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Green Plains Partners LPNasdaqGM:GPP 株式レポート

時価総額 US$286.4m
株価
n/a
US$16
該当なし内在価値ディスカウント
1Y-6.7%
7D-0.5%
ポートフォリオ価値
表示

Green Plains Partners LP

NasdaqGM:GPP 株式レポート

時価総額:US$286.4m

This company listing is no longer active

This company may still be operating, however this listing is no longer active. Find out why through their latest events.

Green Plains Partners(GPP)株式概要

Green Plains Partners LP provides fuel storage and transportation services in the United States. 詳細

GPP ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価3/6
将来の成長0/6
過去の実績1/6
財務の健全性2/6
配当金2/6

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Green Plains Partners LP 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Green Plains Partners
過去の株価
現在の株価US$12.31
52週高値US$16.25
52週安値US$11.72
ベータ0.75
1ヶ月の変化-1.20%
3ヶ月変化-10.34%
1年変化-6.67%
3年間の変化26.91%
5年間の変化-14.63%
IPOからの変化-23.01%

最新ニュース

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Oct 20

Green Plains Partners declares $0.455 dividend

Green Plains Partners (NASDAQ:GPP) declares $0.455/share quarterly dividend, 1.1% increase from prior dividend of $0.450. Forward yield 14.39% Payable Nov. 14; for shareholders of record Nov. 4; ex-div Nov. 3. See GPP Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha Aug 21

Green Plains Partners: Maybe Or Maybe Not

The partnership balance sheet is in good shape. The distribution coverage is skimpy even though the distribution was just raised. The generous yield reflects parent company issues. The parent company could be forced to bankruptcy and even liquidate at some point unless a profit recovery occurs (probably soon). That means the partnership yield is compensation for extra risk and therefore does not represent a bargain. (Note: This article appeared in the newsletter on June 18, 2022 and has been updated as needed.) The argument for Green Plains Partners LP (GPP) has long been that the partnership is in good shape. The partnership further increased the distribution to $.45 per share. So, let us get in and enjoy a generous distribution. The distribution coverage is a little skimpy at 1.06. But the debt ratio level at just under 1 is one of the best for this type of company among those I follow. In this case though, the distribution indicates trouble with the main customer, not the midstream. Sometimes that can be every bit as bad or worse than trouble with the midstream partnership itself. Operations Green Plains Partners appears similar to many midstream companies that I follow. The company transports mainly ethanol or stores it while providing some ancillary services to get the mission accomplished. The company's operations are somewhat protected by volume commitments and there is a long-term relationship with the major customer. The biggest difference is that the main customer is in the ethanol (and related) business. Should that customer run into trouble, then there is a real threat of that customer liquidating and the service provided by this midstream would not be needed any more. That is a major difference from oil and gas. With oil and gas, should the main customer (if there is one) run into financial trouble, then many times the wells continue to produce. Therefore, the service provided by the midstream company continues to be needed even if volumes decline. Minimum volume commitments are likely found to be reasonable and enforceable. So, there is an excellent probability that a midstream company will continue with the business of a major customer even if that customer ends up in bankruptcy and possibly liquidates. The Main Customer The major customer in this case is Green Plains (GPRE). That customer has not shown a profit for common shareholders in the three years listed in the latest annual report. Furthermore, cash flow in the latest fiscal year report all but evaporated (cash flow from operating activities). The company did move into a profitable report with the second quarter. But it will take more than that to relieve market anxiety about the main customer. The company reports being in compliance with all the covenants listed in the debt agreements. That always helps. But a lack of profits even in a cyclical industry can be a warning sign of trouble ahead if a turnaround does not happen fast. Furthermore, the company lists some standard warnings about the debt, the debt levels, the covenants and the ability to continue financing the debt that any investor should read before investing in this company. Debt, and commodities often do not get along very well. So, it is no surprise that this company has listed a few dispositions in the annual report. The company did raise cash in the latest fiscal year. But it did it by issuing debt. That can buy a company some time. But it is clear that a recovery is needed by this company (sooner rather than later). The fiscal first quarter likewise reported a loss. Working capital remained in good shape. Short term debt ballooned past $300 million. Long- and short-term debt in total exceed cash by a like amount. The financial position is clearly not moving forward. In the fiscal second quarter there remained a current portion of long-term debt (working capital type arrangement) on the balance sheet of approximately $300 million. Total debt was approximately $900 million. That is a lot for a company that has not reported a profit in three fiscal years until the current second quarter. Management did mention that they see some hopeful trends in the future. Should that happen, then a lot of what is discussed above will fade as debt gets rapidly reduced. Still the market has a legitimate concern about the length, duration, and "if it will even occur" of any future recovery. Partnership Common Units The common units themselves have had a lackluster response to a time when a lot of income vehicles are doing rather well. Green Plains Partners Common Unit History And Key Valuation Measures (Seeking Alpha Website August 20, 2022.) As shown above, the partnership units have not really responded well as the market has shifted emphasis to value and income vehicles as the latest "sure thing". That market trepidation is likely due to the parent company uncertainties discussed above. If that is the case, then the units are unlikely to respond positively until the parent company reports a few quarters of excellent results that relieve any debt worries that the market currently has. What did happen was a tepid response to the second quarter results of the parent company as that main customer reported a profit. The yield above represents a risk factor at the parent company level (not the partnership). Therefore, investors should expect a fluctuating double digit return until the market sees sufficient satisfactory results. Green Plains, the parent company, has an additional risk in that ethanol is sold to the fuel market but the source material for ethanol is usually corn. Ethanol has other sources that can compete to some extent with corn. These two commodities vary in unrelated fashion. Therefore, it is very possible for corn prices to be "sky high" while fuel prices are very low. That would create a near disastrous situation for the parent company. Currently it appears that the corn crop should come in with a decent volume to help aid some of the high food cost situation. We still have to get through summer and all the weather risks that come with that season. But a decent corn crop would be good news for this company as fuel costs (and raw material costs) are fairly high right now. So, the ingredients of a profit recovery appear to be in place.
Seeking Alpha Aug 02

Green Plains Partners GAAP EPS of $0.44, revenue of $19.65M

Green Plains Partners press release (NASDAQ:GPP): Q2 GAAP EPS of $0.44. Revenue of $19.65M (-0.3% Y/Y).
Seeking Alpha Jul 21

Green Plains Partners raise dividend by 1% to $0.45

Green Plains Partners (NASDAQ:GPP) declares $0.45/share quarterly dividend, 1.1% increase from prior dividend of $0.45. Forward yield 14.14% Payable Aug. 12; for shareholders of record Aug. 5; ex-div Aug. 4. See GPP Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha Feb 14

Green Plains Partners: A Quiet Year Ahead, Luckily There's A Safe 12% Yield To Enjoy

After significantly reducing their distributions during 2020, thankfully 2021 saw them lifted higher again with a very high 12% yield returning. Thanks to their steady cash flow performance that is underpinned by long-term minimum volume commitments, they should produce adequate free cash flow to cover this very high yield. When looking elsewhere, management has given no indications that any meaningful events are on the horizon during 2022, and thus it appears to be a quiet year ahead. Their financial position is now very healthy with very low leverage and strong liquidity, which helps support their distributions. Given the prospects to simply sit back and collect a very high double-digit yield, I still believe that maintaining my strong buy rating is appropriate.
Seeking Alpha Nov 05

Green Plains Partners: The 11%+ Yield Returns With A 50%+ Potential Upside

Green Plains Partners have sent their distributions surging by more than 200% after refinancing their credit facility. They can cover these new distribution payments with their ample free cash flow, although there is little scope for growth given their almost non-existent capital expenditure. Thanks to their very low leverage and strong liquidity, their financial position is very healthy and thus their distributions are safe and sustainable. Based upon my Monte Carlo Simulation, it appears that their intrinsic value is at least 50%+ higher than their current unit price even without any future growth. Given these very impressive prospects to generate significant alpha, I believe that upgrading my rating to very bullish is now appropriate.
Seeking Alpha Aug 05

Green Plains Partners: Time To Get Bullish, Safe 10%+ Yield Is Coming Very Soon

Green Plains Partners has successfully shed their previously choking credit facility through refinancing and thus has flagged much higher distributions are coming very soon. Their commentary indicates that these are likely to result in a very high distribution yield of over 10%. Their cash flow performance continues to be steady and should be capable of adequately funding these with free cash flow. They also have a very healthy financial position to lend further support that has very low leverage and adequate liquidity. Whilst I have previously been wary of their units given their credit facility repayment schedule, now that this has been resolved, I believe that upgrading to a bullish rating is appropriate.

株主還元

GPPUS Oil and GasUS 市場
7D-0.5%3.1%-0.3%
1Y-6.7%38.2%26.7%

業界別リターン: GPP過去 1 年間で38.2 % の収益を上げたUS Oil and Gas業界を下回りました。

リターン対市場: GPPは、過去 1 年間で26.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is GPP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GPP volatility
GPP Average Weekly Movement5.2%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement6.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

安定した株価: GPP 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: GPPの 週次ボラティリティ ( 5% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
2015n/aTodd Beckerwww.greenplainspartners.com

Green Plains Partners LP 基礎のまとめ

Green Plains Partners の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
GPP 基礎統計学
時価総額US$286.39m
収益(TTM)US$37.52m
売上高(TTM)US$82.39m
7.6x
PER(株価収益率
3.5x
P/Sレシオ

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
GPP 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$82.39m
売上原価US$28.18m
売上総利益US$54.21m
その他の費用US$16.70m
収益US$37.52m

直近の収益報告

Sep 30, 2023

次回決算日

該当なし

一株当たり利益(EPS)1.61
グロス・マージン65.80%
純利益率45.54%
有利子負債/自己資本比率-5,071.2%

GPP の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

配当金

14.8%
現在の配当利回り
113%
配当性向

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2024/01/10 07:21
終値2024/01/08 00:00
収益2023/09/30
年間収益2022/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Green Plains Partners LP 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。8

アナリスト機関
Ethan BellamyBaird
Charles FrattD.A. Davidson & Co.
Andrew WeiselMacquarie Research