View ValuationAlgoma Steel Group 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /46Algoma Steel Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間73%と15.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に-48.7% 86.8%なると予測されています。主要情報73.0%収益成長率86.78%EPS成長率Metals and Mining 収益成長13.4%収益成長率15.4%将来の株主資本利益率-48.70%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日17 Apr 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報お知らせ • Jan 09Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided operating guidance for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 375,000 to 380,000 tons.お知らせ • Oct 02+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipment Guidance for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipment guidance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. For the quarter, the company expects Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be approximately 415,000 – 420,000 net tons.お知らせ • Jan 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 545,000 to 550,000 tons.お知らせ • Sep 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal Second Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal second quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 510,000 to 520,000 tons for the fiscal second quarter of 2025.お知らせ • Jun 21+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal First Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal first quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 500,000 tons to 510,000 tons for the fiscal first quarter of 2025.お知らせ • Feb 15Algoma Steel Group Inc. Resumes Normal Steel ProductionAlgoma Steel Group Inc. announced the repair and restart of its blast furnace is complete and steel production resumed on February 11, 2024. The company has strengthened its operations while advancing essential repair work required after a structure supporting utilities piping at the company’s coke-making plant collapsed on January 20, 2024. The company remains focused on completing necessary utilities corridor repairs safely and efficiently while increasing coke-making capacity and rebuilding inventory levels. The company will continue to assess supplementing its coke supplies with market purchases to balance its requirement for iron production.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • May 02Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 12, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 12, 2026お知らせ • Apr 13Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026.お知らせ • Feb 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 11, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 11, 2026Seeking Alpha • Feb 19Stay Cautious On Algoma Steel, But Watch For Early Signs Of RecoverySummary Algoma Steel Group Inc. remains rated Hold as challenging market conditions and weak steel demand persist, despite government support. ASTL faces deteriorating financials: Q3 2025 revenue fell 12.7%, adjusted EBITDA turned negative, and shipments declined 19.5%. A C$500 million government loan supports the electric arc furnace transition, but profitability and dividend resumption remain distant. Valuation remains unattractive with acute financial distress (Altman Z-score 0.55); investors should await clear signs of recovery or dividend reinstatement. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Jan 09Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided operating guidance for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 375,000 to 380,000 tons.分析記事 • Nov 23Benign Growth For Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Underpins Stock's 25% PlummetTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares are down a considerable 25% in...お知らせ • Oct 30+ 2 more updatesAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 1, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced a planned leadership transition as part of its ongoing succession planning process. Rajat Marwah, currently the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, has been appointed President and Chief Financial Officer effective November 1, 2025 and will be appointed to the role of Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2026. Mr. Marwah has been with Algoma since 2008 and has played a central role in shaping the Company’s long-term strategy, capital markets initiatives, and business transformation. He brings deep experience in corporate development, strategic planning, and stakeholder engagement, and has been instrumental in advancing Algoma’s transition to electric arc steelmaking. Also effective January 1, 2026, Michael Moraca, currently Vice President, Corporate Development and Treasurer, who currently leads Algoma’s Integrated Business Planning function, will be appointed Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Moraca brings extensive experience in corporate finance, capital markets, and strategic planning, and has been instrumental in supporting Algoma’s financial and operational initiatives over the past two decades.お知らせ • Oct 21Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Oct 29, 2025お知らせ • Oct 02+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipment Guidance for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipment guidance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. For the quarter, the company expects Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be approximately 415,000 – 420,000 net tons.分析記事 • Oct 01The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) share price has dived 27% in the last...お知らせ • Jul 16Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Jul 29, 2025分析記事 • Jun 29There's No Escaping Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Muted Revenues Despite A 27% Share Price RiseThe Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...お知らせ • Jun 25Algoma Steel Group Inc. Elects Melinda J. Newman as DirectorAlgoma Steel Group Inc. at its annual meeting of shareholders held on June 24, 2025, approved the election of Melinda J. Newman as director.分析記事 • May 11Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Soars 29% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs RewardThose holding Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29...お知らせ • Apr 30Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on May 30, 2025The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on May 30, 2025 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on May 13, 2025. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.お知らせ • Apr 23Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on Apr 29, 2025お知らせ • Apr 14Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025.お知らせ • Mar 13Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 10, 2025The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on April 10, 2025 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on March 21, 2025. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.分析記事 • Mar 11Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) 34% Share Price PlungeTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares are down a considerable 34% in...お知らせ • Feb 28Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Mar 12, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 12, 2025分析記事 • Jan 06Here's Why Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Can Afford Some DebtWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...お知らせ • Jan 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 545,000 to 550,000 tons.分析記事 • Dec 07Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Low P/SAlgoma Steel Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might make it look like a buy right...お知らせ • Nov 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 27, 2024The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on December 27, 2024 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on November 27, 2024.お知らせ • Sep 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal Second Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal second quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 510,000 to 520,000 tons for the fiscal second quarter of 2025.分析記事 • Aug 28Is Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) A Risky Investment?Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...お知らせ • Aug 14Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 27, 2024The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on September 27, 2024 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on August 23, 2024.お知らせ • Aug 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 13, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 13, 2024分析記事 • Aug 01There's No Escaping Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Muted Earnings Despite A 28% Share Price RiseAlgoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...お知らせ • Jul 15Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 24, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 24, 2024.分析記事 • Jun 27Why Algoma Steel Group's (NASDAQ:ASTL) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its ProblemsThe subdued market reaction suggests that Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) recent earnings didn't contain any...Seeking Alpha • Jun 26Algoma Steel: Canadian Steel At 3.5 Times The LTM EBITDASummary Algoma Steel Group Inc. faced challenges in FY 2024 due to weak steel prices and a structural corridor failure, impacting financial performance. Despite challenges, Algoma Steel reported profitability and strong operating cash flow, with plans to commission a new Electric Arc Furnace. The company's investment thesis remains positive, with potential for improved margins and outsized EBITDA and free cash flow results post-EAF commissioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 26Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 19th of July...お知らせ • Jun 21+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal First Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal first quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 500,000 tons to 510,000 tons for the fiscal first quarter of 2025.お知らせ • Jun 08Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jun 20, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Jun 20, 2024Board Change • May 14High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 9 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 9 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Director Mike McQuade is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.お知らせ • Feb 15Algoma Steel Group Inc. Resumes Normal Steel ProductionAlgoma Steel Group Inc. announced the repair and restart of its blast furnace is complete and steel production resumed on February 11, 2024. The company has strengthened its operations while advancing essential repair work required after a structure supporting utilities piping at the company’s coke-making plant collapsed on January 20, 2024. The company remains focused on completing necessary utilities corridor repairs safely and efficiently while increasing coke-making capacity and rebuilding inventory levels. The company will continue to assess supplementing its coke supplies with market purchases to balance its requirement for iron production.お知らせ • Jan 30Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 06, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 06, 2024お知らせ • Jan 24Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Update on Incident at Coke-Making PlantAlgoma Steel Group Inc. provided an update further to the incident on January 20 at its coke-making plant when a structure supporting utilities piping collapsed. Algoma advised that the water-related environmental release was fully contained by the evening of January 20, with most of the effluent being contained on-site. As a result, Algoma currently believes that there is a low risk of impact to the adjacent waterway. The Company remains in contact with regulatory authorities, union leadership, and local stakeholders including Indigenous communities. A repair plan for the coke-making plant is being developed with third party engineering support in accordance with Algoma's Environmental Compliance Approval. While the Company is actively assessing coke-making capacity, limited production has resumed at the three coke-production units. At the time of the coke-making incident, for safety reasons Blast Furnace operations were temporarily suspended while the site was secured. Upon the normal course resumption of iron production, Algoma experienced issues at the Blast Furnace related to other utilities supplying the facility as an unexpected consequence of the coke-making incident. As a result, the Blast Furnace was taken offline and work is underway to restart the furnace. The Company is evaluating the potential operational impact of the Blast Furnace being offline and currently expects to resume production within two weeks. The company expects some impact on shipments, the extent of which will depend on the timeline to resume Blast Furnace operations. Algoma's combined plate/strip mill and cold mill operations remain unaffected by the incident, as does the EAF construction. Algoma currently believes that it can source adequate coke from third-party suppliers to augment coke production and coke inventory on site. Algoma has given notice to relevant insurance providers and continues to complete assessments and advance repairs to expedite a return to normal operations while prioritizing the ongoing safety of its employees, the community and the environment.分析記事 • Jan 23Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of ReturnDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 22Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to US$10.05, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 61% over the past year.お知らせ • Dec 22Algoma Steel Group Inc. Announces the Retirement of Andrew Schultz as Director, Effective December 31, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that Andrew Schultz is retiring from the board of directors effective December 31, 2023. Mr. Schultz originally joined the board of Algoma Steel Holdings Inc. in 2018, and continued as a director of Algoma in October 2021 as it became a public company following the merger with Legato Merger Corporation. He served as Chair of both the Human Resources & Compensation Committee and the Risk Committee, and as a valuable member of the Audit Committee and Operations & Capital Projects Committee.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Dec 22Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stockDavid Sgro intends to sell 200k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 19th of December. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$9.14, it would amount to US$1.8m. Since March 2023, David's direct individual holding has decreased from 763.98k shares to 573.29k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$1.6m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 10Independent Director recently sold US$378k worth of stockOn the 5th of December, David Sgro sold around 44k shares on-market at roughly US$8.60 per share. This transaction amounted to 7.1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth US$1.1m. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of US$1.5m more than they bought in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Dec 07Director exercised options and sold US$1.7m worth of stockOn the 4th of December, Michael McQuade exercised options to acquire 200k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$8.58 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. As of today, Michael currently holds no shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$1.3m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 24Independent Director recently sold US$1.1m worth of stockOn the 21st of November, David Sgro sold around 147k shares on-market at roughly US$7.75 per share. This transaction amounted to 19% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Nov 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 November 2023. Payment date: 29 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 41% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.6%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.9%).Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Nov 16Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stockDavid Sgro intends to sell 200k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 13th of November. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$7.21, it would amount to US$1.4m. Since March 2023, David has owned 763.98k shares directly. There has only been one transaction (US$1.6m purchase) from insiders over the last 12 months.分析記事 • Nov 09Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.05Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.05 per share on the 29th of...Reported Earnings • Nov 03Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CA$0.29 (vs CA$0.72 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CA$0.29 (down from CA$0.72 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CA$732.6m (up 22% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CA$31.1m (down 64% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.2% (down from 15% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.3% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.お知らせ • Nov 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 29, 2023The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on December 29, 2023, to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on November 30, 2023. This dividend is designated as an "eligible dividend" for Canadian income tax purposes.お知らせ • Oct 24Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 02, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 02, 2023お知らせ • Sep 29Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Production Guidance for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided production guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. For the quarter, total steel shipments are expected to be in the range of 540,000 tons to 550,000 tons.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 17Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 24 August 2023. Payment date: 29 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 22% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.6%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.8%). In line with average of industry peers (2.7%).分析記事 • Aug 15Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of...Reported Earnings • Aug 11First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2024 results: EPS: CA$1.21 (down from CA$2.99 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CA$827.2m (down 11% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CA$130.9m (down 57% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 32% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 1.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.9% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.お知らせ • Aug 11Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 29, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced the Board has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on September 29, 2023, to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on August 25, 2023.分析記事 • Aug 01The Returns On Capital At Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Don't Inspire ConfidenceIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...お知らせ • Jul 29Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 10, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on Aug 10, 2023お知らせ • Jul 15Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023.分析記事 • Jun 28Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.05 per share on...お知らせ • Jun 24+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 24, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that the Board has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on July 24th, 2023 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on July 5th, 2023.New Risk • Jun 23New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 11% Last year net profit margin: 23% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 24% per year for the foreseeable future. High level of non-cash earnings (43% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (11% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Jun 23Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: CA$2.43 (down from CA$8.53 in FY 2022). Revenue: CA$2.78b (down 27% from FY 2022). Net income: CA$298.5m (down 65% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 11% (down from 23% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 21%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.8% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.お知らせ • Jun 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jun 21, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Jun 21, 2023Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%After last week's 21% share price gain to US$9.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 8.7% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$4.20 per share.Upcoming Dividend • Feb 20Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.5% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 February 2023. Payment date: 31 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 6.3% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.3%). In line with average of industry peers (2.6%).分析記事 • Feb 15Improved Earnings Required Before Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Stock's 30% Jump Looks JustifiedAlgoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in...Reported Earnings • Feb 14Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2023 results: CA$0.64 loss per share (down from CA$1.15 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CA$567.8m (down 47% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: CA$69.8m (down 157% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 17%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 24%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Metals and Mining industry in the US are expected to remain flat.お知らせ • Feb 14Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 31, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on March 31, 2023 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on February 28, 2023.お知らせ • Feb 02Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 13, 2023Upcoming Dividend • Nov 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 November 2022. Payment date: 30 December 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.5% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.0%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.3%). In line with average of industry peers (3.1%).Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 10 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 10 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Director Mike McQuade is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Nov 08Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: EPS: CA$0.72 (down from CA$4.02 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CA$599.2m (down 41% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CA$87.2m (down 70% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 15% (down from 28% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 37%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 6.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Metals and Mining industry in the US are expected to remain flat.Seeking Alpha • Sep 28Algoma Steel slumps after sees Q2 adjusted EBITDA $75M-$80M and decline in shipments amid production shortfallAlgoma Steel (NASDAQ:ASTL) expects Q2 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $75 million to $80 million. Michael Garcia, the company’s CEO, commented, "In the quarter we experienced a production shortfall due to various operational challenges, resulting in a decline in shipments to an estimated 415,000 to 425,000 tons for the quarter." "Amid the challenges faced in the quarter, we continue to see steady demand for our products and are advancing the development and construction of our transformative Electric Arc Furnace project, which remains on time and on budget for a mid-year 2024 start-up." Shares are down 12.4% after-hours.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 20Independent Director recently sold US$1.1m worth of stockOn the 12th of September, Brian Pratt sold around 112k shares on-market at roughly US$9.38 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.0% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.Seeking Alpha • Aug 29Algoma Steel Group goes ex-dividend tomorrowAlgoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) had declared $0.05/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 2.09% Payable Sept. 30; for shareholders of record Aug. 31; ex-div Aug. 30. See ASTL Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 23Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 August 2022. Payment date: 30 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 1.3% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).Reported Earnings • Aug 04First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappointFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: CA$1.98. Revenue: CA$934.1m (up 18% from 1Q 2022). Net income: CA$301.4m (up 48% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 32% (up from 26% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to decline by 16% while the industry in the US is not expected to grow.分析記事 • Aug 04Is There An Opportunity With Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) 31% Undervaluation?Does the August share price for Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Seeking Alpha • Aug 03Algoma Steel Group GAAP EPS of C$1.49, revenue of C$934.1MAlgoma Steel Group press release (NASDAQ:ASTL): FQ1 GAAP EPS of C$1.49. Revenue of C$934.1M (+18.4% Y/Y). Shipments of 537,524 tons, compared to 610,057 tons in the prior-year quarter.Seeking Alpha • Jun 22Algoma Steel: Tender Offer Likely To Get UndersubscribedAlgoma Steel Group recently announced a large tender offer for ~25% of its shares at the current market price. The company remains extremely cheap versus peers despite its ongoing electric arc furnace transformation. Undervaluation, large tender offer size and ongoing transition all suggest that many shareholders will choose not to tender. This implies that the offer may very well end up undersubscribed and priced at the upper limit, presenting a 7% upside.Seeking Alpha • Jun 16Algoma Steel Announces Massive Buyback, To Repurchase +30% In 30 DaysAlgoma Steel leans on its strong balance sheet and issues a Substantial Issuer Bid. This is a huge share repurchase program, where Algoma will look to repurchase $400 million worth of stock in the coming month. Algoma Steel's accelerated share repurchase program could see approximately a third of its total market cap repurchased over the coming month. By my very rough estimates, Algoma is priced at 1.5x free cash flow. I rate this stock a buy.Reported Earnings • Jun 16Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: CA$8.53. Revenue: CA$3.81b (up 112% from FY 2021). Net income: CA$857.7m (up CA$919.7m from FY 2021). Profit margin: 23% (up from net loss in FY 2021). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 26%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.0%, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the mining industry in the US.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 14Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to US$7.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 2x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 20% over the past year.Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Director Mary Bueschkens is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Board Change • Mar 31High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Director Mary Bueschkens is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 03Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to US$9.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 2.5x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US.Reported Earnings • Feb 12Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: CA$1.15. Revenue: CA$1.06b (flat on 3Q 2021). Net income: CA$123.0m (up CA$123.0m from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 12% (up from null in 3Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 57%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 5.5% compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in the US.Seeking Alpha • Feb 11Algoma Steel: Exceptional Steel Market Results In Record PerformanceAlgoma Steel recently completed its going-public process but its share price did not participate in the red-hot steel market. The underlying results are exceptionally strong as the company generated more than C$2/share in free cash flow in the most recent quarter. The cash is being hoarded on the balance sheet and this will help to complete the conversion to EAF while maintaining financial flexibility. I have a long position and wouldn't mind adding more, but I'm aware the steel price has come down and will likely continue to decrease.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 25Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price decline to US$8.49, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 2x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$8.05 per share.Seeking Alpha • Nov 29Algoma Steel: Best Value In The SectorAlgoma Steel recently returned to the public markets via a SPAC transaction with Legato Merger Corp. Despite a recent earnings bump, the stock is still trading at 1.4x current EBITDA and 1.8x forward EBITDA. As cash flow drives down net debt and accrues to equity holders, the share price should appreciate by at least 50%. Warrants traded as ASTLW provide a very attractive way to leverage any exposure to stock price performance with the opportunity for greater than 100% returns.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 19Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to US$10.75, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 2.9x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US.Board Change • Oct 22No independent directorsFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.業績と収益の成長予測NasdaqGM:ASTL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )CAD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/20283,7575317427112/31/20272,029-83145242412/31/20261,582-337-69152412/31/20252,086-985-395-66N/A9/30/20252,214-770-664-274N/A6/30/20252,290-392-537-131N/A3/31/20252,351-275-488-81N/A12/31/20242,462-139-33882N/A9/30/20242,487-157-293112N/A6/30/20242,619-20-326144N/A3/31/20242,796105-195295N/A12/31/20232,85357-166269N/A9/30/20232,80572-284188N/A6/30/20232,672128-34565N/A3/31/20232,779299-194177N/A12/31/20223,043563166526N/A9/30/20223,540754678973N/A6/30/20223,9519561,1921,419N/A3/31/20223,8068581,0971,263N/A12/31/20213,503714857954N/A9/30/20212,868519501586N/A6/30/20212,23517071150N/A3/31/20211,795-76-648N/A3/31/20201,957-176-119-5N/A3/31/20192,69832N/A276N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: ASTLは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: ASTL今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: ASTL今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: ASTLの収益 ( 15.4% ) US市場 ( 11.5% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: ASTLの収益 ( 15.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: ASTL 3 年以内に赤字になると予測されています。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMaterials 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/07 06:19終値2026/05/07 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Algoma Steel Group Inc. 4 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。5 アナリスト機関David OcampoATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity ResearchChristopher LaFeminaJefferies LLC2 その他のアナリストを表示
お知らせ • Jan 09Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided operating guidance for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 375,000 to 380,000 tons.
お知らせ • Oct 02+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipment Guidance for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipment guidance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. For the quarter, the company expects Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be approximately 415,000 – 420,000 net tons.
お知らせ • Jan 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 545,000 to 550,000 tons.
お知らせ • Sep 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal Second Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal second quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 510,000 to 520,000 tons for the fiscal second quarter of 2025.
お知らせ • Jun 21+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal First Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal first quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 500,000 tons to 510,000 tons for the fiscal first quarter of 2025.
お知らせ • Feb 15Algoma Steel Group Inc. Resumes Normal Steel ProductionAlgoma Steel Group Inc. announced the repair and restart of its blast furnace is complete and steel production resumed on February 11, 2024. The company has strengthened its operations while advancing essential repair work required after a structure supporting utilities piping at the company’s coke-making plant collapsed on January 20, 2024. The company remains focused on completing necessary utilities corridor repairs safely and efficiently while increasing coke-making capacity and rebuilding inventory levels. The company will continue to assess supplementing its coke supplies with market purchases to balance its requirement for iron production.
お知らせ • May 02Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 12, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 12, 2026
お知らせ • Apr 13Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026.
お知らせ • Feb 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 11, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 11, 2026
Seeking Alpha • Feb 19Stay Cautious On Algoma Steel, But Watch For Early Signs Of RecoverySummary Algoma Steel Group Inc. remains rated Hold as challenging market conditions and weak steel demand persist, despite government support. ASTL faces deteriorating financials: Q3 2025 revenue fell 12.7%, adjusted EBITDA turned negative, and shipments declined 19.5%. A C$500 million government loan supports the electric arc furnace transition, but profitability and dividend resumption remain distant. Valuation remains unattractive with acute financial distress (Altman Z-score 0.55); investors should await clear signs of recovery or dividend reinstatement. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Jan 09Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided operating guidance for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 375,000 to 380,000 tons.
分析記事 • Nov 23Benign Growth For Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Underpins Stock's 25% PlummetTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares are down a considerable 25% in...
お知らせ • Oct 30+ 2 more updatesAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 1, 2026Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced a planned leadership transition as part of its ongoing succession planning process. Rajat Marwah, currently the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, has been appointed President and Chief Financial Officer effective November 1, 2025 and will be appointed to the role of Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2026. Mr. Marwah has been with Algoma since 2008 and has played a central role in shaping the Company’s long-term strategy, capital markets initiatives, and business transformation. He brings deep experience in corporate development, strategic planning, and stakeholder engagement, and has been instrumental in advancing Algoma’s transition to electric arc steelmaking. Also effective January 1, 2026, Michael Moraca, currently Vice President, Corporate Development and Treasurer, who currently leads Algoma’s Integrated Business Planning function, will be appointed Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Moraca brings extensive experience in corporate finance, capital markets, and strategic planning, and has been instrumental in supporting Algoma’s financial and operational initiatives over the past two decades.
お知らせ • Oct 21Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Oct 29, 2025
お知らせ • Oct 02+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipment Guidance for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipment guidance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. For the quarter, the company expects Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be approximately 415,000 – 420,000 net tons.
分析記事 • Oct 01The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) share price has dived 27% in the last...
お知らせ • Jul 16Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Jul 29, 2025
分析記事 • Jun 29There's No Escaping Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Muted Revenues Despite A 27% Share Price RiseThe Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
お知らせ • Jun 25Algoma Steel Group Inc. Elects Melinda J. Newman as DirectorAlgoma Steel Group Inc. at its annual meeting of shareholders held on June 24, 2025, approved the election of Melinda J. Newman as director.
分析記事 • May 11Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Soars 29% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs RewardThose holding Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29...
お知らせ • Apr 30Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on May 30, 2025The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on May 30, 2025 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on May 13, 2025. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.
お知らせ • Apr 23Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on Apr 29, 2025
お知らせ • Apr 14Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025.
お知らせ • Mar 13Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 10, 2025The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on April 10, 2025 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on March 21, 2025. This dividend is designated as an “eligible dividend” for Canadian income tax purposes.
分析記事 • Mar 11Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) 34% Share Price PlungeTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shares are down a considerable 34% in...
お知らせ • Feb 28Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Mar 12, 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 12, 2025
分析記事 • Jan 06Here's Why Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Can Afford Some DebtWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
お知らせ • Jan 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2024. Total steel shipments for the quarter are expected to be in the range of 545,000 to 550,000 tons.
分析記事 • Dec 07Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Low P/SAlgoma Steel Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might make it look like a buy right...
お知らせ • Nov 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 27, 2024The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on December 27, 2024 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on November 27, 2024.
お知らせ • Sep 27Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal Second Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal second quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 510,000 to 520,000 tons for the fiscal second quarter of 2025.
分析記事 • Aug 28Is Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) A Risky Investment?Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
お知らせ • Aug 14Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 27, 2024The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on September 27, 2024 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on August 23, 2024.
お知らせ • Aug 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 13, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 13, 2024
分析記事 • Aug 01There's No Escaping Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) Muted Earnings Despite A 28% Share Price RiseAlgoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
お知らせ • Jul 15Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 24, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 24, 2024.
分析記事 • Jun 27Why Algoma Steel Group's (NASDAQ:ASTL) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its ProblemsThe subdued market reaction suggests that Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) recent earnings didn't contain any...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 26Algoma Steel: Canadian Steel At 3.5 Times The LTM EBITDASummary Algoma Steel Group Inc. faced challenges in FY 2024 due to weak steel prices and a structural corridor failure, impacting financial performance. Despite challenges, Algoma Steel reported profitability and strong operating cash flow, with plans to commission a new Electric Arc Furnace. The company's investment thesis remains positive, with potential for improved margins and outsized EBITDA and free cash flow results post-EAF commissioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Jun 26Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 19th of July...
お知らせ • Jun 21+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Total Steel Shipments Guidance for the Fiscal First Quarter of 2025Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided total steel shipments guidance for the fiscal first quarter of 2025. Total steel shipments expected to be 500,000 tons to 510,000 tons for the fiscal first quarter of 2025.
お知らせ • Jun 08Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Jun 20, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Jun 20, 2024
Board Change • May 14High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 9 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 9 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Director Mike McQuade is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
お知らせ • Feb 15Algoma Steel Group Inc. Resumes Normal Steel ProductionAlgoma Steel Group Inc. announced the repair and restart of its blast furnace is complete and steel production resumed on February 11, 2024. The company has strengthened its operations while advancing essential repair work required after a structure supporting utilities piping at the company’s coke-making plant collapsed on January 20, 2024. The company remains focused on completing necessary utilities corridor repairs safely and efficiently while increasing coke-making capacity and rebuilding inventory levels. The company will continue to assess supplementing its coke supplies with market purchases to balance its requirement for iron production.
お知らせ • Jan 30Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 06, 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 06, 2024
お知らせ • Jan 24Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Update on Incident at Coke-Making PlantAlgoma Steel Group Inc. provided an update further to the incident on January 20 at its coke-making plant when a structure supporting utilities piping collapsed. Algoma advised that the water-related environmental release was fully contained by the evening of January 20, with most of the effluent being contained on-site. As a result, Algoma currently believes that there is a low risk of impact to the adjacent waterway. The Company remains in contact with regulatory authorities, union leadership, and local stakeholders including Indigenous communities. A repair plan for the coke-making plant is being developed with third party engineering support in accordance with Algoma's Environmental Compliance Approval. While the Company is actively assessing coke-making capacity, limited production has resumed at the three coke-production units. At the time of the coke-making incident, for safety reasons Blast Furnace operations were temporarily suspended while the site was secured. Upon the normal course resumption of iron production, Algoma experienced issues at the Blast Furnace related to other utilities supplying the facility as an unexpected consequence of the coke-making incident. As a result, the Blast Furnace was taken offline and work is underway to restart the furnace. The Company is evaluating the potential operational impact of the Blast Furnace being offline and currently expects to resume production within two weeks. The company expects some impact on shipments, the extent of which will depend on the timeline to resume Blast Furnace operations. Algoma's combined plate/strip mill and cold mill operations remain unaffected by the incident, as does the EAF construction. Algoma currently believes that it can source adequate coke from third-party suppliers to augment coke production and coke inventory on site. Algoma has given notice to relevant insurance providers and continues to complete assessments and advance repairs to expedite a return to normal operations while prioritizing the ongoing safety of its employees, the community and the environment.
分析記事 • Jan 23Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of ReturnDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 22Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to US$10.05, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 61% over the past year.
お知らせ • Dec 22Algoma Steel Group Inc. Announces the Retirement of Andrew Schultz as Director, Effective December 31, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that Andrew Schultz is retiring from the board of directors effective December 31, 2023. Mr. Schultz originally joined the board of Algoma Steel Holdings Inc. in 2018, and continued as a director of Algoma in October 2021 as it became a public company following the merger with Legato Merger Corporation. He served as Chair of both the Human Resources & Compensation Committee and the Risk Committee, and as a valuable member of the Audit Committee and Operations & Capital Projects Committee.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Dec 22Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stockDavid Sgro intends to sell 200k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 19th of December. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$9.14, it would amount to US$1.8m. Since March 2023, David's direct individual holding has decreased from 763.98k shares to 573.29k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$1.6m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 10Independent Director recently sold US$378k worth of stockOn the 5th of December, David Sgro sold around 44k shares on-market at roughly US$8.60 per share. This transaction amounted to 7.1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth US$1.1m. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of US$1.5m more than they bought in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Dec 07Director exercised options and sold US$1.7m worth of stockOn the 4th of December, Michael McQuade exercised options to acquire 200k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$8.58 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. As of today, Michael currently holds no shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$1.3m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 24Independent Director recently sold US$1.1m worth of stockOn the 21st of November, David Sgro sold around 147k shares on-market at roughly US$7.75 per share. This transaction amounted to 19% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Nov 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 November 2023. Payment date: 29 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 41% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.6%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.9%).
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Nov 16Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stockDavid Sgro intends to sell 200k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 13th of November. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$7.21, it would amount to US$1.4m. Since March 2023, David has owned 763.98k shares directly. There has only been one transaction (US$1.6m purchase) from insiders over the last 12 months.
分析記事 • Nov 09Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.05Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.05 per share on the 29th of...
Reported Earnings • Nov 03Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CA$0.29 (vs CA$0.72 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CA$0.29 (down from CA$0.72 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CA$732.6m (up 22% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CA$31.1m (down 64% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.2% (down from 15% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.3% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
お知らせ • Nov 03Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 29, 2023The Board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on December 29, 2023, to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on November 30, 2023. This dividend is designated as an "eligible dividend" for Canadian income tax purposes.
お知らせ • Oct 24Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 02, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 02, 2023
お知らせ • Sep 29Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Production Guidance for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided production guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024. For the quarter, total steel shipments are expected to be in the range of 540,000 tons to 550,000 tons.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 17Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 24 August 2023. Payment date: 29 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 22% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.6%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.8%). In line with average of industry peers (2.7%).
分析記事 • Aug 15Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 29th of...
Reported Earnings • Aug 11First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2024 results: EPS: CA$1.21 (down from CA$2.99 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CA$827.2m (down 11% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CA$130.9m (down 57% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 32% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 1.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.9% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
お知らせ • Aug 11Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 29, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced the Board has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on September 29, 2023, to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on August 25, 2023.
分析記事 • Aug 01The Returns On Capital At Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Don't Inspire ConfidenceIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
お知らせ • Jul 29Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 10, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on Aug 10, 2023
お知らせ • Jul 15Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc., Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023.
分析記事 • Jun 28Algoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.05The board of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.05 per share on...
お知らせ • Jun 24+ 1 more updateAlgoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 24, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that the Board has declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of USD 0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on July 24th, 2023 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on July 5th, 2023.
New Risk • Jun 23New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 11% Last year net profit margin: 23% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 24% per year for the foreseeable future. High level of non-cash earnings (43% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (11% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Jun 23Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: CA$2.43 (down from CA$8.53 in FY 2022). Revenue: CA$2.78b (down 27% from FY 2022). Net income: CA$298.5m (down 65% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 11% (down from 23% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 21%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.8% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
お知らせ • Jun 07Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jun 21, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Jun 21, 2023
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%After last week's 21% share price gain to US$9.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 8.7% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$4.20 per share.
Upcoming Dividend • Feb 20Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per share at 2.5% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 February 2023. Payment date: 31 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 6.3% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.3%). In line with average of industry peers (2.6%).
分析記事 • Feb 15Improved Earnings Required Before Algoma Steel Group Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTL) Stock's 30% Jump Looks JustifiedAlgoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in...
Reported Earnings • Feb 14Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2023 results: CA$0.64 loss per share (down from CA$1.15 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CA$567.8m (down 47% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: CA$69.8m (down 157% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 17%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 24%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Metals and Mining industry in the US are expected to remain flat.
お知らせ • Feb 14Algoma Steel Group Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on March 31, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. declared a regular quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.05 on each common share outstanding, payable on March 31, 2023 to holders of record of common shares of the Corporation as of the close of business on February 28, 2023.
お知らせ • Feb 02Algoma Steel Group Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2023Algoma Steel Group Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 13, 2023
Upcoming Dividend • Nov 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 November 2022. Payment date: 30 December 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.5% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.0%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.3%). In line with average of industry peers (3.1%).
Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 10 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 10 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Director Mike McQuade is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Nov 08Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: EPS: CA$0.72 (down from CA$4.02 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CA$599.2m (down 41% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CA$87.2m (down 70% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 15% (down from 28% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 37%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 6.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Metals and Mining industry in the US are expected to remain flat.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 28Algoma Steel slumps after sees Q2 adjusted EBITDA $75M-$80M and decline in shipments amid production shortfallAlgoma Steel (NASDAQ:ASTL) expects Q2 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of $75 million to $80 million. Michael Garcia, the company’s CEO, commented, "In the quarter we experienced a production shortfall due to various operational challenges, resulting in a decline in shipments to an estimated 415,000 to 425,000 tons for the quarter." "Amid the challenges faced in the quarter, we continue to see steady demand for our products and are advancing the development and construction of our transformative Electric Arc Furnace project, which remains on time and on budget for a mid-year 2024 start-up." Shares are down 12.4% after-hours.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 20Independent Director recently sold US$1.1m worth of stockOn the 12th of September, Brian Pratt sold around 112k shares on-market at roughly US$9.38 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.0% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 29Algoma Steel Group goes ex-dividend tomorrowAlgoma Steel Group (NASDAQ:ASTL) had declared $0.05/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 2.09% Payable Sept. 30; for shareholders of record Aug. 31; ex-div Aug. 30. See ASTL Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 23Upcoming dividend of US$0.05 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 August 2022. Payment date: 30 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 1.3% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).
Reported Earnings • Aug 04First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappointFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: CA$1.98. Revenue: CA$934.1m (up 18% from 1Q 2022). Net income: CA$301.4m (up 48% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 32% (up from 26% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to decline by 16% while the industry in the US is not expected to grow.
分析記事 • Aug 04Is There An Opportunity With Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASTL) 31% Undervaluation?Does the August share price for Algoma Steel Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:ASTL ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03Algoma Steel Group GAAP EPS of C$1.49, revenue of C$934.1MAlgoma Steel Group press release (NASDAQ:ASTL): FQ1 GAAP EPS of C$1.49. Revenue of C$934.1M (+18.4% Y/Y). Shipments of 537,524 tons, compared to 610,057 tons in the prior-year quarter.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 22Algoma Steel: Tender Offer Likely To Get UndersubscribedAlgoma Steel Group recently announced a large tender offer for ~25% of its shares at the current market price. The company remains extremely cheap versus peers despite its ongoing electric arc furnace transformation. Undervaluation, large tender offer size and ongoing transition all suggest that many shareholders will choose not to tender. This implies that the offer may very well end up undersubscribed and priced at the upper limit, presenting a 7% upside.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 16Algoma Steel Announces Massive Buyback, To Repurchase +30% In 30 DaysAlgoma Steel leans on its strong balance sheet and issues a Substantial Issuer Bid. This is a huge share repurchase program, where Algoma will look to repurchase $400 million worth of stock in the coming month. Algoma Steel's accelerated share repurchase program could see approximately a third of its total market cap repurchased over the coming month. By my very rough estimates, Algoma is priced at 1.5x free cash flow. I rate this stock a buy.
Reported Earnings • Jun 16Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: CA$8.53. Revenue: CA$3.81b (up 112% from FY 2021). Net income: CA$857.7m (up CA$919.7m from FY 2021). Profit margin: 23% (up from net loss in FY 2021). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 26%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.0%, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the mining industry in the US.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 14Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to US$7.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 2x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 20% over the past year.
Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Director Mary Bueschkens is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Board Change • Mar 31High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Independent Director Mary Bueschkens is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 03Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to US$9.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 2.5x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
Reported Earnings • Feb 12Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: CA$1.15. Revenue: CA$1.06b (flat on 3Q 2021). Net income: CA$123.0m (up CA$123.0m from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 12% (up from null in 3Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 57%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 5.5% compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in the US.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 11Algoma Steel: Exceptional Steel Market Results In Record PerformanceAlgoma Steel recently completed its going-public process but its share price did not participate in the red-hot steel market. The underlying results are exceptionally strong as the company generated more than C$2/share in free cash flow in the most recent quarter. The cash is being hoarded on the balance sheet and this will help to complete the conversion to EAF while maintaining financial flexibility. I have a long position and wouldn't mind adding more, but I'm aware the steel price has come down and will likely continue to decrease.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 25Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price decline to US$8.49, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 2x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$8.05 per share.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 29Algoma Steel: Best Value In The SectorAlgoma Steel recently returned to the public markets via a SPAC transaction with Legato Merger Corp. Despite a recent earnings bump, the stock is still trading at 1.4x current EBITDA and 1.8x forward EBITDA. As cash flow drives down net debt and accrues to equity holders, the share price should appreciate by at least 50%. Warrants traded as ASTLW provide a very attractive way to leverage any exposure to stock price performance with the opportunity for greater than 100% returns.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 19Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to US$10.75, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 2.9x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
Board Change • Oct 22No independent directorsFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.