Vail Resorts, Inc.

NYSE:MTN 株式レポート

時価総額：US$5.2b

Vail Resorts 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /46

Vail Resorts利益と収益がそれぞれ年間24.7%と4.3%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に86.6% 25.3%なると予測されています。

主要情報

24.7%

収益成長率

25.26%

EPS成長率

Hospitality 収益成長18.4%
収益成長率4.3%
将来の株主資本利益率86.65%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日18 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • Dec 13

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to...

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 18

MTN: Weather Volatility And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts from $135 to $119, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher projected revenue growth with a lower estimated profit margin, along with a higher future P/E multiple and discount rate. What’s in the News for Vail Resorts Vail Resorts reported weak Q3 2026 results, with resort revenue down 7%, EBITDA down 14%, and skier visits down 17%, as record low snowfall in the Rockies and adverse weather across the Western U.S. weighed on performance.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 12

Vail Resorts: Still Need More Proof That Demand Is Not Impaired

Summary I maintain a hold rating on Vail Resorts as proof of demand recovery remains insufficient. MTN's Q3 results were weak, with resort revenue down 7% and early pass units for next season down 10%. Weather was the primary headwind, but the pass model, cost actions, and potential normalization still offer a credible recovery path. Valuation is undemanding at 9.5x forward EBITDA, but I need clearer evidence of pass sales inflection before upgrading. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 04

MTN: Rental Expansion And Oasis Support Will Shape Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Vail Resorts price target slightly to about $155.17 from $155.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth and profit margin, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Oasis Management Co. Ltd.
ナラティブの更新 • May 15

MTN: Rental Expansion And Bundling Risks Will Shape Long Term Upside

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at approximately $155.42. They have fine tuned assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29

MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Rollout Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts now see fair value for Vail Resorts at about $155 per share, down from roughly $164, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action was filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging that ski pass bundling practices and single-day lift-ticket pricing have inflated costs and restricted competition for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 15

MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Program Rollout Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts to $163.92 from $174.18, reflecting updated views on the balance between slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a small shift in the future P/E multiple. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado, alleging that Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company used ski pass bundling and high single-day lift-ticket prices to restrain competition and inflate costs for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 01

MTN: Legal Overhang And Premium Experiences Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $210 from about $223, citing updated fair value estimates that reflect revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging inflated prices and suppressed competition tied to Epic Pass and Ikon Pass products, as well as high single-day lift-ticket pricing (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 18

MTN: Rental Rollout And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Vail Resorts from $146.00 to $135.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Vail Resorts plans a multi year rollout that brings key features from its My Epic Gear program into traditional rental outlets, including the ability to choose specific gear models online or in app and access premium technologies such as BOA ski boots and Step On snowboard boots and bindings (Client Announcements).
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 04

MTN: Share Buybacks And Expanded Mountain Dining Experiences Will Support Future Upside

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts steady at about $174.18 while slightly adjusting the discount rate and future P/E inputs. This signals a refined rather than directional shift in their price target framework.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 17

MTN: Share Buybacks And New Guest Experiences Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have made a small trim to their price target for Vail Resorts to $174.18 from $174.64. This reflects slightly adjusted views on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 03

MTN: Share Repurchases And New Experiences Will Support Future Value Creation

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts by about $0.64 to $174.64. This adjustment reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a minor change to expected revenue growth, and a small increase in projected profit margins and future P/E levels.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 20

MTN: Buybacks And Premium On Mountain Experiences Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Vail Resorts slightly to about US$223 from roughly US$224, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the overall outlook broadly consistent. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on higher end offerings and social media friendly experiences (Product-Related Announcement).
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 06

MTN: Expanded Buybacks And New On Mountain Experiences Will Support Value Creation

Analysts have nudged their price target on Vail Resorts higher to about US$175 from roughly US$174, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on themed dining experiences and social media friendly offerings (Product-Related Announcements).
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 15

MTN Will Benefit From Robust Buybacks And Confident Earnings Outlook

Narrative Update on Vail Resorts Analysts have reduced their price target for Vail Resorts by approximately $11 to around $224. This reflects slightly lower expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples, while only modestly adjusting the discount rate.
分析記事 • Dec 14

Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Will Pay A Dividend Of $2.22

The board of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $2.22 per share on the 12th...
分析記事 • Dec 13

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Shareholders of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to...
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 01

MTN: Expanded Share Repurchase Will Support Long-Term Value Creation

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts, maintaining the fair value estimate at $173.73 per share after reviewing minor shifts in the discount rate and projected valuation metrics. What's in the News Vail Resorts remains focused on disciplined capital allocation, planning to spend $198 million to $203 million in core capital and an additional $51 million in European and real estate-related investments in 2025.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 17

MTN: Share Buyback Momentum Will Drive Future Gains

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $173.73. This reflects nuanced changes in discount rate, expected revenue growth, and profit margin projections.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 31

MTN: Share Repurchases And Focus On Experiences Will Drive Future Upside

Vail Resorts Price Target Raised Slightly as Analysts Reaffirm Growth Outlook Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vail Resorts from $173.09 to $173.73 per share, citing stable revenue growth and profit margin projections as underlying support for the new valuation. What's in the News Vail Resorts provided earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, with expected net income between $201 million and $276 million.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 17

Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors

Narrative Update on Vail Resorts: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at $173.09. They cite consistent profit margins and revenue growth despite a slight uptick in the discount rate and future price-to-earnings expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03

Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors

Vail Resorts’ analyst price target has been revised downward from $181.09 to $173.09, as analysts cite incremental changes to revenue growth outlook and updated discount rates as the primary reasons for the adjustment. What's in the News Vail Resorts completed a share repurchase of 1,286,620 shares for $200.01 million, totaling 28.96% of shares repurchased under the buyback program begun in 2006 (Key Developments) The company signaled a continued focus on acquisitions and investments, aiming to spend $198 to $203 million on core capital and an additional $51 million on European and real estate projects in 2025 (Key Developments) Vail Resorts projects net income of $201 to $276 million for fiscal year 2026 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased, moving from $181.09 to $173.09.
分析記事 • Oct 02

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Investors in Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at US$154 following the...
分析記事 • Sep 08

Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 • Jul 30

Is It Time To Consider Buying Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN)?

While Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...
分析記事 • Jun 27

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Shares Could Be 44% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Vail Resorts fair value estimate is US$282 Current share price...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Vail Resorts: Q2 Results Better Than Feared

Summary Vail Resorts' stock has dropped 30% over the past year, but Q2 results showed a 4% after-hours increase due to solid earnings. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Vail's focus on annual passes provides stable revenue; Q2 saw a 6% revenue rise and 8% EBITDA growth. Vail cut earnings guidance slightly due to FX headwinds but maintains a healthy balance sheet with $488 million cash and a 5.6% dividend yield. With a 7% free cash flow yield and expected 3-5% growth, Vail shares are attractive for income investors, poised to reach $170-175. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 07

Vail Resorts: Bull Outlooks Premature, Post Strike-Related Headwinds Far From Resolved

Summary The new Vail Resorts, Inc. CEO is untested, raising concerns about leadership effectiveness. Early snow arrival is positive, but social media backlash over service and prices persists. Waiting times have surged to up to three hours, indicating severe operational issues. Ski resorts' global duopoly risks self-destruction if service bottlenecks continue. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 10

Vail Resorts: Shares Are Worth Considering On Better Results, Higher Guidance

Summary Vail Resorts, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results exceeded analyst expectations, prompting management to raise full-year guidance, signaling a positive outlook despite mixed financial performance. The Mountain segment saw revenue growth despite declines in lift, ski school, and retail/rental revenues, offset by increased dining and 'other' revenues. The Lodging segment experienced the strongest growth, driven by higher demand for summer lodging, while the Real Estate segment remained volatile and non-core. Despite seasonal losses, Vail Resorts' improved cash flow and raised guidance justify a soft 'buy' rating, with MTN shares appearing attractively valued on cash flow multiples. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 27

Vail Resorts: Bet On This Turnaround Plan And Collect A 5%+ Yield While Waiting

Summary Vail Resorts is undervalued after a 20% YTD drop, despite maintaining dividends and a new plan to grow adjusted EBITDA. The company recently unveiled a two-year transformation plan aiming for $100M in annual savings by FY26, with significant corporate job cuts to boost efficiency. Vail is also enjoying an increase in season pass sales in dollar terms, despite a sharp price increase. The stock is trading at a reasonable ~10x adjusted EBITDA valuation, and sports a generous 5% dividend ($2.22 quarterly) while we wait for a rebound. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 29

Decisive Moves And Seasonal Recoveries Poised To Boost Growth And Margins In Hospitality Sector

Strategic cost-efficiency measures and global expansion efforts aim to significantly reduce operational costs and improve net margins.

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:MTN - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
7/31/20283,0952565216327
7/31/20272,99322844856711
7/31/20262,83715737658311
4/30/20262,831157175413N/A
1/31/20262,922232286522N/A
10/31/20252,975267352588N/A
7/31/20252,964280320555N/A
4/30/20252,958286397633N/A
1/31/20252,946258400627N/A
10/31/20242,887233314543N/A
7/31/20242,885231378589N/A
4/30/20242,890277385594N/A
1/31/20242,845240367605N/A
10/31/20232,868230391635N/A
7/31/20232,889266323638N/A
4/30/20232,887288372664N/A
1/31/20232,825336434705N/A
10/31/20222,630350428694N/A
7/31/20222,526348518710N/A
4/30/20222,463316556747N/A
1/31/20222,175218501678N/A
10/31/20211,954142627762N/A
7/31/20211,910128410525N/A
4/30/20211,783115367479N/A
1/31/20211,588-7198316N/A
10/31/20201,82852148298N/A
7/31/20201,96499223395N/A
4/30/20202,131163245436N/A
1/31/20202,394303N/A666N/A
10/31/20192,319302N/A666N/A
7/31/20192,272301N/A634N/A
4/30/20192,239307N/A633N/A
1/31/20192,126271N/A621N/A
10/31/20182,011300N/A570N/A
7/31/20182,012380N/A548N/A
4/30/20182,009406N/A560N/A
1/31/20181,959331N/A577N/A
10/31/20171,950245N/A572N/A
7/31/20171,907211N/A471N/A
4/30/20171,878202N/A466N/A
1/31/20171,731179N/A447N/A
10/31/20161,605147N/A409N/A
7/31/20161,601150N/A437N/A
4/30/20161,583145N/A365N/A
1/31/20161,515121N/A339N/A
10/31/20151,446119N/A354N/A
7/31/20151,400115N/A304N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: MTNの予測収益成長率 (年間24.7% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: MTNの収益 ( 24.7% ) はUS市場 ( 18.9% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: MTNの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: MTNの収益 ( 4.3% ) US市場 ( 13% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: MTNの収益 ( 4.3% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: MTNの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には非常に高くなると予測されています ( 86.6 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/21 03:57
終値2026/06/18 00:00
収益2026/04/30
年間収益2025/07/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Vail Resorts, Inc. 11 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。26

アナリスト機関
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays
Brandt MontourBarclays
Brennan MatthewsBerenberg