New Risk • May 27
New major risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 228% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-kr34m free cash flow). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (70% average daily change). Earnings have declined by 13% per year over the past 5 years. Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (228% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€64.9m market cap, or US$75.5m). 공시 • Feb 18
Obducat AB (publ) has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of SEK 50 million. Obducat AB (publ) has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of SEK 50 million.
Security Name: Shares
Security Type: Common Stock
Securities Offered: 66,666,667
Price\Range: SEK 0.75
Transaction Features: Rights Offering Board Change • Dec 30
Insufficient new directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 6 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Director Elna Astrom was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Nov 10
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr0.024 (vs kr0.015 in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: kr0.024 (up from kr0.015 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: kr34.0m (up 33% from 3Q 2023). Net income: kr3.92m (up 61% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 12% (up from 9.5% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 87% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • May 05
First quarter 2024 earnings released: kr0.031 loss per share (vs kr0.008 loss in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: kr0.031 loss per share (further deteriorated from kr0.008 loss in 1Q 2023). Revenue: kr9.89m (down 61% from 1Q 2023). Net loss: kr4.97m (loss widened 316% from 1Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 73% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Feb 18
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: kr0.007 (vs kr0.037 loss in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: kr0.007 (up from kr0.037 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: kr93.1m (up 59% from FY 2022). Net income: kr1.06m (up kr6.62m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.1% (up from net loss in FY 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 62% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2023 earnings released Third quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr25.6m (up 196% from 3Q 2022). Net income: kr2.43m (up kr6.48m from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.5% (up from net loss in 3Q 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 49% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Board Change • Oct 05
High number of new directors There are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Elna Astrom was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. New Risk • Jul 23
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 94% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-kr9.9b free cash flow). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (66% average weekly change). Earnings have declined by 94% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (5.2% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (€25.6m market cap, or US$28.4m). Reported Earnings • Jul 21
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr12.5b (up kr12.4b from 2Q 2022). Net loss: kr2.90b (loss widened kr2.90b from 2Q 2022). Reported Earnings • Feb 20
Full year 2022 earnings released: kr0.037 loss per share (vs kr0.18 loss in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: kr0.037 loss per share (improved from kr0.18 loss in FY 2021). Revenue: kr58.5m (up 82% from FY 2021). Net loss: kr5.56m (loss narrowed 78% from FY 2021). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 29% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Nov 02
Third quarter 2022 earnings released Third quarter 2022 results: Revenue: kr8.66m (up 42% from 3Q 2021). Net loss: kr4.05m (loss narrowed 38% from 3Q 2021). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Jul 23
Second quarter 2022 earnings released Second quarter 2022 results: Revenue: kr10.9m (up 134% from 2Q 2021). Net loss: kr3.32m (loss narrowed 57% from 2Q 2021). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 25% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Feb 20
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: kr0.15 loss per share (down from kr0.15 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: kr32.1m (down 41% from FY 2020). Net loss: kr22.1m (loss widened 3.7% from FY 2020). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 43% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 01
Third quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a poor third quarter result with increased losses, weaker revenues and weaker control over costs. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr6.10m (down 31% from 3Q 2020). Net loss: kr6.54m (loss widened 21% from 3Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 55% per year. Board Change • Aug 05
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 2 non-independent directors. Independent Director Jarl Hjarre was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Jul 24
Second quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a soft second quarter result with weaker revenues and control over costs, although losses reduced. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr4.67m (down 50% from 2Q 2020). Net loss: kr7.79m (loss narrowed 28% from 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 64% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • May 04
First quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a poor first quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr8.26m (down 58% from 1Q 2020). Net loss: kr4.22m (down 327% from profit in 1Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 72% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 36% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.