View ValuationTrans Polonia 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /06現在、 Trans Poloniaの成長と収益を予測するのに十分なアナリストの調査がありません。主要情報n/a収益成長率n/aEPS成長率Transportation 収益成長10.1%収益成長率n/a将来の株主資本利益率n/aアナリストカバレッジNone最終更新日n/a今後の成長に関する最新情報更新なしすべての更新を表示Recent updatesNew Risk • May 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 5.0% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (13% average weekly change). Earnings have declined by 5.0% per year over the past 5 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 22Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 248% to zł13.15. The fair value is estimated to be zł10.91, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.9% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.New Risk • Mar 24New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Polish stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (zł214.0m market cap, or US$58.0m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 24Now 33% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 278% to zł14.35. The fair value is estimated to be zł10.77, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.9% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.New Risk • Feb 19New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Polish stocks, typically moving 7.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.5% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł94.6m market cap, or US$26.4m).New Risk • Dec 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 13% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł72.7m market cap, or US$20.0m).Reported Earnings • Sep 28Second quarter 2025 earnings released: zł0.07 loss per share (vs zł0.006 profit in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: zł0.07 loss per share (down from zł0.006 profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue: zł53.8m (down 6.3% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: zł1.27m (down zł1.41m from profit in 2Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 31% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.お知らせ • Aug 25Trans Polonia S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Sep 26, 2025Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Sep 26, 2025New Risk • Jul 02New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Polish stocks, typically moving 7.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.7% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł86.0m market cap, or US$23.8m).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 26Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%After last week's 23% share price gain to zł4.76, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 22.2x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 74% over the past three years.分析記事 • Jun 12Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trans Polonia S.A.'s (WSE:TRN) 27% Share Price SurgeDespite an already strong run, Trans Polonia S.A. ( WSE:TRN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to zł3.70, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.3x. Average trailing P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Nov 27Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: zł0.14 (vs zł0.02 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: zł0.14 (up from zł0.02 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: zł57.6m (up 11% from 3Q 2023). Net income: zł2.59m (up zł2.24m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from 0.7% in 3Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Reported Earnings • Sep 26Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: zł0.01 (vs zł0.11 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: zł0.01 (down from zł0.11 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: zł57.4m (up 12% from 2Q 2023). Net income: zł139.0k (down 93% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.2% (down from 3.9% in 2Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 09Upcoming dividend of zł0.11 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 16 August 2024. Payment date: 30 August 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 63% and the cash payout ratio is 89%. Trailing yield: 3.5%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (5.0%).New Risk • Jun 20New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 1.6% Last year net profit margin: 4.2% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.6% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł65.7m market cap, or US$16.3m).お知らせ • May 31Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024.分析記事 • May 30Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trans Polonia S.A. (WSE:TRN)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trans Polonia fair value estimate is zł3.92 Current share...New Risk • Feb 11New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 32% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (162% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł65.0m market cap, or US$16.2m).お知らせ • Jan 31+ 2 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 26, 2024Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 26, 2024Reported Earnings • Nov 30Third quarter 2023 earnings releasedThird quarter 2023 results: Revenue: zł52.1m (flat on 3Q 2022). Net income: zł347.0k (down 88% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 0.7% (down from 5.4% in 3Q 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 117% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Reported Earnings • Oct 01Second quarter 2023 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: zł51.4m (up 8.7% from 2Q 2022). Net income: zł1.99m (down 6.7% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 3.9% (down from 4.5% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 120% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Buying Opportunity • Sep 12Now 20% undervaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days. The fair value is estimated to be zł4.79, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 50% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable.分析記事 • Aug 08Here's Why We Think Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Is Well Worth WatchingInvestors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Upcoming Dividend • Aug 07Upcoming dividend of zł0.50 per share at 2.9% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 August 2023. Payment date: 28 August 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 39% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (6.1%).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 36%After last week's 36% share price gain to zł4.54, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 13.1x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 77% over the past three years.お知らせ • Jun 13Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023, at 13:00 Central European Standard Time.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to zł3.76, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11.5x. Average trailing P/E is 16x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 90% over the past three years.お知らせ • Jan 10+ 3 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Sep 28, 2023Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2023 results on Sep 28, 2023Reported Earnings • Nov 30Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: zł52.0m (up 56% from 3Q 2021). Net income: zł2.82m (up 96% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 4.3% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue.Reported Earnings • Sep 28Second quarter 2022 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2022 results: Revenue: zł47.3m (up 67% from 2Q 2021). Net income: zł2.13m (up zł2.93m from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from net loss in 2Q 2021). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 84 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 05Upcoming dividend of zł0.13 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 12 August 2022. Payment date: 26 August 2022. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (8.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.7%).Reported Earnings • Nov 28Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectationsThird quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł33.3m (down 48% from 3Q 2020). Net income: zł1.44m (down 69% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 7.2% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 109 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Reported Earnings • Sep 29Second quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor second quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł28.3m (down 50% from 2Q 2020). Net loss: zł797.0k (down 116% from profit in 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 90 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 06Upcoming dividend of zł0.27 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 August 2021. Payment date: 26 August 2021. Trailing yield: 6.9%. Within top quartile of Polish dividend payers (5.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (5.0%).Reported Earnings • Jun 03First quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor first quarter result with increased losses, weaker revenues and weaker control over costs. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł22.8m (down 61% from 1Q 2020). Net loss: zł2.40m (loss widened 179% from 1Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 12New 90-day high: zł3.46The company is up 24% from its price of zł2.78 on 11 December 2020. The Polish market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 1.0% over the same period.分析記事 • Mar 12Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...分析記事 • Feb 04Should You Use Trans Polonia's (WSE:TRN) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that...お知らせ • Jan 14+ 3 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report Q1, 2021 Results on May 28, 2021Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2021 results on May 28, 2021分析記事 • Dec 06Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Could Be A Buy For Its Upcoming DividendRegular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Trans Polonia...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 27Market pulls back on stock over the past weekAfter last week's 22% share price decline to zł2.70, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.9x, down from the previous P/E ratio of 6.3x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total return to shareholders over the past three years is a loss of 41%.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 20Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price gain to zł3.46, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 5.2x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total return to shareholders over the past three years is a loss of 30%.Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 20New 90-day high: zł3.46The company is up 21% from its price of zł2.85 on 21 August 2020. The Polish market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 20% over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 22New 90-day low: zł2.74The company is down 2.0% from its price of zł2.81 on 24 July 2020. The Polish market is down 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 1.0% over the same period.Reported Earnings • Sep 27First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of zł12.4m, up 19% from the prior year. Total revenue was zł253.9m over the last 12 months, up 1.6% from the prior year. このセクションでは通常、投資家が会社の利益創出能力を理解する一助となるよう、プロのアナリストのコンセンサス予想に基づく収益と利益の成長予測を提示する。しかし、Trans Polonia は十分な過去のデータを提供しておらず、アナリストの予測もないため、過去のデータを外挿したり、アナリストの予測を使用しても、その将来の収益を確実に算出することはできません。 シンプリー・ウォール・ストリートがカバーする企業の97%は過去の財務データを持っているため、これはかなり稀な状況です。 業績と収益の成長予測WSE:TRN - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )PLN Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数3/31/2026354-61620N/A12/31/2025283-21216N/A9/30/2025214-11719N/A6/30/202521632023N/A3/31/202522042326N/A12/31/202422132124N/A9/30/202422041314N/A6/30/2024215179N/A3/31/202420931112N/A12/31/202320661720N/A9/30/202320661417N/A6/30/202320682127N/A3/31/202320281219N/A12/31/202219671016N/A9/30/202217961121N/A6/30/20221615713N/A3/31/20221422510N/A12/31/2021120-1712N/A9/30/2021110-31319N/A6/30/2021105-31624N/A3/31/2021101-13041N/A12/31/202010012838N/A9/30/2020-16-73746N/A6/30/202028-34149N/A3/31/202071-23844N/A12/31/20191040N/A42N/A9/30/201925711N/A34N/A6/30/201925010N/A23N/A3/31/20192467N/A16N/A12/31/20182406N/A15N/A9/30/20182356N/A14N/A6/30/20182325N/A18N/A3/31/20182278N/A19N/A12/31/201722610N/A13N/A9/30/201721913N/A11N/A6/30/201721014N/A13N/A3/31/201720212N/A10N/A12/31/20161778N/A12N/A9/30/20161433N/A6N/A6/30/2016108-1N/A2N/A3/31/201673-2N/A4N/A12/31/2015630N/A7N/A9/30/2015621N/A9N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: TRNの予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 5.3% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。収益対市場: TRNの収益がPolish市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です高成長収益: TRNの収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。収益対市場: TRNの収益がPolish市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。高い収益成長: TRNの収益が年間20%よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: TRNの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YTransportation 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/07/20 08:29終値2026/07/20 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Trans Polonia S.A. 0 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。0
New Risk • May 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings have declined by 5.0% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (13% average weekly change). Earnings have declined by 5.0% per year over the past 5 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 22Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 248% to zł13.15. The fair value is estimated to be zł10.91, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.9% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
New Risk • Mar 24New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Polish stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (zł214.0m market cap, or US$58.0m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 24Now 33% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 278% to zł14.35. The fair value is estimated to be zł10.77, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.9% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
New Risk • Feb 19New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Polish stocks, typically moving 7.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.5% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł94.6m market cap, or US$26.4m).
New Risk • Dec 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 13% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (13% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł72.7m market cap, or US$20.0m).
Reported Earnings • Sep 28Second quarter 2025 earnings released: zł0.07 loss per share (vs zł0.006 profit in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: zł0.07 loss per share (down from zł0.006 profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue: zł53.8m (down 6.3% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: zł1.27m (down zł1.41m from profit in 2Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 31% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
お知らせ • Aug 25Trans Polonia S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Sep 26, 2025Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Sep 26, 2025
New Risk • Jul 02New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Polish stocks, typically moving 7.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.7% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł86.0m market cap, or US$23.8m).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 26Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%After last week's 23% share price gain to zł4.76, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 22.2x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 74% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Jun 12Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trans Polonia S.A.'s (WSE:TRN) 27% Share Price SurgeDespite an already strong run, Trans Polonia S.A. ( WSE:TRN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to zł3.70, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.3x. Average trailing P/E is 15x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Nov 27Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: zł0.14 (vs zł0.02 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: zł0.14 (up from zł0.02 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: zł57.6m (up 11% from 3Q 2023). Net income: zł2.59m (up zł2.24m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from 0.7% in 3Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Reported Earnings • Sep 26Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: zł0.01 (vs zł0.11 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: zł0.01 (down from zł0.11 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: zł57.4m (up 12% from 2Q 2023). Net income: zł139.0k (down 93% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.2% (down from 3.9% in 2Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 09Upcoming dividend of zł0.11 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 16 August 2024. Payment date: 30 August 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 63% and the cash payout ratio is 89%. Trailing yield: 3.5%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (5.0%).
New Risk • Jun 20New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 1.6% Last year net profit margin: 4.2% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.6% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł65.7m market cap, or US$16.3m).
お知らせ • May 31Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024.
分析記事 • May 30Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trans Polonia S.A. (WSE:TRN)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trans Polonia fair value estimate is zł3.92 Current share...
New Risk • Feb 11New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 32% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (162% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (zł65.0m market cap, or US$16.2m).
お知らせ • Jan 31+ 2 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 26, 2024Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 26, 2024
Reported Earnings • Nov 30Third quarter 2023 earnings releasedThird quarter 2023 results: Revenue: zł52.1m (flat on 3Q 2022). Net income: zł347.0k (down 88% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 0.7% (down from 5.4% in 3Q 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 117% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Reported Earnings • Oct 01Second quarter 2023 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: zł51.4m (up 8.7% from 2Q 2022). Net income: zł1.99m (down 6.7% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 3.9% (down from 4.5% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 120% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Buying Opportunity • Sep 12Now 20% undervaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days. The fair value is estimated to be zł4.79, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 50% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable.
分析記事 • Aug 08Here's Why We Think Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Is Well Worth WatchingInvestors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 07Upcoming dividend of zł0.50 per share at 2.9% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 August 2023. Payment date: 28 August 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 39% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (6.1%).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 36%After last week's 36% share price gain to zł4.54, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 13.1x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 77% over the past three years.
お知らせ • Jun 13Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023Trans Polonia S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023, at 13:00 Central European Standard Time.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to zł3.76, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11.5x. Average trailing P/E is 16x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 90% over the past three years.
お知らせ • Jan 10+ 3 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Sep 28, 2023Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2023 results on Sep 28, 2023
Reported Earnings • Nov 30Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: zł52.0m (up 56% from 3Q 2021). Net income: zł2.82m (up 96% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 4.3% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue.
Reported Earnings • Sep 28Second quarter 2022 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2022 results: Revenue: zł47.3m (up 67% from 2Q 2021). Net income: zł2.13m (up zł2.93m from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from net loss in 2Q 2021). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 84 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 05Upcoming dividend of zł0.13 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 12 August 2022. Payment date: 26 August 2022. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Lower than top quartile of Polish dividend payers (8.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.7%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 28Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectationsThird quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł33.3m (down 48% from 3Q 2020). Net income: zł1.44m (down 69% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 7.2% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 109 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Reported Earnings • Sep 29Second quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor second quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł28.3m (down 50% from 2Q 2020). Net loss: zł797.0k (down 116% from profit in 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 90 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 06Upcoming dividend of zł0.27 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 August 2021. Payment date: 26 August 2021. Trailing yield: 6.9%. Within top quartile of Polish dividend payers (5.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (5.0%).
Reported Earnings • Jun 03First quarter 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor first quarter result with increased losses, weaker revenues and weaker control over costs. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: zł22.8m (down 61% from 1Q 2020). Net loss: zł2.40m (loss widened 179% from 1Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 12New 90-day high: zł3.46The company is up 24% from its price of zł2.78 on 11 December 2020. The Polish market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 1.0% over the same period.
分析記事 • Mar 12Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 • Feb 04Should You Use Trans Polonia's (WSE:TRN) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that...
お知らせ • Jan 14+ 3 more updatesTrans Polonia S.A. to Report Q1, 2021 Results on May 28, 2021Trans Polonia S.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2021 results on May 28, 2021
分析記事 • Dec 06Trans Polonia (WSE:TRN) Could Be A Buy For Its Upcoming DividendRegular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Trans Polonia...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 27Market pulls back on stock over the past weekAfter last week's 22% share price decline to zł2.70, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.9x, down from the previous P/E ratio of 6.3x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total return to shareholders over the past three years is a loss of 41%.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 20Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price gain to zł3.46, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 5.2x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total return to shareholders over the past three years is a loss of 30%.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 20New 90-day high: zł3.46The company is up 21% from its price of zł2.85 on 21 August 2020. The Polish market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 20% over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 22New 90-day low: zł2.74The company is down 2.0% from its price of zł2.81 on 24 July 2020. The Polish market is down 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Transportation industry, which is up 1.0% over the same period.
Reported Earnings • Sep 27First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of zł12.4m, up 19% from the prior year. Total revenue was zł253.9m over the last 12 months, up 1.6% from the prior year.