Ferrari N.V.

NYSE:RACE 株式レポート

時価総額：US$59.5b

Ferrari 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Ferrari利益と収益がそれぞれ年間6.9%と5.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に38.9% 7.8%なると予測されています。

主要情報

6.9%

収益成長率

7.77%

EPS成長率

Auto 収益成長37.2%
収益成長率5.9%
将来の株主資本利益率38.94%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日20 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 06

Ferrari: Strong Start Reinforces Investment Case Despite Market Weakness

Summary Q1 revenues reached €1.85bn (+3%, +6% FX-neutral) with EBITDA at €722m (39.1% margin) and EBIT at €548m, supported by mix, pricing, and personalization despite lower volumes. The order book extends into 2027, the net cash position improved to €388 million, and share buybacks continue (up to €250 million for the next tranche), underpinning EPS growth. While tariffs and FX remain headwinds, RACE's pricing power and brand strength mitigate demand risk. With an unchanged outlook, despite a solid quarter, we remain buyers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 02

RACE: Luxury Premium And 2026 Guidance Will Support Higher Cash Distributions

Ferrari's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to approximately $429 from about $428, as analysts update their models following recent earnings, refreshed guidance, and revised views on the stock's luxury premium and long term P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ferrari shows a mix of optimism and caution as analysts refresh models after the latest results and guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 18

RACE: Luxury Premium And 2026 Guidance Will Support Higher Cash Returns

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to Ferrari's fair value estimate to about $428 per share. This reflects recent price target changes across the Street and updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and future P/E expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 04

RACE: Luxury Premium And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Cash Returns

Ferrari's analyst price target has edged higher to about $426, with analysts pointing to updated models around FY25 results, refined discount rate assumptions, and expectations for a premium P/E multiple despite mixed target revisions across major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ferrari shows a split view, with some analysts leaning into the luxury premium and others trimming expectations and targets.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 21

RACE: Future Cash Returns Will Be Underpinned By 2026 Earnings Guidance

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Ferrari shares slightly lower to about $424 from roughly $432, while still pointing to updated models that reflect FY25 results and guidance, as well as a broadly supportive tone in recent price target revisions across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferrari offers a mix of constructive and cautious views, with several firms updating models around FY25 results and FY26 initial guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 06

RACE: Future Cash Returns And Guidance Support Premium Positioning Narrative

Our updated narrative on Ferrari reflects a slightly lower fair value estimate of $431.54, down about $3.99, even as analysts on the Street have generally nudged their price targets higher following the company's fiscal 2025 results and initial FY26 guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research on Ferrari has been mixed recently, with several firms lifting price targets after fiscal 2025 results and initial FY26 guidance, while others have taken a more cautious stance and trimmed targets or ratings.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 20

RACE: Premium Positioning And Special Series Mix Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have inched up their fair value estimate for Ferrari to about $436 from roughly $432, pointing to refreshed models that reflect updated company guidance, a slightly lower discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions after recent price target moves across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferrari shows a mix of optimism around its premium positioning and caution around expectations, communication, and valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 05

RACE: Special Series Mix And Buybacks Will Support Premium Profile Despite Cautious Revisions

The analyst price target for Ferrari has been revised modestly lower, with fair value moving from about €441.39 to €431.78 as analysts factor in lower external price targets, a slightly higher discount rate, and updated assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ferrari reflects a mix of optimism on the business model and caution on communication, cost trends, and valuation assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 20

RACE: Special Series Mix And Buybacks Will Sustain Premium Equity Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Ferrari slightly lower to €441.39 from €447.30, reflecting modestly softer revenue growth and margin assumptions. The change also points to recent price target cuts and rating downgrades that are focused on communication issues rather than core business fundamentals.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 06

RACE: Special Series Pricing And Buybacks Will Support Premium Multiple

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Ferrari slightly lower to about $447 from about $453, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as they factor in recent price target trims and an ongoing focus on pricing power in the high-end segment. Analyst Commentary Street research on Ferrari has centered on how its luxury positioning, pricing power, and cost base feed into valuation, with a mix of optimism on execution and caution on cost inflation and relative pricing versus peers.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14

RACE: Special Series Mix Will Support Premium Multiple And Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Ferrari slightly lower to about $453 from roughly $456, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate while still expecting solid revenue growth, resilient margins and continued support from premium positioning, new product launches and price mix improvements. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to emphasize Ferrari's unique positioning in the premium and ultra luxury auto segment, arguing that its pricing power, limited volumes and strong brand heritage justify a valuation closer to high end luxury peers rather than traditional automakers.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 28

RACE: New Buybacks And Dividend Plans Will Support Premium Sector Outperformance

Ferrari’s analyst price target has been adjusted lower by approximately $10, as analysts cite cautiousness over higher fixed costs and sector headwinds. Analysts maintain continued confidence in the company’s premium positioning and robust business model.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 14

RACE: Share Buyback Program And Dividend Hike Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Ferrari's analyst price target has been trimmed slightly, falling by approximately $2.55. Analysts cite higher fixed cost expectations and a more cautious stance on near-term earnings, despite ongoing confidence in the company’s premium brand positioning and long-term growth opportunities.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 31

RACE: Upcoming Capital Markets Day Will Set Ambitious Earnings And Buyback Goals

Ferrari's analyst fair value estimate has been revised downward to $468.82 from $477.93, as analysts point to slightly moderated revenue growth and profit margin assumptions in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferrari has highlighted a mix of enthusiasm for the company's long-term prospects and some caution regarding near-term execution and valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 17

New Models Launching In 2025 Will Advance Electrification And Sustainability Goals

Ferrari’s analyst fair value estimate was revised lower to $477.93 from $530.84, as analysts cited more cautious growth forecasts and updated peer comparisons for the reduced price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary reflects a dynamic outlook for Ferrari, with both bullish and bearish perspectives driving adjustments to price targets and recommendations.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03

New Models Launching In 2025 Will Advance Electrification And Sustainability Goals

Ferrari’s analyst price target has been raised from approximately $525.00 to $530.84. This increase reflects analysts’ expectations for improved margins and robust capital returns, even as revenue growth estimates moderate slightly.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 17

New Models Launching In 2025 Will Advance Electrification And Sustainability Goals

Ferrari’s consensus price target has been raised to $525 as analysts cite strengthened brand, sustained margin upside, and forthcoming catalysts such as buybacks and new model launches, outweighing valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Ferrari’s strong brand heritage, robust pricing power, and durable returns on capital as supporting long-term investment appeal.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 27

New Models Launching In 2025 Will Advance Electrification And Sustainability Goals

Analysts have increased Ferrari’s price target to $513.86, citing resilience in demand, confidence in margin-focused strategy, and viewing the recent selloff as overdone, despite ongoing valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts acknowledge strong underlying fundamentals but maintain caution due to valuation concerns.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 06

New Models Launching In 2025 Will Advance Electrification And Sustainability Goals

Ferrari's consensus price target has been revised downward, primarily reflecting a reduction in its future P/E multiple despite a modest improvement in expected revenue growth, resulting in fair value falling from $532.10 to $503.21. What's in the News Ferrari confirmed 2025 earnings guidance with net revenues expected to exceed EUR 7.0 billion.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 27

The Impact Of Tariffs On European Automakers: Ferrari Is The Only One I Am Buying

Summary President Trump’s 25% tariffs on European car imports will significantly impact German automakers, with Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Porsche facing price hikes and potential sales declines. In this article, I will outline the impact on the four largest German automakers. As we will discuss Porsche, we will see there is another opportunity in the current market turmoil. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Ferrari: Driving Luxury And Innovation

Summary Ferrari's scarcity-driven model and luxury brand positioning enable high margins and resilience, similar to high-end fashion houses like Hermes. Advanced technology integration and strategic electrification plans enhance Ferrari's performance and brand status, differentiating it from mass-market automakers. Ferrari's deep ties with Formula 1 amplify global brand awareness, driving sales and mutually benefiting from F1's rising popularity. Diversification into lifestyle and luxury experiences, along with strong financials, positions Ferrari for sustainable growth despite competition and supply chain risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 17

Ferrari: The 2025 Investment Thesis

Summary Ferrari ended 2024 with strong results, beating expectations and providing a promising outlook for 2025. The company’s business model thrives on brand desirability and scarcity, with consistent execution and favourable demand/supply ratios. For 2025, Ferrari is expected to achieve higher growth driven by new models and non-car segments, including key catalysts like the EV launch and Lewis Hamilton's first year. At 54 times forward earnings, Ferrari is fairly valued, but a long-term trajectory of mid-teens EPS growth supports a 'Buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Ferrari's Magic: Why It Keeps Beating Estimates, And Will Continue Doing So

Summary Ferrari has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, driven by solid fundamentals and a unique business model that emphasizes exclusivity and personalization. Ferrari topped estimates once again and disclosed ambitious goals for FY2025. In the meantime, investors are waiting for the October unveiling of the first all-electric model. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Ferrari: The Prancing Horse Is Still Too Expensive

Summary Ferrari's brand strength and exclusivity provide a competitive advantage, leading to stable cash flows and high profit margins, unlike other automotive companies. Despite a recent 13% drop in share price, Ferrari's current valuation with a P/E Ratio of 50x and 0.60% dividend yield is not attractive. The upcoming all-electric Ferrari model, while a significant shift, is expected to maintain the brand's iconic status and appeal to wealthy customers. A more reasonable entry point to consider investing in Ferrari would be at a P/E Ratio of 40x, implying a share price around $370. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

Ferrari: Unleashing 12Cilindri Coupe And Spider; Initiate With 'Buy'

Summary Ferrari is expanding into the broader luxury performance automotive market, aiming for a larger addressable market and targeting a one-year price of $497 per share. The company has demonstrated strong growth with a 7.9% shipment increase over 8 years and recent 6.5% revenue growth driven by new models. Ferrari plans to launch 15 new models by 2026, anticipating 12% revenue growth from FY25 onwards, supported by high personalization and positive country mix. Key risks include product concentration, dependency on Formula 1 sponsorships, and potential US tariffs on European manufacturers impacting costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 05

Ferrari: Debunking Misconceptions About A Disappointing Third Quarter

Summary Ferrari's shares declined due to misconceptions about China, unit shipments, and non-recurring operations, presenting a buying opportunity. The decline in shipments is due to an ERP transition, and the China reduction is intentional. Ferrari's unique market position, strong brand, and prudent management justify its high valuation and promise market-beating returns. I expect positive news starting in Q4, potentially leading to guidance above consensus and continued robust growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Capitalize On Rising Global Inequality With Ferrari Stock Ownership

Summary Ferrari's exclusivity and strong brand, bolstered by its Formula 1 success, drive high demand and pricing power, ensuring robust revenue and operating leverage. Despite a recent 10% stock dip, Ferrari's Q3 2024 results showed impressive EBITDA and FCF growth, where conservative management guidance is often exceeded. Ferrari's unique low-volume, high-margin strategy, extensive customizations, and strong client relationships ensure recurring revenue and profitability without needing high production increases. With a median valuation of $525/share, Ferrari's stock is a buy, supported by strong management alignment and resilience to economic downturns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 19

The Market Is All Revved Up About Ferrari Amid Its Sold-Out F80

Summary Ferrari’s stock has gained 17.3% since May but remains overvalued. Now is not an opportune time to initiate a position. However, long-term investors may choose to prudently hold the stock. The F80, priced at $3.9 million and completely sold out, is expected to generate $3.12 billion in total revenue, with additional revenue opportunities anticipated from future variants. Given Ferrari’s elevated valuation and my growth estimates, which are supported by consensus forecasts, I foresee downside volatility over the next 12 months. By this time next year, I project Ferrari's stock price will reach approximately $483.50. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 24

From Track To Ticker: Evaluating Ferrari And Lamborghini

Summary Ferrari and Lamborghini are luxury supercar brands targeting high-net-worth individuals. Since the Volkswagen takeover, Lamborghini has climbed its way up to being considered Ferrari's closest peer. Lamborghini doesn't yet publicly trade on the market, but hints suggesting an upcoming IPO are piling up. Considering the financials of the two Italian companies, we can compare them and understand Ferrari's valuation and make a guess on what Lamborghini's IPO may look like. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 04

Ferrari: Low Cash Conversion Makes It Look Very Expensive

Summary Ferrari's strong brand heritage and Veblen effect allow it to increase prices while maintaining or increasing demand, ensuring high profitability and exclusivity. Despite a pristine balance sheet and consistent value creation, Ferrari's low cash conversion ratio highlights the capital-intensive nature of car manufacturing. Ferrari's current valuation of nearly 100x FCF and 49x EBIT suggests it is overvalued compared to its historical average of 35x EBIT. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 23

Ferrari's High-Octane Valuation: A Luxury Ride Priced To Perfection

Summary Strong momentum of the business model with revenue and profit growth through pricing control. Solid financial performance with growing revenues and stable margins, maintaining a comfortable liquidity position. Overvalued in comparison to peers, with high valuation metrics implying superior growth and profitability expectations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 04

Ferrari: After Q2 Earnings Beat, Consensus Estimates Still Seem Low

Summary Ferrari reported strong second quarter results, beating estimates with revenue growth, margin improvement, and EPS growth. The company's unique business model, scarcity of products, and control over sales contribute to consistent growth and margin expansion. Analyst consensus on Ferrari's valuation and growth potential is underestimated, with the company expected to outperform expectations in the future. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 23

Ferrari: Quantitative Analysis Suggests The Stock Is Overvalued

Summary Ferrari leads the Luxury Performance Car Industry with a 25% market share and plans to release its first electric car in Q4 2025. Financial performance is strong, with revenue growth of 7% and earnings growth of 12%, but the stock's growth prospect is limited. Despite excellent business performance, Ferrari shares are overvalued based on P/E, suggesting caution for potential investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02

Ferrari: Leveraging Racing Success For Long-Term Growth

Summary Ferrari's business model emphasizes scarcity, exclusivity, and brand loyalty, leading to consistent growth and high margins. RACE's success is attributed to its focus on luxury, not just automobiles, resulting in exceptional shareholder value. The company's history, racing legacy, and brand exclusivity contribute to its success in the automotive sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 31

Ferrari: I'm Waiting For A Better Valuation (Downgrade)

Summary Nearly 90% of Ferrari's revenue comes from cars, but it also sells fashion, merchandise, and experiences. By 2026, it aims for 60% of vehicle sales to be hybrid or electric. Ferrari's 5-year average free cash flow growth is 23.20%, higher than LVMH's but lower than Tesla's. Its equity-to-asset ratio of 0.38 is tolerable due to strong profitability and branding. Ferrari is richly valued compared to other automakers but is justified against luxury peers. In my opinion, its forward P/E GAAP ratio of 48 is slightly high at this time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 07

Ferrari: 98% Of Employees Chose To Be Shareholders, You Should Too

Summary Ferrari reports Q1-24 results with double-digit growth, exceeding revenue and earnings expectations. Despite currency headwinds and the phasing out of the Maserati contract, Ferrari was able to grow while maintaining strict scarcity and flat shipments. Ferrari's order books are sold out into 2026, with 74% of unit deliveries made to existing clients. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 20

Ensemble Capital - Ferrari: This Stock Has Been On A Tear

Summary “Build one less car than the market demand” is a quote attributed to founder Enzo Ferrari, yet where that line stands is more art than science. Ferrari was demonstrating economics more in line with digital and luxury businesses and deserving of a much higher valuation, more like a Hermes or Apple, rather than a typical auto company. We believe that management at Ferrari has built one of the strongest luxury brands and customer bases in the world with a complimentary robust business model that uniquely plays to these strengths. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:RACE - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )EUR Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20288,6181,9711,8412,85616
12/31/20278,1331,8561,6632,62722
12/31/20267,5711,7141,5082,52123
3/31/20267,2031,5981,3942,366N/A
12/31/20257,1461,5971,4062,349N/A
9/30/20257,0801,6011,3552,325N/A
6/30/20256,9581,5941,3592,348N/A
3/31/20256,8831,5821,2512,269N/A
12/31/20246,6771,5229381,927N/A
9/30/20246,4651,4319311,959N/A
6/30/20246,3641,3878661,849N/A
3/31/20246,1261,3089141,828N/A
12/31/20235,9701,2528481,717N/A
9/30/20235,8151,1787581,620N/A
6/30/20235,5201,0746671,523N/A
3/31/20235,3389905601,384N/A
12/31/20225,0959335991,403N/A
9/30/20224,8999276011,328N/A
6/30/20224,7039076121,328N/A
3/31/20224,4468647041,421N/A
12/31/20214,2718315461,283N/A
9/30/20214,1688795881,338N/A
6/30/20214,0028444451,165N/A
3/31/20213,539647164849N/A
12/31/20203,460608129838N/A
9/30/20203,31951367784N/A
6/30/20203,346510127832N/A
3/31/20203,7596844401,185N/A
12/31/20193,767696N/A1,306N/A
9/30/20193,684718N/A1,264N/A
6/30/20193,607837N/A1,224N/A
3/31/20193,529815N/A1,109N/A
12/31/20183,420785N/A934N/A
9/30/20183,415730N/A774N/A
6/30/20183,413584N/A769N/A
3/31/20183,427559N/A731N/A
12/31/20173,417535N/A663N/A
9/30/20173,412511N/A946N/A
6/30/20173,360483N/A964N/A
3/31/20173,250445N/A1,034N/A
12/31/20163,105399N/A1,005N/A
9/30/20163,014342N/A740N/A
6/30/20162,954323N/A608N/A
3/31/20162,909301N/A756N/A
12/31/20152,854288N/A707N/A
9/30/20152,861313N/A665N/A
6/30/20152,801275N/A580N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: RACEの予測収益成長率 (年間6.9% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: RACEの収益 ( 6.9% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: RACEの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: RACEの収益 ( 5.9% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: RACEの収益 ( 5.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: RACEの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 38.9 %)

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/20 09:30
終値2026/05/20 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Ferrari N.V. 23 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。40

アナリスト機関
Carmen NovelBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Davide ZappaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Gianmarco BonacinaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)