YPF Sociedad Anónima

BASE:YPFD 주식 리포트

시가총액: AR$29.8t

YPF Sociedad Anónima 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 3/6

YPF Sociedad Anónima은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 50.6%와 6.2% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 60.1%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

50.6%

이익 성장률

60.09%

EPS 성장률

Oil and Gas 이익 성장7.5%
매출 성장률6.2%
향후 자기자본이익률n/a
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트05 Jul 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 28

YPFD: LNG Expansion And Margin Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 102,586 from ARS 84,420, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent increases in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima shows price targets clustered in a similar range, with one update setting a target of US$48 and another indicating an US$8 uplift from a prior level.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 14

YPFD: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Eventually Expose Execution Risk

Narrative Update on YPF Sociedad Anónima Analysts have raised their ARS price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 48 from ARS 45, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed stance on YPF Sociedad Anónima, with the latest move being a price target adjustment to $48 from $45 while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 31

YPFD: Cautious Oil Price Reliance Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 71,000 from ARS 60,000, reflecting updated views on profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E after a series of recent price target increases from ARS 36 to ARS 48 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on YPF Sociedad Anónima have generally moved higher, but commentary around those changes still carries a cautious tone.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 10

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Earnings Repricing

Analyst price targets for YPF Sociedad Anónima have been raised to ARS 109,461, supported by updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations that reflect recent Street research discussing potential upside risks for oil prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a cluster of raised price targets, with bullish analysts citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations, alongside potential upside risks for oil prices.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 22

YPFD: Oil Price Upside And LNG Project Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the YPF Sociedad Anónima price target to ARS 40 from ARS 36. The change is supported by updated assumptions around oil price upside, a lower discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 08

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Share Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 40 from ARS 36, citing upside risks to oil prices and updated estimates for regional oil peers as the main drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a more constructive tone from several research desks, with a focus on higher oil price assumptions and updated peer benchmarks in Latin America.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 25

YPFD: Oil Price Assumptions And LNG Project Will Shape A Fair Outlook

Analysts now place fair value for YPF Sociedad Anónima at ARS 60,000, up from ARS 55,000. This reflects updates to oil price assumptions and related earnings estimates cited in recent Street research.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 10

YPFD: LNG Expansion And Margin Execution Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update: YPF Sociedad Anónima The updated analyst work trims YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate by ARS 400 to ARS 84,420, as analysts incorporate a lower discount rate, adjust revenue growth expectations, factor in a slightly higher profit margin, and revise the assumed future P/E multiple in line with the recent ARS 3 price target increase cited in Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around YPF Sociedad Anónima currently centers on the recent US$3 price target increase reported by JPMorgan, alongside the updated fair value estimate of ARS 84,420.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 24

YPFD: LNG Push And Vaca Muerta Exports Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their ARS price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima by ARS 3, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a revised future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima, including a price target increase of ARS 3 cited in a JPMorgan report, points to a more constructive stance from bullish analysts who are updating their models for the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09

YPFD: Export Agreements And Governance Changes Will Shape A Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$47,800 to AR$55,000, citing revised assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers of the updated view. What's in the News A board meeting is set for November 18, 2025, with the agenda not yet publicly detailed.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25

YPFD: Long-Term Vaca Muerta Export Deals Will Underpin Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$65,000 to AR$109,461, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, revised expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News YPF and partners Vista Energy Lach, Shell Argentina, Equinor Argentina and ENAP signed long term agreements for shale oil exports from Vaca Muerta, with contracts valid until June 2033 and an initial combined volume of up to 70,000 barrels per day, which is expected to generate an estimated US$12b in revenues for Argentina over the term of the contracts (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10

YPFD: Refined Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to US$44 from US$47, citing updated modeling assumptions that refine estimates for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary centers on how the updated model feeds into valuation rather than a change in overall stance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 27

YPFD: Future Export Agreements Will Support Efficiency Gains And Forward Momentum

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to $44 from $47, reflecting updated models that incorporate stronger top line growth but more conservative assumptions on profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the modest price target reduction as a recalibration rather than a shift in fundamental conviction.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 13

YPFD: Lower Projected Upside Will Constrain Future Share Price Performance

Analysts modestly cut their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from $47.80 to $44.00, reflecting updated models that incorporate a slightly lower fair value despite improved projected revenue growth, profit margins, and a more attractive future price-to-earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates suggest that, while the overall rating on YPF Sociedad Anónima remains constructive, the recalibration of price targets signals a more cautious stance on the balance of risk and reward at current levels.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27

YPFD: Improved Margins Will Drive Efficiency And Support Forward Momentum

Analysts have raised YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate from $57,100 to $70,000, citing improved profit margins and a lower discount rate. This revision comes despite a moderated revenue growth outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 15

Vaca Muerta Expansion Will Unlock Long Term Export Potential

The upward revision in YPF Sociedad Anónima’s price target reflects improved valuation as indicated by a lower future P/E ratio, despite a modest decline in net profit margin, resulting in a consensus analyst target increase from ARS53,800 to ARS57,100. What's in the News YPF is nearing an agreement to acquire shale oil assets from France’s TotalEnergies, potentially valued between $400 million and $500 million.
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새로운 내러티브 • Nov 18

Vaca Muerta's Shale Boom Sparks Revenue Boost Amidst PE Challenges And Efficient Restructuring

Strategic focus on Vaca Muerta and midstream expansions aims to boost margins, manage cash flow, and reduce financial leverage.

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

BASE:YPFD - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (ARS Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202830,384,6074,154,1112,004,2849,129,65510
12/31/202729,335,3813,423,210796,1528,093,71610
12/31/202630,259,2203,530,2911,355,6858,945,1019
3/31/202625,325,776-461,5681,549,6598,208,987N/A
12/31/202523,240,162-1,087,72141,8876,481,040N/A
9/30/202521,465,436-523,917-323,0435,491,011N/A
6/30/202520,186,7531,127,195-352,7955,385,857N/A
3/31/202519,163,6551,520,528-138,2785,417,615N/A
12/31/202417,895,0312,077,482213,4285,599,148N/A
9/30/202415,204,649760,020147,6604,629,172N/A
6/30/202411,619,517-699,04520,7413,512,774N/A
3/31/20248,266,415-1,082,69368,4992,556,503N/A
12/31/20235,484,544-1,561,217183,2731,774,199N/A
9/30/20234,117,211144,18543,6891,270,456N/A
6/30/20233,386,133301,660123,0881,034,110N/A
3/31/20232,945,340321,020184,018879,675N/A
12/31/20222,526,466289,057204,532736,660N/A
9/30/20222,151,285236,426233,447632,068N/A
6/30/20221,762,291167,030198,165522,591N/A
3/31/20221,482,19428,926184,605459,395N/A
12/31/20211,315,633257165,213400,014N/A
9/30/20211,091,79419,652169,187360,715N/A
6/30/2021911,721-38,314166,572303,918N/A
3/31/2021729,406-77,927133,795243,511N/A
12/31/2020692,514-69,64994,600209,216N/A
9/30/2020688,623-124,36086,320214,791N/A
6/30/2020695,587-101,62071,325226,351N/A
3/31/2020722,358-19,67453,987233,452N/A
12/31/2019678,595-34,071N/A217,137N/A
9/30/2019617,460-6,245N/A187,505N/A
6/30/2019558,19919,684N/A159,408N/A
3/31/2019490,90424,361N/A146,272N/A
12/31/2018435,82038,613N/A125,058N/A
9/30/2018359,65933,273N/A102,035N/A
6/30/2018304,50520,163N/A83,377N/A
3/31/2018271,63318,382N/A68,750N/A
12/31/2017252,81312,340N/A71,974N/A
9/30/2017237,7572,051N/A66,208N/A
6/30/2017227,572-28,253N/A69,377N/A
3/31/2017220,169-29,208N/A63,008N/A
12/31/2016210,100-28,237N/A49,183N/A
9/30/2016196,488-31,653N/A43,849N/A
6/30/2016180,695408N/A36,910N/A
3/31/2016167,9393,448N/A40,298N/A
12/31/2015156,1364,579N/A41,404N/A
9/30/2015152,9297,657N/A41,475N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: YPFD 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(8.9%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.

수익 vs 시장: YPFD (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: YPFD 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: YPFD 의 수익(연간 6.2%)이 AR 시장(연간 13.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: YPFD 의 수익(연간 6.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: YPFD의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/07/10 12:02
종가2026/07/08 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 세부 정보는 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있으며, 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

YPF Sociedad Anónima는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 10명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Matias CattaruzziAdCap Securities Argentina S.A.
Leonardo MarcondesBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários