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.Price Target Changed • Nov 25Price target decreased to Rp708Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp404. Stock is down 34% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.Price Target Changed • Oct 07Price target decreased to Rp762Down from Rp823, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp434. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp75.45 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.모든 업데이트 보기Recent updatesValuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 04Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%After last week's 19% share price gain to Rp460, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders of 5.2% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Jul 29Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: Rp21.29 (vs Rp23.13 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp21.29 (down from Rp23.13 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: Rp20t (up 6.9% from 2Q 2025). Net income: Rp331.3b (down 9.2% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 1.9% in 2Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.9% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.공고 • Jul 02PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on July 31, 2026PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 25.0000 per share payable on July 31, 2026, ex-date on July 08, 2026 and record date on July 09, 2026.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 01Now 25% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.2% to Rp368. The fair value is estimated to be Rp295, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 6.1% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 3.5% in the next 2 years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to Rp378, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp247 per share.공고 • May 22PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2026PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2026.Reported Earnings • May 05First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: Rp28.76 (vs Rp12.88 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp28.76 (up from Rp12.88 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: Rp22t (up 41% from 1Q 2025). Net income: Rp452.7b (up 123% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 2.0% (up from 1.3% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 13% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.New Risk • Mar 31New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 2.8% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (2.8% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: Rp13.77 (vs Rp16.95 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: Rp13.77 (down from Rp16.95 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: Rp17t (up 12% from 3Q 2024). Net income: Rp217.3b (down 19% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 1.7% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.Board Change • Oct 24No independent directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was not an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 5 experienced directors. 6 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner I Gusti Suryawirawan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.공고 • Jun 13PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on July 10, 2025PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 19.0000 per share payable on July 10, 2025, ex-date on June 19, 2025 and record date on June 20, 2025.공고 • May 20PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2025PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2025. Location: erajaya plaza, jl. bandengan selatan no. 19-20, pekojan, tambora, jakarta barat dki., jakarta / kota adm. jakarta barat kota adm., jakarta barat dki., jakarta Indonesia공고 • Apr 15PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces an Equity Buyback for IDR 50,000 million worth of its shares.PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to IDR 50,000 million. The program will be funded from internal cash. The program will be valid till July 13, 2025.Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp16.96 (vs Rp2.29 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp16.96 (up from Rp2.29 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: Rp15t (up 11% from 3Q 2023). Net income: Rp267.6b (up Rp231.4b from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (up from 0.3% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Reported Earnings • Jul 30Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp17.00 (vs Rp14.14 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp17.00 (up from Rp14.14 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: Rp16t (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: Rp268.3b (up 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.6% (in line with 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.공고 • May 15PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024.Reported Earnings • May 02First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp16.17 (vs Rp14.92 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp16.17 (up from Rp14.92 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: Rp17t (up 13% from 1Q 2023). Net income: Rp255.3b (up 8.4% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 1.6% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: Rp52.34 (down from Rp63.87 in FY 2022). Revenue: Rp60t (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: Rp826.0b (down 18% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.4% (down from 2.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 8.8% to Rp538Down from Rp590, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 26% above last closing price of Rp426. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp55.91 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 19Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%After last week's 21% share price gain to Rp410, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 13% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp232 per share.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from Rp65.26 to Rp58.29 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp56.9b. Net income forecast to grow 35% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp590 to Rp556. Share price fell 6.7% to Rp332 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 02Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp2.29 (vs Rp10.90 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp2.29 (down from Rp10.90 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: Rp14t (up 21% from 3Q 2022). Net income: Rp36.2b (down 79% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 0.3% (down from 1.5% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%After last week's 21% share price decline to Rp344, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 12% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp14.14 (vs Rp13.36 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp14.14 (up from Rp13.36 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: Rp14t (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: Rp223.2b (up 5.1% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 1.8% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 19% per year.Reported Earnings • May 04First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp15.00 (vs Rp18.56 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp15.00 (down from Rp18.56 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: Rp15t (up 29% from 1Q 2022). Net income: Rp235.5b (down 20% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 2.6% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 27% per year.Price Target Changed • Apr 12Price target decreased by 9.8% to Rp600Down from Rp666, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of Rp535. Stock is down 3.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp78.41 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to Rp498, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 53% over the past three years.Price Target Changed • Dec 09Price target decreased to Rp692Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 74% above last closing price of Rp398. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.Price Target Changed • Nov 25Price target decreased to Rp708Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp404. Stock is down 34% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 7 non-independent directors. Independent Commissioner I Gusti Suryawirawan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Price Target Changed • Oct 07Price target decreased to Rp762Down from Rp823, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp434. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp75.45 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.공고 • Sep 09PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,000,000,000 shares, for IDR 300,000 million.PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,000,000,000 shares, for IDN 300,000 million. The program will be funded from internal cash, excluding the cost of repurchasing shares, brokerage commissions and other costs related to share buybacks. The program will run over a period of three months, until December 7, 2022.Reported Earnings • Jun 05First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beatFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: Rp19.00 (up from Rp17.50 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: Rp11t (up 5.8% from 1Q 2021). Net income: Rp295.1b (up 6.1% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 2.6% (in line with 1Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 13%, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 29% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was not an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 1 experienced director. 9 highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (7 non-independent directors). Independent Director Jody Rasjidgandha was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2011. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Reported Earnings • Apr 17Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: Revenue: Rp43t (up 27% from FY 2020). Net income: Rp1.01t (up 65% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 1.8% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 11%, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 02Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to Rp675, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Electronic industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 19% over the past three years.Major Estimate Revision • Jun 16Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2021 has been updated. 2021 EPS estimate increased from Rp60.19 to Rp69.55. Revenue forecast steady at Rp42.2b. Net income forecast to grow 82% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at Rp757. Share price rose 13% to Rp675 over the past week.Upcoming Dividend • May 31Inaugural dividend of Rp13.80 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 07 June 2021. Payment date: 25 June 2021. The company last paid an ordinary dividend in July 2019. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 1.5%.Major Estimate Revision • May 25Consensus revenue estimates increase to Rp42.8bThe consensus outlook for revenues in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from Rp38.4b to Rp42.8b. EPS estimate increased from Rp49.38 to Rp54.02 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp628 to Rp683. Share price rose 4.3% to Rp605 over the past week.Reported Earnings • May 07Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS Rp38.48 (vs Rp18.50 in FY 2019)The company reported a strong full year result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: Rp34t (up 3.5% from FY 2019). Net income: Rp612.0b (up 107% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 1.8% (up from 0.9% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 29Consensus EPS estimates increase to Rp29.34The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2020 has improved. 2020 revenue forecast increased from Rp31.5b to Rp31.9b. EPS estimate increased from Rp25.15 to Rp29.34 per share. Net income forecast to grow 67% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp585 to Rp630. Share price was steady at Rp600 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to Rp630Up from Rp585, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of Rp620. Stock is up 164% over the past year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 16Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to Rp585, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Electronic industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 161% over the past three years.Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target raised to Rp2,553Up from Rp2,352, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. The new target price is close to the current share price of Rp2,590. As of last close, the stock is up 45% over the past year.Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 09New 90-day high: Rp2,830The company is up 57% from its price of Rp1,800 on 11 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp299 per share.Price Target Changed • Jan 19Price target raised to Rp2,505Up from Rp2,330, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is close to the current share price of Rp2,450. As of last close, the stock is up 50% over the past year.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 12New 90-day high: Rp2,590The company is up 56% from its price of Rp1,655 on 15 October 2020. The Indonesian market is up 23% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 12% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp319 per share.Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 28New 90-day high: Rp2,360The company is up 53% from its price of Rp1,545 on 30 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 24% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 11% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp272 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 28Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to Rp2,360, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.7x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 15.2x. This compares to an average P/E of 16x in the Electronic industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 252%.Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 09New 90-day high: Rp1,915The company is up 24% from its price of Rp1,545 on 10 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is flat over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp230 per share.Price Target Changed • Nov 14Price target raised to Rp2,286Up from Rp2,114, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is 27% above the current share price of Rp1,795. As of last close, the stock is up 14% over the past year.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Analysts increase EPS estimates to Rp102The 2020 consensus revenue estimate increased from Rp29.5b to Rp31.6b. The earnings per share estimate also received an upgrade from Rp85.98 to Rp102 for the same period. Net income is expected to grow by 2.3% next year compared to 29% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Indonesia. The consensus price target increased from Rp2,130 to Rp2,229. Share price is up 3.2% to Rp1,800 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Nov 10Price target raised to Rp2,229Up from Rp2,059, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is 20% above the current share price of Rp1,850. As of last close, the stock is up 15% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Nov 02Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS Rp57.67The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: Rp8.71t (up 6.4% from 3Q 2019). Net income: Rp181.7b (up 222% from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 2.1% (up from 0.7% in 3Q 2019). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Price Target Changed • Sep 23Price target raised to Rp2,129Up from Rp1,958, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. The new target price is 36% above the current share price of Rp1,570. As of last close, the stock is down 22% over the past year.이익 및 매출 성장 예측IDX:ERAA - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (IDR Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수12/31/202899,482,5001,746,500945,0002,666,500412/31/202788,028,2431,452,340869,0001,867,100712/31/202682,028,9671,325,5671,215,0001,607,80066/30/202684,456,0701,411,6976,148,8977,000,281N/A3/31/202683,137,3511,445,433-508,613356,904N/A12/31/202576,606,8961,195,972-581,569225,153N/A9/30/202569,036,2761,026,9571,465,7042,280,324N/A6/30/202567,209,3191,077,273-343,781445,469N/A3/31/202564,512,493980,5332,815,4373,625,918N/A12/31/202465,279,6851,032,5471,427,6302,239,319N/A9/30/202465,931,0031,122,375970,4881,815,997N/A6/30/202464,358,607890,954-1,110,392-166,327N/A3/31/202461,996,075845,832257,8171,239,665N/A12/31/202360,139,406826,050-170,912882,343N/A9/30/202357,346,705827,424-1,669,294-593,691N/A6/30/202354,968,878964,021-2,055,198-1,000,497N/A3/31/202352,784,795953,263-2,521,650-1,592,451N/A12/31/202249,471,4841,012,873-347,916427,291N/A9/30/202247,227,312973,457-943,800-292,880N/A6/30/202245,513,046961,349669,8941,195,649N/A3/31/202244,098,8391,029,2721,070,6751,577,349N/A12/31/202143,466,9771,012,376-420,93518,108N/A9/30/202142,123,8921,036,0941,106,7551,416,383N/A6/30/202141,004,6141,057,125-1,551,940-1,300,487N/A3/31/202137,154,773787,499111,288292,854N/A12/31/202034,113,455612,0052,548,5112,852,705N/A9/30/202032,502,459424,587838,5591,182,940N/A6/30/202031,978,673299,3102,654,5012,986,014N/A3/31/202033,627,642350,392N/A2,484,298N/A12/31/201932,944,903295,066N/A2,430,791N/A9/30/201933,023,499379,176N/A3,131,009N/A6/30/201933,080,755524,148N/A1,124,363N/A3/31/201933,587,917692,109N/A-465,699N/A12/31/201834,744,177850,090N/A-2,427,388N/A9/30/201832,909,361753,288N/A-3,049,564N/A6/30/201830,265,850635,254N/A-1,759,709N/A3/31/201827,344,043479,452N/A-1,465,225N/A12/31/201724,229,915339,458N/A-763,723N/A9/30/201721,609,477296,069N/A52,387N/A6/30/201721,241,428276,818N/A443,437N/A3/31/201720,863,009268,221N/A855,140N/A12/31/201620,547,128263,755N/A1,468,966N/A9/30/201621,648,438251,913N/A191,158N/A6/30/201621,685,950242,014N/A185,654N/A3/31/201620,905,509216,305N/A-77,344N/A12/31/201520,007,598226,023N/A193,302N/A9/30/201518,057,275195,613N/A780,277N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: ERAA 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(9.1%)이 saving rate(6.7%)보다 높습니다.수익 vs 시장: ERAA 의 연간 수익(9.1%)이 ID 시장(18.5%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 수익: ERAA 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.수익 대 시장: ERAA 의 수익(연간 6.5%)이 ID 시장(연간 13.3%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: ERAA 의 수익(연간 6.5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: ERAA의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 14%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YRetail 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/08/08 17:49종가2026/08/07 00:00수익2026/06/30연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 8명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Angus MackintoshAletheia Analyst Network LimitedErwan TeguhCGS InternationalStevanus JuandaJ.P. Morgan15명의 분석가 더 보기
Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 8.8% to Rp538Down from Rp590, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 26% above last closing price of Rp426. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp55.91 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from Rp65.26 to Rp58.29 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp56.9b. Net income forecast to grow 35% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp590 to Rp556. Share price fell 6.7% to Rp332 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 12Price target decreased by 9.8% to Rp600Down from Rp666, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of Rp535. Stock is down 3.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp78.41 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.
Price Target Changed • Dec 09Price target decreased to Rp692Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 74% above last closing price of Rp398. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
Price Target Changed • Nov 25Price target decreased to Rp708Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp404. Stock is down 34% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
Price Target Changed • Oct 07Price target decreased to Rp762Down from Rp823, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp434. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp75.45 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 04Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%After last week's 19% share price gain to Rp460, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders of 5.2% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Jul 29Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: Rp21.29 (vs Rp23.13 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp21.29 (down from Rp23.13 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: Rp20t (up 6.9% from 2Q 2025). Net income: Rp331.3b (down 9.2% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 1.9% in 2Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.9% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
공고 • Jul 02PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on July 31, 2026PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 25.0000 per share payable on July 31, 2026, ex-date on July 08, 2026 and record date on July 09, 2026.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 01Now 25% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.2% to Rp368. The fair value is estimated to be Rp295, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 6.1% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 3.5% in the next 2 years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to Rp378, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp247 per share.
공고 • May 22PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2026PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2026.
Reported Earnings • May 05First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: Rp28.76 (vs Rp12.88 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: Rp28.76 (up from Rp12.88 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: Rp22t (up 41% from 1Q 2025). Net income: Rp452.7b (up 123% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 2.0% (up from 1.3% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 13% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
New Risk • Mar 31New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 2.8% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (2.8% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.
Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: Rp13.77 (vs Rp16.95 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: Rp13.77 (down from Rp16.95 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: Rp17t (up 12% from 3Q 2024). Net income: Rp217.3b (down 19% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 1.7% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.
Board Change • Oct 24No independent directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was not an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 5 experienced directors. 6 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). Independent Commissioner I Gusti Suryawirawan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
공고 • Jun 13PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announces Annual dividend, payable on July 10, 2025PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk announced Annual dividend of IDR 19.0000 per share payable on July 10, 2025, ex-date on June 19, 2025 and record date on June 20, 2025.
공고 • May 20PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2025PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2025. Location: erajaya plaza, jl. bandengan selatan no. 19-20, pekojan, tambora, jakarta barat dki., jakarta / kota adm. jakarta barat kota adm., jakarta barat dki., jakarta Indonesia
공고 • Apr 15PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces an Equity Buyback for IDR 50,000 million worth of its shares.PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to IDR 50,000 million. The program will be funded from internal cash. The program will be valid till July 13, 2025.
Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp16.96 (vs Rp2.29 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp16.96 (up from Rp2.29 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: Rp15t (up 11% from 3Q 2023). Net income: Rp267.6b (up Rp231.4b from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (up from 0.3% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Reported Earnings • Jul 30Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp17.00 (vs Rp14.14 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp17.00 (up from Rp14.14 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: Rp16t (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: Rp268.3b (up 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.6% (in line with 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
공고 • May 15PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk, Annual General Meeting, Jun 19, 2024.
Reported Earnings • May 02First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: Rp16.17 (vs Rp14.92 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: Rp16.17 (up from Rp14.92 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: Rp17t (up 13% from 1Q 2023). Net income: Rp255.3b (up 8.4% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 1.6% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: Rp52.34 (down from Rp63.87 in FY 2022). Revenue: Rp60t (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: Rp826.0b (down 18% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.4% (down from 2.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 8.8% to Rp538Down from Rp590, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 26% above last closing price of Rp426. Stock is up 0.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp55.91 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 19Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%After last week's 21% share price gain to Rp410, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 13% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Rp232 per share.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from Rp65.26 to Rp58.29 per share. Revenue forecast steady at Rp56.9b. Net income forecast to grow 35% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target down from Rp590 to Rp556. Share price fell 6.7% to Rp332 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 02Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp2.29 (vs Rp10.90 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp2.29 (down from Rp10.90 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: Rp14t (up 21% from 3Q 2022). Net income: Rp36.2b (down 79% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 0.3% (down from 1.5% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%After last week's 21% share price decline to Rp344, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 12% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp14.14 (vs Rp13.36 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp14.14 (up from Rp13.36 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: Rp14t (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: Rp223.2b (up 5.1% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 1.8% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 19% per year.
Reported Earnings • May 04First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: Rp15.00 (vs Rp18.56 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: Rp15.00 (down from Rp18.56 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: Rp15t (up 29% from 1Q 2022). Net income: Rp235.5b (down 20% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.6% (down from 2.6% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 27% per year.
Price Target Changed • Apr 12Price target decreased by 9.8% to Rp600Down from Rp666, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of Rp535. Stock is down 3.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp78.41 for next year compared to Rp63.87 last year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to Rp498, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 53% over the past three years.
Price Target Changed • Dec 09Price target decreased to Rp692Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 74% above last closing price of Rp398. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
Price Target Changed • Nov 25Price target decreased to Rp708Down from Rp769, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp404. Stock is down 34% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp72.09 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 7 non-independent directors. Independent Commissioner I Gusti Suryawirawan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Price Target Changed • Oct 07Price target decreased to Rp762Down from Rp823, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 75% above last closing price of Rp434. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of Rp75.45 for next year compared to Rp63.68 last year.
공고 • Sep 09PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,000,000,000 shares, for IDR 300,000 million.PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (IDX:ERAA) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,000,000,000 shares, for IDN 300,000 million. The program will be funded from internal cash, excluding the cost of repurchasing shares, brokerage commissions and other costs related to share buybacks. The program will run over a period of three months, until December 7, 2022.
Reported Earnings • Jun 05First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beatFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: Rp19.00 (up from Rp17.50 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: Rp11t (up 5.8% from 1Q 2021). Net income: Rp295.1b (up 6.1% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 2.6% (in line with 1Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 13%, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 29% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was not an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 1 experienced director. 9 highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (7 non-independent directors). Independent Director Jody Rasjidgandha was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2011. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Reported Earnings • Apr 17Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: Revenue: Rp43t (up 27% from FY 2020). Net income: Rp1.01t (up 65% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 1.8% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 11%, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the industry in Indonesia.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 02Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to Rp675, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Electronic industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 19% over the past three years.
Major Estimate Revision • Jun 16Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2021 has been updated. 2021 EPS estimate increased from Rp60.19 to Rp69.55. Revenue forecast steady at Rp42.2b. Net income forecast to grow 82% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at Rp757. Share price rose 13% to Rp675 over the past week.
Upcoming Dividend • May 31Inaugural dividend of Rp13.80 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 07 June 2021. Payment date: 25 June 2021. The company last paid an ordinary dividend in July 2019. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 1.5%.
Major Estimate Revision • May 25Consensus revenue estimates increase to Rp42.8bThe consensus outlook for revenues in 2021 has improved. 2021 revenue forecast increased from Rp38.4b to Rp42.8b. EPS estimate increased from Rp49.38 to Rp54.02 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp628 to Rp683. Share price rose 4.3% to Rp605 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • May 07Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS Rp38.48 (vs Rp18.50 in FY 2019)The company reported a strong full year result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: Rp34t (up 3.5% from FY 2019). Net income: Rp612.0b (up 107% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 1.8% (up from 0.9% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 29Consensus EPS estimates increase to Rp29.34The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2020 has improved. 2020 revenue forecast increased from Rp31.5b to Rp31.9b. EPS estimate increased from Rp25.15 to Rp29.34 per share. Net income forecast to grow 67% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Electronic industry in Indonesia. Consensus price target up from Rp585 to Rp630. Share price was steady at Rp600 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to Rp630Up from Rp585, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of Rp620. Stock is up 164% over the past year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 16Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to Rp585, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Electronic industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 161% over the past three years.
Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target raised to Rp2,553Up from Rp2,352, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. The new target price is close to the current share price of Rp2,590. As of last close, the stock is up 45% over the past year.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 09New 90-day high: Rp2,830The company is up 57% from its price of Rp1,800 on 11 November 2020. The Indonesian market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp299 per share.
Price Target Changed • Jan 19Price target raised to Rp2,505Up from Rp2,330, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is close to the current share price of Rp2,450. As of last close, the stock is up 50% over the past year.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 12New 90-day high: Rp2,590The company is up 56% from its price of Rp1,655 on 15 October 2020. The Indonesian market is up 23% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 12% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp319 per share.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 28New 90-day high: Rp2,360The company is up 53% from its price of Rp1,545 on 30 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 24% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 11% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp272 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 28Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to Rp2,360, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.7x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 15.2x. This compares to an average P/E of 16x in the Electronic industry in Indonesia. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 252%.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 09New 90-day high: Rp1,915The company is up 24% from its price of Rp1,545 on 10 September 2020. The Indonesian market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is flat over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is Rp230 per share.
Price Target Changed • Nov 14Price target raised to Rp2,286Up from Rp2,114, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is 27% above the current share price of Rp1,795. As of last close, the stock is up 14% over the past year.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Analysts increase EPS estimates to Rp102The 2020 consensus revenue estimate increased from Rp29.5b to Rp31.6b. The earnings per share estimate also received an upgrade from Rp85.98 to Rp102 for the same period. Net income is expected to grow by 2.3% next year compared to 29% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Indonesia. The consensus price target increased from Rp2,130 to Rp2,229. Share price is up 3.2% to Rp1,800 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Nov 10Price target raised to Rp2,229Up from Rp2,059, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. The new target price is 20% above the current share price of Rp1,850. As of last close, the stock is up 15% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Nov 02Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS Rp57.67The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: Rp8.71t (up 6.4% from 3Q 2019). Net income: Rp181.7b (up 222% from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 2.1% (up from 0.7% in 3Q 2019). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Price Target Changed • Sep 23Price target raised to Rp2,129Up from Rp1,958, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. The new target price is 36% above the current share price of Rp1,570. As of last close, the stock is down 22% over the past year.