New Risk • May 18
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 2.2% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 2.2% per year over the past 5 years. Reported Earnings • Mar 12
Full year 2025 earnings released Full year 2025 results: Revenue: ₺12.1b (up 2.9% from FY 2024). Net loss: ₺802.9m (down 266% from profit in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year. Annuncio • Mar 10
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., Annual General Meeting, Mar 31, 2026 Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., Annual General Meeting, Mar 31, 2026. Location: haciilyas mahallesi, ulubatli hasan bulvari, no:106 osmangazi, bursa Turkey Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Third quarter 2025 earnings released Third quarter 2025 results: Revenue: ₺2.80b (up 21% from 3Q 2024). Net income: ₺205.6m (down 58% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.4% (down from 21% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 10% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year. Upcoming Dividend • Jun 11
Upcoming dividend of ₺0.067 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 18 June 2025. Payment date: 20 June 2025. The company is not currently making a profit and is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Turkish dividend payers (3.5%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.6%). New Risk • May 29
New major risk - Dividend sustainability The dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. The company is paying a dividend despite being loss-making. The company is paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Dividend yield: 0.9% This is considered a major risk. Companies that pay out too much of their earnings and cash flows are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If earnings or cash flows stagnate or fall, then there may not be enough to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to dig into capital reserves or take on debt to maintain the dividend. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 21
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to ₺6.92, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 21.4x. Average trailing P/E is 21x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 246% over the past three years. Annuncio • Mar 11
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S. announces Annual dividend, payable on June 20, 2025 Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S. announced Annual dividend of TRY 0.0667 per share payable on June 20, 2025, ex-date on June 18, 2025 and record date on June 19, 2025. Annuncio • Mar 10
Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2025 Bursa Cimento Fabrikasi A.S., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2025. Location: haciilyas mahallesi, ulubatli hasan bulvari, no:106 osmangazi, bursa Turkey New Risk • Mar 09
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 4.1% Last year net profit margin: 18% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (4.1% net profit margin). Reported Earnings • Mar 09
Full year 2024 earnings released Full year 2024 results: Revenue: ₺11.8b (up 13% from FY 2023). Net income: ₺484.3m (down 74% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 4.1% (down from 18% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 59% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.33 (vs ₺0.30 in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: ₺0.33 (up from ₺0.30 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: ₺2.32b (up 4.4% from 3Q 2023). Net income: ₺491.7m (up 11% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 21% (up from 20% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 29% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Oct 01
Second quarter 2024 earnings released Second quarter 2024 results: Revenue: ₺2.64b (up 54% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: ₺257.7m (down 155% from profit in 2Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 12% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 24% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 23
Upcoming dividend of ₺0.067 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 September 2024. Payment date: 02 October 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 3.7% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Turkish dividend payers (2.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.7%). Reported Earnings • Jun 25
First quarter 2024 earnings released First quarter 2024 results: Revenue: ₺2.51b (up 46% from 1Q 2023). Net income: ₺304.9m (up 7.7% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 12% (down from 16% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. New Risk • Mar 18
New major risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Over 99x increase in shares outstanding. This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks High level of non-cash earnings (25% accrual ratio). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (over 99x increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 77x cash flows per share). Reported Earnings • Mar 11
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₺1.22 (vs ₺0.95 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: ₺1.22 (up from ₺0.95 in FY 2022). Revenue: ₺10.4b (up 72% from FY 2022). Net income: ₺1.83b (up 47% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 18% (down from 21% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 27% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 26% per year. Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20
Upcoming dividend of ₺0.05 per share at 0.7% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2023. Payment date: 29 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 50% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.7%. Lower than top quartile of Turkish dividend payers (2.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.1%). Reported Earnings • Nov 10
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.30 (vs ₺0.24 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: ₺0.30 (up from ₺0.24 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: ₺2.22b (up 49% from 3Q 2022). Net income: ₺444.1m (up 44% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 20% (in line with 3Q 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 12
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to ₺11.15, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11.5x. Average trailing P/E is 17x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 630% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 25
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to ₺9.33, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 9.6x. Average trailing P/E is 17x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 566% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 20
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: ₺1.72b (up 12% from 2Q 2022). Net income: ₺472.4m (up 37% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 28% (up from 23% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 17
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to ₺8.86, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 10x. Average trailing P/E is 12x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 613% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 30
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to ₺5.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.7x. Average trailing P/E is 10x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 543% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • May 10
First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.19 (vs ₺0.14 in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: EPS: ₺0.19 (up from ₺0.14 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: ₺1.72b (up 61% from 1Q 2022). Net income: ₺283.1m (up 37% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 16% (down from 19% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 53% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Mar 01
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.83 (vs ₺1.00 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: ₺0.83. Revenue: ₺6.07b (up 164% from FY 2021). Net income: ₺1.25b (up 180% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 21% (up from 20% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 22
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 46% After last week's 46% share price gain to ₺9.48, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 12.9x. Average trailing P/E is 25x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 1,008% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 08
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 24% After last week's 24% share price gain to ₺5.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 473% over the past three years. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Salim Karasikli was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Nov 11
Third quarter 2022 earnings released Third quarter 2022 results: Revenue: ₺1.49b (up 138% from 3Q 2021). Net income: ₺309.5m (up 376% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 21% (up from 10% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 07
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to ₺3.89, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.8x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 501% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 18
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.23 (vs ₺0.16 in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: ₺0.23 (up from ₺0.16 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: ₺1.53b (up 202% from 2Q 2021). Net income: ₺345.6m (up 324% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 23% (up from 16% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 46% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 04
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to ₺2.91, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.4x. Average trailing P/E is 21x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 382% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • May 12
First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₺0.41 (vs ₺0.12 in 1Q 2021) First quarter 2022 results: EPS: ₺0.41 (up from ₺0.12 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: ₺1.07b (up 163% from 1Q 2021). Net income: ₺207.2m (up 237% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 19% (up from 15% in 1Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Board Change • Apr 27
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Salim Karasikli was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Feb 20
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: EPS: ₺0.90 (up from ₺0.42 in FY 2020). Revenue: ₺2.29b (up 87% from FY 2020). Net income: ₺447.5m (up 493% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 20% (up from 6.2% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 25% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 52% share price decline to ₺1.72, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 3.8x. Average trailing P/E is 17x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 22
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 20% share price decline to ₺3.74, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8.3x. Average trailing P/E is 19x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders of 220% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Nov 10
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₺0.13 (vs ₺0.24 in 3Q 2020) The company reported a solid third quarter result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: ₺627.8m (up 93% from 3Q 2020). Net income: ₺65.0m (up 52% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 10% (down from 13% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 5% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 21
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₺0.16 (vs ₺0.072 in 2Q 2020) The company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: ₺507.4m (up 132% from 2Q 2020). Net income: ₺81.5m (up ₺68.6m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 16% (up from 5.9% in 2Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 10% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • May 13
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₺0.34 (vs ₺0.011 in 1Q 2020) The company reported a strong first quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: ₺407.0m (up 62% from 1Q 2020). Net income: ₺61.5m (up ₺59.5m from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 15% (up from 0.8% in 1Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 9% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Feb 21
Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS ₺0.42 (vs ₺0.095 in FY 2019) The company reported a strong full year result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: ₺1.22b (up 19% from FY 2019). Net income: ₺75.5m (up ₺65.4m from FY 2019). Profit margin: 6.2% (up from 1.0% in FY 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 50% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 6% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 60% share price decline to ₺4.77, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 13.1x, down from the previous P/E ratio of 33.1x. This compares to an average P/E of 33x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 37%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 15
New 90-day low: ₺4.77 The company is down 42% from its price of ₺8.27 on 17 November 2020. The Turkish market is up 16% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 45% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 26
New 90-day high: ₺12.50 The company is up 85% from its price of ₺6.75 on 28 October 2020. The Turkish market is up 23% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 61% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 24
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to ₺10.17, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 28x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 24.3x. This compares to an average P/E of 25x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 213%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 24
New 90-day high: ₺10.17 The company is up 57% from its price of ₺6.46 on 25 September 2020. The Turkish market is up 20% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 38% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 20
Market bids up stock over the past week After last week's 22% share price gain to ₺9.44, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 26x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 21.4x. This compares to an average P/E of 25x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 199%. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 16
Market bids up stock over the past week After last week's 19% share price gain to ₺8.46, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 23.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 19.6x. This compares to an average P/E of 21x in the Basic Materials industry in Turkey. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 168%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 10
New 90-day high: ₺7.71 The company is up 33% from its price of ₺5.78 on 12 August 2020. The Turkish market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 31% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS ₺0.24 The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: ₺324.6m (up 28% from 3Q 2019). Net income: ₺42.7m (up ₺48.5m from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 13% (up from net loss in 3Q 2019). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 48% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 12
New 90-day high: ₺6.91 The company is up 46% from its price of ₺4.74 on 14 July 2020. The Turkish market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Basic Materials industry, which is up 17% over the same period.