AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

NYSE:AVB 株式レポート

時価総額：US$26.5b

AvalonBay Communities 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

AvalonBay Communitiesの収益は年間9%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間収益は年間4.4%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 減少すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に6.8% 8.2%なると予測されています。

主要情報

-9.0%

収益成長率

-8.24%

EPS成長率

Residential REITs 収益成長-7.0%
収益成長率4.4%
将来の株主資本利益率6.85%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日21 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 30

AvalonBay Communities Is Capitalizing On Valuation Gaps

Summary AvalonBay earns a Buy rating, capitalizing on persistent public-private valuation gaps in multifamily real estate. AVB’s aggressive share repurchases, funded by selling older assets, enhance earnings and streamline the portfolio for future growth. Development focus remains on high-quality, supply-constrained coastal markets, with new projects targeting stabilized yields of 6.5%-7%. Recent Q1 results outperformed expectations, with Core FFO of $2.83 and improving fundamentals as supply pressures begin to ease. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26

AVB: 2026 Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Support Leasing Recovery Potential

Narrative Update on AvalonBay Communities The analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly lower, with the updated fair value moving from about $194.35 to $193.55 as analysts adjust models for near term earnings, sector wide residential REIT estimate changes, and softer occupancy commentary across U.S. multifamily markets. Analyst Commentary Recent research around AvalonBay Communities highlights a mix of caution on near term fundamentals and continued support for the longer term apartment REIT thesis.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 11

AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Q4 Leasing Recovery Potential

The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities edges slightly lower to $194.35 from $195.05, as analysts factor in revised Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance assumptions, modestly higher discount rates, and sector wide adjustments to multifamily REIT estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities clusters around updated models for Q4 results and 2026 guidance, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refresh sector views on multifamily REITs. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts maintaining Overweight views see room for value in apartments relative to other REIT categories, citing apartments, storage, and single family rentals as areas with stronger perceived upside into 2026 compared with segments such as cold storage and retail.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 28

AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Renewed Sector Upside

AvalonBay Communities' analyst fair value estimate has been nudged lower by about $1 to $195, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth, slightly higher discount rates, and broadly reduced sector price targets despite some upward revisions from a few firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities shows a split picture.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 13

AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Renewed Sector Upside

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price targets have edged slightly lower, with our fair value estimate easing by about $2 to $196, as analysts trim growth and margin expectations and reset sector assumptions for U.S. multifamily REITs. Analyst Commentary Street research on AvalonBay Communities has recently centered on recalibrating price targets and expectations for the wider U.S. multifamily REIT sector, rather than on company specific surprises. Targets have generally shifted within a relatively tight band around the high US$190s, reflecting a mix of cautious and constructive views on valuation, execution, and sector level growth drivers.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 26

AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Measured Upside

The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly as mixed recent revisions, including several cuts of $2 to $7 alongside a smaller $1 increase, reflect analysts balancing slightly adjusted growth and margin assumptions with sector-wide views on apartments and broader REITs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AvalonBay Communities points to a split view, with some analysts nudging targets higher and others trimming them. They are reassessing apartment REIT valuations, the 2026 outlook, and relative positioning versus other property types.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 12

AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Capital Returns May Support Measured Upside

The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities reflects a modest adjustment of about $1, as analysts balance mixed target moves across firms along with revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on AvalonBay Communities, with some firms nudging price targets higher and others trimming them.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 27

AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support 2026 Coastal Apartment Turnaround Potential

Analysts have edged their blended price target for AvalonBay Communities slightly lower to about US$200 from roughly US$203, citing more cautious assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of modest target trims across recent REIT sector reviews. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of bullish and bearish views on AvalonBay Communities, with adjustments to price targets reflecting shifting expectations around fundamentals into 2026.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 11

AVB: Share Repurchases And 2026 REIT Turnaround Expectations Will Support Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AvalonBay Communities by a few dollars, with recent cuts to about $190 to $197 reflecting softer leasing trends and higher operating expenses, even as they continue to highlight the potential for REITs to benefit from improving macro conditions into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AvalonBay Communities point to a mixed setup, with modestly lower price targets clustered around the low to high $190s and a consistent message of Neutral or similar ratings.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 24

AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support Returns As Leasing Headwinds Eventually Ease

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has inched lower by approximately $0.40 to about $203.40, as analysts weigh faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, and mixed operating expense performance against still constructive long term residential REIT trends. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on AvalonBay Communities, balancing near term operational softness against a still constructive longer term outlook for residential REITs. Recent price target changes reflect this push and pull between execution risk and valuation support.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 10

AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Returns Despite Softer Leasing Spreads

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been nudged lower to about $204 from roughly $206, as analysts factor in faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, modestly weaker margin and growth assumptions, and a slightly higher future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but slightly more cautious stance on AvalonBay Communities, with pricing targets shifting both higher and lower as analysts recalibrate expectations for earnings growth and operating performance into 2026.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 26

AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Drive Returns Amid Sector Headwinds

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has decreased by approximately $3.31 to $205.88, as analysts cite weaker-than-anticipated leasing spreads, rising operating expenses, and ongoing headwinds for the multifamily REIT sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of cautious and optimistic sentiment surrounding AvalonBay Communities, with price targets both reduced and slightly raised in light of earnings performance and projected sector dynamics.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 11

AVB: Upcoming $2.9 Billion Development Pipeline Will Drive Future Upside

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been revised downward from $216.48 to $209.19. Analysts point to weakening leasing spreads, higher operating expenses, and tempered earnings outlooks amid challenging sector fundamentals.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 28

Upper-Tier Apartment Developments Will Shape Returns Amid Sector Rotation Risks

AvalonBay Communities’ analyst price target saw a slight decrease of $0.95 to $216.48 as analysts weighed recent upgrades and downgrades, along with updated earnings growth expectations and ongoing development activity. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity for AvalonBay Communities has shown a range of perspectives, reflecting both optimism and caution regarding the company's outlook and market performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 13

Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks

AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $219.65 to $217.43 per share. This change reflects analysts' tempered expectations for profit margins and revenue growth following recent sector reviews.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 05

Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on AvalonBay’s robust growth pipeline, favorable market positioning, and prospective sector rotation benefits, but given valuation now aligns with peers after recent underperformance, the consensus price target remains unchanged at $219.65. Analyst Commentary Increased confidence in AvalonBay’s “best in class” earnings growth, supported by a significant $2.9B development pipeline expected to contribute meaningfully to future results.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

AvalonBay Communities: A Good Portfolio Anchor For A Turbulent Market

Summary AvalonBay is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainty, with a strong balance sheet, broad diversification, and operating in a resilient industry. The company benefits from competitive advantages like scale and standardized processes, leading to higher yields and significant development experience. AvalonBay's financials are robust, with strong credit ratings, and a solid dividend yield, supported by strategic portfolio optimization. While tariffs and higher unemployment pose risks, AvalonBay's strong balance sheet and expertise enable it to capitalize on market opportunities during downturns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 09

AvalonBay Communities: Buy And Sleep Tight

Summary AvalonBay Communities offers "sleep well at night" qualities through a strong balance sheet and strategic focus on suburban markets with limited new supply. AVB's operational efficiencies and robust development pipeline, supported by pre-funded equity, position it for sustained growth and attractive deal terms. The stock's forward P/FFO of 19.3 is below its historical average, making it reasonably attractive despite not being a deep bargain. With a 3.1% dividend yield, strong credit ratings, and very safe leverage, AVB is ideal for conservative income investors seeking potential for steady total returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 22

AvalonBay Stock: 6 Reasons Why I'm Skeptical Of The Price

Summary We are currently maintaining our hold recommendation for AvalonBay. Our fair value estimate for the stock ranges from $210.36 to $219.73. AVB offers a potential total return of 5.26% as compared to 5.17% for their fixed-income instrument. The 9 bps premium for the equity is insufficient compensation in our view. In evaluating the apartment REIT sector dividend yield as compared to single-A corporate bond effective yield, we also see signs that the sector may be overvalued. The spread between the apartment sector cap rates and the US 10-year Treasury paints a similar picture that the stock does not offer a margin of safety. Finally, our view is also corroborated by their forward equity issuance activity and closed transactions in Q3. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 24

AvalonBay: Balanced Hold Despite Potential Cap Rate Reductions

Summary AvalonBay's stock dropped significantly during the rate hike cycle but soared when rate cut expectations began in November. Strong occupancy rates and rising net operating income highlight AvalonBay's robust performance, supported by macro trends like delayed family formation and cheaper rent versus mortgage payments. With the stock price being just 11% away from all-time highs, the dividend yield is considerably lower than its history, making the stock a hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 04

AvalonBay: Limited Upside And Overvalued

Summary AvalonBay owns and manages residential properties, with a focus on the West and East Coast markets. It has low leverage, strong liquidity, and a track record of good past performance. However, the current valuation and the decelerating rental rate growth create an opportunity risk for investors. With a relatively low dividend yield, income investors should also look elsewhere for dividend stock opportunities. That being said, if the price level decreases, this may become a good REIT to hold, so adding AVB to watchlist is a good idea. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 28

AvalonBay: No Margin Of Safety At The Current Price

Summary AvalonBay's NOI growth has been decelerating. They are increasing their exposure to the Sunbelt region to position their portfolio for continued growth. For the business, AvalonBay has the scale, expertise and access to lower cost of debt which should continue to buoy their business in both current and expansion markets. As an investment, AvalonBay's net asset value per share estimate is $178.29, indicating shares are overvalued. There are well reasoned studies that suggest buying REITs at a premium to NAVPS can lead to underperformance. For investors looking for a margin of safety, it may be worthwhile to wait for a better entry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 02

AvalonBay: Encouraging Rent Trends Make Shares Attractive

Summary AvalonBay Communities' shares have underperformed due to higher rates and a slowdown in the rental market. The company's Q1 results exceeded expectations, as rental trends improved in the Northeast and Seattle, with even the Bay Area stabilizing. AVB is well-positioned for mid-single digit growth this year, with momentum in key markets and a strong pipeline of new projects that are renting at higher rates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:AVB - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20283,372817N/A1,8443
12/31/20273,214743N/A1,72411
12/31/20263,100762N/A1,61612
3/31/20263,0601,1381,6711,674N/A
12/31/20253,0411,0491,6681,671N/A
9/30/20253,0141,1661,5971,599N/A
6/30/20252,9811,1581,6051,609N/A
3/31/20252,9371,1431,6071,611N/A
12/31/20242,9131,0801,6031,608N/A
9/30/20242,8791,0401,6151,625N/A
6/30/20242,8448401,5971,610N/A
3/31/20242,8229541,5601,577N/A
12/31/20232,7769271,5411,560N/A
9/30/20232,7139261,5331,555N/A
6/30/20232,7231,2491,5081,524N/A
3/31/20232,6741,0201,4591,474N/A
12/31/20222,6091,1351,4081,422N/A
9/30/20222,5541,2281,3601,372N/A
6/30/20222,4328131,2611,275N/A
3/31/20222,3741,1221,2061,217N/A
12/31/20212,3331,0021,1931,203N/A
9/30/20212,2751,0081,1611,169N/A
6/30/20212,2611,0771,1431,159N/A
3/31/20212,2498001,1881,208N/A
12/31/20202,3038261,1911,220N/A
9/30/20202,3486531,2431,269N/A
6/30/20202,3657841,2971,313N/A
3/31/20202,3667821,2861,302N/A
12/31/20192,327784N/A1,322N/A
9/30/20192,3131,001N/A1,335N/A
6/30/20192,300914N/A1,314N/A
3/31/20192,2921,000N/A1,347N/A
12/31/20182,289972N/A1,301N/A
9/30/20182,266824N/A1,303N/A
6/30/20182,260870N/A1,306N/A
3/31/20182,221780N/A1,272N/A
12/31/20172,189874N/A1,256N/A
9/30/20172,104879N/A1,233N/A
6/30/20172,048997N/A1,183N/A
3/31/20172,0461,029N/A1,182N/A
12/31/20162,0521,031N/A1,160N/A
9/30/20162,033945N/A1,123N/A
6/30/20162,013795N/A1,118N/A
3/31/20161,964770N/A1,098N/A
12/31/20151,895740N/A1,075N/A
9/30/20151,815727N/A1,039N/A
6/30/20151,880762N/A969N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: AVBの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-9% )。

収益対市場: AVBの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-9% )。

高成長収益: AVBの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています。

収益対市場: AVBの収益 ( 4.4% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: AVBの収益 ( 4.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: AVBの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 6.8 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/25 03:39
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. 12 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。45

アナリスト機関
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Andrew BabinBaird
Ross SmotrichBarclays