View ValuationMosaic 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /26Mosaic利益と収益がそれぞれ年間18.1%と1.8%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に5.1% 18.3%なると予測されています。主要情報18.1%収益成長率18.31%EPS成長率Chemicals 収益成長62.6%収益成長率1.8%将来の株主資本利益率5.13%アナリストカバレッジGood最終更新日05 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報お知らせ • Mar 01The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Volumes Guidance for the First Quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the Full Year 2025The Mosaic Company provided sales volumes guidance for the first quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the full year 2025. For the quarter, the company's Potash Sales Volumes are expected to be between 2.0 million tonnes and 2.2 million tonnes with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the range of $200 to $220 per tonne. Phosphate Sales Volumes are expected to be 1.5 million tonnes to 1.7 million tonnes with DAP prices on an FOB basis averaging $595 to $615 per tonne. For the year, the company's Phosphate Production Volumes are expected to be 7.2 million tonnes to 7.6 million tonnes. Potash Production Volumes are expected to be 8.7 million tonnes to 9.1 million tonnes.お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company Reiterates Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024The Mosaic Company reiterated sales guidance for the second quarter of 2024. For the period, the company expects Potash sales volume and MOP prices at the mine are expected to be in the range 2.2-2.4 million tonnes, and $210-$250 per tonne, respectively.お知らせ • Nov 10the Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expects sales volumes to be 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. DAP prices at the plant are expected to be in the range of $530-$580 per tonne. Fourth quarter realized stripping margins are expected to be higher than the third quarter.お知らせ • Sep 14the Mosaic Company Provides Operational Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided operational guidance for the third quarter of 2023. For the third quarter, Potash sales volumes are expected to be near the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.1-2.3 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of ongoing strong demand in North America. MOP price guidance remains unchanged at $250-$300 per tonne. In Phosphates, third quarter sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. Shipments during the quarter were impacted by Hurricane Idalia, which required a brief proactive production halt. Florida operations, which operate at a rate of roughly 20,000 finished product tonnes per day, resumed production within three days. In Louisiana, an unexpected local utility power interruption at the end of August resulted in damage to the largest sulfuric acid plant at Louisiana's Uncle Sam facility. Repairs to the complex, which operates at a production rate of 15,000 finished product tonnes per week, are anticipated to be completed by the end of October. Third quarter realized DAP prices on a FOB basis are expected to be in the previous guidance range of $475-$525 per tonne.お知らせ • Jun 24The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the second quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expect potash sales volumes toward the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.0-2.2 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of strong spring demand in North America. For pricing, the company now expect realized MOP prices at the mine near the low end of previous range of $325-$375 per tonne. The updated pricing guidance incorporates the recent China contract settlement of $307 per tonne.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • Apr 21The Mosaic Company to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 11, 2026The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results Pre-Market on May 11, 2026お知らせ • Apr 17The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2026The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2026.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to Mex$543, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Chemicals industry in South America. Total loss to shareholders of 29% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$463 per share.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 11Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 16% to Mex$504. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$416, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 62%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 14% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Mar 07The Mosaic Company announces Quarterly dividend, payable on June 02, 2026The Mosaic Company announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.2200 per share payable on June 02, 2026, ex-date on May 21, 2026 and record date on May 21, 2026.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 02Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 March 2026. Payment date: 19 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 52% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 3.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (5.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.8%).Reported Earnings • Feb 25Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.70 (vs US$0.55 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$1.70 (up from US$0.55 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$12.1b (up 8.4% from FY 2024). Net income: US$540.7m (up 209% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from 1.6% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 62% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.Declared Dividend • Jan 26Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 9th March 2026 Payment date: 19th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 37% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.お知らせ • Jan 16The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 24, 2026The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 24, 2026Declared Dividend • Dec 28Dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 9th March 2026 Payment date: 19th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.9%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 36% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.Declared Dividend • Nov 26Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 4th December 2025 Payment date: 18th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.9%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 37% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.Board Change • Nov 26High number of new directorsIndependent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025.お知らせ • Nov 19The Mosaic Company announces Quarterly dividend, payable on December 18, 2025The Mosaic Company announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.2200 per share payable on December 18, 2025, ex-date on December 04, 2025 and record date on December 04, 2025.Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.29 (vs US$0.38 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.29 (up from US$0.38 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$3.45b (up 23% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$411.4m (up 237% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 12% (up from 4.3% in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 50 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Board Change • Oct 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Oct 10The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 04, 2025Board Change • Sep 03High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.New Risk • Aug 09New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.0% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.0% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 64x cash flows per share). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$12m sold).Board Change • Aug 06High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Jul 16The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 05, 2025Board Change • Jul 02High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Recent Insider Transactions • May 11CEO, President & Director recently sold Mex$111m worth of stockOn the 8th of May, Bruce Bodine sold around 181k shares on-market at roughly Mex$617 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Bruce's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • May 07First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.75 (vs US$0.14 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.75 (up from US$0.14 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$2.62b (down 2.2% from 1Q 2024). Net income: US$238.1m (up 427% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (up from 1.7% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.1% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 48 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Board Change • Apr 30High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Apr 17+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2025The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2025.Board Change • Apr 16High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Mar 01The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Volumes Guidance for the First Quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the Full Year 2025The Mosaic Company provided sales volumes guidance for the first quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the full year 2025. For the quarter, the company's Potash Sales Volumes are expected to be between 2.0 million tonnes and 2.2 million tonnes with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the range of $200 to $220 per tonne. Phosphate Sales Volumes are expected to be 1.5 million tonnes to 1.7 million tonnes with DAP prices on an FOB basis averaging $595 to $615 per tonne. For the year, the company's Phosphate Production Volumes are expected to be 7.2 million tonnes to 7.6 million tonnes. Potash Production Volumes are expected to be 8.7 million tonnes to 9.1 million tonnes.お知らせ • Feb 07The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2025Board Change • Feb 01High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Declared Dividend • Jan 30Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 102% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Declared Dividend • Jan 09Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 107% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Declared Dividend • Dec 29Dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 107% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Declared Dividend • Nov 18Third quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 5th December 2024 Payment date: 19th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.2%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 100% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Reported Earnings • Nov 14Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.38 (vs US$0.013 loss in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.38 (up from US$0.013 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.81b (down 21% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$122.2m (up US$126.4m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 12% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Nov 12Jarden Reportedly Tapped for Incitec Pivot Fertiliser SaleIncitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL)'s freshly appointed management has brought in a new investment bank to handle the sale of the distribution arm of its fertiliser business as looks to clear the decks and focus on its future as a mining explosives play. The move to break up the fertiliser unit and sell off the distribution arm was first flagged by DataRoom and announced when the company delivered its annual result on 11 November 2024. It came as the company wiped $941 million off the valuation of the Australian Incitec Pivot fertiliser division. The bank being added to the ticket is Jarden. The move comes as new boss Mauro Neves de Moraes takes over. UBS and Macquarie Capital have previously made efforts to sell the fertiliser business and Macquarie still has a role. This time, though, it appears that the group is motivated to move it off its books and look to a future focused on its more successful commercial explosives operation Dyno Nobel, so it is expected to take a realistic approach to price. Former Incitec Pivot management held out for top dollar when trying to sell its fertiliser unit twice before, and opposed a business break-up. Most buyers were keen to buy the distribution arm and few were interested in taking on the more problematic manufacturing operation. But now, with distribution available separately, the sale process is likely to involve plenty of competitive tension. Australian listed trade buyers like Elders Limited (ASX:ELD) and Ridley Corporation Limited (ASX:RIC) and global strategics like The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) and Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR), which has a major Australian presence, will be going head to head with private equity firms like Pacific Equity Partners and BGH Capital, which have been sounded out by investment bankers in recent months. It's clear the market is in favour of the decision, with shares closing higher, despite a thumping $311 million loss and an overall $1 billion writedown to the fertiliser unit. The writedown included $100m for its US operations Most of the rest was linked to the Australian manufacturing operations. The sale process will get going in earnest early next year. The book value is now $414.3 million, compared to more than $1 billion in the past. Private equity in the past has put forward offers of less than $500 million for the fertiliser business, but that was when manufacturing was also part of the picture, although they will be still keen to snap up the operation at an opportunistic price.お知らせ • Nov 11Incitec Pivot to Revive Fertiliser Business Sale CampaignThe $6 billion listed industrials group Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL) is set to announce a revived sale process for its fertiliser business when it reports annual earnings on November 11, 2024 and is prepared to break up the division, valued at $1.1 billion. It confirms earlier reports in DataRoom that a fresh sale process would start in 2025 with private equity funds such as Pacific Equity Partners positioning to buy the business. Incitec Pivot is increasingly keen to distance itself from the fertiliser business and carry on as a pure-play explosives and industrial chemicals manufacturer, and has signalled this to investors. It has tried to sell the business before. There has been some informal interest from strategic players, with suggestions that groups such as Ridley or Nutrien may be keen to buy Incitec Pivot's distribution assets. Strategic buyers include Nutrient, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) and The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). Incitec Pivot held talks with Indonesia's Pupuk Kaltim for a sale of the unit earlier this year for a price thought to be more than $1 billion, but there was no deal. Morningstar says the fertiliser unit accounts for about a third of the stock's fair value - which means it comes in at about $1.2 billion. The sale comes as KPMG has been tapped to sell smaller rival Wengfu Australia. Wengfu distributes fertiliser along the east coast, with assets in Brisbane, Newcastle, Geelong, Portland and Adelaide. Market sources say that it is expected to sell for between $50 million and $80 million. However, if it sold for a similar price to the Incitec Pivot unit it would be closer to $200 million. Its parent company is Guizhou Phosphate and Chemical Group. The understanding is a data room is open. There are three overseas buyers but no domestic interest. The deal is likely to be completed in the first half of 2025.お知らせ • Oct 23The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results Pre-Market on Nov 12, 2024お知らせ • Sep 23The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)Declared Dividend • Aug 26Second quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 5th September 2024 Payment date: 19th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (109% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (58% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 21% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 121% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 14Independent Director recently sold Mex$6.6m worth of stockOn the 12th of August, Kelvin Westbrook sold around 13k shares on-market at roughly Mex$519 per share. This transaction amounted to 27% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.50 loss per share (vs US$1.11 profit in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: US$0.50 loss per share (down from US$1.11 profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.82b (down 17% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$161.5m (down 144% from profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 8% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Jul 18The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 06, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2024お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company Reiterates Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024The Mosaic Company reiterated sales guidance for the second quarter of 2024. For the period, the company expects Potash sales volume and MOP prices at the mine are expected to be in the range 2.2-2.4 million tonnes, and $210-$250 per tonne, respectively.Upcoming Dividend • May 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.21 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 June 2024. Payment date: 20 June 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 34% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).Reported Earnings • May 02First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.14 (vs US$1.30 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.14 (down from US$1.30 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.68b (down 26% from 1Q 2023). Net income: US$45.2m (down 90% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (down from 12% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.7% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Apr 26The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024, at 10:00 US Eastern Standard Time.Declared Dividend • Apr 23Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th June 2024 Payment date: 20th June 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (23% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (27% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 2.0% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.お知らせ • Apr 11The Mosaic Company to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 01, 2024Declared Dividend • Mar 25Dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th June 2024 Payment date: 20th June 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (23% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (27% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to remain steady over the next 3 years, which should provide adequate earnings cover for the dividend.New Risk • Mar 01New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (8.5% net profit margin).Upcoming Dividend • Feb 28Upcoming dividend of US$0.21 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 March 2024. Payment date: 21 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 23% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).Reported Earnings • Feb 22Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$3.50 (vs US$10.17 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$3.50 (down from US$10.17 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$13.7b (down 28% from FY 2022). Net income: US$1.16b (down 68% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 8.5% (down from 19% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Feb 02The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 21, 2024Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 25Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to Mex$535. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$710, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 27% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 2.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to decline by 2.3% per annum over the same time period.Declared Dividend • Jan 18Dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th March 2024 Payment date: 21st March 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (20% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (19% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 7.5% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 78% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.お知らせ • Dec 21+ 3 more updatesThe Mosaic Company, Inc. Appoints Corrine D. Ricard as Senior Vice PresidentThe Mosaic Company announced that effective January 1, 2024, the Board elected Corrine D. Ricard to the position of Senior Vice President - Digital Strategy and removed Ms. Ricard from her current position as Senior Vice President – Mosaic Fertilizantes. In her new position, Ms. Ricard will have responsibilities for the Company's execution and implementation of its global digital acceleration strategy and digital operations. Ms. Ricard will continue to serve on the board of directors for Canpotex, the Canadian potash export marketing association.Upcoming Dividend • Nov 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 December 2023. Payment date: 21 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (7.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (9.4%).お知らせ • Nov 10the Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expects sales volumes to be 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. DAP prices at the plant are expected to be in the range of $530-$580 per tonne. Fourth quarter realized stripping margins are expected to be higher than the third quarter.Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.013 loss per share (vs US$2.45 profit in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: US$0.013 loss per share (down from US$2.45 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.55b (down 34% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: US$4.20m (down 100% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is expected to decline by 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to grow by 3.7%.お知らせ • Oct 23+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company Announces Appointment of Clint C. Freeland as Chief Financial Officer, Effective on November 1, 2023The Mosaic Company announced appointment of Clint C. Freeland to the position of Chief Financial Officer and removed Mr. Freeland from his current position as Chief Financial Officer,effective as of November 1, 2023.お知らせ • Oct 18The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results After-Market on Nov 07, 2023お知らせ • Sep 14the Mosaic Company Provides Operational Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided operational guidance for the third quarter of 2023. For the third quarter, Potash sales volumes are expected to be near the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.1-2.3 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of ongoing strong demand in North America. MOP price guidance remains unchanged at $250-$300 per tonne. In Phosphates, third quarter sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. Shipments during the quarter were impacted by Hurricane Idalia, which required a brief proactive production halt. Florida operations, which operate at a rate of roughly 20,000 finished product tonnes per day, resumed production within three days. In Louisiana, an unexpected local utility power interruption at the end of August resulted in damage to the largest sulfuric acid plant at Louisiana's Uncle Sam facility. Repairs to the complex, which operates at a production rate of 15,000 finished product tonnes per week, are anticipated to be completed by the end of October. Third quarter realized DAP prices on a FOB basis are expected to be in the previous guidance range of $475-$525 per tonne.お知らせ • Aug 31+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company Announces CEO ChangesThe Mosaic Company announced that Joc O'Rourke intends to retire and that Mosaic's Board of Directors has unanimously elected Bruce Bodine, currently SVP - North America, to succeed Mr. O'Rourke as the Company's Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2024. Mr. O'Rourke relinquished the title of President effective immediately and will resign as CEO and a member of the Mosaic Board of Directors effective December 31, 2023, after which Mr. O'Rourke will serve as a Senior Advisor until mid-2024. Mr. Bodine has been elected President of the company and a member of the Mosaic Board of Directors effective immediately. Mr. Bodine has worked for Mosaic and its predecessor company for many years and held a number of executive roles, including Senior Vice President - Potash, Senior Vice President - Phosphates, and Vice President-Supply Chain. In his role as SVP - North America he also led the North American Sales team. Additionally, he led the integration of Mosaic's North America Businesses and currently leads enterprise-wide operations.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.1% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 September 2023. Payment date: 21 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 14% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (17%).お知らせ • Aug 17The Mosaic Company Unveils Mosaic Biosciences to Expand Offerings in Plant HealthThe Mosaic Company announced the formation of the Mosaic Biosciences™ platform, a global initiative to bring the latest science and innovation to the agriculture market. The technologies from Mosaic Biosciences enhance crop health and support the natural biology in plants and soil, ultimately maximizing the yield potential of every field. The Mosaic Biosciences portfolio includes biological fertilizer complements, PowerCoat® and BioPath®, which improve nutrient use efficiency and enhance plant growth and vigor. Additional products help mitigate abiotic stress from drought, heat and salinity. With a global team of scientists, Mosaic Biosciences is building a pipeline of new biologic products to drive improvements in plant health, stress management, nutrient uptake, and crop yield.New Risk • Aug 03New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 13% Last year net profit margin: 20% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 19% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (13% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.11 (vs US$2.88 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$1.11 (down from US$2.88 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.39b (down 37% from 2Q 2022). Net income: US$369.0m (down 64% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 11% (down from 19% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to decline by 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 70% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Jul 21The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 01, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results After-Market on Aug 01, 2023お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth IndexThe Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth Indexお知らせ • Jun 24The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the second quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expect potash sales volumes toward the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.0-2.2 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of strong spring demand in North America. For pricing, the company now expect realized MOP prices at the mine near the low end of previous range of $325-$375 per tonne. The updated pricing guidance incorporates the recent China contract settlement of $307 per tonne.Board Change • Jun 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 6 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Joo Teixeira was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Upcoming Dividend • May 24Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 31 May 2023. Payment date: 15 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (22%).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to Mex$635, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Chemicals industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 174% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$505 per share.Reported Earnings • May 05First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.30 (vs US$3.23 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$1.30 (down from US$3.23 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.60b (down 8.1% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$434.8m (down 63% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 12% (down from 30% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 2.1% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 88% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 40% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$834, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Chemicals industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 165% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$556 per share.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 07Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share at 1.8% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 March 2023. Payment date: 30 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 6.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).Reported Earnings • Feb 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$10.17 (vs US$4.31 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$10.17 (up from US$4.31 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$19.1b (up 55% from FY 2021). Net income: US$3.58b (up 120% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 19% (up from 13% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 10.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 2.0% decline forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Upcoming Dividend • Feb 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 1.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 01 March 2023. Payment date: 16 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 5.1% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (5.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).お知らせ • Feb 02The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Feb 22, 2023お知らせ • Jan 06The Mosaic Company Announces Management ChangesThe Mosaic Company announced that Phil Bauer has been promoted to Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary effective January 3, 2023. Bauer will lead a global legal team responsible for closely collaborating with Mosaic's Board of Directors, Senior Leadership Team, business units and other functions to offer practical approaches to challenges and opportunities. Since joining Mosaic in 2007, Bauer has managed legal support for business development activities, potash operations, offshore finance, commercial transactions and corporate governance. His most recent assignment was as VP-Growth and Development where he helped drive strategic vision across the organization, including the advancement of Mosaic's soil health strategy and other innovation initiatives. Prior to joining Mosaic, Bauer was a partner at an international law firm where he focused his practice on mergers and acquisitions, public and private securities offerings and public company compliance matters, as well as general business advising. Bauer earned his Juris Doctor degree from The George Washington University Law School in Washington D.C., and his Bachelor of Science in Foreign Service degree with honors from Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service where he majored in international politics. He also received his Master of Business Administration degree from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. Bauer succeeds Mark Isaacson, who is retiring in early 2023 after 34 years with Mosaic and predecessor companies.Upcoming Dividend • Nov 23Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 November 2022. Payment date: 15 December 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.6% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: US$5.35b (up 56% from 3Q 2021). Net income: US$841.7m (up 126% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 16% (up from 11% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 1.0% decline forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America.Board Change • Nov 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Gretchen Watkins was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Board Change • Oct 02Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Gretchen Watkins was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Upcoming Dividend • Aug 24Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 31 August 2022. Payment date: 15 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.0%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).Buying Opportunity • Aug 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 15%. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,347, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 97%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 18% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to decline by 29% per annum over the same time period.Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.85 (vs US$1.15 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$2.85 (up from US$1.15 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: US$5.37b (up 92% from 2Q 2021). Net income: US$1.04b (up 137% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 19% (up from 16% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 16% compared to a 2.7% decline forecast for the industry in Mexico. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 97% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Upcoming Dividend • May 25Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 01 June 2022. Payment date: 16 June 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.2% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (9.1%).業績と収益の成長予測BMV:MOS * - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/202812,9108786012,0301112/31/202712,9028118511,9751812/31/202613,2504394671,8141712/31/202512,052541-535825N/A9/30/202511,8951,229-2041,100N/A6/30/202511,25394041,185N/A3/31/202511,0643682131,422N/A12/31/202411,123175471,299N/A9/30/202411,4563713011,618N/A6/30/202412,1942454651,953N/A3/31/202412,7717757142,178N/A12/31/202313,6961,1651,0052,407N/A9/30/202315,0281,3231,4412,825N/A6/30/202316,8282,1691,7403,066N/A3/31/202318,8072,8362,3003,579N/A12/31/202219,1253,5832,6893,936N/A9/30/202218,4853,7242,1413,411N/A6/30/202216,5553,2551,6892,944N/A3/31/202213,9832,6561,0842,374N/A12/31/202112,3571,6318982,187N/A9/30/202110,9741,7946841,995N/A6/30/20219,9371,4166771,913N/A3/31/20219,1811,0265161,712N/A12/31/20208,6826664121,583N/A9/30/20208,301-1,0835501,622N/A6/30/20208,673-1,1216381,767N/A3/31/20208,805-1,4012391,461N/A12/31/20198,906-1,067-1771,095N/A9/30/20199,351-34N/A968N/A6/30/20199,525258N/A1,006N/A3/31/20199,553559N/A1,305N/A12/31/20189,587470N/A1,410N/A9/30/20189,159-73N/A1,671N/A6/30/20188,215-93N/A1,283N/A3/31/20187,765-64N/A719N/A12/31/20177,409-107N/A936N/A9/30/20177,180336N/A847N/A6/30/20177,147148N/A800N/A3/31/20177,06740N/A1,140N/A12/31/20167,163298N/A1,260N/A9/30/20167,464441N/A1,225N/A6/30/20167,617562N/A1,325N/A3/31/20168,430962N/A1,345N/A12/31/20158,8951,000N/A2,038N/A9/30/20159,1111,203N/A1,863N/A6/30/20159,2561,245N/A2,031N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: MOS *の予測収益成長率 (年間18.1% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 9% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: MOS *の収益 ( 18.1% ) はMX市場 ( 8.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: MOS *の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。収益対市場: MOS *の収益 ( 1.8% ) MX市場 ( 6.1% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高い収益成長: MOS *の収益 ( 1.8% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: MOS *の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 5.1 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMaterials 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/08 14:54終値2026/05/06 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋The Mosaic Company 18 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。40 アナリスト機関Farooq HamedBarclaysBenjamin TheurerBarclaysBenjamin TheurerBarclays37 その他のアナリストを表示
お知らせ • Mar 01The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Volumes Guidance for the First Quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the Full Year 2025The Mosaic Company provided sales volumes guidance for the first quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the full year 2025. For the quarter, the company's Potash Sales Volumes are expected to be between 2.0 million tonnes and 2.2 million tonnes with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the range of $200 to $220 per tonne. Phosphate Sales Volumes are expected to be 1.5 million tonnes to 1.7 million tonnes with DAP prices on an FOB basis averaging $595 to $615 per tonne. For the year, the company's Phosphate Production Volumes are expected to be 7.2 million tonnes to 7.6 million tonnes. Potash Production Volumes are expected to be 8.7 million tonnes to 9.1 million tonnes.
お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company Reiterates Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024The Mosaic Company reiterated sales guidance for the second quarter of 2024. For the period, the company expects Potash sales volume and MOP prices at the mine are expected to be in the range 2.2-2.4 million tonnes, and $210-$250 per tonne, respectively.
お知らせ • Nov 10the Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expects sales volumes to be 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. DAP prices at the plant are expected to be in the range of $530-$580 per tonne. Fourth quarter realized stripping margins are expected to be higher than the third quarter.
お知らせ • Sep 14the Mosaic Company Provides Operational Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided operational guidance for the third quarter of 2023. For the third quarter, Potash sales volumes are expected to be near the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.1-2.3 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of ongoing strong demand in North America. MOP price guidance remains unchanged at $250-$300 per tonne. In Phosphates, third quarter sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. Shipments during the quarter were impacted by Hurricane Idalia, which required a brief proactive production halt. Florida operations, which operate at a rate of roughly 20,000 finished product tonnes per day, resumed production within three days. In Louisiana, an unexpected local utility power interruption at the end of August resulted in damage to the largest sulfuric acid plant at Louisiana's Uncle Sam facility. Repairs to the complex, which operates at a production rate of 15,000 finished product tonnes per week, are anticipated to be completed by the end of October. Third quarter realized DAP prices on a FOB basis are expected to be in the previous guidance range of $475-$525 per tonne.
お知らせ • Jun 24The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the second quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expect potash sales volumes toward the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.0-2.2 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of strong spring demand in North America. For pricing, the company now expect realized MOP prices at the mine near the low end of previous range of $325-$375 per tonne. The updated pricing guidance incorporates the recent China contract settlement of $307 per tonne.
お知らせ • Apr 21The Mosaic Company to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 11, 2026The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results Pre-Market on May 11, 2026
お知らせ • Apr 17The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2026The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2026.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to Mex$543, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Chemicals industry in South America. Total loss to shareholders of 29% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$463 per share.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 11Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 16% to Mex$504. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$416, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 62%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 14% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Mar 07The Mosaic Company announces Quarterly dividend, payable on June 02, 2026The Mosaic Company announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.2200 per share payable on June 02, 2026, ex-date on May 21, 2026 and record date on May 21, 2026.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 02Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 March 2026. Payment date: 19 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 52% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 3.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (5.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.8%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 25Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.70 (vs US$0.55 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$1.70 (up from US$0.55 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$12.1b (up 8.4% from FY 2024). Net income: US$540.7m (up 209% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.5% (up from 1.6% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 62% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
Declared Dividend • Jan 26Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 9th March 2026 Payment date: 19th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 37% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
お知らせ • Jan 16The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 24, 2026The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 24, 2026
Declared Dividend • Dec 28Dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 9th March 2026 Payment date: 19th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 2.9%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 36% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
Declared Dividend • Nov 26Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 4th December 2025 Payment date: 18th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.9%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 37% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
Board Change • Nov 26High number of new directorsIndependent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025.
お知らせ • Nov 19The Mosaic Company announces Quarterly dividend, payable on December 18, 2025The Mosaic Company announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.2200 per share payable on December 18, 2025, ex-date on December 04, 2025 and record date on December 04, 2025.
Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.29 (vs US$0.38 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.29 (up from US$0.38 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$3.45b (up 23% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$411.4m (up 237% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 12% (up from 4.3% in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 50 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Board Change • Oct 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Oct 10The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 04, 2025
Board Change • Sep 03High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
New Risk • Aug 09New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.0% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.0% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 64x cash flows per share). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$12m sold).
Board Change • Aug 06High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Jul 16The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 05, 2025
Board Change • Jul 02High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Recent Insider Transactions • May 11CEO, President & Director recently sold Mex$111m worth of stockOn the 8th of May, Bruce Bodine sold around 181k shares on-market at roughly Mex$617 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Bruce's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • May 07First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.75 (vs US$0.14 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.75 (up from US$0.14 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$2.62b (down 2.2% from 1Q 2024). Net income: US$238.1m (up 427% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (up from 1.7% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.1% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 48 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Board Change • Apr 30High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Apr 17+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2025The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2025.
Board Change • Apr 16High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Mar 01The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Volumes Guidance for the First Quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the Full Year 2025The Mosaic Company provided sales volumes guidance for the first quarter of 2025 and Production Volumes Guidance for the full year 2025. For the quarter, the company's Potash Sales Volumes are expected to be between 2.0 million tonnes and 2.2 million tonnes with realized mine-gate MOP prices in the range of $200 to $220 per tonne. Phosphate Sales Volumes are expected to be 1.5 million tonnes to 1.7 million tonnes with DAP prices on an FOB basis averaging $595 to $615 per tonne. For the year, the company's Phosphate Production Volumes are expected to be 7.2 million tonnes to 7.6 million tonnes. Potash Production Volumes are expected to be 8.7 million tonnes to 9.1 million tonnes.
お知らせ • Feb 07The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2025
Board Change • Feb 01High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Kathleen Shanahan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Declared Dividend • Jan 30Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 102% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Declared Dividend • Jan 09Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 107% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Declared Dividend • Dec 29Dividend of US$0.22 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.22. Ex-date: 6th March 2025 Payment date: 20th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.4%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 107% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Declared Dividend • Nov 18Third quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 5th December 2024 Payment date: 19th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.2%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (72% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (89% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 100% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Reported Earnings • Nov 14Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.38 (vs US$0.013 loss in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.38 (up from US$0.013 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.81b (down 21% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$122.2m (up US$126.4m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 12% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Nov 12Jarden Reportedly Tapped for Incitec Pivot Fertiliser SaleIncitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL)'s freshly appointed management has brought in a new investment bank to handle the sale of the distribution arm of its fertiliser business as looks to clear the decks and focus on its future as a mining explosives play. The move to break up the fertiliser unit and sell off the distribution arm was first flagged by DataRoom and announced when the company delivered its annual result on 11 November 2024. It came as the company wiped $941 million off the valuation of the Australian Incitec Pivot fertiliser division. The bank being added to the ticket is Jarden. The move comes as new boss Mauro Neves de Moraes takes over. UBS and Macquarie Capital have previously made efforts to sell the fertiliser business and Macquarie still has a role. This time, though, it appears that the group is motivated to move it off its books and look to a future focused on its more successful commercial explosives operation Dyno Nobel, so it is expected to take a realistic approach to price. Former Incitec Pivot management held out for top dollar when trying to sell its fertiliser unit twice before, and opposed a business break-up. Most buyers were keen to buy the distribution arm and few were interested in taking on the more problematic manufacturing operation. But now, with distribution available separately, the sale process is likely to involve plenty of competitive tension. Australian listed trade buyers like Elders Limited (ASX:ELD) and Ridley Corporation Limited (ASX:RIC) and global strategics like The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) and Nutrien Ltd. (TSX:NTR), which has a major Australian presence, will be going head to head with private equity firms like Pacific Equity Partners and BGH Capital, which have been sounded out by investment bankers in recent months. It's clear the market is in favour of the decision, with shares closing higher, despite a thumping $311 million loss and an overall $1 billion writedown to the fertiliser unit. The writedown included $100m for its US operations Most of the rest was linked to the Australian manufacturing operations. The sale process will get going in earnest early next year. The book value is now $414.3 million, compared to more than $1 billion in the past. Private equity in the past has put forward offers of less than $500 million for the fertiliser business, but that was when manufacturing was also part of the picture, although they will be still keen to snap up the operation at an opportunistic price.
お知らせ • Nov 11Incitec Pivot to Revive Fertiliser Business Sale CampaignThe $6 billion listed industrials group Incitec Pivot Limited (ASX:IPL) is set to announce a revived sale process for its fertiliser business when it reports annual earnings on November 11, 2024 and is prepared to break up the division, valued at $1.1 billion. It confirms earlier reports in DataRoom that a fresh sale process would start in 2025 with private equity funds such as Pacific Equity Partners positioning to buy the business. Incitec Pivot is increasingly keen to distance itself from the fertiliser business and carry on as a pure-play explosives and industrial chemicals manufacturer, and has signalled this to investors. It has tried to sell the business before. There has been some informal interest from strategic players, with suggestions that groups such as Ridley or Nutrien may be keen to buy Incitec Pivot's distribution assets. Strategic buyers include Nutrient, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF) and The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS). Incitec Pivot held talks with Indonesia's Pupuk Kaltim for a sale of the unit earlier this year for a price thought to be more than $1 billion, but there was no deal. Morningstar says the fertiliser unit accounts for about a third of the stock's fair value - which means it comes in at about $1.2 billion. The sale comes as KPMG has been tapped to sell smaller rival Wengfu Australia. Wengfu distributes fertiliser along the east coast, with assets in Brisbane, Newcastle, Geelong, Portland and Adelaide. Market sources say that it is expected to sell for between $50 million and $80 million. However, if it sold for a similar price to the Incitec Pivot unit it would be closer to $200 million. Its parent company is Guizhou Phosphate and Chemical Group. The understanding is a data room is open. There are three overseas buyers but no domestic interest. The deal is likely to be completed in the first half of 2025.
お知らせ • Oct 23The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results Pre-Market on Nov 12, 2024
お知らせ • Sep 23The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)
Declared Dividend • Aug 26Second quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 5th September 2024 Payment date: 19th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (109% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (58% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 21% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 121% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.
Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 14Independent Director recently sold Mex$6.6m worth of stockOn the 12th of August, Kelvin Westbrook sold around 13k shares on-market at roughly Mex$519 per share. This transaction amounted to 27% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.50 loss per share (vs US$1.11 profit in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: US$0.50 loss per share (down from US$1.11 profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.82b (down 17% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$161.5m (down 144% from profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 8% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Jul 18The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 06, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2024
お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company Reiterates Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024The Mosaic Company reiterated sales guidance for the second quarter of 2024. For the period, the company expects Potash sales volume and MOP prices at the mine are expected to be in the range 2.2-2.4 million tonnes, and $210-$250 per tonne, respectively.
Upcoming Dividend • May 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.21 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 June 2024. Payment date: 20 June 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 34% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).
Reported Earnings • May 02First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.14 (vs US$1.30 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.14 (down from US$1.30 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$2.68b (down 26% from 1Q 2023). Net income: US$45.2m (down 90% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (down from 12% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.7% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Apr 26The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024The Mosaic Company, Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024, at 10:00 US Eastern Standard Time.
Declared Dividend • Apr 23Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th June 2024 Payment date: 20th June 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (23% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (27% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 2.0% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 75% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
お知らせ • Apr 11The Mosaic Company to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 01, 2024
Declared Dividend • Mar 25Dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th June 2024 Payment date: 20th June 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (23% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (27% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to remain steady over the next 3 years, which should provide adequate earnings cover for the dividend.
New Risk • Mar 01New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (8.5% net profit margin).
Upcoming Dividend • Feb 28Upcoming dividend of US$0.21 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 March 2024. Payment date: 21 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 23% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 22Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$3.50 (vs US$10.17 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$3.50 (down from US$10.17 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$13.7b (down 28% from FY 2022). Net income: US$1.16b (down 68% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 8.5% (down from 19% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 02The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 21, 2024
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 25Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to Mex$535. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$710, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 27% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 2.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to decline by 2.3% per annum over the same time period.
Declared Dividend • Jan 18Dividend of US$0.21 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.21. Ex-date: 6th March 2024 Payment date: 21st March 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (20% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (19% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to decline by 7.5% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 78% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
お知らせ • Dec 21+ 3 more updatesThe Mosaic Company, Inc. Appoints Corrine D. Ricard as Senior Vice PresidentThe Mosaic Company announced that effective January 1, 2024, the Board elected Corrine D. Ricard to the position of Senior Vice President - Digital Strategy and removed Ms. Ricard from her current position as Senior Vice President – Mosaic Fertilizantes. In her new position, Ms. Ricard will have responsibilities for the Company's execution and implementation of its global digital acceleration strategy and digital operations. Ms. Ricard will continue to serve on the board of directors for Canpotex, the Canadian potash export marketing association.
Upcoming Dividend • Nov 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 December 2023. Payment date: 21 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (7.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (9.4%).
お知らせ • Nov 10the Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the fourth quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expects sales volumes to be 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. DAP prices at the plant are expected to be in the range of $530-$580 per tonne. Fourth quarter realized stripping margins are expected to be higher than the third quarter.
Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.013 loss per share (vs US$2.45 profit in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: US$0.013 loss per share (down from US$2.45 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.55b (down 34% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: US$4.20m (down 100% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is expected to decline by 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to grow by 3.7%.
お知らせ • Oct 23+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company Announces Appointment of Clint C. Freeland as Chief Financial Officer, Effective on November 1, 2023The Mosaic Company announced appointment of Clint C. Freeland to the position of Chief Financial Officer and removed Mr. Freeland from his current position as Chief Financial Officer,effective as of November 1, 2023.
お知らせ • Oct 18The Mosaic Company to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results After-Market on Nov 07, 2023
お知らせ • Sep 14the Mosaic Company Provides Operational Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided operational guidance for the third quarter of 2023. For the third quarter, Potash sales volumes are expected to be near the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.1-2.3 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of ongoing strong demand in North America. MOP price guidance remains unchanged at $250-$300 per tonne. In Phosphates, third quarter sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 1.6-1.8 million tonnes. Shipments during the quarter were impacted by Hurricane Idalia, which required a brief proactive production halt. Florida operations, which operate at a rate of roughly 20,000 finished product tonnes per day, resumed production within three days. In Louisiana, an unexpected local utility power interruption at the end of August resulted in damage to the largest sulfuric acid plant at Louisiana's Uncle Sam facility. Repairs to the complex, which operates at a production rate of 15,000 finished product tonnes per week, are anticipated to be completed by the end of October. Third quarter realized DAP prices on a FOB basis are expected to be in the previous guidance range of $475-$525 per tonne.
お知らせ • Aug 31+ 1 more updateThe Mosaic Company Announces CEO ChangesThe Mosaic Company announced that Joc O'Rourke intends to retire and that Mosaic's Board of Directors has unanimously elected Bruce Bodine, currently SVP - North America, to succeed Mr. O'Rourke as the Company's Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2024. Mr. O'Rourke relinquished the title of President effective immediately and will resign as CEO and a member of the Mosaic Board of Directors effective December 31, 2023, after which Mr. O'Rourke will serve as a Senior Advisor until mid-2024. Mr. Bodine has been elected President of the company and a member of the Mosaic Board of Directors effective immediately. Mr. Bodine has worked for Mosaic and its predecessor company for many years and held a number of executive roles, including Senior Vice President - Potash, Senior Vice President - Phosphates, and Vice President-Supply Chain. In his role as SVP - North America he also led the North American Sales team. Additionally, he led the integration of Mosaic's North America Businesses and currently leads enterprise-wide operations.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 30Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.1% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 September 2023. Payment date: 21 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 14% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (17%).
お知らせ • Aug 17The Mosaic Company Unveils Mosaic Biosciences to Expand Offerings in Plant HealthThe Mosaic Company announced the formation of the Mosaic Biosciences™ platform, a global initiative to bring the latest science and innovation to the agriculture market. The technologies from Mosaic Biosciences enhance crop health and support the natural biology in plants and soil, ultimately maximizing the yield potential of every field. The Mosaic Biosciences portfolio includes biological fertilizer complements, PowerCoat® and BioPath®, which improve nutrient use efficiency and enhance plant growth and vigor. Additional products help mitigate abiotic stress from drought, heat and salinity. With a global team of scientists, Mosaic Biosciences is building a pipeline of new biologic products to drive improvements in plant health, stress management, nutrient uptake, and crop yield.
New Risk • Aug 03New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 13% Last year net profit margin: 20% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 19% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (13% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.11 (vs US$2.88 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$1.11 (down from US$2.88 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.39b (down 37% from 2Q 2022). Net income: US$369.0m (down 64% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 11% (down from 19% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to decline by 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Chemicals industry in South America are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 70% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Jul 21The Mosaic Company to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 01, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results After-Market on Aug 01, 2023
お知らせ • Jun 25The Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth IndexThe Mosaic Company(NYSE:MOS) dropped from Russell 1000 Growth Index
お知らせ • Jun 24The Mosaic Company Provides Sales Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2023The Mosaic Company provided sales guidance for the second quarter of 2023. For the quarter, the company expect potash sales volumes toward the high end of the previous guidance range of 2.0-2.2 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of strong spring demand in North America. For pricing, the company now expect realized MOP prices at the mine near the low end of previous range of $325-$375 per tonne. The updated pricing guidance incorporates the recent China contract settlement of $307 per tonne.
Board Change • Jun 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 6 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Joo Teixeira was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Upcoming Dividend • May 24Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 2.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 31 May 2023. Payment date: 15 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (22%).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to Mex$635, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Chemicals industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 174% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$505 per share.
Reported Earnings • May 05First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.30 (vs US$3.23 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$1.30 (down from US$3.23 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$3.60b (down 8.1% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$434.8m (down 63% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 12% (down from 30% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 2.1% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 88% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 40% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$834, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Chemicals industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 165% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$556 per share.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 07Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share at 1.8% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 March 2023. Payment date: 30 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 6.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$10.17 (vs US$4.31 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$10.17 (up from US$4.31 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$19.1b (up 55% from FY 2021). Net income: US$3.58b (up 120% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 19% (up from 13% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 10.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 2.0% decline forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Upcoming Dividend • Feb 22Upcoming dividend of US$0.20 per share at 1.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 01 March 2023. Payment date: 16 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 5.1% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (5.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).
お知らせ • Feb 02The Mosaic Company to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2023The Mosaic Company announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Feb 22, 2023
お知らせ • Jan 06The Mosaic Company Announces Management ChangesThe Mosaic Company announced that Phil Bauer has been promoted to Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary effective January 3, 2023. Bauer will lead a global legal team responsible for closely collaborating with Mosaic's Board of Directors, Senior Leadership Team, business units and other functions to offer practical approaches to challenges and opportunities. Since joining Mosaic in 2007, Bauer has managed legal support for business development activities, potash operations, offshore finance, commercial transactions and corporate governance. His most recent assignment was as VP-Growth and Development where he helped drive strategic vision across the organization, including the advancement of Mosaic's soil health strategy and other innovation initiatives. Prior to joining Mosaic, Bauer was a partner at an international law firm where he focused his practice on mergers and acquisitions, public and private securities offerings and public company compliance matters, as well as general business advising. Bauer earned his Juris Doctor degree from The George Washington University Law School in Washington D.C., and his Bachelor of Science in Foreign Service degree with honors from Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service where he majored in international politics. He also received his Master of Business Administration degree from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. Bauer succeeds Mark Isaacson, who is retiring in early 2023 after 34 years with Mosaic and predecessor companies.
Upcoming Dividend • Nov 23Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 November 2022. Payment date: 15 December 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.6% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.2%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (13%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: US$5.35b (up 56% from 3Q 2021). Net income: US$841.7m (up 126% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 16% (up from 11% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 1.0% decline forecast for the Chemicals industry in South America.
Board Change • Nov 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Gretchen Watkins was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Board Change • Oct 02Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Gretchen Watkins was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 24Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 31 August 2022. Payment date: 15 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.0%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (11%).
Buying Opportunity • Aug 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 15%. The fair value is estimated to be Mex$1,347, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 97%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 18% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to decline by 29% per annum over the same time period.
Reported Earnings • Aug 02Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.85 (vs US$1.15 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$2.85 (up from US$1.15 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: US$5.37b (up 92% from 2Q 2021). Net income: US$1.04b (up 137% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 19% (up from 16% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 16% compared to a 2.7% decline forecast for the industry in Mexico. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 97% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 34% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Upcoming Dividend • May 25Upcoming dividend of US$0.15 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 01 June 2022. Payment date: 16 June 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.2% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.8%. Lower than top quartile of Mexican dividend payers (6.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (9.1%).