View ValuationGreat River Smart Logistics 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /46Great River Smart Logistics利益と収益がそれぞれ年間89.9%と17.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に9.2% 89.5%なると予測されています。主要情報89.9%収益成長率89.46%EPS成長率Infrastructure 収益成長6.4%収益成長率17.4%将来の株主資本利益率9.16%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日06 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報更新なしすべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.66, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 35% to CN¥9.28. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.73, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Board Change • May 20High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 1 experienced director. 4 highly experienced directors. Chairman of Supervisory Board Yan Liu is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2015. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong Chinaお知らせ • Mar 31Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026お知らせ • Feb 03Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Directorate AppointmentsGreat River Smarter held its 2nd Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026 on January 30, 2026, approved appointment of Wang Qiang as independent director and Rui Bin as independent director.お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2026Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 29, 2026お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025お知らせ • Jul 02Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025お知らせ • May 13Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Dividend for the Year 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at the AGM held on May 12, 2025 approved final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.00000000 for the year 2024.お知らせ • Apr 28Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong Chinaお知らせ • Mar 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 28, 2025お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 28, 2025お知らせ • Nov 16Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its EGM held on November 14, 2024 approved cash dividend of CNY 1.00 per 10 shares (tax included) for the third quarter 2024.お知らせ • Oct 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Proposes Profit Distribution for the Third Quarter of 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 29 October 2024 the profit distribution proposal for the third quarter of 2024 as follows: Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 1.00000000.Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 29, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥10.98, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥11.36 per share.Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥356.3m (down 10% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥72.6m (down 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 20% (down from 23% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.8% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 19Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 30% to CN¥10.48. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.15, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.Declared Dividend • Jul 04Dividend reduced to CN¥0.25Dividend of CN¥0.25 is 17% lower than last year. Ex-date: 9th July 2024 Payment date: 9th July 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (40% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.7% per year over the past 5 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.お知らせ • Jul 03Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2023, Payable on 09 July 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000 for the year 2023, payable on 09 July 2024. Record date is 08 July 2024. Ex-date is 09 July 2024.Board Change • Jul 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Deputy GM & Non-Independent Director Yi Gan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.お知らせ • Jun 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 31, 2024Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 21% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to CN¥15.09. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.48, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 09Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at CN¥15.38. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.69, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥379.9m (up 1.1% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CN¥60.0m (down 13% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 18% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Apr 27Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Profit Distribution Proposal for 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 25 April 2024 the profit distribution proposal for 2023 as follows: Final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000.お知らせ • Apr 26Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong ChinaBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 20% to CN¥14.69. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.04, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 62% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 87% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.65 (vs CN¥0.50 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.65 (up from CN¥0.50 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.55b (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥295.7m (up 32% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.お知らせ • Mar 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 27, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 27, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥13.83, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥10.51 per share.お知らせ • Dec 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 25, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 25, 2024Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.18 (up from CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥386.9m (up 17% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥80.6m (up 34% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 28, 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results at 3:00 PM, China Standard Time on Oct 28, 2023Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.20 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.20 (up from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥397.7m (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥91.1m (up 30% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 23% (up from 21% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 19Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.30 per share at 1.4% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 26 June 2023. Payment date: 26 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Chinese dividend payers (2.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).お知らせ • May 25Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2023 approved cash dividend of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2022.Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.50 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.50 (down from CN¥0.61 in FY 2021). Revenue: CN¥1.26b (up 16% from FY 2021). Net income: CN¥224.0m (down 18% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥332.0m (up 25% from 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥60.1m (down 11% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥335.8m (up 21% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥70.2m (down 9.1% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 21% (down from 28% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 27%, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 26% per year.Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.12 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021)First quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.12 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥269.5m (up 4.3% from 1Q 2021). Net income: CN¥54.2m (down 18% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 20% (down from 26% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 28%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.58 (vs CN¥0.51 in FY 2020)Full year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.58 (up from CN¥0.51 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥1.09b (up 28% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥258.1m (up 13% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 24% (down from 27% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 24%, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Buying Opportunity • Mar 05Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 12%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.62, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.Buying Opportunity • Jan 21Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 5.0%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.43, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.17 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues were flat. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥266.4m (flat on 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥67.4m (down 10% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (down from 28% in 3Q 2020).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 21Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥22.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥36.10 per share.Reported Earnings • Aug 19Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.12 in 2Q 2020)The company reported a solid second quarter result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were flat. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥277.6m (up 40% from 2Q 2020). Net income: CN¥77.3m (up 42% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 28% (in line with 2Q 2020).Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥848.3m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥227.7m (up 56% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 03New 90-day low: CN¥17.81The company is down 19% from its price of CN¥21.94 on 03 December 2020. The Chinese market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is down 9.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.23 per share.Reported Earnings • Feb 06Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.52 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥849.5m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥231.8m (up 59% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 06Revenue beats expectationsRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 25%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 22New 90-day low: CN¥18.13The company is down 11% from its price of CN¥20.35 on 23 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.29 per share.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 06New 90-day low: CN¥18.94The company is down 4.0% from its price of CN¥19.74 on 09 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.27 per share.Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of CN¥189.5m, up 32% from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥723.3m over the last 12 months, up 55% from the prior year.業績と収益の成長予測XSEC:002930 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )CNY Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/20282,023304N/A1,395112/31/20271,773223N/A775112/31/20261,536114N/A1,05713/31/20261,216-432412776N/A12/31/20251,190-430348755N/A9/30/20251,238-51298747N/A6/30/20251,30413370829N/A3/31/20251,393119420928N/A12/31/20241,450158430912N/A9/30/20241,474227583988N/A6/30/20241,510269627982N/A3/31/20241,5512887181,025N/A12/31/20231,5472967591,056N/A9/30/20231,4862816681,004N/A6/30/20231,431261615962N/A3/31/20231,370239581922N/A1/1/20231,263224480849N/A9/30/20221,223244433842N/A6/30/20221,157252316828N/A3/31/20221,099259128753N/A12/31/20211,088272132779N/A9/30/20211,052277143783N/A6/30/20211,052285192769N/A3/31/2021973262175691N/A12/31/2020848228102586N/A9/30/202072319016468N/A6/30/2020580149-97372N/A3/31/2020502135-134317N/A12/31/2019486146N/A320N/A9/30/2019467143N/A331N/A6/30/2019448138N/A188N/A3/31/2019419119N/A37N/A12/31/2018398103N/A16N/A9/30/201838798N/A-23N/A6/30/201838096N/A102N/A3/31/201837495N/A231N/A12/31/201736592N/A228N/A9/30/201735386N/A225N/A6/30/201734172N/A213N/A3/31/201735480N/A225N/A12/31/201636784N/A251N/A9/30/201637388N/A254N/A6/30/201638092N/A258N/A3/31/201635686N/A240N/A12/31/201533280N/A223N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: 002930は今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 2.4% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: 002930今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: 002930今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: 002930の収益 ( 17.4% ) CN市場 ( 16.1% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: 002930の収益 ( 17.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: 002930の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 9.2 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YTransportation 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/07/23 23:31終値2026/07/23 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2 アナリスト機関Wei LiuHaitong International Research LimitedXiaofeng ShenHuatai Research
お知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.66, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 35% to CN¥9.28. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.73, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Board Change • May 20High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 1 experienced director. 4 highly experienced directors. Chairman of Supervisory Board Yan Liu is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2015. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
お知らせ • Mar 31Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026
お知らせ • Feb 03Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Directorate AppointmentsGreat River Smarter held its 2nd Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026 on January 30, 2026, approved appointment of Wang Qiang as independent director and Rui Bin as independent director.
お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2026Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 29, 2026
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025
お知らせ • Jul 02Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025
お知らせ • May 13Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Dividend for the Year 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at the AGM held on May 12, 2025 approved final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.00000000 for the year 2024.
お知らせ • Apr 28Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
お知らせ • Mar 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 28, 2025
お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 28, 2025
お知らせ • Nov 16Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its EGM held on November 14, 2024 approved cash dividend of CNY 1.00 per 10 shares (tax included) for the third quarter 2024.
お知らせ • Oct 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Proposes Profit Distribution for the Third Quarter of 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 29 October 2024 the profit distribution proposal for the third quarter of 2024 as follows: Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 1.00000000.
Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 29, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥10.98, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥11.36 per share.
Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥356.3m (down 10% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥72.6m (down 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 20% (down from 23% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.8% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 19Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 30% to CN¥10.48. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.15, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
Declared Dividend • Jul 04Dividend reduced to CN¥0.25Dividend of CN¥0.25 is 17% lower than last year. Ex-date: 9th July 2024 Payment date: 9th July 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (40% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.7% per year over the past 5 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
お知らせ • Jul 03Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2023, Payable on 09 July 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000 for the year 2023, payable on 09 July 2024. Record date is 08 July 2024. Ex-date is 09 July 2024.
Board Change • Jul 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Deputy GM & Non-Independent Director Yi Gan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.
お知らせ • Jun 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 31, 2024
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 21% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to CN¥15.09. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.48, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 09Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at CN¥15.38. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.69, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥379.9m (up 1.1% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CN¥60.0m (down 13% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 18% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Apr 27Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Profit Distribution Proposal for 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 25 April 2024 the profit distribution proposal for 2023 as follows: Final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000.
お知らせ • Apr 26Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 20% to CN¥14.69. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.04, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 62% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 87% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.65 (vs CN¥0.50 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.65 (up from CN¥0.50 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.55b (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥295.7m (up 32% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.
お知らせ • Mar 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 27, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 27, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥13.83, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥10.51 per share.
お知らせ • Dec 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 25, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 25, 2024
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.18 (up from CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥386.9m (up 17% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥80.6m (up 34% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 28, 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results at 3:00 PM, China Standard Time on Oct 28, 2023
Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.20 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.20 (up from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥397.7m (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥91.1m (up 30% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 23% (up from 21% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 19Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.30 per share at 1.4% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 26 June 2023. Payment date: 26 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Chinese dividend payers (2.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).
お知らせ • May 25Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2023 approved cash dividend of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2022.
Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.50 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.50 (down from CN¥0.61 in FY 2021). Revenue: CN¥1.26b (up 16% from FY 2021). Net income: CN¥224.0m (down 18% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.
Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥332.0m (up 25% from 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥60.1m (down 11% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.
Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥335.8m (up 21% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥70.2m (down 9.1% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 21% (down from 28% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 27%, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 26% per year.
Reported Earnings • Apr 29First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.12 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021)First quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.12 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥269.5m (up 4.3% from 1Q 2021). Net income: CN¥54.2m (down 18% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 20% (down from 26% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 28%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.58 (vs CN¥0.51 in FY 2020)Full year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.58 (up from CN¥0.51 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥1.09b (up 28% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥258.1m (up 13% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 24% (down from 27% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 24%, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Buying Opportunity • Mar 05Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 12%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.62, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.
Buying Opportunity • Jan 21Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 5.0%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.43, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.17 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues were flat. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥266.4m (flat on 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥67.4m (down 10% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (down from 28% in 3Q 2020).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 21Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥22.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥36.10 per share.
Reported Earnings • Aug 19Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.12 in 2Q 2020)The company reported a solid second quarter result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were flat. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥277.6m (up 40% from 2Q 2020). Net income: CN¥77.3m (up 42% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 28% (in line with 2Q 2020).
Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥848.3m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥227.7m (up 56% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 03New 90-day low: CN¥17.81The company is down 19% from its price of CN¥21.94 on 03 December 2020. The Chinese market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is down 9.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.23 per share.
Reported Earnings • Feb 06Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.52 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥849.5m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥231.8m (up 59% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.
Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 06Revenue beats expectationsRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 25%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 22New 90-day low: CN¥18.13The company is down 11% from its price of CN¥20.35 on 23 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.29 per share.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 06New 90-day low: CN¥18.94The company is down 4.0% from its price of CN¥19.74 on 09 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.27 per share.
Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of CN¥189.5m, up 32% from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥723.3m over the last 12 months, up 55% from the prior year.