NeuroMetrix, Inc.

NasdaqCM:NURO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$9.0m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

NeuroMetrix 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

現在、 NeuroMetrixの成長と収益を予測するのに十分なアナリストの調査がありません。

主要情報

n/a

収益成長率

n/a

EPS成長率

Medical Equipment 収益成長16.1%
収益成長率n/a
将来の株主資本利益率n/a
アナリストカバレッジ

None

最終更新日n/a

今後の成長に関する最新情報

更新なし

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Oct 20

NeuroMetrix reports Q3 results

NeuroMetrix press release (NASDAQ:NURO): Q3 net loss of $1.6M Revenue of $2M (-4.8% Y/Y).
Seeking Alpha • Sep 23

NeuroMetrix: Strong Unit Economics, Accelerating Growth; Possibly Worth $15 In 5 Years

Summary DPNCheck is a screening product sold to MA insurers which gives better member health outcomes, lower cost, and increased revenue for MA insurers. The product has consistently grown >20%. Discontinuation of Quell marketing in 2018 is masking the strong, underlying growth in DPNCheck. The result is rev growth is now accelerating. Clean cap structure and balance sheet with $3.24/share which is sufficient to fund the business to profitability. Potential $15/share fair value in 5 years based on 20x FCF. For those who follow small cap med devices, NURO's business is ~85% SMLR and ~15% ZYXI. Thesis Overview The most profitable investments in microcap stocks are made when businesses reach inflection points, then go on to deliver years of organic growth and inflect to profitability. I believe that NeuroMetrix (NURO) is at that turning point. After a long history of losses and shareholder dilution from spending on R&D that didn’t work and attempts to sell medical devices that were not successful, NURO now has a clean capital structure and balance sheet with a proven business that is scaling with strong unit economics. NURO has a promising medical device called DPNCheck, which is used for early disease detection of diabetic polyneuropathy (DPN) and is sold to Medicare Advantage ((MA)) insurers with >80% of revenue from consumables. They are following the same business model as Semler Scientific (SMLR), who built a strong business by showing MA insurers that early disease detection leads to better patient outcomes, lower cost to serve patients, and increased revenue for the MA insurers through appropriately risk-coding patients. DPNCheck launched in 2011 and has grown at a >20% CAGR in recent years to $7.4m revenue in 2022. That >20% organic growth is set to continue indefinitely at ~80% gross margins. Most importantly, DPNCheck’s go-to-market is very efficient because they sell at the top level to UNH and HUM, who then push down to their organization. DPNCheck’s consistent growth and strong unit economics has been masked by NURO’s Quell product which the company sells direct-to-consumer as an over-the-counter (OTC) medical device for pain management. The company created a slick product that works well and grew it to ~$14m of revenue in 2017, but had to spend aggressively on online advertising and TV ads to get that growth (negative unit economics). In 2018, management realized their market efforts were not going to pay off for Quell because the market for TENS-like devices is too crowded, so they stopped advertising. That led to revenue declining to <$2m in 2022, which is now mostly consumable pads that are ordered by customers and paid through credit card (no insurance pay). Management pivoted the strategy for their Quell device to focusing on gaining breakthrough designation by the FDA for patients with Fibromyalgia. 10 million Americans suffer from debilitating pain from Fibromyalgia. Quell may receive FDA clearance for the device for patients with Fibromyalgia in late 2022 and begin marketing to physicians in early 2023. Having a physician prescription means they can pursue insurance reimbursement which results in a much, much higher revenue per device than selling in the highly competitive over-the-counter market. Zynex sells a prescription pain management device, but sells primarily through physical therapists and does not have specific indications or data supporting efficacy, like Quell does. The takeaways are that NURO’s revenue growth is accelerating. After revenue declines in 2018-2020 from unprofitable Quell OTC revenue falling, NURO grew 12% in 2021 and will grow 12% in 2022. I expect revenue growth to accelerate to >20% and maintain that growth for several years, primarily from DPNCheck. After significant losses from Quell advertising, NURO raised highly dilutive preferred capital in the 2016-2018 range (please refer to NURO's form 10-K filings for details). After cleaning up the cap structure, NURO raised over $20m through DRIP equity raises (selling shares directly into the market) in 2020 and 2021 (including some very attractive sales prices last year when the stock price spiked >$10/share). All this leads to an ugly and messy past, in which the share count has gone way up and the stock price way down. However, I believe that evaluating the business based on current facts, shows that NURO is an undervalued med device company that is well capitalized to pursue this growth. The company now has a clean capital structure with 7.1m shares and 0.5m options for management, no debt, no preferred, no warrants, and $23m of cash. I expect NURO to burn $3.8m in 2022, $2.7m in 2023, $1.7m in 2024, and $0.2m in 2025. Then it should start generating cash, with +$2.1m in 2026, +$4.9m in 2027. I model trough cash of $16m in 2025. On profitability, I expect the business will generate $5m of free cash flow in 2027 and be worth 20x FCF plus net cash, which gives a value of $15/share. Studying Semler’s history, once the business crossed $14m in revenue, it inflected to profitability and never looked back. DPNCheck currently has $7.4m in revenue, and I expect it to cross that threshold exiting 2025. SMLR has proven how strong the unit economics are in this business with 37% EBITDA margins in 2Q22. Revenue Mix Shift Well Underway Higher quality, more profitable DPNCheck revenue is replacing negative margin Quell revenue (when including expensive marketing spend in the past). As rev mix continues to shift, the growth will accelerate and the business will reach profitability.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 21

NeuroMetrix GAAP EPS of -$0.17, revenue of $2.1M

NeuroMetrix press release (NASDAQ:NURO): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.17. Revenue of $2.1M (-5.0% Y/Y).
分析記事 • May 11

We're Hopeful That NeuroMetrix (NASDAQ:NURO) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...
分析記事 • Jan 19

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About NeuroMetrix's (NASDAQ:NURO) Cash Burn Situation

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

NeuroMetrix: Solving Unmet Needs In Diagnostics And Therapeutic Neurostimulation

NeuroMetrix is a medical devices company with three commercialized products. The Company says it was spun off from the Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology in 1996. The Company has active R&D programs to expand into new indications and improve existing technologies.
分析記事 • Jul 21

We're Hopeful That NeuroMetrix (NASDAQ:NURO) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, NeuroMetrix...
分析記事 • Jan 27

NeuroMetrix (NASDAQ:NURO) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although...

このセクションでは通常、投資家が会社の利益創出能力を理解する一助となるよう、プロのアナリストのコンセンサス予想に基づく収益と利益の成長予測を提示する。しかし、NeuroMetrix は十分な過去のデータを提供しておらず、アナリストの予測もないため、過去のデータを外挿したり、アナリストの予測を使用しても、その将来の収益を確実に算出することはできません。

シンプリー・ウォール・ストリートがカバーする企業の97%は過去の財務データを持っているため、これはかなり稀な状況です。

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqCM:NURO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20243-8-7-7N/A
9/30/20244-8-7-7N/A
6/30/20244-8-7-7N/A
3/31/20245-8-7-7N/A
12/31/20236-7-6-6N/A
9/30/20236-6-6-6N/A
6/30/20237-5-6-6N/A
3/31/20238-5-6-6N/A
12/31/20228-4-5-5N/A
9/30/20228-5-4-4N/A
6/30/20228-4-3-3N/A
3/31/20228-3-3-3N/A
12/31/20218-2-2-2N/A
9/30/20218-2-1-1N/A
6/30/20218-1-1-1N/A
3/31/20217-1-1-1N/A
12/31/20207-2-2-2N/A
9/30/20207-3-2-2N/A
6/30/20207-4-4-4N/A
3/31/20208-6-5-5N/A
12/31/20199-4-4-4N/A
9/30/201911-6-4-4N/A
6/30/201913-3-2-2N/A
3/31/201914111N/A
12/31/201816033N/A
9/30/2018170N/A0N/A
6/30/201817-7N/A-3N/A
3/31/201818-11N/A-7N/A
12/31/201717-20N/A-13N/A
9/30/201716-20N/A-13N/A
6/30/201716-17N/A-14N/A
3/31/201714-38N/A-15N/A
12/31/201612-35N/A-15N/A
9/30/201611-43N/A-15N/A
6/30/201610-42N/A-15N/A
3/31/20168-23N/A-14N/A
12/31/20157-21N/A-13N/A
9/30/20156-13N/A-12N/A
6/30/20155-11N/A-10N/A
3/31/20155-12N/A-9N/A
12/31/20146-11N/A-8N/A
9/30/20146-12N/A-7N/A
6/30/20145-11N/A-6N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: NUROの予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 2.8% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: NUROの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

高成長収益: NUROの収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: NUROの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

高い収益成長: NUROの収益が年間20%よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: NUROの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2025/05/01 03:03
終値2025/05/01 00:00
収益2024/12/31
年間収益2024/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

NeuroMetrix, Inc. 0 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2

アナリスト機関
Andrew FeinH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Anthony VendettiMaxim Group