Match Group Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 2/6
Match Group prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 8% e 4% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 12.1% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 418.3% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
8.0%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
12.10%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Interactive Media and Services crescita degli utili | 12.3% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 4.0% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 418.27% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 07 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 06
Match Group: Impressive Profit Growth, But What Matters Is Payer Expansion
Summary Match Group faces persistent payer declines despite a recent ~20% stock rally and hopes for a Tinder revival. Q1 results showed double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by reduced opex spending amid weak demand, but core revenue drivers remain under pressure. MTCH's 2026 product update cycle, including a Tinder relaunch with AI features and new investments like Sniffies, introduces execution and capital allocation risk. Balance sheet risk is elevated with a >2x leverage ratio and ongoing capital outflows, complicating the outlook as payer trends deteriorate. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • May 01
MTCH: Product Execution And Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Re Rating
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $46.09, with analysts citing slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, partly balanced by lower profit margin assumptions and several recent $1 to $3 price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent batch of research on Match Group shows a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several small price target trims offset by optimism around execution at Tinder and the potential for better user trends to support the stock over time.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Apr 17
MTCH: Product Progress And Capital Returns Will Shape Balanced Future Outcomes
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and fair value, even as analysts acknowledge ongoing product progress at Tinder and across the portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group highlights a split view, with some analysts encouraged by Tinder product updates and others trimming price targets to reflect more conservative expectations for growth and profitability.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Apr 02
MTCH: Product Momentum And Capital Returns Will Support Future Shareholder Value
Analysts have kept the fair value estimate for Match Group steady at $36.47 while tweaking underlying assumptions slightly. This reflects a mix of reduced price targets from several firms and more constructive commentary around Tinder's product progress and user trends.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Mar 19
MTCH: GenAI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate edged down to $46.08 from $46.80 as analysts reset price targets following more cautious revenue growth assumptions, even as recent research points to improving Tinder product execution and user trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Match Group shows a mixed backdrop of reset expectations alongside growing interest in Tinder's product roadmap and usage trends.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Mar 05
MTCH: AI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Match Group by low single digit dollar amounts, with cuts of $1 to $3 from several firms, reflecting more cautious assumptions on sector multiples and competitive risks, even as core revenue growth and margin expectations remain broadly intact. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but measured stance, with both optimistic and cautious voices focusing on valuation, growth durability, and execution against competitive and technology themes.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Feb 19
MTCH: AI And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Match Group by about $1, reflecting updated views on slower revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins, which are partly offset by the use of a higher future P/E multiple in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and refining their views on growth and profitability.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Feb 04
MTCH: Mixed Execution Risk And GenAI Benefits Will Shape 2026 Setup
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Match Group to $31 from $28, citing updated views on revenue growth and profitability, as well as a lower forward P/E multiple. This change comes alongside recent price target increases from firms such as Morgan Stanley and Wolfe Research, despite some cuts from other banks.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Jan 21
MTCH: GenAI Monetization And Buybacks Are Expected To Support Future Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets for Match Group higher, with our fair value estimate moving from US$46.61 to US$46.80. They are factoring in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples, supported by recent research pointing to potential benefits from GenAI and product catalysts across internet names.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Jan 07
MTCH: AI Product Catalysts And Buybacks Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update on Match Group The analyst price target for Match Group has been revised to $43 from $42. Analysts attribute this change to potential upside from AI-related product catalysts, estimate revisions, and what they view as supportive capital allocation and macroeconomic conditions.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Dec 23
MTCH: Safety Improvements Will Support Stronger User Monetization And Share Repurchases
The analyst price target for Match Group has been raised by about 9% to approximately $47 from around $43, as analysts factor in modestly stronger long term revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a marginally richer future P E multiple despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target for Match Group as a reflection of improving execution on product innovation and monetization initiatives.Articolo di analisi • Dec 10
Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.19
The board of Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.19 per share on the 21st...Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Dec 09
MTCH: Share Repurchases And User Monetization Will Support Balanced Future Returns
Analysts nudged their price target on Match Group slightly higher to approximately $37.32 from about $37.32, reflecting marginally lower discount rate assumptions while maintaining steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street discussions around Match Group reflect a balanced mix of optimism on execution and user monetization, alongside caution about competitive intensity and macro driven volatility in discretionary spending.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Nov 25
MTCH: Share Buybacks And Improved Margins Will Support Earnings Upside Ahead
Match Group's analyst price target was modestly reduced from $37.74 to $37.32, as analysts cited slight adjustments in expected revenue growth and discount rates while highlighting stable future profit margins. Analyst Commentary Market observers provide mixed signals regarding Match Group's near-term prospects, focusing on the balance of valuation, growth execution, and external risks impacting the stock's outlook.Articolo di analisi • Nov 13
We Think You Can Look Beyond Match Group's (NASDAQ:MTCH) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Match Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our...Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Nov 07
MTCH: Improved Profit Margins And Operational Efficiencies Will Drive Stronger Performance
Match Group's analyst price target has been revised downward from $38.47 to $37.74, as analysts anticipate modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins while applying a higher discount rate to reflect a slightly riskier outlook for the company. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their views of Match Group's prospects, reflecting both renewed optimism about growth and ongoing concerns tied to the company's execution and risk profile.Articolo di analisi • Sep 22
At US$38.51, Is Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Worth Looking At Closely?
Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Articolo di analisi • Aug 09
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Price Target To US$37.68
NasdaqGS:MTCH 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Match Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Aug 07
New AI Features And Global Expansion Will Energize Online Dating
With no changes in analyst reasoning or underlying key metrics such as revenue growth (4.8% per annum) and discount rate (9.17%), Match Group's consensus analyst price target remains steady at $37.21. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 13,722,525 shares (5.49% of shares) for $419.7 million under the buyback announced on December 11, 2024.Articolo di analisi • Aug 07
Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) Looks To Prolong Its Impressive Returns
NasdaqGS:MTCH 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Match Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Articolo di analisi • Jun 18
What Is Match Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MTCH) Share Price Doing?
While Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share price...Articolo di analisi • May 11
Match Group, Inc. Just Recorded A 18% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) shares in the week since its...Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Match Group: 12%+ Equity Yield Despite Signs Of Growth In Early 2025
Summary Match Group's 2025 revenue guidance suggests flat growth, but a 50 bps AOI margin expansion and 15% FCF growth highlight potential investor attractiveness. Hinge's solid 19% YoY revenue and 27% YoY payer growth, paired with early 2025 DAU upticks (Tinder +2% MoM, Hinge +3% MoM), hint at upside to guidance. Leadership changes with Spencer Rascoff as CEO and a strong new C-level team are expected to accelerate execution and maintain strategic goals. Valuation appears attractive with a 12+% equity yield, suggesting room for a 60%+ rerating of shares, in my view. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
Match Group: A Value Trap With Worrying Drop In Paid Users (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Match Group reported very disappointing user results in Q4, with Tinder paid users sharply dropping off and Hinge growth stalling. The company's plan to hit 4-6% revenue growth annually through FY27, as well as $3 billion in FCF over 3 years, seems a tough bar to hit. On top of slowing growth at Hinge, Hinge has a 20-point operating margin deficit to Tinder. Revenue mixing out of Tinder and into Hinge is a headwind to profits. Despite a seemingly attractive valuation at ~11x FCF, Match Group is a value trap due to declining payers, growth, and margins. Sell and invest elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Match Group: This Could Be The Turning Point
Summary Despite a low multiple, Match Group's revenue growth and capital allocation remain unconvincing, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. Q4 results show a 1% revenue decline, with Tinder's revenue dropping 3% and paying users down 5%. Match's capital allocation strategy, focusing on share buybacks, is questioned; investing in growth could be more beneficial given a 16% ROIC. With a new CEO and potential for multiple expansion, I'll wait a few quarters to reassess Match's performance and strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 23
Match Group: Unlocking The Value Of Tinder And Hinge
Summary Match Group is undervalued at ~8.6x FY 2024 free cash flow, with strong fundamentals, improving growth outlook, and proactive capital management initiatives. The company benefits from first-mover advantage and network effects, making it difficult for competitors to scale and compete financially. Despite recent challenges, Match Group's high profitability, scalable business model, and structural long-term growth tailwinds position it for market-beating returns. My valuation analysis suggests the stock could be more than double by FY 2027, driven by organic growth, multiple expansion, and share count reduction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 12
Match: There May Be Hope With A Rebound In Tinder Payers And A New Capital Returns Plan (Rating Upgrade)
Summary I'm upgrading Match to a neutral rating after the company unveiled ambitious targets at its recent December investor day. The company plans to drive 4-6% growth through the next three years and generate $3+ billion of cumulative FCF, which relies on both Hinge and Tinder to grow. Tinder has been a sore spot for Match lately, but Q3 results showed a rebound in active payers. We'll have to keep a close eye on if these trends sustain. The stock is cheap at <10x P/E and ~3x forward revenue, leading to my more sanguine opinion on the stock after its sharp recent declines. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 07
Match's Q3 Results: Activist Investors Will Tighten The Noose
Summary Match Group's Q3 results missed estimates, with declining revenues and tepid Q4 forecasts, challenging the promised turnaround and sparking activist investor pressure. Falling revenue per user and conflicting ALC features and subscription strategies are worsening unit economics, particularly impacting Tinder's performance. Despite weak Q3 results, activist investors' interest in Match's turnaround remains strong, potentially driving significant changes at the company. I maintain a Hold rating on Match Group, revising down price targets due to slower growth and uncertain mid-term prospects. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
Match Group: A Value Trap That's Getting More Risky To Invest In
Summary Shares of Match have rallied since the middle of summer, erasing the stock’s YTD losses. In my view, this glazes past Match’s many challenges, including a persistent decline in paid users (driven by Tinder) and an outlook that calls for steeper revenue deceleration. While Match has been shedding paid users, both Bumble and Grindr, the other two publicly traded dating app stocks, are gaining. Making matters worse, Match’s operating margins are also declining. The stock may be cheap on a P/E basis, but it’s a value trap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
Match Group: I See Upside Potential, But I Need To See More Evidence
Summary I recommend a hold rating for Match Group due to uncertainty in Tinder's payer growth, despite potential upside from new product rollouts. Tinder's payer growth decline may have bottomed, and positive shifts in user perception could drive growth, but solid proof is still needed. Hinge shows robust growth, contributing significantly to MTCH revenue, and new features may further support its momentum. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,820 | 789 | 1,159 | 1,197 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,604 | 710 | 1,088 | 1,132 | 19 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,471 | 644 | 1,071 | 1,100 | 18 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,520 | 663 | 1,020 | 1,082 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,487 | 613 | 1,024 | 1,080 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,469 | 562 | 963 | 1,012 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,451 | 538 | 908 | 957 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,451 | 546 | 793 | 842 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,479 | 551 | 882 | 933 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,485 | 623 | 894 | 954 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,472 | 650 | 920 | 980 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,437 | 654 | 996 | 1,061 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,365 | 652 | 829 | 897 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,284 | 509 | 785 | 846 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,212 | 474 | 776 | 836 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,177 | 304 | 362 | 414 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,189 | 364 | 477 | 526 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,209 | 109 | 480 | 546 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,201 | 111 | 507 | 582 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,114 | 283 | 955 | 1,043 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,983 | 277 | 833 | 912 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,829 | 595 | 874 | 937 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,667 | 604 | 800 | 857 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,514 | 574 | 781 | 824 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,391 | 528 | 760 | 802 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,287 | 475 | 741 | 782 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,189 | 441 | 842 | 878 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,131 | 418 | 893 | 916 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,051 | 405 | N/A | 938 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,608 | 478 | N/A | 1,005 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,171 | 517 | N/A | 964 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,732 | 649 | N/A | 939 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,730 | 320 | N/A | 988 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,109 | 468 | N/A | 791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,833 | 502 | N/A | 639 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,541 | 350 | N/A | 501 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,307 | 305 | N/A | 417 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,168 | 374 | N/A | 448 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,103 | 238 | N/A | 419 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,082 | -23 | N/A | 373 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,140 | -41 | N/A | 344 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,177 | -175 | N/A | 360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,252 | -153 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,278 | 101 | N/A | 392 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,231 | 119 | N/A | 406 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,213 | 221 | N/A | 313 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,157 | 306 | N/A | 361 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di MTCH ( 8% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di MTCH ( 8% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 16.6% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di MTCH cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di MTCH ( 4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.5% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di MTCH ( 4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di MTCH sarà molto alto tra 3 anni ( 418.3 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/07 20:01 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Match Group, Inc. è coperta da 41 analisti. 19 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Douglas Anmuth | Barclays |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |
| Clayton Moran | Benchmark Company |