Mercari, Inc.

TSE:4385 株式レポート

時価総額:JP¥728.6b

Mercari 過去の業績

過去 基準チェック /36

Mercariは、平均年間52.4%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Multiline Retail業界の収益は、年間 成長しています。収益は、平均年間8.2% 11.5%収益成長率で 成長しています。 Mercariの自己資本利益率は25.8%であり、純利益率は15.4%です。

主要情報

52.36%

収益成長率

51.98%

EPS成長率

Multiline Retail 業界の成長9.72%
収益成長率11.47%
株主資本利益率25.77%
ネット・マージン15.44%
前回の決算情報30 Jun 2026

最近の業績更新

分析記事 May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
分析記事 Oct 04

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...

Recent updates

ナラティブ更新 Jul 30

4385: Cross Border App Expansion Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have raised their price target for Mercari from ¥2,812 to ¥3,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app in the United States, creating a dedicated cross border shopping platform for American customers to buy items from Mercari and Mercari Shops in Japan.
ナラティブ更新 Jul 16

4385: Cross-Border App Expansion And Steady Margins Will Support Cash Flows

Analysts have modestly raised their Mercari price target from about ¥4,177 to roughly ¥4,415, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that slightly adjust their valuation framework. What's in the News Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app for U.S. users, offering a dedicated cross-border shopping platform that connects American buyers with items listed on Mercari and Mercari Shops in Japan.
ナラティブ更新 Jul 02

4385: U.S. Cross-Border App Expansion Will Support A Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Mercari's implied fair value has shifted from ¥3,500.0 to approximately ¥5,488.34, reflecting analysts' updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a slightly different discount rate, a modestly lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari Japan launched a new standalone Mercari Japan app in the U.S., offering American users a dedicated cross-border shopping platform to buy items from Japan’s Mercari and Mercari Shops marketplaces.
ナラティブ更新 Jun 18

4385: Revised Guidance And User Trends Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥4,176.92 from ¥3,848.46, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, modestly higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
ナラティブ更新 Jun 03

4385: Raised Revenue Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Discount Rate

Analysts have raised Mercari's fair value estimate from ¥2,700 to about ¥2,812, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that refine their overall outlook on the stock. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
ナラティブ更新 May 19

4385: Revised Guidance And User Retention Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,303 to roughly ¥3,848, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E ratios. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million compared with the prior range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million (company guidance).
分析記事 May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
分析記事 May 14

Earnings Beat: Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market...
ナラティブ更新 May 03

4385: Raised Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Stable Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have reaffirmed Mercari's price target at ¥2,700, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with prior views. What's in the News Mercari raised consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (company guidance).
ナラティブ更新 Apr 18

4385: Raised Guidance And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have lifted their price target on Mercari from ¥2,500 to ¥2,700, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated revenue and core operating profit ranges.
分析記事 Apr 07

At JP¥3,930, Is Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Worth Looking At Closely?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
ナラティブ更新 Apr 04

4385: Raised Guidance And Rich Margin Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have kept Mercari's price target at ¥2,500.00. They point to slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that still support the same overall valuation view.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 21

4385: Rich Profit Assumptions And Lower Future P/E Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Mercari's analyst price target is held at ¥2,500, as analysts balance a slightly higher discount rate with updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercari raised its consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to a range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (Key Developments).
ナラティブ更新 Mar 06

4385: Earnings Guidance Updates Will Gradually Support Stable Cash Flows And Margins

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥3,303 from ¥3,288, reflecting slightly adjusted views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, updating both its revenue and core operating profit ranges.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 20

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,097 to roughly ¥3,288, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that slightly adjust the discount rate used in their models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated ranges for revenue and core operating profit.
分析記事 Feb 11

Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

Shareholders of Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to JP¥3,567...
ナラティブ更新 Feb 06

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari higher from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097 as they factor in slightly lower discount rates, moderately stronger revenue growth assumptions, a firmer profit margin outlook, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097, reflecting a modest upward adjustment to the intrinsic value per share.
分析記事 Feb 01

Here's Why We Think Mercari (TSE:4385) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
ナラティブ更新 Jan 23

4385: Lower Forward P/E And Rich Profit Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target setup for Mercari, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth of 5.02%, a profit margin of 11.90% and a future P/E of 19.03x, while keeping fair value at ¥2,500. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at ¥2,500, indicating the updated assumptions did not alter the overall valuation anchor.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 08

4385: Higher Future P/E Will Eventually Expose Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥2,500 from ¥1,984, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥1,984 to ¥2,500, reflecting the updated model assumptions.
分析記事 Dec 23

Investors Will Want Mercari's (TSE:4385) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
ナラティブ更新 Dec 18

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mercari from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, citing slightly lower perceived risk, firmer expectations for mid single digit revenue growth, a gradual improvement in profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 04

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Are Expected To Gradually Stabilize

Analysts modestly raised their price target on Mercari, with fair value estimates increasing from approximately ¥2,713 to ¥2,774, as they refine discount rate and valuation assumptions despite slightly softer long term growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Mercari remain generally constructive, with the modest price target increase reflecting confidence in the platform’s ability to sustain cash flow generation while navigating a more normalized growth environment.
分析記事 Nov 27

Is It Time To Consider Buying Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
分析記事 Nov 13

Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
分析記事 Nov 11

Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 10% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a...
分析記事 Nov 02

Do Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
分析記事 Oct 04

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...
ナラティブ更新 Sep 13

Advanced AI And International Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Mercari's consensus price target saw a slight decrease to ¥2713, as modestly improved revenue growth forecasts were offset by an essentially unchanged net profit margin. What's in the News Mercari provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, expecting revenue of JPY 200,000 million to JPY 210,000 million and core operating profit of JPY 28,000 million to JPY 32,000 million.
分析記事 Aug 08

Mercari, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 46%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...
分析記事 Aug 06

Here's Why Mercari (TSE:4385) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:4385 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Mercari's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Warren...
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Feb 09

Transitioning Hallo To Paid Service Will Generate New Revenue Streams

Enhancing user experience and implementing user safety measures may boost engagement, trust, and retention, positively impacting revenue and margins.

収支内訳

Mercari の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。


収益と収入の歴史

TSE:4385 収益、費用、利益 ( )JPY Millions
日付収益収益G+A経費研究開発費
30 Jun 26229,29335,401124,7240
31 Mar 26215,85733,813115,9790
31 Dec 25204,72729,316111,8110
30 Sep 25197,14928,168110,0700
30 Jun 25192,63326,114109,6540
31 Mar 25190,59616,439109,7360
31 Dec 24189,18216,295110,8780
30 Sep 24188,06013,583112,4940
30 Jun 24187,40713,461110,8610
31 Mar 24185,02916,768108,7040
31 Dec 23180,16516,418103,2400
30 Sep 23176,30615,46999,4900
30 Jun 23172,06413,07096,3650
31 Mar 23165,2615,19594,1910
31 Dec 22160,143-3,63998,9250
30 Sep 22153,444-7,03899,8760
30 Jun 22147,049-7,56998,5000
31 Mar 22138,915-5,56494,7660
31 Dec 21129,093-1,11989,1170
30 Sep 21117,5931,32080,9520
30 Jun 21106,1155,72075,8150
31 Mar 2199,8263,01673,1770
31 Dec 2091,495-4,55871,7590
30 Sep 2083,883-11,37872,9120
30 Jun 2076,275-22,77274,3990
31 Mar 2067,655-28,63574,3820
31 Dec 1960,888-23,39265,1420
30 Sep 1955,679-17,99056,7590
30 Jun 1951,683-13,76450,0990
31 Mar 1946,996-10,94844,2640
30 Jun 1835,765-7,04133,3810
30 Jun 1722,071-4,20722,1260
30 Jun 1612,256-34811,5130

質の高い収益: 4385 非現金収入 のレベルが高いです。

利益率の向上: 4385の現在の純利益率 (15.4%)は、昨年(13.6%)よりも高くなっています。


フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較


過去の収益成長分析

収益動向: 4385の収益は過去 5 年間で年間52.4%増加しました。

成長の加速: 4385の過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 35.6% ) は、5 年間の平均 ( 年間52.4%を下回っています。

収益対業界: 4385の過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 35.6% ) はMultiline Retail業界32.4%を上回りました。


株主資本利益率

高いROE: 4385の 自己資本利益率 ( 25.77% ) は 高い ですが、この指標は負債レベルが高いために歪んでいます。


総資産利益率


使用総資本利益率


過去の好業績企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/08/06 15:07
終値2026/08/06 00:00
収益2026/06/30
年間収益2026/06/30

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Mercari, Inc. 13 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。18

アナリスト機関
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Keiichi YoneshimaCitigroup Inc
Shingo KumazawaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.