Board Change • May 21
Less than half of directors are independent No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (3 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. New Risk • Nov 08
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: €9.32m (US$9.99m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Market cap is less than US$10m (€9.32m market cap, or US$9.99m). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (2.2% increase in shares outstanding). New Risk • Jul 10
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 53% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (16% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 53% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (€15.5m market cap, or US$16.8m). Reported Earnings • Jul 02
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: €52.8m (up 6.2% from FY 2022). Net loss: €14.9m (down €17.0m from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Retail Distributors industry in Europe. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 21
Now 24% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 47% to €0.86. The fair value is estimated to be €0.69, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to grow by 17% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 1.0% in the next year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 24
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 65% to €0.59. The fair value is estimated to be €0.75, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to grow by 17% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 1.0% in the next year. New Risk • Apr 16
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (13% average weekly change). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2023 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (€9.66m market cap, or US$10.3m). New Risk • Mar 25
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: €9.13m (US$9.89m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Market cap is less than US$10m (€9.13m market cap, or US$9.89m). Minor Risk Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (11% increase in shares outstanding). New Risk • Nov 02
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.3% average weekly change). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (11% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (€47.7m market cap, or US$50.4m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 14
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to €2.96, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 30x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Retail Distributors industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past year. Board Change • Jul 26
Less than half of directors are independent No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (3 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.