CarLotz, Inc.

NasdaqGM:LOTZ 株式レポート

時価総額：US$17.7m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

CarLotz マネジメント

マネジメント 基準チェック /04

主要情報

Lev Peker

最高経営責任者

n/a

報酬総額

CEO給与比率n/a
CEO在任期間less than a year
CEOの所有権2.7%
経営陣の平均在職期間1.4yrs
取締役会の平均在任期間1.9yrs

経営陣の近況

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 23

CarLotz: High-Return Merger Arb Play

Used vehicle e-commerce company Shift Technologies is acquiring peer CarLotz in an all-stock deal. At current prices, the spread stands at 17% in a hedged trade. The merger is highly rational for the buyer as it will provide Shift with CarLotz’s net cash while also allowing the company to launch its platform in East Coast markets. Spiking borrowing fees are the main risk in this merger arbitrage setup. A merger in the used vehicle ecommerce space. Shift Technologies (SFT) is buying a peer CarLotz (LOTZ) in an all-stock transaction. The exchange ratio is ~0.69 and at current prices implies a 41% spread. The main reason for the widespread seems to be SFT borrowing fees which now stand at 45%. Borrowing fees have lowered since the transaction announcement on August 9, however, there is still a risk that they spike to much higher levels which would erode the current spread in a hedged trade. Another risk is that of a forced buy-in if borrow would disappear. Current fee level would reduce the spread to 17% assuming the merger closes in Q4’22 as expected by the companies. The exchange ratio will be adjusted at closing but any changes should not be material. SFT Borrowing Fees (Interactive Brokers) Overall, the transaction seems highly rational for the buyer. First of all, the merger is basically an equity raise for SFT as the company will issue new shares worth $74m to receive $112m in LOTZ’s net cash. SFT currently has $100m in gross cash (-$156m in net cash) while the business has recently been burning ~$40-$50m in operating losses per quarter. Notably, the buyer’s cash burn should be somewhat lower going forward as the company has recently shifted its strategy to cut corporate overheads and perform most sales through online checkout sales. Nevertheless, the transaction will supply SFT with much needed liquidity. SFT’s management projects that after the merger no further financing will be needed to fund the operations through 2024 when the company is expected to reach profitability. Operationally, the merger appears to be equally synergistic. The companies have virtually no geographic overlap as LOTZ runs its business in mid-Atlantic markets whereas SFT primarily operates in West Coast states, suggesting that SFT’s platform launch in East Coast areas post-merger is likely. Moreover, given somewhat similar businesses, cost synergies coming from lower overheads and enhanced processes are expected to be significant (see below for more details on strategic rationale). Shift Technologies Investor Presentation, August 2022 Merger is subject to buyer and target shareholder approvals as well as a minimum net cash position of both companies upon closing. These conditions, however, are likely to be satisfied: LOTZ shareholder approval. 25% of the outstanding shares are held by PE firm TRP Capital Partners (19%) and sponsor Acamar Partners (6%). The Board, where directors from both TRP and Acamar have seats, has unanimously approved the merger. Other institutional shareholders, such as Tremblant (7%) and Vanguard (3%), are likely to approve the deal given premium to current share price and an all-stock deal which will allow to capture post-merger synergies. Adding other institutional equity holders, the count should easily exceed 50%. SFT shareholder approval. The management, which has already approved the merger, owns 9%. Another 16% are owned by Lithia Motors which is likely to vote for the merger given that it has been a strategic partner of SFT since 2018. Lithia helped the company obtain floor plan financing and has allowed SFT to use its facilities for car reconditioning/storage. Approval from institutional shareholders (the largest one is Nantahala Capital Management with an 8% stake) seems very likely considering the strategic rationale and LOTZ’s net cash position. Minimum cash amounts. The merger requires the companies to have at least -$10.5m (for Shift) and $58m (for CarLotz) in net cash if the merger closes in 2022 (the condition does not deduct long-term debt). Currently, SFT has $6m in gross cash less flooring line of credit, implying that the company can burn ~$16m by year-end to satisfy the requirement. This is admittedly a low figure given recent cash burn of $40-$50m per quarter. Despite the fact that management expects the new business strategy to yield $80m in standalone annual SG&A cost savings, an equity raise will likely be needed. The company has not provided any information on a potential equity raise so far. Meanwhile, for LOTZ the threshold implies that the company can have a cash burn of $25m per quarter and still make the cut. The company has recently had operating losses of $27m-$30m per quarter (excluding $11m in Q2’22 restructuring expense). However, in June LOTZ closed 50% of its stores - the move is expected to lower cash burn by ~$5m per quarter conservatively assuming the stores cannot be sub-leased. It is worth noting that if merger closing is delayed beyond year-end, the minimum cash threshold will be lowered by $5m for each additional month in 2023 for both companies. Spiking borrowing fees remain a risk in the setup. However, I believe this merger arbitrage might be worth playing without a short leg as LOTZ’s net cash position provides a margin of safety unless merger closing extends into mid-2023. Notably, there are still risks given SFT’s lackluster financial/liquidity position, the fact that SFT traded at breakeven price only recently and potential equity raises that the buyer might have to perform. Moreover, SFT would likely drop sharply in case of a deal break.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 16

CarLotz - Time To Abandon Ship

CEO summarily dismissed is a negative sign. Near-term trends look poor, and the Company is running out of time. Don't believe strategic value exists to lure a white knight at a large premium to cash.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 04

Why CarLotz Stock Looks Attractive Right Now

In Q3 2021, net revenue of the company increased by 128% to $68 million. Net losses increased to $3.5 million in the Q3 from $0.5 million in the year ago quarter. The company has opened 14 new hubs in 2021 to reach a cumulative number of 22 hubs. The new hubs are not generating results as expected and the pandemic has adversely affected the business. The company offers a digital and hassle-free process for its retail buyers, including a whole range of services like financing, insurance, and extended warranties.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

My DCF Model And Marketing Expenditures Make CarLotz A Buy

CarLotz offers a consignment-to-retail used vehicle marketplace. In the last annual report, the company noted that marketing expenditures would increase from around $4 million to more than $15 million. As a result, I expect revenue growth. I expect the company’s technology and data analytics tools to successfully offer real-time information about prices, sellers, and buyers. As a result, the company will decrease the days-to-sale figure. If the company continues to build hubs, revenue growth would also continue. Notice that management needs the hubs to support the reconditioning fees charged to LOTZ’s corporate vehicle sourcing partners. Notice that I am using a WACC of 15%, which was above the discount used by other investment advisors. Investors lost a fortune on the stock, and the volatility in the past was significant. I want to be very cautious with LOTZ.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 14

CarLotz Is A Buy At 1.15x Forward Sales

CarLotz, Inc. runs a vehicle consignment and remarketing business. Over the last six months, LOTZ opened a significant number of new hub locations. The number of employees also increased, and major marketing initiatives took place. If we assume a share price of $4, close to 66% of the company’s share price is represented by cash or assets that the company can sell. If we assume a market capitalization of $450 million, the enterprise value is equal to $230 million. With sales of $200 million, the company’s EV/Sales is 1.15x, which is cheap. Many individuals in social media are claiming that the company is highly undervalued.

CEO

Lev Peker (40 yo)

less than a year
在職期間

Mr. Lev Peker is Director of PARTS iD, Inc. from September 28, 2022. He has been Chief Executive Officer and Director at CarLotz, Inc. since April 18, 2022. He had been Chief Executive Officer and Director...

リーダーシップ・チーム

名称ポジション在職期間報酬所有権
Lev Peker
CEO & Directorless than a yearデータなし2.68%
$ 474.4k
Ozan Kaya
Presidentless than a yearデータなし0.81%
$ 143.6k
Thomas Stoltz
Chief Financial Officer2.1yrsデータなし0.020%
$ 3.5k
Robert Imhof
Senior Vice President of Finance & Accounting2.1yrsデータなしデータなし
Eugene Kovshilovsky
Chief Technology Officerless than a yearデータなし0.50%
$ 88.8k
Elizabeth Sanders
Chief Administrative Officer6.8yrsデータなし0.00081%
$ 143.5
Susan Lewis
Vice President of Investor Relationsno dataデータなしデータなし
Jared Itkowitz
Director of Barclaysno dataデータなしデータなし
1.4yrs
平均在職期間
40.5yo
平均年齢

経験豊富な経営陣: LOTZの経営陣は 経験豊富 とはみなされません ( 1.4年の平均在職年数)。これは新しいチームを示唆しています。

取締役

名称ポジション在職期間報酬所有権
Lev Peker
CEO & Directorless than a yearデータなし2.68%
$ 474.4k
James Skinner
Independent Director2.8yrsUS$225.87k0.033%
$ 5.9k
David Mitchell
Independent Director1.9yrsUS$202.89k0.025%
$ 4.4k
Steven Carrel
Independent Director1.9yrsUS$202.89k0.025%
$ 4.4k
Kimberly Sheehy
Independent Director1.9yrsUS$229.17k0.025%
$ 4.4k
Linda Abraham
Independent Director1.9yrsUS$222.56k0.025%
$ 4.4k
Nanxi Liu
Independent Directorless than a yearデータなしデータなし
Luis Ignacio Solorzano Aizpuru
Independent Chairman4.1yrsUS$213.93k0.95%
$ 168.3k
1.9yrs
平均在職期間
52.5yo
平均年齢

経験豊富なボード: LOTZの 取締役会 は 経験豊富 ではない ( 1.9年の平均在任期間) ため、新しい取締役会が必要であると考えられます。

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2022/12/11 19:15
終値2022/12/08 00:00
収益2022/09/30
年間収益2021/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

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業界およびセクターの指標

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アナリスト筋

CarLotz, Inc. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。3

アナリスト機関
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Emmanuel RosnerDeutsche Bank
Sharon ZackfiaWilliam Blair & Company L.L.C.