Major Estimate Revision • Apr 14
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 20% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from CN¥9.97b to CN¥10.6b. EPS estimate increased from CN¥4.24 to CN¥5.10 per share. Net income forecast to grow 96% next year vs 76% growth forecast for Communications industry in China. Consensus price target up from CN¥286 to CN¥332. Share price rose 9.0% to CN¥346 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Apr 08
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥2.60 (up from CN¥1.73 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥5.16b (up 59% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥2.02b (up 50% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 39% (down from 41% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 9.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 35% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 29% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 51% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 119% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Apr 08
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026, at 14:30 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Suzhou, Jiangsu China 공시 • Mar 31
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 21, 2026 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 21, 2026 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 26
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 52% to CN¥325. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥271, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 49% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 153% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 127% in the next 2 years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 10
Now 26% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 45% to CN¥340. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥271, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 49% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 153% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 127% in the next 2 years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 09
Now 37% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 80% to CN¥298. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥217, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 49% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 143% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 119% in the next 2 years. Price Target Changed • Feb 07
Price target increased by 17% to CN¥230 Up from CN¥195, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 9.3% below last closing price of CN¥253. Stock is up 292% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.76 for next year compared to CN¥1.73 last year. 공시 • Dec 31
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 23, 2026 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 23, 2026 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 04
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21% After last week's 21% share price gain to CN¥187, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 49x. Average forward P/E is 44x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 1,402% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥110 per share. Price Target Changed • Dec 02
Price target increased by 14% to CN¥172 Up from CN¥151, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 6.2% above last closing price of CN¥162. Stock is up 107% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.85 for next year compared to CN¥1.73 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 05
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22% After last week's 22% share price decline to CN¥152, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42x. Average forward P/E is 40x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 982% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥107 per share. Reported Earnings • Oct 30
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.73 (up from CN¥0.42 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.46b (up 74% from 3Q 2024). Net income: CN¥566.1m (up 76% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 39% (in line with 3Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 24%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 25%. Revenue is forecast to grow 33% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 53% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 125% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Sep 30
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 30, 2025 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 30, 2025 Major Estimate Revision • Sep 01
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from CN¥5.04b to CN¥5.70b. EPS estimate increased from CN¥2.48 to CN¥3.01 per share. Net income forecast to grow 63% next year vs 50% growth forecast for Communications industry in China. Consensus price target up from CN¥82.82 to CN¥124. Share price rose 53% to CN¥199 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 27
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.72 (up from CN¥0.48 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.51b (up 83% from 2Q 2024). Net income: CN¥561.6m (up 50% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 37% (down from 46% in 2Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 43%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 41%. Revenue is forecast to grow 29% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 54% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 113% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 25
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥129, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 48x. Average forward P/E is 49x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 723% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥61.50 per share. Price Target Changed • Aug 14
Price target increased by 21% to CN¥82.82 Up from CN¥68.47, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 25% below last closing price of CN¥110. Stock is up 82% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.48 for next year compared to CN¥1.73 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 31
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21% After last week's 21% share price gain to CN¥106, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39x. Average forward P/E is 49x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 560% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥61.63 per share. Price Target Changed • Jul 17
Price target increased by 13% to CN¥72.51 Up from CN¥64.30, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 22% below last closing price of CN¥92.78. Stock is up 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.47 for next year compared to CN¥1.73 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 14
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥84.99, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32x. Average forward P/E is 45x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 560% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥62.28 per share. 공시 • Jul 02
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 26, 2025 New Risk • Jul 02
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.8% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (9.8% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (29% accrual ratio). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 25
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 20% to CN¥72.30. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥60.10, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 46% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 55%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 106% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 97% in the next 2 years. Price Target Changed • Jun 10
Price target decreased by 12% to CN¥64.30 Down from CN¥72.66, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 6.4% below last closing price of CN¥68.73. Stock is up 8.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.43 for next year compared to CN¥1.73 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 09
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20% After last week's 20% share price gain to CN¥70.20, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 41x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 406% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥59.90 per share. Declared Dividend • Jun 01
Dividend of CN¥0.50 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of CN¥0.50. Ex-date: 9th June 2025 Payment date: 9th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.2%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (40% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (59% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 29% per year over the past 10 years and has been stable with no material reductions to payments, indicating a long track record of dividend growth and stability. EPS is expected to grow by 116% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Price Target Changed • May 27
Price target decreased by 11% to CN¥102 Down from CN¥114, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 37% above last closing price of CN¥74.01. Stock is down 19% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥3.37 for next year compared to CN¥2.43 last year. Price Target Changed • May 17
Price target decreased by 10% to CN¥109 Down from CN¥122, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 47% above last closing price of CN¥74.29. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥3.39 for next year compared to CN¥2.43 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 30
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥5.72b to CN¥5.26b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥3.92 per share to CN¥3.37 per share. Net income forecast to grow 48% next year vs 47% growth forecast for Communications industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥130 to CN¥116. Share price fell 5.4% to CN¥68.57 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Apr 25
Price target decreased by 7.7% to CN¥120 Down from CN¥130, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 71% above last closing price of CN¥70.24. Stock is down 37% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥3.39 for next year compared to CN¥2.43 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 24
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 39% to CN¥69.45. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥88.24, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 46% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 55%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 127% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 110% in the next 2 years. Reported Earnings • Apr 22
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥2.43 (up from CN¥1.32 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥3.25b (up 68% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥1.34b (up 84% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 41% (up from 38% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 8.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 5.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 33% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 72% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Apr 22
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. Proposes Final Cash Dividend for the Year 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced on 21 April 2025 the profit distribution proposal for the year 2024 as final cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 5.00000000. 공시 • Apr 21
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2025 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2025, at 14:30 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Suzhou, Jiangsu China Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 25% After last week's 25% share price decline to CN¥63.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 42x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 282% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥126 per share. 공시 • Mar 31
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 24, 2025 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 24, 2025 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 24
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 3.2% to CN¥101. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥129, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 42% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 35% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 21
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥104, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 41x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 341% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥129 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 05
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥83.79, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 32x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 254% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥144 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 23
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 15% to CN¥113. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥143, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 42% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 35% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 17
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23% After last week's 23% share price gain to CN¥109, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 29x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 343% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥144 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 02
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥89.75, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 285% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥143 per share. 공시 • Dec 31
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 21, 2025 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 21, 2025 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 21
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 39% to CN¥114. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥145, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 42% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 35% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 15
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥116, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31x. Average forward P/E is 32x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 474% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥145 per share. Price Target Changed • Nov 11
Price target increased by 9.5% to CN¥142 Up from CN¥130, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 9.3% above last closing price of CN¥130. Stock is up 123% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.60 for next year compared to CN¥1.32 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 01
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 37% to CN¥125. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥158, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 42% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 53%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 36% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period. Price Target Changed • Oct 28
Price target increased by 9.4% to CN¥124 Up from CN¥113, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 8.4% below last closing price of CN¥135. Stock is up 157% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.61 for next year compared to CN¥1.32 last year. Price Target Changed • Oct 23
Price target increased by 8.4% to CN¥117 Up from CN¥108, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of CN¥118. Stock is up 109% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥2.77 for next year compared to CN¥1.32 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 15
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥99.80, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 28x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 475% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥172 per share. 공시 • Oct 12
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. Announces Interim Cash Dividend on A Shares for the Year 2024, Payable on 17 October 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced interim cash dividend of CNY 5.00 per 10 shares on A shares (tax included) for the year 2024. Record date: 16 October 2024, Ex-date: 17 October 2024 and Payment date: 17 October 2024. 공시 • Sep 30
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 23, 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 23, 2024 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to CN¥86.08, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 406% over the past three years. New Risk • Aug 30
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 8.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.9% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (32% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Reported Earnings • Aug 23
Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.68 (up from CN¥0.26 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥824.3m (up 119% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥375.3m (up 161% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 46% (up from 38% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 6.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 9.3%. Revenue is forecast to grow 33% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 63% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Aug 16
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300394) agreed to acquire remaining 46.67% stake in Suzhou TFC Star Technology Co., Ltd. from Zou Zhinong for approximately CNY 230 million. Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300394) agreed to acquire remaining 46.67% stake in Suzhou TFC Star Technology Co., Ltd. from Zou Zhinong for approximately CNY 230 million on August 14, 2024. A cash consideration of CNY 233.59 million will be paid by Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. Upon completion, Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. will own 100% stake in Suzhou TFC Star Technology Co., Ltd. The transaction will be financed through equity investment of CNY 233.59 million.
As of June 30, 2024, Suzhou TFC Star Technology Co., Ltd. reported total assets of CNY 509.35 million and total common equity of CNY 500.55 million. The transaction has been approved by the board of Suzhou TFC Optical Communication. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 01
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥101, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 351% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥140 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 12
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 21% to CN¥94.99. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥123, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 28% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 31% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 31% per annum over the same time period. 공시 • Jun 29
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 23, 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 23, 2024 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 19
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥102, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40x. Average forward P/E is 29x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 428% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥120 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 29
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 33% After last week's 33% share price decline to CN¥90.93, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25x. Average forward P/E is 28x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 266% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥166 per share. Price Target Changed • May 28
Price target increased by 11% to CN¥156 Up from CN¥141, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 22% above last closing price of CN¥128. Stock is up 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥3.36 for next year compared to CN¥1.85 last year. Declared Dividend • May 27
Dividend increased to CN¥1.00 Dividend of CN¥1.00 is 100% higher than last year. Ex-date: 30th May 2024 Payment date: 30th May 2024 Dividend yield will be 0.8%, which is lower than the industry average of 1.2%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (43% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (63% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 28% per year over the past 9 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 147% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 24
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.5% to CN¥131. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥166, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 28% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 137% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 122% in the next 2 years. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 30
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 16% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥3.15b to CN¥3.65b. EPS estimate increased from CN¥2.82 to CN¥3.52 per share. Net income forecast to grow 58% next year vs 65% growth forecast for Communications industry in China. Consensus price target up from CN¥107 to CN¥119. Share price was steady at CN¥161 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Apr 25
Price target increased by 10% to CN¥119 Up from CN¥107, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 19% below last closing price of CN¥147. Stock is up 155% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥3.72 for next year compared to CN¥1.85 last year. New Risk • Apr 24
New major risk - Earnings quality The company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 25% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (25% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Reported Earnings • Apr 22
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥1.85 (up from CN¥1.03 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.94b (up 62% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥729.9m (up 81% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 38% (up from 34% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 6.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 37% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 83% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Mar 30
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 24, 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 24, 2024 Reported Earnings • Mar 12
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.85 (vs CN¥1.03 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥1.85 (up from CN¥1.03 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.94b (up 62% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥729.9m (up 81% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 38% (up from 34% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 36% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 85% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 27
Now 33% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 82% to CN¥133. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥99.79, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 160% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 131% in the next 2 years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 07
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 31% After last week's 31% share price gain to CN¥113, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 46x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 381% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥90.52 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 06
Now 27% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 50% to CN¥115. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥90.38, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 160% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 131% in the next 2 years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 23
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥98.00, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 310% over the past three years. 공시 • Dec 29
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 22, 2024 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 22, 2024 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 08
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 28% After last week's 28% share price gain to CN¥98.15, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 45x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 248% over the past three years. 공시 • Dec 05
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. Appoints Zhu Songgen as Non-Independent Director, Lu Lin as Independent Director and Wang Xianmou as Non-Employee Supervisor Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. at its 3rd Extraordinary General Meeting of 2023 held on 01 December 2023, approved the appointment of Zhu Songgen as non-independent director, Lu Lin as independent director and Wang Xianmou as non-employee supervisor. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 31
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to CN¥71.21, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33x. Average forward P/E is 27x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 107% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥29.47 per share. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 26
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2023 has improved. 2023 revenue forecast increased from CN¥1.67b to CN¥1.81b. EPS estimate increased from CN¥1.38 to CN¥1.63 per share. Net income forecast to grow 50% next year vs 55% growth forecast for Communications industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥102 to CN¥97.67. Share price fell 5.8% to CN¥77.45 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Oct 20
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.27 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.51 (up from CN¥0.27 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥541.9m (up 74% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥203.1m (up 95% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 38% (up from 33% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 39% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the Communications industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 37% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. 공시 • Sep 30
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 20, 2023 Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results on Oct 20, 2023 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 22
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21% After last week's 21% share price gain to CN¥88.38, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 52x. Average forward P/E is 28x in the Communications industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 193% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥37.29 per share. 
