Ternium S.A.

NYSE:TX 株式レポート

時価総額：US$8.4b

Ternium 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

Ternium利益と収益がそれぞれ年間21%と5.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に10.1% 20.9%なると予測されています。

主要情報

21.0%

収益成長率

20.91%

EPS成長率

Metals and Mining 収益成長13.8%
収益成長率5.4%
将来の株主資本利益率10.11%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日19 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jul 08

TX: Higher Fair Value And Dividend Reset Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium to $53.12 from $43.46, citing updated assumptions of 6.24% revenue growth, a 7.89% profit margin, and a future P/E of 9.18, which together reshape their view of the stock’s fair value profile. What’s in the News for Ternium Ternium is drawing attention as some analysts describe the stock as undervalued, citing valuation tools such as Discounted Cash Flow, P/E, and PEG ratios that they view as supportive of a lower implied valuation than industry peers, according to recent coverage.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 03

Ternium Looks Like A Bargain Despite Ongoing Economic Uncertainties

Summary Ternium remains disciplined and operationally strong amid trade policy uncertainties and regional demand challenges, generating respectable unit margins despite headwinds. Q1 results showed improving pricing and margins, with Mexico outperforming and management maintaining cost discipline; adjusted EBITDA rose 49% year-over-year. TX’s long-term thesis hinges on cross-border U.S.-Mexico trade, share gains with autos/machinery customers, and the completion of the Pesqueria expansion project. Shares trade at a significant discount to fair value ($55-$65), with improving free cash flow and capital returns expected as macro issues resolve. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 24

TX: Momentum Strength And Higher Dividend Payout Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from $55.00 to $62.00, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, adjusted revenue growth expectations, modest changes in profit margin forecasts and a revised future P/E estimate. What’s in the News for Ternium Ternium is highlighted as a value and momentum stock in the steel sector, with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), a Momentum Style Score of B, and an A grade for value, according to Zacks research.
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 05

TX: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Cap Upside Despite Market Optimism

Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $33 to $40, reflecting updated views on its fair value, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Itau BBA upgraded Ternium S.A. to Outperform from Market Perform, citing confidence in the company's positioning within the steel industry.
ナラティブの更新 • May 21

TX: Higher Margin Outlook And Reduced Dividend Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $50 to $55 as they factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Ternium's Board of Directors revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to US$2.20 per ADS (US$0.22 per share), or US$432 million, from a previously announced US$2.70 per ADS, citing a focus on reinforcing the balance sheet amid global economic uncertainty linked to the conflict in the Middle East (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 • May 02

TX: Dividend Reset And Stronger Margins Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ternium to $43.46 from $40.19, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, expectations for revenue growth, the profit margin outlook, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Ternium's Board revised its dividend proposal for fiscal year 2025 to a total payout of $2.20 per ADS ($0.22 per share), or $432 million, compared with the previously announced $2.70 per ADS.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 17

TX: Higher Discount Rate And Thinner Margins Will Likely Limit Future Upside

Analysts are keeping Ternium's price target steady at $33.00, highlighting updated assumptions for a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: $33.00 is unchanged, indicating no shift in the central value estimate.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 03

TX: Stronger Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their Ternium price target steady at $50.00, with the unchanged fair value reflecting updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that broadly offset each other in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains steady at $50.00, indicating no change in the headline valuation output.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 20

TX: Higher Required Return And Richer P/E Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Ternium slightly higher to about $40.19 from roughly $39.88, reflecting updated views on discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and a small change in assumed profit margins and future price-to-earnings ratios. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Ternium's estimated fair value is now $40.19, compared with the prior figure of $39.88, indicating only a small adjustment.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 06

TX: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support Stronger Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Ternium from $43.00 to $50.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19

TX: Higher Required Return And Earnings Multiple Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts now see Ternium's fair value at about $39.88 per share, up from roughly $36.81. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 05

TX: Higher Discount Rate And Modest Margins Will Likely Restrain Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Ternium slightly higher to around $33 per share, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, while keeping overall fair value broadly in line with prior views. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at around $33.00 per share, keeping the central valuation view steady.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 22

TX: Higher Future P/E Will Likely Constrain Returns Despite Slight Margin Tweaks

Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from US$30.00 to US$33.00, citing updated assumptions in their models for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted from US$30.00 to US$33.00, representing a modest upward revision in the estimated share value.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 07

TX: Future P/E And Softer Margins Will Likely Pressure Returns

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Ternium, keeping fair value at $30.00 while fine tuning underlying assumptions such as a slightly lower discount rate, a higher revenue growth outlook, a marginally softer profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E. Together, these changes refine rather than overhaul their view of the stock.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 24

TX: Future Earnings Multiple Will Likely Compress From Current Levels

Analysts have raised their price target on Ternium from 26.00 dollars to 30.00 dollars, citing higher anticipated revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased moderately from 26.0 dollars to 30.0 dollars per share.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 10

TX: Slightly Higher Required Return Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Ternium to bring it more in line with their fair value estimate of approximately $36.81 per share. This adjustment reflects slightly higher assumed discount rates while keeping expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples broadly unchanged.
分析記事 • Dec 03

Returns On Capital At Ternium (NYSE:TX) Paint A Concerning Picture

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 26

TX: Subtle Shifts In Margin Outlook Will Influence Fair Value Ahead

Narrative Update on Ternium: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.96 to $36.81, citing subtle adjustments in growth projections and profit expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from $35.96 to $36.81.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 12

TX: Revenue Strength And Margin Pressure Will Shape Fair Valuation Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Ternium from $35.65 to $35.96. They cite improved revenue growth forecasts, even though a slightly lower profit margin is anticipated.
分析記事 • Nov 05

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ternium (NYSE:TX)

Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number...
分析記事 • Nov 01

Ternium S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Ternium S.A. ( NYSE:TX ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for investors to...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 29

Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand

Analysts have raised their price target for Ternium from $35.31 to $35.65. They cite incremental improvements in key financial metrics as the basis for this modest increase.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 14

Pesqueria Center Investment And Nearshoring Will Fuel Steel Demand

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Ternium, increasing it from $34.62 to $35.31. This change is based on improved profit margin projections and adjustments for modest changes in revenue growth expectations.
分析記事 • Oct 03

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) Revenues Yet

Ternium S.A.'s ( NYSE:TX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
分析記事 • Jul 23

Here's Why Ternium (NYSE:TX) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 31

Ternium: Appealing And Risky At The Same Time

Summary TX is an appealing stock in a number of ways, which includes a generous dividend and relatively low multiples. The stock has been weighed down by tough conditions in the steel market and the uncertainty of what tariffs could bring. TX has not done so badly considering the circumstances and there is reason to think 2025 could be a better year than 2024. Long TX has a number of things going for it, but one must be aware of the risks hanging over TX, which could prove disruptive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Jan 19

Nearshoring And New Facilities Will Expand Steel Production Capacity By 2026

Increasing production capacity with new facilities in Pesqueria will drive future revenue growth by meeting steel demand in key industries.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 14

Ternium: Don't Judge A Book By Its Cover

Summary Ternium has a current level of net debt of $1.46 billion, with extraordinary FCF generation over the last five years. Despite the fall in the international price of steel, the company maintained a solid financial performance. The company's Steel Products Shipments reached 4,123 tons, this amount implies an increase of 7% compared to Q2 2024. TX's board of directors approved the payment of a provisional dividend of $0.90 per ADS. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 19

Ternium: Still Not A Buy As Near-Term Growth Prospects Remain Unfavorable

Summary Ternium's near-term growth faces headwinds primarily due to lower prices in Mexico, impacting sales and margins despite strong shipment recovery in Argentina and Brazil. The near-term top line growth prospects remain weak, as pricing and demand remain soft in certain parts of the Mexico region. Margin prospects also look weak due to lower prices and lower volume in certain parts of the business, making it a hold for now despite a cheap valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

Ternium: Patience Should Pay Off, But Near-Term Conditions Are Weak

Summary Ternium reported weaker-than-expected Q2'24 results and weaker EBITDA guidance for Q3'24, as the company is seeing significant steel price pressure and higher cash production costs. While this is not the best of times for Ternium, the company's per-tonne profitability still compares favorably to global producers (including Steel Dynamics) and demand should improve later this year. Ternium offers attractive leverage to significant manufacturing nearshoring growth in Mexico, as well as further import substitution in key markets like autos. While there is still a risk that the cyclical low could be even lower than expected, Ternium looks too cheap across a range of metrics and looks undervalued below the $50's. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 04

Ternium: Expected Margin Contraction Makes Me Avoid This Stock Despite A Cheap Valuation

Summary Ternium is a leading steel manufacturing company with a strong market presence in the Americas, primarily in Mexico. Topline should continue to expand with strong demand in the Mexican region. Margins are expected to be under pressure in the coming quarters, which makes this stock a hold despite a discounted valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:TX - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202818,4791,4098872,34410
12/31/202718,0451,2007492,11713
12/31/202617,2111,058-5381,74813
3/31/202615,610571-652,324N/A
12/31/202515,609425-1872,314N/A
9/30/202515,711584-3412,258N/A
6/30/202516,236595-3102,025N/A
3/31/202516,804-348-2961,638N/A
12/31/202417,649-54411,906N/A
9/30/202418,704792512,152N/A
6/30/202419,408-6919852,870N/A
3/31/202418,7656636342,340N/A
12/31/202317,6106761,0402,501N/A
9/30/202316,2263021,7932,816N/A
6/30/202315,1671,1942,1002,829N/A
3/31/202315,7331,3662,0382,697N/A
12/31/202216,4141,7682,1722,753N/A
9/30/202217,1982,7262,3122,856N/A
6/30/202217,6643,7751,8902,408N/A
3/31/202217,1463,9982,5233,042N/A
12/31/202116,0913,8252,1542,677N/A
9/30/202114,3413,6221,3751,897N/A
6/30/202111,8872,3711,2881,771N/A
3/31/20219,7131,3931,2141,646N/A
12/31/20208,7357781,2011,761N/A
9/30/20208,406541,0521,799N/A
6/30/20208,7171989141,845N/A
3/31/20209,7283345151,615N/A
12/31/201910,193564N/A1,648N/A
9/30/201910,579844N/A1,811N/A
6/30/201911,1281,273N/A1,762N/A
3/31/201911,3941,386N/A2,027N/A
12/31/201811,4551,507N/A1,739N/A
9/30/201811,5861,336N/A1,215N/A
6/30/201811,1221,008N/A1,003N/A
3/31/201810,422964N/A486N/A
12/31/20179,700886N/A384N/A
9/30/20178,782824N/A630N/A
6/30/20178,103858N/A605N/A
3/31/20177,644763N/A948N/A
12/31/20167,224596N/A1,100N/A
9/30/20167,184351N/A1,135N/A
6/30/20167,274147N/A1,166N/A
3/31/20167,40734N/A1,237N/A
12/31/20157,8778N/A1,323N/A
9/30/20158,222187N/A1,218N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: TXの予測収益成長率 (年間21% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: TXの収益 ( 21% ) はUS市場 ( 18.1% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: TXの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: TXの収益 ( 5.4% ) US市場 ( 12.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: TXの収益 ( 5.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: TXの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 10.1 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/07/08 20:27
終値2026/07/08 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Ternium S.A. 13 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。17

アナリスト機関
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Alessandro AbateBerenberg
Caio RibeiroBofA Global Research