Aviva Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 3/6
Si prevede che Aviva aumenterà gli utili a una percentuale pari a 26.6% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà a una percentuale pari a 26% all'anno.
Informazioni chiave
26.6%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
26.00%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Insurance crescita degli utili | 12.6% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | n/a |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 18.32% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 17 Aug 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 24
AV.: Retirement Savings Scale And Mixed Broker Views Will Shape Medium-Term Path
Analysts have inched their blended price target for Aviva higher to about £6.93 per share, a move underpinned by the recent mix of target tweaks from Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Berenberg, alongside relatively stable assumptions for discount rate, growth and future P/E in valuation models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aviva reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets ranging from about £6.80 to £8.00 per share and ratings spanning Buy, Neutral and Equal Weight.Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 05
AV.: Retirement Savings Position And Direct Line Synergies Will Support Medium Term Upside
Narrative Update on Aviva Analysts have nudged the price target on Aviva slightly lower to around £7.15 to £7.65, reflecting a mix of views that balance JPMorgan's recent cut to £7.15, Berenberg's new £8.00 Buy initiation, and Deutsche Bank's modest lift to £7.65 as they weigh Aviva's position in the growing pool of UK retirement savings assets against more cautious sector views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aviva presents a mixed picture, with some analysts leaning positive on growth opportunities in UK retirement savings and others more cautious on execution and valuation.Aggiornamento narrativa • May 13
AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Underpin Balanced Medium Term Execution Risks
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Aviva higher to about £6.86 per share, supported by a slightly increased price target to £7.65 and updated assumptions on discount rate, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aviva shows a mix of optimism on valuation and caution on execution, which helps explain why fair value estimates and price targets sit close to each other around the mid £6 to £7 range.Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 27
AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Support Measured Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have nudged their 12 month price target for Aviva up by £0.05 to £7.65, citing updated assumptions around profit margin and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Analysts making bullish adjustments to their models are using the small uplift in the 12 month price target to reflect what they see as a modestly stronger outlook for Aviva's profitability and valuation multiples.Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 12
AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Support Measured Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Aviva up to £7.65 from £7.60, citing a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple and firmer profit margin expectations, even as revenue growth assumptions are moderated. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to slightly stronger confidence in Aviva's ability to support a higher valuation, reflected in a modest increase in the assumed future P/E multiple and price target to £7.65.Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 09
AV.: Dividend And Buyback Returns Will Support Bullish Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Aviva to £6.70 from £6.90, reflecting updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see valuation support around the £6.70 target, suggesting the stock is closer to what they view as fair value after recent adjustments to revenue and margin assumptions.Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 22
AV.: Neutral Sector Views And Trimmed Outlook Will Shape Medium Term Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Aviva from around £6.90 to about £6.70 per share, reflecting a more cautious stance on European insurers while keeping assumptions such as fair value and discount rates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research has become more cautious on Aviva, with price targets clustered just below £6.75 and ratings sitting around the middle of the scale rather than clearly positive or negative.Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 07
AV.: Medium Term EPS Ambitions And Softer Sector Views Will Shape Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Aviva to a range around £6.70 per share, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rates and future P/E, as well as more cautious sector outlooks from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have converged around price targets close to £6.70 per share, with ratings generally sitting in the middle of the range rather than firmly positive or negative.Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 22
AV.: Medium Term Earnings Targets And Softer Ratings Will Shape Balanced Return Profile
Narrative Update on Aviva Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Aviva to around £6.79 from about £6.84. This reflects recent cuts to Street targets in the £6.70 range as they factor in updated views on growth, margins and fair value.Articolo di analisi • Dec 12
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Aviva plc (LON:AV.)
When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may...Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 10
AV.: Improved Margins Will Offset Slower Revenue And Support Dividend Growth
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Aviva to £6.84 per share, citing stronger profit margins and a positive outlook, even though revenue growth has been slower. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Aviva reflect a balanced view of the company’s prospects, highlighting both improved valuations and areas of potential concern for investors.Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 27
UK Pension Shifts And Changing Ratings Will Influence Market Performance
Narrative Update: Aviva Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have raised their price target for Aviva to £6.87 from £6.23. They cite incremental improvements in revenue growth projections and stable profit margins as key factors supporting the upward revision.Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 13
UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics
Aviva's analyst price target has been raised from £6.72 to £6.82 per share as analysts incorporate improved profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate into their updated forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity has highlighted a divergence of opinion regarding Aviva's prospects, with both upgrades and downgrades influencing sentiment.Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 19
UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics
Aviva's price target has been revised upwards to £6.72, reflecting accelerated earnings growth led by capital-light businesses, improved sector positioning, and higher shareholder return prospects despite some views of the shares as fairly valued at current levels. Analyst Commentary Expectations for accelerated earnings growth, with a significant portion (70%) coming from capital-light business streams, supporting stronger cash generation and improving quality of earnings.Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 04
UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics
Analysts remain positive on Aviva due to its growing capital-light earnings streams and solid operating momentum, though neutral ratings and sector valuation considerations have kept the consensus price target unchanged at £6.64. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations that over 70% of Aviva’s earnings will be from capital-light streams, improving the company’s quality and growth potential.
Nuova narrativa • Mar 02
Acquisition Of Direct Line Will Yield £125 Million In Cost Savings And Unlock Capital Benefits
Strategic focus on capital-light portfolios and acquisitions set to enhance growth, net margins, and shareholder returns with reduced capital requirements.Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2026 | 30,772 | 559 | 4,859 | 5,047 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 29,725 | 663 | 1,053 | 1,242 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 28,677 | 767 | -2,754 | -2,563 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 26,469 | 681 | 833 | 1,023 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 24,261 | 594 | 4,419 | 4,608 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 23,500 | 614 | 6,346 | 6,527 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 22,739 | 633 | 8,272 | 8,445 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 22,696 | 953 | 3,534 | 3,798 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 22,653 | 1,273 | -1,204 | -849 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 22,118 | 1,154 | -2,143 | -1,790 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 21,582 | 1,034 | -3,082 | -2,732 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 19,820 | 273 | 2,751 | 2,994 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,057 | -489 | 8,584 | 8,719 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 17,134 | -787 | 12,184 | 12,301 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 16,211 | -1,085 | 15,784 | 15,883 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 17,397 | -563 | 11,016 | 11,108 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 18,582 | -42 | 6,248 | 6,333 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 17,622 | 104 | 3,180 | 3,277 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 16,662 | 249 | 112 | 220 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 17,682 | 439 | -958 | -857 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 18,702 | 628 | -2,029 | -1,935 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 22,273 | 969 | -2,324 | -2,208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 25,844 | 1,310 | -2,620 | -2,482 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 29,510 | 2,108 | 4,520 | 4,650 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 36,233 | 2,281 | N/A | 5,309 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 42,955 | 2,454 | N/A | 5,968 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 41,470 | 2,399 | N/A | 3,634 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 36,542 | 2,301 | N/A | 1,300 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 29,407 | 1,908 | N/A | 3,351 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 22,271 | 1,515 | N/A | 5,401 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 25,653 | 1,320 | N/A | 6,522 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 29,034 | 1,125 | N/A | 7,643 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 32,088 | 1,270 | N/A | 7,692 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 35,141 | 1,415 | N/A | 7,741 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,527 | 1,269 | N/A | 8,105 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 35,912 | 1,123 | N/A | 8,469 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 38,032 | 871 | N/A | 6,608 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 40,151 | 618 | N/A | 4,747 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 36,610 | 570 | N/A | 3,904 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 33,068 | 521 | N/A | 3,061 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 27,027 | 692 | N/A | 3,908 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 20,985 | 862 | N/A | 4,755 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di AV. ( 26.6% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.6% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di AV. ( 26.6% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato UK ( 11.6% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di AV. cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Dati insufficienti per determinare se si prevede che i ricavi di AV. cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato UK.
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Dati insufficienti per determinare se si prevede che i ricavi di AV. cresceranno più rapidamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di AV. sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 18.3 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/08/17 21:19 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/08/17 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/06/30 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina GitHub; abbiamo anche delle guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e dei tutorial su YouTube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Aviva plc è coperta da 33 analisti. 7 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Ivan Bokhmat | Barclays |
| Larissa Van Deventer | Barclays |
| Carl Lofthagen | Berenberg |