MV Oil Trust

NYSE:MVO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$16.6m

MV Oil Trust 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

現在、 MV Oil Trustの成長と収益を予測するのに十分なアナリストの調査がありません。

主要情報

n/a

収益成長率

n/a

EPS成長率

Oil and Gas 収益成長11.2%
収益成長率n/a
将来の株主資本利益率n/a
アナリストカバレッジ

None

最終更新日n/a

今後の成長に関する最新情報

更新なし

Recent updates

新しいナラティブ • May 12

Poor analysis here will mislead investors

Whomever is performing this analysis has never read the founding agreement. This stock DIES on Jun 30, 2026.
分析記事 • Oct 21

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By MV Oil Trust's (NYSE:MVO) Low P/E

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x MV Oil Trust ( NYSE:MVO ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 27

MV Oil Trust: High Yield, But Closing Up Shop In 2026

Summary MV Oil Trust offers high yield but is set to terminate in July 2026, ending all future distributions. MVO's distributable income and dividends have sharply declined since early 2024, with the latest payout at its lowest since Q1 2021. Despite strong historical returns, MVO's price has dropped 34% in the past year as trust termination nears. Selling MVO is advised, as further price declines and limited remaining distributions make a negative total return likely. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Feb 03

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) Following 40% Share Price Slump

The MV Oil Trust ( NYSE:MVO ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 40%. The...
分析記事 • Oct 21

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO)

MV Oil Trust's ( NYSE:MVO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 15

MV Oil Trust: 17% Yield, But The Clock Is Ticking

Summary MV Oil Trust, a term trust focused on crude oil, will terminate on June 30, 2026, with no further distributions post-termination. Despite stable earnings and high yield, MVO's declining unit price and impending termination suggest selling now to avoid potential losses. MVO's price has dropped 32% since its last 4 ex-dividend dates, starting 10/13/23) making it less attractive despite its high trailing dividend yield of over 17%. Given the risks and the Trust's finite life, I recommend moving on to other high-yield investments rather than holding MVO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

MV Oil Trust: 13% Yield, Crude Oil Play

Summary MV Oil Trust is a near pure play on crude oil, with 99% of its income coming from crude. The trust's net profit interests have been on the rise in the past two quarters, reaching the highest level since Q4 '22. MVO's trailing dividend yield is 13.28%, and it has no debt. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Jan 18

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO)

MV Oil Trust's ( NYSE:MVO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 15

MV Oil Trust: 12% Yield, Crude Oil Play

Summary MV Oil Trust is a royalty trust that earns income from crude oil production, with 99% of its income coming from crude. The trust has seen a decline in net profit interests and distributable income in Q1-3 2023 compared to 2022. MVO has a trailing dividend yield of 11.77% and has outperformed the market in 2022 but has trailed in 2023. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 14

MV Oil Trust: Avoid This Dividend Trap

Summary MV Oil Trust offers a high dividend yield of 17.5% on a TTM basis but is likely a dividend trap due to its net profits interest agreement expiring in 2026. Investors may receive between $5.00 and $6.00 cumulative dividends per share before the trust's termination, but the residual value of the properties is unlikely to be significant. MVO stock should be avoided, and existing shareholders may want to consider exiting their positions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 27

MV Oil Trust: 14% Yield, Crude Oil Play

Summary MVO yields 14.29%. It pays variable quarterly distributions. We compare it to the Energy Trust industry in this article. Have you ever invested in a Royalty Trust? These are entities within the Exploration & Production Energy industry, which earn money via an arrangement with an E&P company that handles the operations on the Trust's property and pays the Trust a % of the income. MV Oil Trust (MVO) is a pure play on crude oil. Company Profile: MVO's earnings are based upon a profits interest of 80% of the net proceeds attributable to the sale of production from the underlying properties during the term of the Trust. The net profits interest will terminate on the latter to occur of (1) June 30, 2026, or (2) the time when 14.4 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMBoe") have been produced from the underlying properties and sold (which amount is the equivalent of 11.5 MMBoe with respect to the Trust's net profits interest), and the Trust will soon thereafter wind up its affairs and terminate. As of September 30, 2022, cumulatively, since inception, the Trust has received payment for 80% of the net proceeds attributable to MV Partners' interest from the sale of 13.3 MMBoe of production from the underlying properties (which amount is the equivalent of 10.7 MMBoe with respect to the Trust's net profits interest)." (MVO Q3 '22 10Q) Earnings: The revenues from oil production are typically received by MV Partners 1 month after production. For the quarterly payment period ended December 31, 2022, Unitholders of record on January 17, 2023 will receive a distribution amounting to $4,715,000 or $0.410 per unit payable January 25, 2023. Net Profit Interests, NPI, totaled $5.186M. After deducting $207K for Trust expenses, and %263K for future Trust expenses, MVO had Distributable Income of $4.715M available for its unitholders: MVO site In Q1-3 '22, MVO's Net Profit Interests, NPI, surged 149% in Q1-3 '22, to $19M, vs. $7.63M in Q1-3 2021; and Distributable Income rose 147.55%. Administrative expenses ran at 4%, up slightly vs. Q1-3 '21, whereas the Future Expenses Reserve rose 173%, to $1.35M. Full year 2021 had a 78% rise in NPI, with Distributable Income rising ~101% vs. a pandemic-challenged 2020. Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus Although MVO issues reports detailing income on a quarterly basis, the distribution amounts don't always tie directly to oil prices on a quarterly basis. For example: "The cash received by the Trust from MV Partners during the quarter ended September 30, 2022 substantially represents the production by MV Partners from March 2022 through May 2022." (MVO site). BOE, (Barrel of Oil Equivalent), prices peaked in Q2 '22, at $102.11, as did MVO's distribution, which hit $.70. Excepting Q1 '22, when volume dipped to 144K, the BOE quarterly volume has run in a range of 156K-161K: Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus Dividends: At its 1/26/23 intraday price of $15.53, MVO had a trailing yield of 14.29%, and a forward yield of 10.56%. However, since MVO pays a variable distribution, it's impossible to calculate a correct forward yield. Its most recent payout was $.41 in January, and it should go ex-dividend next on ~4/14/23, with a ~4/25/23 pay date. Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus MVO has a strong five-year dividend growth average of 43.39%. We wondered if that was an outlier, and looked at VOC Energy Trust's five-year dividend growth also - it was a bit higher, at ~50%. 2020 of course was a negative growth year for both trusts, due to the pandemic. However, both trusts bounced back in the past two years with three-digit dividend growth: Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus As noted above, MVO's Net Profit Interests, NPI, surged 149% in Q1-3 '22, to $19M, vs. $7.63M in Q1-3 2021, with distributions jumping by ~148%. NPI covered the distributions by a 1.08X factor, similar to Q1-3 '21 and full year 2021, when there was a 1.07X factor. Hidden Dividend Stocks Plus MVO's Distributable Income is calculated via deducting Cash on Hand used for Trust expenses, G&A expenses, and future Trust expenses. In full year 2019, Distributable Income hit $12.075M, before plunging to $5.635M in 2020, and then bouncing back to $11.237M in 2021: MVO site
Seeking Alpha • Jan 06

MV Oil Trust declares $0.41 dividend

MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) declares $0.41/share quarterly dividend, -40.1% decrease from prior dividend of $0.685. Forward yield 10.39% Payable Jan. 25; for shareholders of record Jan. 17; ex-div Jan. 13. See MVO Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Oct 01

MVO: Watch Oil Market Fundamentals, Not The Dollar Value

Summary MVO is an energy trust and pure play on crude oil prices. Its performance over the past 10 years has significantly lagged the S&P. Crude oil prices are a function of market fundamentals. There is an illusion that the dollar determines crude oil prices, not fundamentals. Trading simulations prove that is not the case. MV Oil Trust (MVO), the "trust," was formed in August 2006 by MV Partners, LLC, "MV Partners." MV Partners MV Partners MV Partners According to its SEC filing: The trust will remain in existence until the later to occur of (1) June 30, 2026, or (2) the time when 14.4 MMBoe have been produced from the underlying properties and sold (which amount is the equivalent of 11.5 MMBoe in respect of the trust's right to receive 80% of the net proceeds from the underlying properties pursuant to the net profits interest). "The trust will dissolve prior to its termination if: the trust sells the net profits interest; annual cash proceeds received by the trust are less than $1 million for each of two consecutive years; the holders of a majority of the outstanding trust units vote in favor of dissolution; or there is a judicial dissolution of the trust. Upon dissolution, the trustee would then sell all of the trust's assets, either by private sale or public auction, and distribute the net proceeds of the sale to the trust unitholders. Performance The total return of MVO from inception (January 2007) was 239%, including the surge in crude oil prices in 2022. Yahoo Finance data However, the Maximum Drawdown ("MD") was 89%. I view the MD as the primary risk measure because it quantifies how much an investor could have lost from its peak valley. Investors often exit positions when losses exceed risk tolerances, locking in the loss. An MD of 89% implies that the product is not suitable as a long-term investment. Yahoo Finance data I recently wrote an article, VOC Energy Trust: A Pure Play In Crude Oil Price Exposure. MVO and VOC Energy Trust (VOC), VOC are both limited trusts run by Vess Oil. As is the case for VOC, MVO is mainly a pure play on crude oil prices. Over the past ten years, MVO and VOC had a total return of single digits. That compares to the S&P (SP500TR) return of 156.4%. Seeking Alpha Dollar-Oil Illusion In my article about VOC, I discussed the crude oil market fundamentals in terms of supply, demand, imports, exports and inventories. Following my VOC article, a reader referred me to another article entitled, The Energy Report: Decouple Worries, dated September 28, 2022, in which the author states: You don't have to worry about oil fundamentals, you just have to worry about the value of the dollar and that is a very safe way to look at the market until it isn't." There is a lot of confusion about the relationship between the value of the dollar and oil prices. The media compounds the problem by citing the change in the dollar as the reason for the crude price change in daily reports. I had previously published an article on Seeking Alpha titled, The Dollar-Crude Oil Price Illusion, in which I wrote: Classical economics explains how exchange rates are determined by the interconnections among interest rates, inflation, the economy, balance of payments and expectations. Oil prices factor into that equation. The oil price is sometimes a big factor, and at other times, not." Within my article, I published results of two trading simulations: Using the dollar as a signal for crude price in the next month Using the crude price as a signal for the dollar in the next month. I performed these simulations by first performing a "best-fit" regression between the trade-weighted value of the dollar (from the Federal Reserve's "FRED" database) and the WTI crude oil price (next month). I then set up a trading simulation. Using the regression equation, I predicted the price of oil in the next month, knowing the value of the dollar this month. I went 100% short if the predicted price was lower than the current price, and vice-versa. Using the dollar as a trading signal for crude oil resulted in a loss. I developed another trading strategy: using the price of oil to predict the value of the dollar. As above, I developed a regression using the oil price one month ahead to predict the value of the dollar. As above, I compared the predicted value of the dollar to the actual current value. If the dollar was predicted to go lower, the strategy went short, and vice-versa. That strategy produced a trading gain.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 18

MV Oil Trust: Monster 26% Yield But There's A Catch

MV Oil Trust's second quarter distribution was a record-breaking $0.70 per unit. Going forward, this would give the company a whopping 26% yield. However, the trust also has an expiration date that has to be accounted for when evaluating the future dividends. In this article, I do the math so you can decide if the 26% yield is worth the risk. MV Oil Trust (MVO) is a company receiving royalty payments on oil production in Kansas and Colorado. The company is currently experiencing record income thanks to high oil prices and rising production. The trust pays out more than 90% of the proceeds it receives each quarter as a distribution, providing a truly extraordinary forward yield of 26%. However, this yield has an expiration date, which significantly changes the calculus. A Monster Yield Backed By High Oil Prices MV Oil Trust announced its most recent quarterly distribution of $8,050,000 or $0.70 per unit. This is a massive increase from a year ago and even from the first quarter's distribution of $4,887,500 or $0.425 per unit. This enormous increase is thanks to the fantastic run oil has been on this year, breaking $100 per barrel for the first time in years. MV Oil Trust receives 80% of the net proceeds from the sale of all oil and natural gas production on the underlying properties. Though at this point it's just oil. Production volumes from the underlying properties for the year ended December 31, 2021 were approximately 99% oil and approximately 1% natural gas and natural gas liquids In addition to attaining higher prices for that oil, the trust's properties have begun to pump more oil, presumably to capture the aforementioned high prices. If the company can maintain its current level of distributions, its forward yield is upwards of twenty-six percent! Crude Oil Futures YTD Chart (Seeking Alpha) Judging from the trajectory of oil prices, continuing tight supply, and the approaching fall and winter seasons, there is a good chance of oil prices staying above $100 per barrel for the next two quarters. But, the Trust is Due to Expire A yield of 26% is preposterously high and one might expect a company yielding so much to have garnered much more attention than MV Oil Trust has. However, the trust business is boring. And this trust is also set to expire, putting a definitive end date to its unit distributions and the shares themselves. For MV Oil Trust, there are two conditions: The net profits interest will terminate on the later to occur of (1) June 30, 2026 or (2) the time when 14.4 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMBoe") have been produced from the underlying properties and sold (which amount is the equivalent of 11.5 MMBoe with respect to the Trust's net profits interest), and the Trust will soon thereafter wind up its affairs and terminate. Now in order to get a sense of which of these conditions is likely to occur later, we can look at how fast MV Partners (a significant owner of the trust's units and the actual operator of the oilfields) is pumping by looking at the trust's 2021 annual report: The overall production sales volumes attributable to the net profits interest[...]from October 1, 2021 through December 31, 2021[...]a total of 128,824 barrels of oil equivalent. The overall production sales volumes attributable to the net profits interest[...]from October 1, 2020 through December 31, 2020[...]a total of 133,399 barrels of oil equivalent. From the annual report, you might expect the trust to continue the same trend in 2022 and pump around 130,000 barrels of oil equivalent ((BOE)) per quarter. That is, until you consider what you might do if faced with the situation precipitated by the Russo-Ukrainian War whereby the world is in a significant supply deficit for oil and prices have skyrocketed. And of course, they've started pumping more. For the first quarter, MV Oil Trust pumped 144,512 BOE. In the second quarter, it pumped 158,092 BOE. Nearly 30,000 barrels more than its quarterly average for the past two years. So will the trust terminate in June of 2026 or sooner? Well as of March 31, the company has pumped "13.0 MMBoe of production from the underlying properties (which is the equivalent of 10.4 MMBoe with respect to the Trust's net profits interest)." Adding the 158k from the second quarter, the total stands at 13.16 MMBoe out of 14.4 MMBoe before the trust terminates. If the company continues to pump 160k BOE per quarter, MV Oil Trust will have reached its upper limit within 7.75 quarters. Just under two years from now in 2024. However, if you remember from earlier, the trust terminates on the later to occur. So all this extra pumping is actually just increasing the net proceeds due to the trust and total distributions, right? Well, sort of. The good news is the underlying oil fields actually have enough proven reserves to continue pumping at this rate well until the 2026 trust termination and beyond. MV Oil Trust Proven Reserves (MV Oil Trust Form S-1) There are an additional 4 billion barrels of oil on top of the 14.4 million BOE allotted to the trust in proven reserves according to the initial S-1 filing. You'll note here too that the company's "80% of the underlying properties" projection is based on the trust terminating at 14.4 million BOE, not as a percentage of 18.73 million BOE. If the company continues drilling at the same rate, we are looking at 2.56 million BOE produced before the trust terminates. This is around 1.32 million BOE more than the 14.4 million BOE originally projected.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 05

MV Oil Trust raises 64.7% to $0.70/share

MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) declares $0.70/share quarterly dividend, 64.7% increase from prior dividend of $0.42. Forward yield 24.31% Payable July 25; for shareholders of record July 15; ex-div July 14. See MVO Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 02

MV Oil Trust Poised For Big Equity And Dividend Gains

Macro fundamentals in the oil & gas industry have pushed dividend yields from 10.7% to 17.36%. Behavior of equity valuation mirrors oil price action such that the high achieved this year was used as support in 2018. Bullish medium-to-long term oil and gas outlooks coupled with great dividend number suggest this ETF is an excellent long play.
分析記事 • Mar 11

Something To Consider Before Buying MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) For The 10.0% Dividend

Dividend paying stocks like MV Oil Trust ( NYSE:MVO ) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some...
分析記事 • Feb 10

MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

MV Oil Trust (NYSE:MVO) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 54% over the last...

このセクションでは通常、投資家が会社の利益創出能力を理解する一助となるよう、プロのアナリストのコンセンサス予想に基づく収益と利益の成長予測を提示する。しかし、MV Oil Trust は十分な過去のデータを提供しておらず、アナリストの予測もないため、過去のデータを外挿したり、アナリストの予測を使用しても、その将来の収益を確実に算出することはできません。

シンプリー・ウォール・ストリートがカバーする企業の97%は過去の財務データを持っているため、これはかなり稀な状況です。

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:MVO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
3/31/2026109N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20251110N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20251312N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20251514N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20251615N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20241918N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20241918N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20241817N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20241817N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20231817N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20232220N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20232625N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20232726N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20222726N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20222322N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20221817N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20221615N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20211211N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202198N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202155N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202165N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202076N/AN/AN/A
9/30/202087N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20201211N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20201211N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20191312N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20191514N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20191616N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20191817N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20181716N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20181413N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20181211N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2018109N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201798N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2017109N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201787N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201765N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201655N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201665N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201676N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2016109N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20151515N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20152323N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20153029N/AN/AN/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: MVOの予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: MVOの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

高成長収益: MVOの収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: MVOの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

高い収益成長: MVOの収益が年間20%よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: MVOの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/26 22:33
終値2026/06/26 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

MV Oil Trust 0 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2

アナリスト機関
Darren HorowitzRaymond James & Associates
John KangRBC Capital Markets