View ValuationNotorious Pictures 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /56Notorious Pictures利益と収益がそれぞれ年間103.9%と23.6%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に13% 104.5%なると予測されています。主要情報103.9%収益成長率104.50%EPS成長率Entertainment 収益成長54.9%収益成長率23.6%将来の株主資本利益率13.00%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日27 Oct 2025今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • Oct 18Consensus revenue estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €45.9m to €40.9m. EPS estimate fell from €0.245 to €0.195 per share. Net income forecast to grow 15% next year vs 133% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.20 to €2.00. Share price was steady at €1.27 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €2.40Up from €2.20, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 49% above last closing price of €1.61. Stock is down 11% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.25 for next year compared to €0.16 last year.Price Target Changed • Jul 27Price target decreased to €2.20Down from €4.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 39% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 16% over the past year.Price Target Changed • Nov 04Price target lowered to €2.20Down from €3.80, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 79% above the current share price of €1.23. As of last close, the stock is down 51% over the past year.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesRecent Insider Transactions • May 26Key Executive recently bought €145k worth of stockOn the 20th of May, Guglielmo Marchetti bought around 235k shares on-market at roughly €0.62 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Guglielmo has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €177k worth in shares.New Risk • Apr 14New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2025. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2025 fiscal period end). Market cap is less than US$100m (€13.8m market cap, or US$16.3m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 26Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 1.5% to €0.66. The fair value is estimated to be €0.83, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 77% in the next 2 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to €0.62. The fair value is estimated to be €0.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 77% in the next 2 years.分析記事 • Nov 01Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From OverpricingThere wouldn't be many who think Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s ( BIT:NPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 27Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.9% to €0.70. The fair value is estimated to be €0.91, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 984% in the next 2 years.分析記事 • Oct 04Notorious Pictures' (BIT:NPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting PointNotorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Investors...New Risk • Jul 24New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 1.9x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.5% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€16.0m market cap, or US$18.8m).New Risk • Apr 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2024. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (75% net debt to equity). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2024 fiscal period end). Market cap is less than US$100m (€15.8m market cap, or US$18.0m).分析記事 • Mar 28Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 17% on...分析記事 • Oct 29Further Upside For Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 31% BounceNotorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Reported Earnings • Oct 02First half 2024 earnings released: €0.07 loss per share (vs €0.11 profit in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: €0.07 loss per share (down from €0.11 profit in 1H 2023). Revenue: €16.8m (down 8.0% from 1H 2023). Net loss: €1.55m (down 162% from profit in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 38% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.1% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 20% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year.分析記事 • Sep 28When Should You Buy Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?While Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...New Risk • Sep 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2023 fiscal period end). Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.1% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.4% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€18.2m market cap, or US$20.1m).New Risk • Jul 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.5x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.4% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€20.6m market cap, or US$22.1m).New Risk • Apr 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (28% accrual ratio). Minor Risks High level of debt (50% net debt to equity). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (€23.4m market cap, or US$24.9m).分析記事 • Apr 03What Does Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Share Price Indicate?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...分析記事 • Nov 25Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...分析記事 • Oct 19Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Analyst Just Slashed This Year's EstimatesOne thing we could say about the covering analyst on Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) - they aren't optimistic...Major Estimate Revision • Oct 18Consensus revenue estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €45.9m to €40.9m. EPS estimate fell from €0.245 to €0.195 per share. Net income forecast to grow 15% next year vs 133% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.20 to €2.00. Share price was steady at €1.27 over the past week.New Risk • Sep 01New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2022. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2022 fiscal period end). Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Market cap is less than US$100m (€28.2m market cap, or US$30.5m).Upcoming Dividend • May 08Upcoming dividend of €0.12 per share at 6.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 May 2023. Payment date: 17 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 6.6%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.1%).分析記事 • Nov 18Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) A Risky Investment?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 9 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (5 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Reported Earnings • Oct 02First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.10 (vs €0.05 in 1H 2021)First half 2022 results: EPS: €0.10 (up from €0.05 in 1H 2021). Revenue: €17.6m (up 132% from 1H 2021). Net income: €2.22m (up 100% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 13% (down from 15% in 1H 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Upcoming Dividend • May 02Upcoming dividend of €0.082 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 May 2022. Payment date: 11 May 2022. Trailing yield: 5.1%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €2.40Up from €2.20, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 49% above last closing price of €1.61. Stock is down 11% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.25 for next year compared to €0.16 last year.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.05 (vs €0.04 loss in 1H 2020)The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €9.64m (up 72% from 1H 2020). Net income: €1.11m (up €1.95m from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 12% (up from net loss in 1H 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 54 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.分析記事 • Sep 30Estimating The Fair Value Of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) by projecting its...Price Target Changed • Jul 27Price target decreased to €2.20Down from €4.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 39% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 16% over the past year.分析記事 • Jun 07Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...分析記事 • Apr 14Calculating The Fair Value Of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Notorious Pictures...分析記事 • Mar 09Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?While Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant...分析記事 • Feb 11Will Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Multiply In Value Going Forward?If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...分析記事 • Jan 19Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 34% over the...分析記事 • Dec 29How Much Does Notorious Pictures' (BIT:NPI) CEO Make?The CEO of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) is Guglielmo Marchetti, and this article examines the executive's...分析記事 • Dec 14We Wouldn't Rely On Notorious Pictures's (BIT:NPI) Statutory Earnings As A GuideAs a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. That said, the current...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 30Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to €1.85, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 22.7x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 19.3x. This compares to an average P/E of 12x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 32%.分析記事 • Nov 28Should You Think About Buying Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI) Now?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 13Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to €1.42, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.4x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 15x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 10%.Price Target Changed • Nov 04Price target lowered to €2.20Down from €3.80, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 79% above the current share price of €1.23. As of last close, the stock is down 51% over the past year.Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 26New 90-day low: €1.16The company is down 38% from its price of €1.87 on 28 July 2020. The Italian market is down 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 20% over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 10New 90-day low: €1.41The company is down 23% from its price of €1.82 on 10 July 2020. The Italian market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 12% over the same period.Reported Earnings • Sep 28First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of €1.73m, down 55% from the prior year. Total revenue was €24.9m over the last 12 months, down 8.8% from the prior year.業績と収益の成長予測BIT:NPI - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )EUR Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/2027625819112/31/2026664517112/31/202536-3915N/A9/30/20256604041N/A6/30/20259627067N/A3/31/20259536765N/A12/31/20249536363N/A9/30/20246613041N/A6/30/202436-2-318N/A3/31/2024370-322N/A12/31/2023382-325N/A9/30/2023353-520N/A6/30/2023335-615N/A3/31/2023325-414N/A12/31/2022314-113N/A9/30/2022305-114N/A6/30/2022295016N/A3/31/2022254-113N/A12/31/2021204-210N/A9/30/2021172-18N/A6/30/202115015N/A3/31/202113-126N/A12/31/202012-237N/A9/30/202020048N/A6/30/202027259N/A3/31/202034318N/A12/31/2019415-47N/A9/30/2019365N/A6N/A6/30/2019314N/A5N/A3/31/2019314N/A6N/A12/31/2018324N/A6N/A9/30/2018304N/A8N/A6/30/2018283N/A10N/A3/31/2018232N/A10N/A12/31/2017181N/A11N/A9/30/2017182N/A9N/A6/30/2017193N/A7N/A3/31/2017213N/A7N/A12/31/2016233N/A6N/A9/30/2016254N/A6N/A6/30/2016276N/A6N/A3/31/2016266N/A6N/A12/31/2015267N/A6N/A9/30/2015246N/A5N/A6/30/2015234N/A5N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: NPIは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.3% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: NPI今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: NPI今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: NPIの収益 ( 23.6% ) Italian市場 ( 5.9% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: NPIの収益 ( 23.6% ) 20%よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: NPIの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 13 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMedia 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/31 23:12終値2026/05/29 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Notorious Pictures S.p.A. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2 アナリスト機関Andrea DevitaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)Andrea RandoneIntermonte SIM S.p.A.
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 18Consensus revenue estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €45.9m to €40.9m. EPS estimate fell from €0.245 to €0.195 per share. Net income forecast to grow 15% next year vs 133% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.20 to €2.00. Share price was steady at €1.27 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €2.40Up from €2.20, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 49% above last closing price of €1.61. Stock is down 11% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.25 for next year compared to €0.16 last year.
Price Target Changed • Jul 27Price target decreased to €2.20Down from €4.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 39% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 16% over the past year.
Price Target Changed • Nov 04Price target lowered to €2.20Down from €3.80, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 79% above the current share price of €1.23. As of last close, the stock is down 51% over the past year.
Recent Insider Transactions • May 26Key Executive recently bought €145k worth of stockOn the 20th of May, Guglielmo Marchetti bought around 235k shares on-market at roughly €0.62 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Guglielmo has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €177k worth in shares.
New Risk • Apr 14New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2025. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2025 fiscal period end). Market cap is less than US$100m (€13.8m market cap, or US$16.3m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 26Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 1.5% to €0.66. The fair value is estimated to be €0.83, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 77% in the next 2 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to €0.62. The fair value is estimated to be €0.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 77% in the next 2 years.
分析記事 • Nov 01Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From OverpricingThere wouldn't be many who think Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s ( BIT:NPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 27Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.9% to €0.70. The fair value is estimated to be €0.91, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 47% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Revenue is forecast to decline by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 984% in the next 2 years.
分析記事 • Oct 04Notorious Pictures' (BIT:NPI) Earnings May Just Be The Starting PointNotorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Investors...
New Risk • Jul 24New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 1.9x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.5% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€16.0m market cap, or US$18.8m).
New Risk • Apr 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2024. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (75% net debt to equity). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2024 fiscal period end). Market cap is less than US$100m (€15.8m market cap, or US$18.0m).
分析記事 • Mar 28Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 17% on...
分析記事 • Oct 29Further Upside For Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 31% BounceNotorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Reported Earnings • Oct 02First half 2024 earnings released: €0.07 loss per share (vs €0.11 profit in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: €0.07 loss per share (down from €0.11 profit in 1H 2023). Revenue: €16.8m (down 8.0% from 1H 2023). Net loss: €1.55m (down 162% from profit in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 38% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.1% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 20% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year.
分析記事 • Sep 28When Should You Buy Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?While Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...
New Risk • Sep 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2023 fiscal period end). Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.1% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.4% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€18.2m market cap, or US$20.1m).
New Risk • Jul 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.5x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.9% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.4% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€20.6m market cap, or US$22.1m).
New Risk • Apr 16New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (28% accrual ratio). Minor Risks High level of debt (50% net debt to equity). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (€23.4m market cap, or US$24.9m).
分析記事 • Apr 03What Does Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Share Price Indicate?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
分析記事 • Nov 25Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
分析記事 • Oct 19Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Analyst Just Slashed This Year's EstimatesOne thing we could say about the covering analyst on Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) - they aren't optimistic...
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 18Consensus revenue estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from €45.9m to €40.9m. EPS estimate fell from €0.245 to €0.195 per share. Net income forecast to grow 15% next year vs 133% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €2.20 to €2.00. Share price was steady at €1.27 over the past week.
New Risk • Sep 01New minor risk - Financial data availabilityThe company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2022. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2022 fiscal period end). Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Market cap is less than US$100m (€28.2m market cap, or US$30.5m).
Upcoming Dividend • May 08Upcoming dividend of €0.12 per share at 6.6% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 May 2023. Payment date: 17 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 6.6%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.1%).
分析記事 • Nov 18Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) A Risky Investment?Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 9 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (5 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Reported Earnings • Oct 02First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.10 (vs €0.05 in 1H 2021)First half 2022 results: EPS: €0.10 (up from €0.05 in 1H 2021). Revenue: €17.6m (up 132% from 1H 2021). Net income: €2.22m (up 100% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 13% (down from 15% in 1H 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Upcoming Dividend • May 02Upcoming dividend of €0.082 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 09 May 2022. Payment date: 11 May 2022. Trailing yield: 5.1%. Within top quartile of Italian dividend payers (4.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%).
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €2.40Up from €2.20, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 49% above last closing price of €1.61. Stock is down 11% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.25 for next year compared to €0.16 last year.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 1 independent director (4 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.05 (vs €0.04 loss in 1H 2020)The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €9.64m (up 72% from 1H 2020). Net income: €1.11m (up €1.95m from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 12% (up from net loss in 1H 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 54 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
分析記事 • Sep 30Estimating The Fair Value Of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) by projecting its...
Price Target Changed • Jul 27Price target decreased to €2.20Down from €4.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 39% above last closing price of €1.58. Stock is down 16% over the past year.
分析記事 • Jun 07Is Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 • Apr 14Calculating The Fair Value Of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Notorious Pictures...
分析記事 • Mar 09Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI)?While Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant...
分析記事 • Feb 11Will Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) Multiply In Value Going Forward?If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...
分析記事 • Jan 19Notorious Pictures S.p.A.'s (BIT:NPI) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?Notorious Pictures (BIT:NPI) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 34% over the...
分析記事 • Dec 29How Much Does Notorious Pictures' (BIT:NPI) CEO Make?The CEO of Notorious Pictures S.p.A. ( BIT:NPI ) is Guglielmo Marchetti, and this article examines the executive's...
分析記事 • Dec 14We Wouldn't Rely On Notorious Pictures's (BIT:NPI) Statutory Earnings As A GuideAs a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. That said, the current...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 30Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to €1.85, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 22.7x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 19.3x. This compares to an average P/E of 12x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 32%.
分析記事 • Nov 28Should You Think About Buying Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI) Now?Notorious Pictures S.p.A. (BIT:NPI), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 13Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to €1.42, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 17.4x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 15x. This compares to an average P/E of 14x in the Entertainment industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 10%.
Price Target Changed • Nov 04Price target lowered to €2.20Down from €3.80, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. The new target price is 79% above the current share price of €1.23. As of last close, the stock is down 51% over the past year.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 26New 90-day low: €1.16The company is down 38% from its price of €1.87 on 28 July 2020. The Italian market is down 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 20% over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 10New 90-day low: €1.41The company is down 23% from its price of €1.82 on 10 July 2020. The Italian market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Entertainment industry, which is down 12% over the same period.
Reported Earnings • Sep 28First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of €1.73m, down 55% from the prior year. Total revenue was €24.9m over the last 12 months, down 8.8% from the prior year.