Archer Aviation 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /26
Archer Aviation利益と収益がそれぞれ年間25.2%と62.8%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に-75.9% 28.9%なると予測されています。
主要情報
25.2%
収益成長率
28.86%
EPS成長率
| Aerospace & Defense 収益成長 | 17.7% |
| 収益成長率 | 62.8% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | -75.85% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 18 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 26
ACHR: FAA Progress And 2026 Launch Plans Will Drive Future Upside
Archer Aviation's analyst price target has been reduced by about $0.67 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Archer Aviation highlights a mix of optimism about the company’s long term potential and caution around execution and valuation, which is reflected in the revised price targets.Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Archer Aviation's Double-Bottom May Be Here - Commercialization Remains A Distance Away
Summary ACHR advances VTOL testing and regulatory milestones, with the upcoming eIPP participation and Restricted Type Certificate program supporting intermediate-term US/UAE commercialization. With a growing order book nearing $6B as of 2024 and an expanded manufacturing cadence, the VTOL company appears well on track to rapidly monetize their offerings upon FAA certification. These tailwinds are, albeit, negated by ACHR's elevated cash burn rate as they intensify their multi-pronged testing/manufacturing/training/operations at Hawthorne Airport in LA/commercialization cadence. The stock is only suitable for patient investors with high-risk tolerance, given the likely to be sustained equity dilution from future capital raises and the elevated short interest ratio. ACHR is reiterated as a contrarian Buy here, thanks to the materialization of a double bottom at $5s in March/June 2026 after the steep selloff from the October 2025 highs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 18
Archer Aviation (ACHR) Stock Could Be 73% Undervalued After Survey And Flight Test Progress
Survey interest and flight testing put Archer Aviation stock in focus Archer Aviation (ACHR) stock is back on investors’ radar after a Jefferies survey showed strong consumer interest in eVTOL flying taxis, along with the company’s ongoing flight test program aimed at supporting future certification. See our latest analysis for Archer Aviation. Despite the recent survey buzz and flight test progress, Archer Aviation’s 1-day share price return declined 1.47% to close at US$5.36, and its year...
ナラティブの更新 • May 15
2026 Thesis Update: The Evolution from UAM to a "Hardware + Defense + AI" Ecosystem
Archer's recent Q1 2026 results and strategic moves fundamentally upgrade the investment thesis from a pure "air taxi operator" to a diversified aerospace platform. Beyond UAM (Defense & AI): Archer is no longer just a commercial eVTOL company.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 02
Urban Air Mobility And Certification Risks Will Pressure Prospects Despite Growing Defense And Software Hopes
Catalysts About Archer Aviation Archer Aviation develops electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft for urban air mobility, civil use and defense applications. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
新しいナラティブ • Mar 18
Urban Air Taxi Certification And Defense Programs Will Transform Long Term Prospects
Catalysts About Archer Aviation Archer Aviation is building electric and hybrid vertical takeoff and landing aircraft for commercial air taxi services, defense applications and aviation software solutions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?新しいナラティブ • Mar 04
Urban Air Mobility Catalysts And Defense Partnerships Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Archer Aviation Archer Aviation is developing electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and related platforms for civil, commercial, and defense applications. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
Archer Aviation: Real Progress, Real Potential
Summary Archer Aviation has made significant regulatory progress, securing key FAA certifications and strategic partnerships with United Airlines and Stellantis, bolstering its commercial prospects. The company has strong financial backing, with over $900 million in cash and substantial investments from partners like Stellantis, ensuring robust support for scaling production. Options market positioning and dark pool activity indicate bullish sentiment, with $7 likely acting as a price floor, suggesting potential for upward movement. Risks include potential FAA certification delays, manufacturing challenges, and macroeconomic factors, but Archer's current trajectory and partnerships position it well for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Archer Aviation: Sky High Valuation
Summary I believe Archer Aviation’s Abu Dhabi flights will attract investors' attention, but not enough to justify the current valuation without FAA type certification. I'm projecting only partial revenue recognition from the ~$50M in launch edition deals this year, and I believe the Street's $29M estimate is likely closer to the actual figure. I find the forward P/S ratio north of 110 excessive, especially without visibility on the US market entry. I anticipate the FAA could wait for operational data from Abu Dhabi before resolving certification issues, likely pushing the type rating approval to 2026 or later. I suggest holding until there's concrete progress on US certification. Without it, the upside is speculative and the risk/reward isn’t favorable. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
Archer Aviation: It's The Perfect Time To Buy
Summary Archer Aviation is starting production of its Midnight air taxi, targeting 10 aircraft in FY25, with Abu Dhabi Aviation as its first customer. ACHR is poised to capitalize on key aviation trends: accessibility, autonomy, and electric technology, focusing on civilian, defense, and AI-driven flight control systems. Strategic partnership with Anduril aims to develop cost-effective hybrid-propulsion VTOL aircraft for defense, targeting the US Department of Defense, and leveraging AI and existing supply chains. I rate ACHR as a Buy with a target price of $11, driven by its innovative approach and significant market opportunities in both civilian and military aviation sectors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Archer Aviation: Midnight Launch Set To Go To New Heights
Summary Archer Aviation is set to launch its first eVTOL aircraft, Midnight, in 2025, targeting early adopters and generating initial revenue in Abu Dhabi. The company has substantial liquidity, with $1.136 billion in cash, but faces high operational expenses and relies on partnerships like Stellantis for scaling production. The eVTOL market could reach $41.5 billion by 2035, with significant potential in both civilian and military applications, boosting Archer's long-term prospects. Despite high risks and reliance on FAA certification, Archer's innovative technology and strategic marketing could justify its stock price for high-risk investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Feb 14
Is There An Opportunity With Archer Aviation Inc.'s (NYSE:ACHR) 49% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Archer Aviation is US$18.85 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Archer...Seeking Alpha • Feb 10
Archer Aviation: Frothy Valuation Despite Continued Progress
Summary Archer Aviation's stock surged on the back of President Trump's election and speculation about an easier path to commercialization. While recent progress has been solid, Archer's valuation has long embedded an expectation of significant commercial success, not just regulatory approval. The recent increase in Archer's share price reduces the risk of dilution. Archer still needs access to significant additional capital to reach breakeven, though. I tend to think the recent eVTOL stock surge has been driven by a broader speculative bubble as much as fundamentals. As a result, near-term investor risk appetite is probably as important as Archer's progression through the certification process. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 31
Archer Aviation Has Too Many Uncertainities
Summary Archer Aviation shows potential but faces significant uncertainties, including capital needs, increasing cash burn, and past share dilution, making it a high-risk investment. The company focuses on electric passenger drones for urban mobility, with plans to start production in 2025 and potential orders worth $6B. Risks include regulatory hurdles, high costs, and market limitations, compounded by insider share sales and ongoing cash burn. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 14
Archer Aviation: Asymmetric Upside If You Can Stomach The Ride
Summary Archer Aviation has seen significant stock price growth, but it remains a highly speculative investment with substantial risks and potential rewards. Technical indicators suggest increased short-term risks, with the stock failing to maintain its 20-day EMA and potentially testing the 50-day SMA. Archer's future hinges on achieving commercial viability and securing customer demand, despite current high cash burn and ongoing shareholder dilution. While highly speculative, Archer could see substantial market cap growth if it successfully ramps up production and secures a significant backlog of orders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 29
Archer Aviation: Plot Twist
Summary Archer Aviation created Archer Defense to tap into the defense sector's VTOL aircraft market with limited additional work. Archer Defense opens up a new market with existing demand, enhancing Archer Aviation's growth potential. The company raised additional funds, pushing the cash balance to over $930 million, providing the capital to launch eVTOL production and air taxi services. Investors should wait for a negative plot twist, such as aircraft certification delays, before buying, as the stock has already rallied from $3 to $11 in just months. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Archer Aviation: Bullish Future Despite Stellantis Turmoil
Summary Archer Aviation has shown significant progress, achieving key milestones and detailing a robust commercialization strategy, leading to an 85% stock increase since July 2024. The company’s liquidity is strong with $501.7 million in cash and a $400 million pledge from Stellantis, though additional funding may be needed. Strategic partnerships and regulatory support in key markets like the U.S., UAE and Japan bolster Archer’s commercialization efforts and market entry plans. Despite current stock price inflation, incremental buying is advised for long-term gains, especially if prices drop below calculated levels due to potential Stellantis-related risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 29
Archer Aviation: I'm Staying Grounded On This Rally, But Ready For The Next Ones
Summary I believe the current bull run may end soon due to the lack of immediate news to fuel the shareholder excitement, but I foresee more rallies moving ahead. Near term catalysts include the completion of the Georgia manufacturing facility and regulatory approvals, either abroad or in the US, both of which could reignite investor/speculator enthusiasm. With $501 million in cash and potential funding from Stellantis, Archer has a 15-28 month cash runway to advance the FAA's type rating. I remain skeptical about the scalability of eVTOL commercial operations in high-density cities due to limited (physical) space for additional infrastructure at urban heliports. Overall, I maintain a hold rating due to high risk for a pullback until the next catalyst is realized. If the share price cools off, I will reconsider my rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
Why Archer Aviation's Recent Gains Are Just The Start
Summary Emerging Opportunity: eVTOL market poised for high growth; Archer a front-runner. International Growth: $6B in indicative orders; $500M from Japan Airlines JV. Georgia Facility: $65M plant; capacity for 650 aircraft annually by 2029. Upside: Innovative technology, partnerships, and first-mover advantages. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 24
Archer Aviation: 6 Billion Reasons To Own
Summary Archer Aviation's $6 billion order book and FAA's supportive regulations position it for commercial launch in 2025. Significant deals with United Airlines and the UAE, plus a $142 million USAF contract, reduce FAA certification risks and bolster revenue potential. Air taxi services in San Francisco and Los Angeles, with potential airport security bypass, promise lucrative fare revenues and operational efficiency. With a market cap of $1.3 billion and $600 million in cash, Archer Aviation is poised for substantial growth, targeting $3+ billion sales by 2028. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 18
Archer Aviation: Dilution Risk Is Rising
Summary Archer Aviation's share price has been under pressure in recent months, increasing the risk of harmful dilution. Archer's business is steadily progressing in areas like manufacturing and certification, though. On a positive note, ACHR's order book and partnerships continue to expand, providing the company with a significant opportunity if/when the certification process is complete. Despite this, Joby appears better positioned across most areas (manufacturing, certification, superior aircraft, stronger balance sheet, autonomy, hydrogen). Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
Archer Aviation: The Bottoming Out Process Has Begun
Summary Archer Aviation's stock plummeted 52.56% after a 2023 rally; our valuation model now suggests it is slightly undervalued, with potential buying opportunities. Key developments include a partnership with Stellantis for production scaling and significant regulatory milestones, including military airworthiness and Part 135 certification. Future prospects hinge on competitive unit economics and scaling production to 650 eVTOLs by 2028, with cash flow profitability expected by 2027. Archer's fair value is estimated at $3.55, with shares trading at a 13.75% discount; significant risks include achieving FAA Type Certification. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 29
Archer Aviation: Swelling Order Backlog In A Big Addressable Market
Summary Archer Aviation stock is a "Strong Buy" at $3.8 due to its significant progress towards FAA certification and a $6 billion order book. The eVTOL industry is poised for multi-decade growth, with Archer well-positioned as an early mover to capitalize on this potential. Strong partnerships with Stellantis, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines bolster Archer's financial stability and operational plans. Despite risks like equity dilution and competition, Archer's strategic advancements and industry tailwinds make it a compelling investment for aggressive investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 482 | -867 | -534 | -288 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 94 | -1,002 | -788 | -572 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 9 | -1,007 | -867 | -708 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 2 | -742 | -615 | -487 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 0 | -618 | -538 | -433 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | N/A | -627 | -487 | -408 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | N/A | -613 | -477 | -400 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | N/A | -514 | -451 | -377 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | N/A | -537 | -451 | -369 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | N/A | -448 | -415 | -348 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | N/A | -384 | -381 | -318 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | N/A | -461 | -345 | -294 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | N/A | -458 | -316 | -272 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | N/A | -444 | -293 | -255 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | N/A | -484 | -263 | -239 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | N/A | -371 | -245 | -227 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | N/A | -317 | -207 | -200 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | N/A | -265 | -186 | -182 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | N/A | -351 | -166 | -162 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | N/A | -312 | -136 | -133 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | N/A | -348 | -112 | -108 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | N/A | -313 | -72 | -67 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | N/A | -144 | -48 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | N/A | -116 | -34 | -32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | N/A | -25 | -25 | -23 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: ACHR今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。
収益対市場: ACHR今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。
高成長収益: ACHR今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。
収益対市場: ACHRの収益 ( 62.8% ) US市場 ( 12.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: ACHRの収益 ( 62.8% ) 20%よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: ACHR 3 年以内に赤字になると予測されています。
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/29 10:10 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Archer Aviation Inc. 8 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。10
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| David Zazula | Barclays |
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |
| Andres Sheppard-Slinger | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |