Rio Tinto Group

Report azionario NYSE:RIO

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$178.6b

Rio Tinto Group Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 1/6

Rio Tinto Group prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 6.9% e 2.9% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 4.7% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 17.9% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

6.9%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

4.73%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Metals and Mining crescita degli utili14.2%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi2.9%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio17.95%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento06 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 02

Rio Tinto: Strong Operations, But Priced For Perfection Amid Rising Execution Risk

Summary Production was broadly in line with or ahead of expectations, yet achieving full-year guidance requires sustained elevated run rates at Pilbara, concentrating execution risk in the remaining quarters. Rising diesel, FX, and input costs are pushing margins toward the high end of guidance, while sell-side estimates are starting to move lower on weaker volumes and higher operating expenses. Despite supportive commodity prices, the stock appears priced to perfection, even accounting for a higher EV/EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 27

Rio Tinto Vs. Vale: Inventory Doesn't Lie

Summary Since my last analysis, new tariffs announced by President Trump have added additional – and large – uncertainties to mining stocks. I expect high tariffs to disrupt global trade flows, decrease demand for basic metals, and increase operational costs for both RIO and VALE. As a reflection of these macroscopic pressures, the latest data show that both companies are experiencing elevated inventory. The inventory build up is even more concerning in the case of VALE. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Rio Tinto: Debt Before Dividend

Summary Rio Tinto is diversifying from iron ore to copper and lithium to mitigate risks and capitalize on electrification, but this requires significant capital and increased debt. Iron ore's diminishing returns and reliance on China pose risks, leading to expected dividend reductions to service debt and fund diversification. I will hold Rio Tinto stock long-term, but won't reinvest dividends now, anticipating further stock price decline and lower dividends amidst diversification efforts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Rio Tinto: Underappreciated Copper Growth

Summary Rio Tinto has a supportive copper growth ahead, excluding M&A. China's economic activity started in 2025 with solid momentum. This will provide solid results on the iron ore EBITDA. A solid balance sheet, supportive shareholders' remuneration, and upside on critical metals make Rio Tinto a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 12

Rio Tinto Has A Nice Blend Of Commodities At A Reasonable Price

Summary Rio Tinto's diversified portfolio, including its recent lithium acquisition, aims to reduce reliance on iron ore amid fluctuating Chinese demand and market dynamics. Despite low valuation metrics, Rio Tinto boasts strong profitability with a 20.25% ROE and a 6.45% dividend yield, appealing to income investors. The $6.7B Arcadium Lithium acquisition positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, leveraging low market prices for future growth. Risks include heavy dependence on iron ore and the Chinese market, which could impact operations if market conditions remain unstable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

Rio Tinto: Financial Weakness To Continue In 2025

Summary Rio Tinto's 2024 performance was weak, with a 1% decline in sales revenue and an 8% drop in underlying EPS due to challenges with its chief commodity, iron ore. The financial outlook for 2025 isn't positive either, with projected declines in revenue and EPS, and continued weakness in iron ore prices and limited expected change to production. Dividends can drop again in 2025, though the forward yield still isn't too bad at 5.5%. Despite high market multiples and unlikely price gains, RIO's consistent dividends still encourage a Hold rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 01

Rio Tinto: China's Economic Stimulus Is Failing To Save Iron And Copper

Summary Iron ore prices have fallen 22% in 2024 due to weaker demand from China, significantly impacting Rio Tinto's profit outlook. China's collapsing property market, driven by a massive bubble, poses a severe risk to Rio Tinto's iron ore sales and global metal prices. Despite efforts to diversify into other metals like lithium, Rio Tinto's profits are highly sensitive to declines in iron ore and copper prices. Due to China's economic crisis, I expect a significant and lasting decline in Rio Tinto's EBITDA, around 30-50%, making RIO a risky investment. China's recent stimulus efforts have likely slowed or delayed the impact of the property market crisis, but I expect commodity price pressures to return in early 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Rio Tinto: Depressed Environment, Still A Buy

Summary The acquisition of Arcadium Lithium, despite a high valuation, positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, enhancing long-term growth and maintaining a stable dividend payout. Q3 2024 production results were aligned with guidance, except for the Iron Ore Company of Canada segment, which saw reduced output due to operational issues. Unchanged guidance and a depressed valuation make Rio Tinto a Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 08

Update On Rio Tinto Before Earnings

Summary RIO shares are undervalued compared to competitors, offering a compelling buy opportunity, especially with potential price declines post earnings on Oct. 15. Despite a 10.8% share price drop in 2024, RIO remains a leading mining company with diverse capabilities and a strong market position. RIO's potential acquisition of a lithium producer at low prices could be highly accretive if lithium prices recover, enhancing its market position. The 6.55% dividend yield is attractive, though dividend safety is a concern. However, higher metal prices should boost earnings and support dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:RIO - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/202866,42214,14913,86822,49217
12/31/202764,10814,11211,42821,17519
12/31/202663,02213,7049,92319,56918
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di RIO ( 6.9% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di RIO ( 6.9% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 16.4% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di RIO cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di RIO ( 2.9% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.4% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di RIO ( 2.9% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di RIO sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 17.9 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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1Y

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/06 08:35
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/06 00:00
Utili2025/12/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Rio Tinto Group è coperta da 52 analisti. 19 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays