Moody's Corporation

NYSE:MCO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$77.5b

Moody's 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Moody's利益と収益がそれぞれ年間9.3%と6.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に87.2% 11.1%なると予測されています。

主要情報

9.3%

収益成長率

11.06%

EPS成長率

Capital Markets 収益成長11.3%
収益成長率6.4%
将来の株主資本利益率87.23%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日08 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • Jul 26

The Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

As you might know, Moody's Corporation ( NYSE:MCO ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 02

MCO: Dual Engine Model And AI Integration Will Support Durable Upside

Moody's updated analyst price target edges up by $1 to $536, as analysts factor in a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple alongside relatively stable revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's shows a mix of optimism and caution around valuation and execution, with several firms adjusting price targets both higher and lower by wide dollar ranges.
新しいナラティブ • May 22

Moody's future looks bright with a 31.18x PE growth in the next 5 years

Moody’s is not just a credit rating agency — it is one of the foundational infrastructure providers of the global financial system. Every year, governments, corporations, banks, and structured finance issuers collectively raise trillions of dollars in debt, and most of that debt requires a Moody’s rating to access institutional capital markets.
Seeking Alpha • May 12

Moody's Corporation: Too Much Negativity Baked Into Its Stock Price

Summary Moody's Corporation's ordinary shares have underperformed YTD, but I view AI disruption fears as overstated and see recent weakness as a buying opportunity. The analytics segment's core value lies in proprietary data, expert insights, and regulatory compliance, which AI tools cannot easily replicate or replace. The Investor Services segment has shown robust growth. Tight credit spreads and relatively low real borrowing rates might sustain issuances for an extended period. Moody's stock's multiples are high on an absolute basis, yet tame on a 5-year relative basis. I expect narrative-driven selloff to reverse, with MCO's fundamentals and asset-light, cash-rich model supporting long-term outperformance despite cyclical and AI-related risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 01

MCO: AI Data Moats And Q4 Execution Will Support Durable Upside

Analysts have trimmed Moody's fair value estimate by $2.85 to $535.00. This reflects slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small uplift to long-term profit margin assumptions, in line with recent mixed shifts in Street price targets.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 20

MCO 04-2026

Moody's Corporation is a regulatory-moated oligopoly wrapped in a compounding software business. The MIS ratings franchise holds the most durable structural position in financial services: NRSRO designation is a legal prerequisite for capital adequacy calculations in virtually every major financial market globally, the duopoly with S&P has been unbroken for over four decades, and the proprietary century-old default database cannot be replicated at any cost.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 15

MCO: AI Productivity And Data Moats Will Sustain Ratings Strength Into 2026

Moody's updated Analyst Price Target moves lower by about $38 to $537.85, as analysts temper assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while still highlighting solid recent results and competitive strengths in ratings and data. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but generally constructive tone around Moody's, with most firms trimming price targets while still recognizing strengths in its ratings and data businesses.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 09

MCO: Issuance And Private Credit Demand Will Drive Rating Strength Into 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Moody's has been adjusted to reflect a mix of lower and higher Street targets, including cuts such as the recent reduction at Goldman Sachs and increases from firms citing stronger issuance trends, a favorable environment for Moody's Investors Service, and a more constructive outlook for rating agencies into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Moody's reflects a mix of optimism around issuance trends and earnings potential, alongside some restraint on valuation and expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 25

MCO: Fair Outlook Sees Issuance Strength Balancing Private Credit Ratings Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from US$561.68 to US$575.53, as analysts point to solid recent issuance trends, a more favorable earnings outlook for the Moody's Investors Service segment, and sustained interest in the stock from multiple research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's reflects a generally positive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and one upgrade in rating, all tied closely to issuance trends and expectations for the Moody's Investors Service segment.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 10

MCO: Fair Outlook Balances Issuance Strength With Data And Analytics Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from about US$545.50 to roughly US$561.68, with analysts pointing to stronger assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate. This is supported by recent research that highlights a constructive outlook for rating agencies, improving issuance trends and Moody's expanding role in data and analytics.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 21

Private Credit Evolution And AI Integration Will Shape Market Success

Moody's saw only marginal improvements in both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts, resulting in the consensus analyst price target rising slightly from $543.40 to $545.50. What's in the News Moody's launched Agentic Solutions, an AI-powered product suite automating and optimizing complex decision-making workflows for regulated industries, enhancing productivity, transparency, and workflow efficiency across finance, risk, and strategy.
分析記事 • Jul 26

The Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

As you might know, Moody's Corporation ( NYSE:MCO ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Moody's: Q1, Analytics Strength Offsets Weaker Debt Issuance Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Moody's Corporation reported strong Q1 2025 earnings, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, driven by robust performance in ratings. Despite trimming FY 2025 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, Moody's valuation has become more attractive at a price-to-cash flow of 31.2x. Risks include potential declines in credit issuances and slower up-sells from new AI products, but Moody's strong market position and recurrent revenue provide resilience. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Moody's: A Long Term Compounder At A Hefty Price

Summary Moody's, a pioneer in bond credit ratings, has grown into a financial services giant with two main segments: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA). MIS, generating $3.8 billion in 2024, provides essential credit ratings that influence companies' borrowing costs, while MA offers SaaS-based decision solutions, contributing $3.3 billion. Moody's boasts strong financials with $7.1 billion in 2024 revenue, 20% growth, and high margins, driven by its competitive edge in the credit rating market. Despite a higher valuation than historical averages, Moody's shares offer potential returns of 4.7%-9.8% annually over the next five years, depending on EBITDA growth and multiples. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

Moody's Q4: Expect A Beat And Raise

Summary Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a robust business model, and over 100 years of industry presence, making it a reliable investment even in volatile markets. MCO has a 5-year total return of 96.1%, stellar Q3 '24 results with revenue up 23% and earnings up 39%, and raised its Q4 guidance. Risks are primarily macroeconomic, such as potential market volatility due to changes in government policies, but long-term prospects remain strong. I rate MCO a Buy for long-term, capital appreciation-focused investors due to its consistent dividend growth and strong financial performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Moody's And The Stargate Project: A Potential Catalyst No One Is Talking About

Summary Moody's Corporation is widely known for its unbeatable moat that has made it one of Warren Buffett's long-term picks. The most recent data on global debt suggest that Moody's will report a strong Q4 and that 2025 will be a favorable year. The Stargate Project and the AI wars could constitute yet another (hidden) catalyst for Moody's. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

Moody's: Overvalued But Still A Hold

Summary Moody's has had a strong year-to-date return of 30%, but its current valuation at a 37.2 P/E ratio suggests it is overvalued. Moody's operates through two main segments: Moody's Investor Services and Moody's Analytics, both critical to the financial sector. Despite Moody's impressive growth, S&P Global offers better value with a lower P/E ratio and faster cash flow growth, making it a more attractive investment. I will hold my Moody's shares long-term due to its high-quality business, despite expecting lower short-term returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 23

Moody's Q3 Earnings: Emerging Benefactors And Solid Baseline Results

Summary Moody's Corporation's Q3 earnings report showed impressive line items and guidance. Segmental growth remains robust, and profit margins are comprehensive. Normalization in M&A, expansion in private debt, and entry into catastrophe insurance analytics offerings add optimism. Inflated valuation multiples are likely justified by compelling growth figures. Risks include market pessimism post-earnings, potential mean reversion of high multiples, and uncertainty in M&A deal flow recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

Moody's: Fundamentals Are Better Than Expected, But Valuation Is Still High

Summary I maintain a hold rating for Moody’s stock due to concerns about its premium valuation relative to S&P Global Inc. Recent positive developments in MCO’s MIS segment and potential growth in the MA segment have improved my outlook but don't justify the premium. MCO’s GenAI products show promising growth potential, with significant increases in usage and cross-selling capabilities, enhancing long-term earnings prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Moody's: Capitalize On The Upcoming Global Easing Cycle

Summary Moody's is a high-quality compounder with a deep economic moat and strong cash flow, delivering a 19% annualized return over the past decade. The Fed's rate cut cycle is expected to boost global bond issuances, benefiting MCO's MIS segment, which saw strong earnings from narrowing credit spreads and lower treasury yields. Despite conservative guidance due to election-related uncertainty, MCO's historical performance and the initiation of a global monetary easing cycle suggest a promising outlook for 2025. Key risks include potential delays in the Fed's rate cuts and underperformance in the MA segment, but MCO's robust business model mitigates permanent capital loss risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 15

Moody's Corporation: Great Business But Currently Very Expensive

Summary Moody's is a global credit ratings agency assisting organizations in managing risk in fixed income investments. It operates in two segments: Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Service. Moody's has been growing through strategic acquisitions internationally, more than doubling revenues and incomes every decade, and has an asset-light business model. Moody's is currently very richly valued by the market; some of the highest valuations since 2000 by P/E and operating cash flow yield metrics. Now is not a good time to start a long position; rather it may be a good time to sell Moody's shares to take some profits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 20

Moody's: Q2 Earnings, What To Expect And What I Am Doing As Investor

Summary Duopolies like S&P Global and Moody's are strong investments. When Moody's reported Q1 earnings, we saw potential for growth in Q2. In this article, we discuss the new favorable developments for the company, while taking a look at its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:MCO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20289,5333,2933,6793,98012
12/31/20278,8513,0043,3063,66920
12/31/20268,2342,7642,9173,32920
3/31/20267,8732,4952,7473,083N/A
12/31/20257,7182,4592,5752,901N/A
9/30/20257,5012,2442,3982,717N/A
6/30/20257,3072,1322,3712,677N/A
3/31/20257,2262,1062,4962,820N/A
12/31/20247,0882,0582,5212,838N/A
9/30/20246,8962,0032,3252,641N/A
6/30/20246,5551,8582,0852,400N/A
3/31/20246,2321,6832,0422,318N/A
12/31/20235,9161,6071,8802,151N/A
9/30/20235,7261,5131,7742,051N/A
6/30/20235,5291,4271,6481,925N/A
3/31/20235,4161,3771,3151,612N/A
12/31/20225,4681,3741,1911,474N/A
9/30/20225,7171,5551,1301,396N/A
6/30/20225,9681,7261,2681,496N/A
3/31/20226,1401,9761,6151,799N/A
12/31/20216,2182,2141,8662,005N/A
9/30/20215,9692,1012,2672,364N/A
6/30/20215,7992,0942,3542,439N/A
3/31/20215,6812,0262,3812,477N/A
12/31/20205,3711,7782,0432,146N/A
9/30/20205,3141,8241,8761,967N/A
6/30/20205,1981,7361,8051,897N/A
3/31/20204,9771,5371,5831,653N/A
12/31/20194,8291,422N/A1,675N/A
9/30/20194,6561,313N/A1,572N/A
6/30/20194,4971,244N/A1,439N/A
3/31/20194,4581,310N/A1,437N/A
12/31/20184,4431,310N/A1,461N/A
9/30/20184,5481,085N/A1,489N/A
6/30/20184,5301,092N/A1,573N/A
3/31/20184,3561,028N/A1,659N/A
12/31/20174,2041,001N/A755N/A
9/30/20173,981547N/A720N/A
6/30/20173,835485N/A672N/A
3/31/20173,763428N/A493N/A
12/31/20163,604267N/A1,259N/A
9/30/20163,528913N/A1,149N/A
6/30/20163,446889N/A1,106N/A
3/31/20163,435896N/A1,145N/A
12/31/20153,485941N/A1,198N/A
9/30/20153,496960N/A1,202N/A
6/30/20153,477943N/A1,155N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: MCOの予測収益成長率 (年間9.3% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: MCOの収益 ( 9.3% ) US市場 ( 17.1% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: MCOの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: MCOの収益 ( 6.4% ) US市場 ( 11.9% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: MCOの収益 ( 6.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: MCOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には非常に高くなると予測されています ( 87.2 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/09 15:28
終値2026/06/09 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Moody's Corporation 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。32

アナリスト機関
John EadeArgus Research Company
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Manav PatnaikBarclays