View ValuationAccelerant Holdings 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /56Accelerant Holdings利益と収益がそれぞれ年間30.4%と13.5%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に28.7% 49.7%なると予測されています。主要情報30.4%収益成長率49.71%EPS成長率Insurance 収益成長1.2%収益成長率13.5%将来の株主資本利益率28.69%アナリストカバレッジGood最終更新日13 Aug 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • Nov 21Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$900.6m to US$920.2m. Forecast EPS reduced from -US$6.21 to -US$6.96 per share. Insurance industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 9.9% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$21.13. Share price fell 4.4% to US$12.96 over the past week.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • 1hThoma Bravo, L.P. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire an additional majority stake in Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) from Altamont Capital Management, LP and other shareholders for an enterprise value of approximately $4 billion.Thoma Bravo, L.P. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire an additional majority stake in Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) from Altamont Capital Management, LP and other shareholders for an enterprise value of approximately $4 billion on August 13, 2026. A cash consideration valued at $20.25 per share and will be paid by Thoma Bravo, L.P. Under the terms of the agreement, Accelerant Class A and Class B stockholders will receive $20.25 per share in cash, representing a 49% premium to Accelerant’s closing share price on August 12, 2026. Upon completion, Thoma Bravo to become a privately held company in an all-cash transaction with an enterprise value of more than $4 billion. Under certain circumstances, if the closing of the transaction is delayed by certain pending insurance regulatory approvals, shareholders will receive a ticking fee accruing at a rate of 6% per annum for a period specified in the agreement. Entities affiliated with Altamont Capital Partners holding shares representing approximately 82% of the Company’s outstanding voting rights have agreed to vote their shares in favor of the transaction. The transaction is not subject to any financing condition as Thoma Bravo has provided an equity commitment to fund the purchase. Upon completion, Accelerant will become a private company, and its common shares will no longer be listed nor traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Altamont Capital Partners, Accelerant's largest investor, and the Company's founders, intend to retain equity ownership alongside Thoma Bravo, the terms of which will be finalized prior to closing. The transaction is subject to approval of merger agreement by target board, approval by regulatory board / committee and approval of offer by target shareholders. The Company’s Board of Directors established a Special Committee comprised solely of independent and disinterested directors to review and consider the transaction. The Special Committee believes this transaction recognizes the valuable platform and ecosystem that the Accelerant team has built, and provides immediate value to shareholders at a substantial premium. The deal has been unanimously approved by the board. The transaction, which is currently expected to close in the first half of 2027. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC is serving as exclusive financial advisor to the Board of Directors of Accelerant. Paul Hastings LLP is serving as U.S. legal counsel, Sidley Austin LLP is serving as special insurance counsel, and Maples Group is serving as Cayman Islands legal counsel to Accelerant. Houlihan Lokey is serving as financial advisor and Conyers Dill & Pearman is serving as legal counsel to the Special Committee. Goodwin Procter LLP is serving as legal counsel, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP is serving as special insurance counsel and Walkers is serving as Cayman Islands legal counsel to Thoma Bravo. BMO Capital Markets and Wells Fargo are serving as financial advisors to Thoma Bravo. Ropes & Gray LLP is serving as legal counsel to Altamont Capital Partners.Seeking Alpha • 7hAccelerant Gets A Boost With Thoma Bravo's BidSummary Accelerant Holdings receives a $20.25/share all-cash buyout offer from Thoma Bravo, valuing it at ~$4 billion EV. Deal closing is highly probable due to Altamont's 82% voting support, minimal regulatory hurdles, and Thoma Bravo's ample funding. ARX's Q2 saw 23% premium growth, a 31% EBITDA margin, and continued platform expansion, but growth has decelerated and insurance margins face pressure. I rate ARX a "Hold" as the deal premium is largely realized; shares offer a modest, low-risk return to close, with little chance of a higher bid. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブ更新 • Aug 07ARX: Tech-Focused Risk Exchange And Buybacks Will Support Future UpsideAnalysts have trimmed their price target for Accelerant Holdings from $16.00 to $14.00, reflecting updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings launched the ARX Consortium within the Accelerant Risk Exchange, working with seven Lloyd’s of London syndicates to support a diversified specialty risk portfolio using the combined resources of its premium flow and the Lloyd’s market.New Risk • Jul 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (US$1.3m sold).ナラティブ更新 • Jul 24ARX: Fee-Based Specialty Platform And New Capacity Will Drive Future UpsideAnalysts have trimmed their price target on Accelerant Holdings to about $27.88 from roughly $32.94. They pointed to updated assumptions that factor in a higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple.お知らせ • Jul 24Accelerant Holdings to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Aug 13, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results Pre-Market on Aug 13, 2026Recent Insider Transactions • Jul 22Co-Founder recently sold US$1.3m worth of stockOn the 20th of July, Jeffrey Radke sold around 95k shares on-market at roughly US$13.63 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Jeffrey has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by US$292k.ライブニュース • Jul 15Accelerant Expands Underwriting Capacity With WoodStar and $220 Million in New BackingAccelerant Holdings has entered a partnership with WoodStar Reciprocal Exchange, which is expected to provide more than $220 million of dedicated underwriting capacity to the Accelerant Risk Exchange starting in 2027. WoodStar is capitalized by third parties including Kilter Finance and Blue Owl Capital and will be managed by an entity majority owned by Accelerant, allowing Accelerant to grow its fee-based, capital-light model while avoiding direct underwriting risk. Accelerant’s share price is $12.67, with the stock down 18.8% year to date. Shifting more business to a fee-based structure backed by external capital could change how Accelerant’s earnings are driven, with less direct exposure to insurance losses and more reliance on management and service fees, which readers may see as a different risk profile compared with traditional balance sheet underwriting.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 10ARX: Fee-Based Exchange Model And AI Integration Will Drive Future UpsideAnalysts have lowered their price target for Accelerant Holdings from about $20.67 to $19.22 as they recalibrate assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant launched the ARX Consortium at Lloyd’s of London, backed by seven Lloyd’s syndicates.ライブニュース • Jul 03Accelerant Holdings Launches ARX Consortium With Seven Lloyd’s Syndicates for Specialty Risk PlatformAccelerant Holdings has launched the ARX Consortium in partnership with seven Lloyd’s of London syndicates, creating a flexible platform that uses Accelerant’s data-driven premium flow alongside Lloyd’s market security to manage a diversified specialty risk portfolio. Management frames the consortium as a way to pursue profitable growth within Lloyd’s by working with Accelerant’s growing group of Managing General Agent members, potentially widening the range of specialty risks the company can support. Accelerant’s shares trade at about US$13.77, with the stock down 12.0% over the past month, indicating recent share price pressure despite this new Lloyd’s-focused initiative. The consortium structure gives Accelerant another channel to deploy its underwriting and data capabilities, but it also increases reliance on specialty risk performance and Lloyd’s partnership stability, which are key variables to watch for anyone assessing the stock’s risk profile.ライブニュース • Jul 02Incline P&C Expands Role in Accelerant Partnership Fronting Over $500 Million PremiumsIncline P&C Group is expanding its relationship with Accelerant Holdings, and from 1 July 2026 will act as fronting carrier for more than $500 million in annual gross written premiums across Accelerant’s U.S. commercial specialty insurance portfolio. The arrangement increases Incline’s role and provides Accelerant’s Risk Capital Partners with direct reinsurance access, which could influence how risk is shared and capital is allocated across Accelerant’s platform. Accelerant’s share price is $12.84, with the stock down 17.7% year to date, so the market is not currently pricing in strong momentum despite this larger partnership. This expanded fronting deal puts more premium flow and counterparty concentration around Incline, so the key watchpoint is how effectively Accelerant manages credit, operational and reinsurance-collectability risk tied to this single partner.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jun 29Director notifies of intention to sell stockNancy Hasley intends to sell 35k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 23rd of June. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$12.89, it would amount to US$451k. Nancy currently holds less than 1% of total shares outstanding. Company insiders have collectively bought US$1.9m more than they sold, via options and on-market transactions, in the last 12 months.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 26ARX: Tech-Driven MGA Marketplace And Buybacks Will Support Future UpsideAnalysts have reduced their price target for Accelerant Holdings to $16 from $17 as they reset assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations while also applying a slightly higher discount rate. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings operates a tech-enabled MGA marketplace that connects managing general agents and risk capital partners using data analytics and machine learning, according to recent coverage of the company’s business model.ライブニュース • Jun 15Accelerant Holdings Sees Rapid Growth Leveraging Data and Capital-Light Insurance MarketplaceAccelerant Holdings operates a tech-enabled managing general agent marketplace that connects MGAs and risk capital partners using advanced data analytics and machine learning. The company is building out hybrid insurance models aimed at more efficient, capital-light risk exchange in specialty insurance. Accelerant reported more than $4b in exchange written premium, nearly $900m in revenue, and over 150% EBITDA growth, reflecting the scalability of its platform economics and momentum in third-party premium activity. The focus on a data-driven, capital-light marketplace places Accelerant among insurance platforms that rely on scale and information advantages rather than traditional balance sheet risk-taking. Investors may want to watch how resilient this model remains if insurance rates soften further, since performance depends heavily on continued appetite from third-party MGAs and capital providers.ライブニュース • Jun 08Accelerant Holdings Grows Specialty Insurance Marketplace With Hybrid Capital-Light ModelsAccelerant Holdings is expanding its technology-enabled marketplace that connects managing general agents (MGAs) with risk capital partners using data-intensive tools and machine learning. The company is rolling out hybrid insurance models designed to support more efficient, flexible and capital-light risk exchange within specialty insurance. Management positions this approach as reshaping how specialty insurance risk is sourced, priced and managed, even as the broader insurance rate environment is described as softening. The focus on a capital-light, tech-driven platform suggests Accelerant is trying to grow its specialty insurance footprint without relying heavily on its own balance sheet, which can matter for returns on capital and risk control. Investors may want to watch how these hybrid models scale and how the company manages credit and underwriting risk if insurance pricing remains under pressure.Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.023 loss per share (down from US$3.27 profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$273.3m (up 67% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$5.20m (down 180% from profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.5% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.お知らせ • Apr 29Accelerant Holdings to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 13, 2026Board Change • Mar 31Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Kunal Arora was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: US$7.49 loss per share (down from US$13.71 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: US$912.9m (up 63% from FY 2024). Net loss: US$1.43b (down US$1.45b from profit in FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.お知らせ • Mar 19+ 1 more updateAccelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) announces an Equity Buyback.Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase shares up to $200 million worth of its Class A common shares. The program is valid till December 31, 2028.お知らせ • Mar 02Accelerant Holdings, Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026Accelerant Holdings, Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026.お知らせ • Feb 25Accelerant Holdings Announces Management Changes, Effective March 31, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced the appointments of Cliff Jenks as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary and Ray Iardella as Head of Investor Relations. Jenks will oversee Accelerant’s legal affairs and corporate governance, while Iardella will lead the company’s engagement with the investment community. Cliff Jenks joins Accelerant with more than 20 years of experience in capital markets transactions, third party capital, M&A, investment transactions, and public company governance. Most recently, he served as Senior Vice President, Corporate and Securities Counsel and Corporate Secretary at Reinsurance Group of America, where he held leadership roles for more than 14 years. Earlier in his career, Jenks advised public companies on complex transactions, disclosure, and compliance matters. Jenks will succeed Nancy Hasley, who is retiring following a distinguished tenure with the company beginning in its earliest days in 2019 through its initial public offering. The leadership transition will be effective March 31, 2026. In the newly created role of Head of Investor Relations, Ray Iardella will direct the company’s strategic communications with institutional investors and analysts. With more than two decades of financial markets and insurance industry experience, Iardella recently served as Vice President of Investor Relations at Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., where he helped shape the company’s strategic positioning with the investment community. Prior to Gallagher, he held senior analyst and actuarial roles with leading insurance, financial, and asset management firms.お知らせ • Feb 09Accelerant Holdings to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 19, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results Pre-Market on Mar 19, 2026新しいナラティブ • Jan 23Data And AI Execution Risks May Soften Exchange Fee Potential Yet Still Support UpsideCatalysts About Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings operates a specialty insurance risk exchange that connects niche underwriters with risk capital providers and earns primarily fee-based revenue. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Major Estimate Revision • Nov 21Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$900.6m to US$920.2m. Forecast EPS reduced from -US$6.21 to -US$6.96 per share. Insurance industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 9.9% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$21.13. Share price fell 4.4% to US$12.96 over the past week.Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 19Co-Founder recently bought US$999k worth of stockOn the 14th of November, Jeffrey Radke bought around 74k shares on-market at roughly US$13.48 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Jeffrey's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2025 results: US$6.99 loss per share (down from US$0.049 profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$267.4m (up 74% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: US$1.44b (down US$1.45b from profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.2% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.お知らせ • Oct 03Accelerant Holdings to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results Pre-Market on Nov 13, 2025Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.053. Net income: US$8.80m (up US$8.80m from 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 50%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.お知らせ • Aug 14Accelerant Holdings to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 28, 2025Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 28, 2025お知らせ • Jul 24Accelerant Holdings has completed an IPO in the amount of $723.684192 million.Accelerant Holdings has completed an IPO in the amount of $723.684192 million. Security Name: Class A Common Shares Security Type: Common Stock Securities Offered: 34,461,152 Price\Range: $21 Discount Per Security: $1.155 Transaction Features: Reserved Share Offering業績と収益の成長予測NYSE:ARX - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数3/31/2026954-1,437290332N/A12/31/2025856-1,425404445N/A9/30/2025767-1,403586625N/A6/30/202568944790828N/A3/31/202560627698733N/A12/31/202456227751786N/A9/30/20244923611643N/A12/31/2023324-49257290N/A9/30/2023282-64162193N/A12/31/2022220-924168N/A12/31/2021101-2198113N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: ARXは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.7% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: ARX今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: ARX今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: ARXの収益 ( 13.5% ) US市場 ( 12.9% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: ARXの収益 ( 13.5% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: ARXの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 28.7 %)成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YInsurance 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/08/13 22:43終値2026/08/13 00:00収益2026/06/30年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Accelerant Holdings 9 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。11 アナリスト機関Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Researchnull nullBMO Capital Markets Equity ResearchMatthew CarlettiCitizens JMP Securities, LLC8 その他のアナリストを表示
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 21Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$900.6m to US$920.2m. Forecast EPS reduced from -US$6.21 to -US$6.96 per share. Insurance industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 9.9% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$21.13. Share price fell 4.4% to US$12.96 over the past week.
お知らせ • 1hThoma Bravo, L.P. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire an additional majority stake in Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) from Altamont Capital Management, LP and other shareholders for an enterprise value of approximately $4 billion.Thoma Bravo, L.P. entered into a definitive agreement to acquire an additional majority stake in Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) from Altamont Capital Management, LP and other shareholders for an enterprise value of approximately $4 billion on August 13, 2026. A cash consideration valued at $20.25 per share and will be paid by Thoma Bravo, L.P. Under the terms of the agreement, Accelerant Class A and Class B stockholders will receive $20.25 per share in cash, representing a 49% premium to Accelerant’s closing share price on August 12, 2026. Upon completion, Thoma Bravo to become a privately held company in an all-cash transaction with an enterprise value of more than $4 billion. Under certain circumstances, if the closing of the transaction is delayed by certain pending insurance regulatory approvals, shareholders will receive a ticking fee accruing at a rate of 6% per annum for a period specified in the agreement. Entities affiliated with Altamont Capital Partners holding shares representing approximately 82% of the Company’s outstanding voting rights have agreed to vote their shares in favor of the transaction. The transaction is not subject to any financing condition as Thoma Bravo has provided an equity commitment to fund the purchase. Upon completion, Accelerant will become a private company, and its common shares will no longer be listed nor traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Altamont Capital Partners, Accelerant's largest investor, and the Company's founders, intend to retain equity ownership alongside Thoma Bravo, the terms of which will be finalized prior to closing. The transaction is subject to approval of merger agreement by target board, approval by regulatory board / committee and approval of offer by target shareholders. The Company’s Board of Directors established a Special Committee comprised solely of independent and disinterested directors to review and consider the transaction. The Special Committee believes this transaction recognizes the valuable platform and ecosystem that the Accelerant team has built, and provides immediate value to shareholders at a substantial premium. The deal has been unanimously approved by the board. The transaction, which is currently expected to close in the first half of 2027. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC is serving as exclusive financial advisor to the Board of Directors of Accelerant. Paul Hastings LLP is serving as U.S. legal counsel, Sidley Austin LLP is serving as special insurance counsel, and Maples Group is serving as Cayman Islands legal counsel to Accelerant. Houlihan Lokey is serving as financial advisor and Conyers Dill & Pearman is serving as legal counsel to the Special Committee. Goodwin Procter LLP is serving as legal counsel, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP is serving as special insurance counsel and Walkers is serving as Cayman Islands legal counsel to Thoma Bravo. BMO Capital Markets and Wells Fargo are serving as financial advisors to Thoma Bravo. Ropes & Gray LLP is serving as legal counsel to Altamont Capital Partners.
Seeking Alpha • 7hAccelerant Gets A Boost With Thoma Bravo's BidSummary Accelerant Holdings receives a $20.25/share all-cash buyout offer from Thoma Bravo, valuing it at ~$4 billion EV. Deal closing is highly probable due to Altamont's 82% voting support, minimal regulatory hurdles, and Thoma Bravo's ample funding. ARX's Q2 saw 23% premium growth, a 31% EBITDA margin, and continued platform expansion, but growth has decelerated and insurance margins face pressure. I rate ARX a "Hold" as the deal premium is largely realized; shares offer a modest, low-risk return to close, with little chance of a higher bid. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 07ARX: Tech-Focused Risk Exchange And Buybacks Will Support Future UpsideAnalysts have trimmed their price target for Accelerant Holdings from $16.00 to $14.00, reflecting updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings launched the ARX Consortium within the Accelerant Risk Exchange, working with seven Lloyd’s of London syndicates to support a diversified specialty risk portfolio using the combined resources of its premium flow and the Lloyd’s market.
New Risk • Jul 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (US$1.3m sold).
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 24ARX: Fee-Based Specialty Platform And New Capacity Will Drive Future UpsideAnalysts have trimmed their price target on Accelerant Holdings to about $27.88 from roughly $32.94. They pointed to updated assumptions that factor in a higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple.
お知らせ • Jul 24Accelerant Holdings to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Aug 13, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results Pre-Market on Aug 13, 2026
Recent Insider Transactions • Jul 22Co-Founder recently sold US$1.3m worth of stockOn the 20th of July, Jeffrey Radke sold around 95k shares on-market at roughly US$13.63 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Jeffrey has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by US$292k.
ライブニュース • Jul 15Accelerant Expands Underwriting Capacity With WoodStar and $220 Million in New BackingAccelerant Holdings has entered a partnership with WoodStar Reciprocal Exchange, which is expected to provide more than $220 million of dedicated underwriting capacity to the Accelerant Risk Exchange starting in 2027. WoodStar is capitalized by third parties including Kilter Finance and Blue Owl Capital and will be managed by an entity majority owned by Accelerant, allowing Accelerant to grow its fee-based, capital-light model while avoiding direct underwriting risk. Accelerant’s share price is $12.67, with the stock down 18.8% year to date. Shifting more business to a fee-based structure backed by external capital could change how Accelerant’s earnings are driven, with less direct exposure to insurance losses and more reliance on management and service fees, which readers may see as a different risk profile compared with traditional balance sheet underwriting.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 10ARX: Fee-Based Exchange Model And AI Integration Will Drive Future UpsideAnalysts have lowered their price target for Accelerant Holdings from about $20.67 to $19.22 as they recalibrate assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant launched the ARX Consortium at Lloyd’s of London, backed by seven Lloyd’s syndicates.
ライブニュース • Jul 03Accelerant Holdings Launches ARX Consortium With Seven Lloyd’s Syndicates for Specialty Risk PlatformAccelerant Holdings has launched the ARX Consortium in partnership with seven Lloyd’s of London syndicates, creating a flexible platform that uses Accelerant’s data-driven premium flow alongside Lloyd’s market security to manage a diversified specialty risk portfolio. Management frames the consortium as a way to pursue profitable growth within Lloyd’s by working with Accelerant’s growing group of Managing General Agent members, potentially widening the range of specialty risks the company can support. Accelerant’s shares trade at about US$13.77, with the stock down 12.0% over the past month, indicating recent share price pressure despite this new Lloyd’s-focused initiative. The consortium structure gives Accelerant another channel to deploy its underwriting and data capabilities, but it also increases reliance on specialty risk performance and Lloyd’s partnership stability, which are key variables to watch for anyone assessing the stock’s risk profile.
ライブニュース • Jul 02Incline P&C Expands Role in Accelerant Partnership Fronting Over $500 Million PremiumsIncline P&C Group is expanding its relationship with Accelerant Holdings, and from 1 July 2026 will act as fronting carrier for more than $500 million in annual gross written premiums across Accelerant’s U.S. commercial specialty insurance portfolio. The arrangement increases Incline’s role and provides Accelerant’s Risk Capital Partners with direct reinsurance access, which could influence how risk is shared and capital is allocated across Accelerant’s platform. Accelerant’s share price is $12.84, with the stock down 17.7% year to date, so the market is not currently pricing in strong momentum despite this larger partnership. This expanded fronting deal puts more premium flow and counterparty concentration around Incline, so the key watchpoint is how effectively Accelerant manages credit, operational and reinsurance-collectability risk tied to this single partner.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jun 29Director notifies of intention to sell stockNancy Hasley intends to sell 35k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 23rd of June. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$12.89, it would amount to US$451k. Nancy currently holds less than 1% of total shares outstanding. Company insiders have collectively bought US$1.9m more than they sold, via options and on-market transactions, in the last 12 months.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 26ARX: Tech-Driven MGA Marketplace And Buybacks Will Support Future UpsideAnalysts have reduced their price target for Accelerant Holdings to $16 from $17 as they reset assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations while also applying a slightly higher discount rate. What’s in the News for Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings operates a tech-enabled MGA marketplace that connects managing general agents and risk capital partners using data analytics and machine learning, according to recent coverage of the company’s business model.
ライブニュース • Jun 15Accelerant Holdings Sees Rapid Growth Leveraging Data and Capital-Light Insurance MarketplaceAccelerant Holdings operates a tech-enabled managing general agent marketplace that connects MGAs and risk capital partners using advanced data analytics and machine learning. The company is building out hybrid insurance models aimed at more efficient, capital-light risk exchange in specialty insurance. Accelerant reported more than $4b in exchange written premium, nearly $900m in revenue, and over 150% EBITDA growth, reflecting the scalability of its platform economics and momentum in third-party premium activity. The focus on a data-driven, capital-light marketplace places Accelerant among insurance platforms that rely on scale and information advantages rather than traditional balance sheet risk-taking. Investors may want to watch how resilient this model remains if insurance rates soften further, since performance depends heavily on continued appetite from third-party MGAs and capital providers.
ライブニュース • Jun 08Accelerant Holdings Grows Specialty Insurance Marketplace With Hybrid Capital-Light ModelsAccelerant Holdings is expanding its technology-enabled marketplace that connects managing general agents (MGAs) with risk capital partners using data-intensive tools and machine learning. The company is rolling out hybrid insurance models designed to support more efficient, flexible and capital-light risk exchange within specialty insurance. Management positions this approach as reshaping how specialty insurance risk is sourced, priced and managed, even as the broader insurance rate environment is described as softening. The focus on a capital-light, tech-driven platform suggests Accelerant is trying to grow its specialty insurance footprint without relying heavily on its own balance sheet, which can matter for returns on capital and risk control. Investors may want to watch how these hybrid models scale and how the company manages credit and underwriting risk if insurance pricing remains under pressure.
Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.023 loss per share (down from US$3.27 profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$273.3m (up 67% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$5.20m (down 180% from profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.5% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.
お知らせ • Apr 29Accelerant Holdings to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 13, 2026
Board Change • Mar 31Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Kunal Arora was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: US$7.49 loss per share (down from US$13.71 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: US$912.9m (up 63% from FY 2024). Net loss: US$1.43b (down US$1.45b from profit in FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.
お知らせ • Mar 19+ 1 more updateAccelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) announces an Equity Buyback.Accelerant Holdings (NYSE:ARX) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase shares up to $200 million worth of its Class A common shares. The program is valid till December 31, 2028.
お知らせ • Mar 02Accelerant Holdings, Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026Accelerant Holdings, Annual General Meeting, May 12, 2026.
お知らせ • Feb 25Accelerant Holdings Announces Management Changes, Effective March 31, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced the appointments of Cliff Jenks as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary and Ray Iardella as Head of Investor Relations. Jenks will oversee Accelerant’s legal affairs and corporate governance, while Iardella will lead the company’s engagement with the investment community. Cliff Jenks joins Accelerant with more than 20 years of experience in capital markets transactions, third party capital, M&A, investment transactions, and public company governance. Most recently, he served as Senior Vice President, Corporate and Securities Counsel and Corporate Secretary at Reinsurance Group of America, where he held leadership roles for more than 14 years. Earlier in his career, Jenks advised public companies on complex transactions, disclosure, and compliance matters. Jenks will succeed Nancy Hasley, who is retiring following a distinguished tenure with the company beginning in its earliest days in 2019 through its initial public offering. The leadership transition will be effective March 31, 2026. In the newly created role of Head of Investor Relations, Ray Iardella will direct the company’s strategic communications with institutional investors and analysts. With more than two decades of financial markets and insurance industry experience, Iardella recently served as Vice President of Investor Relations at Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., where he helped shape the company’s strategic positioning with the investment community. Prior to Gallagher, he held senior analyst and actuarial roles with leading insurance, financial, and asset management firms.
お知らせ • Feb 09Accelerant Holdings to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 19, 2026Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results Pre-Market on Mar 19, 2026
新しいナラティブ • Jan 23Data And AI Execution Risks May Soften Exchange Fee Potential Yet Still Support UpsideCatalysts About Accelerant Holdings Accelerant Holdings operates a specialty insurance risk exchange that connects niche underwriters with risk capital providers and earns primarily fee-based revenue. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 21Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$900.6m to US$920.2m. Forecast EPS reduced from -US$6.21 to -US$6.96 per share. Insurance industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 9.9% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$21.13. Share price fell 4.4% to US$12.96 over the past week.
Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 19Co-Founder recently bought US$999k worth of stockOn the 14th of November, Jeffrey Radke bought around 74k shares on-market at roughly US$13.48 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Jeffrey's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Nov 13Third quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2025 results: US$6.99 loss per share (down from US$0.049 profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$267.4m (up 74% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: US$1.44b (down US$1.45b from profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.2%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.2% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.
お知らせ • Oct 03Accelerant Holdings to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results Pre-Market on Nov 13, 2025
Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.053. Net income: US$8.80m (up US$8.80m from 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 50%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the Insurance industry in the US.
お知らせ • Aug 14Accelerant Holdings to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 28, 2025Accelerant Holdings announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 28, 2025
お知らせ • Jul 24Accelerant Holdings has completed an IPO in the amount of $723.684192 million.Accelerant Holdings has completed an IPO in the amount of $723.684192 million. Security Name: Class A Common Shares Security Type: Common Stock Securities Offered: 34,461,152 Price\Range: $21 Discount Per Security: $1.155 Transaction Features: Reserved Share Offering
