View ValuationLancy 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 0/6Lancy 의 수익은 연간 15.5% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 5.5% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 15.7% 만큼 쇠퇴할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 13.3% 로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보-15.5%이익 성장률-15.68%EPS 성장률Luxury 이익 성장20.2%매출 성장률5.5%향후 자기자본이익률13.30%애널리스트 커버리지Low마지막 업데이트07 May 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트업데이트 없음모든 업데이트 보기Recent updatesDeclared Dividend • May 21Dividend of CN¥1.20 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of CN¥1.20. Ex-date: 26th May 2026 Payment date: 26th May 2026 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.3%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (56% earnings payout ratio) but not covered by cash flows (160% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 28% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 40% over the next 3 years. Since a fall of 38% would increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range, the dividend may be at risk.Board Change • May 20Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Non-Independent Director Heng Zhao was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.공시 • Apr 25Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2026, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China공시 • Mar 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026공시 • Dec 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 25, 2026공시 • Sep 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 30, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 30, 2025공시 • Jul 02Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025공시 • Apr 04Lancy Co., Ltd. Proposes Final Cash Dividend for 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced on 03 April 2025 the profit distribution proposal for 2024 as follows: Final Cash dividend (tax included): CNY 4.00000000 per ten shares.공시 • Apr 03Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China공시 • Mar 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 29, 2025공시 • Dec 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 03, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 03, 2025Reported Earnings • Oct 26Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.14 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.14 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.49b (up 7.8% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥57.5m (down 3.7% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.9% (down from 4.3% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 19% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.공시 • Sep 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 26, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 26, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%After last week's 19% share price gain to CN¥15.24, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Luxury industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 41% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥24.04 per share.Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.29b (up 9.8% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥69.6m (down 3.5% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.4% (down from 6.1% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 02Now 26% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to CN¥13.97. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥18.90, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.공시 • Jun 29Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 29, 2024Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 20Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 18% to CN¥14.50. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥18.29, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.공시 • May 29Lancy Co., Ltd. Announces Cash Final Dividend on A Shares for 2023, Payable on 31 May 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced 2023 final profit distribution plan to be implemented (A shares): Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 4.50000000. Record date: 30 May 2024. Ex-date: 31 May 2024. Payment date: 31 May 2024.Reported Earnings • Apr 26Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.048 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.51 (up from CN¥0.048 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥5.15b (up 24% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥225.1m (up CN¥203.7m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 0.5% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 34% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Board Change • Apr 26High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 1 experienced director. 2 highly experienced directors. Chairman Dong Ri Shen is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.048 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.51 (up from CN¥0.048 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥5.15b (up 24% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥225.1m (up CN¥203.7m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 0.5% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 33% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.공시 • Apr 23Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China공시 • Mar 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 30, 2024공시 • Dec 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 23, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 23, 2024Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.019 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.14 (up from CN¥0.019 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.38b (up 62% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥59.7m (up CN¥51.5m from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.3% (up from 1.0% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 17% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 25% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Reported Earnings • Aug 30Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.026 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (up from CN¥0.026 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.17b (up 28% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥72.1m (up CN¥60.6m from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 6.1% (up from 1.3% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.Board Change • Aug 18High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 1 experienced director. 4 highly experienced directors. Employee Representative Supervisor Wei Yun Liu is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Buying Opportunity • Jun 21Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 1.5%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥29.26, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 38% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 261% in the next 2 years.Buying Opportunity • May 29Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 19%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥29.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 38% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 260% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.005 loss in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.14 (up from CN¥0.005 loss in 1Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.14b (up 27% from 1Q 2022). Net income: CN¥62.0m (up CN¥64.3m from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from net loss in 1Q 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 56% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.공시 • Jan 17Lancy Co., Ltd. Approves Management AppointmentsLancy Co., Ltd. at its Extraordinary General Meeting held on 13 January 2023, approved election of Zhao Heng as non-independent director; election of Chen Lijing as independent director; and election of Yan Xuefei and Meng Jia as non-employee supervisors.Board Change • Jan 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 2 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Qing Wang was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.Buying Opportunity • Nov 23Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 31%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥26.68, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 21%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 36% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 409% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.019 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.019 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥855.1m (flat on 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥8.28m (down 87% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 7.5% in 3Q 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 21% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 30% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.Reported Earnings • Aug 17Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.026 (vs CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.026 (down from CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥914.9m (up 1.9% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥11.5m (down 80% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 6.5% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 19%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 18% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 56% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 29Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥20.81, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 131% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Apr 27Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.42 (vs CN¥0.32 in FY 2020)Full year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.42 (up from CN¥0.32 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥3.67b (up 27% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥187.4m (up 32% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 4.9% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 10%, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has increased by 33% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Director Qing Wang was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 16Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥22.11, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 127% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.12 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥861.3m (up 12% from 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥64.7m (up 22% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 7.5% (up from 6.9% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 17% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 64% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 04Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price decline to CN¥26.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 198% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.32 (vs CN¥0.14 in FY 2019)The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥2.88b (down 4.4% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥142.0m (up 142% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 4.9% (up from 2.0% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 56% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 57% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Mar 04Revenue beats expectationsRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 0.7%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 9.7%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China.Reported Earnings • Mar 04Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.31 (vs CN¥0.14 in FY 2019)The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥2.87b (down 4.5% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥137.6m (up 134% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 4.8% (up from 2.0% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 57% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 41% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 20New 90-day high: CN¥29.80The company is up 94% from its price of CN¥15.33 on 20 November 2020. The Chinese market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 8.0% over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 29New 90-day high: CN¥24.88The company is up 183% from its price of CN¥8.78 on 30 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 4.0% over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 09New 90-day high: CN¥17.58The company is up 80% from its price of CN¥9.79 on 11 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is flat over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 04New 90-day high: CN¥10.87The company is up 7.0% from its price of CN¥10.17 on 06 August 2020. The Chinese market is down 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 4.0% over the same period.Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of CN¥48.3m, with earnings decreasing by CN¥229.9m from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥2.88b over the last 12 months, up 2.8% from the prior year.Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 28New 90-day low: CN¥8.67The company is down 15% from its price of CN¥10.18 on 30 June 2020. The Chinese market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period.이익 및 매출 성장 예측XSEC:002612 - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (CNY Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수12/31/20287,230595N/A665112/31/20276,903471N/A619112/31/20266,605375N/A42113/31/20266,175951331431N/A12/31/20256,003999340445N/A9/30/20255,9121,040452574N/A6/30/20255,749370403537N/A3/31/20255,756268376528N/A12/31/20245,837261421578N/A9/30/20245,876245441592N/A6/30/20246,086271619767N/A3/31/20245,965273722861N/A12/31/20235,705254749880N/A9/30/20235,228213463603N/A6/30/20234,764157450586N/A3/31/20234,45393283430N/A1/1/20234,1362185268N/A9/30/20224,20844255450N/A6/30/20223,94795223424N/A3/31/20223,880137219414N/A1/1/20223,833173334509N/A9/30/20213,530250274457N/A6/30/20213,437238193356N/A3/31/20213,182180208349N/A12/31/20202,876142249379N/A9/30/20202,875-48177264N/A6/30/20202,838-33641724N/A3/31/20202,8723558646N/A12/31/20193,00759N/A597N/A9/30/20192,794183N/A643N/A6/30/20192,762188N/A28N/A3/31/20192,738203N/A129N/A12/31/20182,662210N/A54N/A9/30/20182,705270N/A71N/A6/30/20182,594245N/A215N/A3/31/20182,463213N/A145N/A12/31/20172,353188N/A129N/A9/30/20172,186184N/A131N/A6/30/20171,952180N/A124N/A3/31/20171,637172N/A138N/A12/31/20161,368164N/A132N/A9/30/20161,134109N/A-119N/A6/30/20161,04870N/A-147N/A3/31/20161,08465N/A95N/A12/31/20151,14474N/A151N/A9/30/20151,18781N/A397N/A6/30/20151,18767N/A341N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: 002612 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -15.5%).수익 vs 시장: 002612 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -15.5%).고성장 수익: 002612 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다.수익 대 시장: 002612 의 수익(연간 5.5%)이 CN 시장(연간 16.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: 002612 의 수익(연간 5.5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: 002612의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 13.3%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YConsumer-durables 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/05/24 23:36종가2026/05/22 00:00수익2026/03/31연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스Lancy Co., Ltd.는 6명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 1명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관null nullChina International Capital Corporation LimitedZhuonan XuChina International Capital Corporation LimitedYunfeng LiuChina Stock Investment Research Co. Ltd. (GZ500..com)3명의 분석가 더 보기
Declared Dividend • May 21Dividend of CN¥1.20 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of CN¥1.20. Ex-date: 26th May 2026 Payment date: 26th May 2026 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.3%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (56% earnings payout ratio) but not covered by cash flows (160% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 28% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 40% over the next 3 years. Since a fall of 38% would increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range, the dividend may be at risk.
Board Change • May 20Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Non-Independent Director Heng Zhao was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.
공시 • Apr 25Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2026, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China
공시 • Mar 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026
공시 • Dec 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2026Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 25, 2026
공시 • Sep 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 30, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 30, 2025
공시 • Jul 02Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025
공시 • Apr 04Lancy Co., Ltd. Proposes Final Cash Dividend for 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced on 03 April 2025 the profit distribution proposal for 2024 as follows: Final Cash dividend (tax included): CNY 4.00000000 per ten shares.
공시 • Apr 03Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China
공시 • Mar 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 29, 2025
공시 • Dec 31Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 03, 2025Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 03, 2025
Reported Earnings • Oct 26Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.14 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.14 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.49b (up 7.8% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥57.5m (down 3.7% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.9% (down from 4.3% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 19% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
공시 • Sep 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 26, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 26, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%After last week's 19% share price gain to CN¥15.24, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Luxury industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 41% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥24.04 per share.
Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.29b (up 9.8% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥69.6m (down 3.5% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.4% (down from 6.1% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 02Now 26% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to CN¥13.97. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥18.90, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
공시 • Jun 29Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 29, 2024
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 20Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 18% to CN¥14.50. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥18.29, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
공시 • May 29Lancy Co., Ltd. Announces Cash Final Dividend on A Shares for 2023, Payable on 31 May 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced 2023 final profit distribution plan to be implemented (A shares): Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 4.50000000. Record date: 30 May 2024. Ex-date: 31 May 2024. Payment date: 31 May 2024.
Reported Earnings • Apr 26Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.048 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.51 (up from CN¥0.048 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥5.15b (up 24% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥225.1m (up CN¥203.7m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 0.5% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 34% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Board Change • Apr 26High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 1 experienced director. 2 highly experienced directors. Chairman Dong Ri Shen is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.048 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.51 (up from CN¥0.048 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥5.15b (up 24% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥225.1m (up CN¥203.7m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 0.5% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 33% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
공시 • Apr 23Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 15, 2024, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Beijing China
공시 • Mar 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 30, 2024
공시 • Dec 30Lancy Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 23, 2024Lancy Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 23, 2024
Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.019 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.14 (up from CN¥0.019 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.38b (up 62% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥59.7m (up CN¥51.5m from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.3% (up from 1.0% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 17% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 25% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Reported Earnings • Aug 30Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.026 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (up from CN¥0.026 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.17b (up 28% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥72.1m (up CN¥60.6m from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 6.1% (up from 1.3% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
Board Change • Aug 18High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 1 experienced director. 4 highly experienced directors. Employee Representative Supervisor Wei Yun Liu is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Buying Opportunity • Jun 21Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 1.5%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥29.26, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 38% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 261% in the next 2 years.
Buying Opportunity • May 29Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 19%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥29.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 38% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 260% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.005 loss in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.14 (up from CN¥0.005 loss in 1Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.14b (up 27% from 1Q 2022). Net income: CN¥62.0m (up CN¥64.3m from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from net loss in 1Q 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 56% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
공시 • Jan 17Lancy Co., Ltd. Approves Management AppointmentsLancy Co., Ltd. at its Extraordinary General Meeting held on 13 January 2023, approved election of Zhao Heng as non-independent director; election of Chen Lijing as independent director; and election of Yan Xuefei and Meng Jia as non-employee supervisors.
Board Change • Jan 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 2 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Qing Wang was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.
Buying Opportunity • Nov 23Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 31%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥26.68, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 21%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 36% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 409% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.019 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.019 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥855.1m (flat on 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥8.28m (down 87% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 7.5% in 3Q 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 21% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 30% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
Reported Earnings • Aug 17Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.026 (vs CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.026 (down from CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥914.9m (up 1.9% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥11.5m (down 80% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 6.5% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 19%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 18% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 56% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 29Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥20.81, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 131% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 27Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.42 (vs CN¥0.32 in FY 2020)Full year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.42 (up from CN¥0.32 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥3.67b (up 27% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥187.4m (up 32% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 4.9% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 10%, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has increased by 33% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Director Qing Wang was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 16Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥22.11, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 127% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.12 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥861.3m (up 12% from 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥64.7m (up 22% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 7.5% (up from 6.9% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 17% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 64% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 04Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price decline to CN¥26.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 40x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Luxury industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 198% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.32 (vs CN¥0.14 in FY 2019)The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥2.88b (down 4.4% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥142.0m (up 142% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 4.9% (up from 2.0% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 56% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 57% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Mar 04Revenue beats expectationsRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 0.7%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 9.7%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in China.
Reported Earnings • Mar 04Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.31 (vs CN¥0.14 in FY 2019)The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥2.87b (down 4.5% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥137.6m (up 134% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 4.8% (up from 2.0% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 57% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 41% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 20New 90-day high: CN¥29.80The company is up 94% from its price of CN¥15.33 on 20 November 2020. The Chinese market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 8.0% over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 29New 90-day high: CN¥24.88The company is up 183% from its price of CN¥8.78 on 30 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 4.0% over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 09New 90-day high: CN¥17.58The company is up 80% from its price of CN¥9.79 on 11 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is flat over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 04New 90-day high: CN¥10.87The company is up 7.0% from its price of CN¥10.17 on 06 August 2020. The Chinese market is down 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is down 4.0% over the same period.
Reported Earnings • Oct 30Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of CN¥48.3m, with earnings decreasing by CN¥229.9m from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥2.88b over the last 12 months, up 2.8% from the prior year.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 28New 90-day low: CN¥8.67The company is down 15% from its price of CN¥10.18 on 30 June 2020. The Chinese market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 6.0% over the same period.