Serco Group Performance degli utili passati
Criteri Il passato verificati 4/6
Gli utili di Serco Group sono diminuiti a un tasso medio annuo di -21.3%, mentre il settore Commercial Services ha visto gli utili crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 13.3%. I ricavi sono cresciuti crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 3.7%. Il ritorno sul capitale proprio di Serco Group è 16.7% e ha margini netti di 3%.
Informazioni chiave
-21.29%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
-17.59%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Commercial Services Crescita del settore | 27.48% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 3.68% |
| Rendimento del capitale proprio | 16.67% |
| Margine netto | 2.99% |
| Prossimo aggiornamento sugli utili | 06 Aug 2026 |
Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti
Recent updates
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 01
SRP: Neutral Initiation And Limited Upside Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to about £1.75 per share from roughly £1.66, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, discount rate, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent Street research, including a neutral initiation. What’s in the News for Serco Group Serco Group maintained earnings guidance for the full year 2026, with revenue guidance unchanged at about £5b.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 17
SRP: Neutral Initiation And Hospital Contract Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £3.06 from £2.89, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple following recent Street research that includes a neutral initiation. What’s in the News for Serco Group Serco Group PLC retained its facilities management contract at Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital.Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 03
SRP: Rising Optimism And Capital Returns Will Likely Constrain Future Share Upside
Serco Group’s analyst price targets have been revised higher, with the consolidated fair value estimate moving from £1.59 to about £1.66. Analysts are factoring in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent target lifts from Citi to £3.69 and Berenberg to £3.50, and a new neutral initiation from BNP Paribas.
Aggiornamento narrativa • May 19
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have nudged their average price outlook for Serco Group higher, into a £3.50 to £3.69 range, reflecting recent target increases and refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets now clustering in the mid £3 range and views ranging from neutral to positive.Aggiornamento narrativa • May 03
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Rerating
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Serco Group from £2.98 to £3.85. Recent target price increases from several banks, along with slightly revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, have all contributed to the updated view.Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 18
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Serco Group to a range that now spans about £350 to £369 per share, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and slightly improved profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to higher price targets for Serco Group clustered between about £3.50 and £3.69 per share, with several firms reiterating positive stances alongside their revised numbers.Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 04
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Still Limit Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Serco Group by £0.45, with recent Street research citing refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers behind the updated valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a cluster of upward price target revisions on Serco Group, with several firms recalibrating their models around updated assumptions for growth, margins and discount rates.Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 20
SRP: Higher Buybacks And Dividend Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted Serco Group's price targets, with recent moves such as Citi's increase to £3.69 from £3.24 and Berenberg's to £3.50 from £3.30, while fine tuning assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group has centred on reassessing fair value, with several firms updating their price targets in light of revised assumptions on growth, profitability and risk.Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Defence Visibility And CFO Transition
Serco Group's implied fair value has increased from £2.73 to £2.89 per share. This change reflects analysts' updated price targets and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several banks.Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 20
SRP: Raised Guidance And Contract Wins Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged up their implied fair value for Serco Group to £1.64 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a series of recent price target increases to as high as £2.45 from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a gap between Serco Group’s trading price, the raised price targets and the updated implied fair value of £1.64 per share.Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Execution And New CFO Transition
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly higher to £2.73 per share, citing recent price target increases to £2.45 and £2.75 that reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on Serco Group, with fair value and price targets clustered in the mid £2 range and modestly above.Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 23
SRP: Execution And Margin Risks Will Limit Upside Despite Higher Guidance
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly lower to £1.64 from £1.66, as recent price target increases to £2.45 by several firms are balanced against updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a more mixed backdrop than headline price targets alone might suggest.Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 08
SRP: Discount Rate Assumptions Will Expose Limited Upside Risk Ahead
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £1.66 from £1.47, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a higher £2.45 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Serco Group points to a more cautious tone, even where headline price targets sit above the current fair value estimate.Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 25
SRP: Defense Contracts And New CFO Will Support Steady Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Serco Group from £2.54 to £2.71, citing a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P E multiple that together more than offset a small reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Serco appointed Mark Reid, currently Group CFO at Belgian telecoms group Proximus, as Chief Financial Officer effective 6 March 2026.Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 11
SRP: Defense Contracts Will Support Steady Outlook With Balanced Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Serco Group by approximately 1 percent in sterling terms, citing a slightly lower implied discount rate, marginally stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P E multiple that more than offset a broadly unchanged profit margin outlook. What's in the News Serco secured a new contract worth around £500 million to continue managing HMP Dovegate in Staffordshire for 12 years, with options for three additional one-year extensions, following a competitive procurement process (Key Developments).Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 27
SRP: US Air Force Contract Will Support Measured Gains Amid Defense Sector Stability
Serco Group's analyst price target remains steady at £2.52. Analysts' outlook remains unchanged, as incremental shifts in underlying profit and revenue forecasts are viewed as broadly neutral to the company's value proposition.Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 06
SRP: Defense Contract Win Will Drive Measured Progress Amid Ongoing Sector Uncertainty
Narrative Update on Serco Group Analysts have raised their price target for Serco Group by £0.05 to £2.15 per share, citing a modest improvement in fair value estimates and a stable outlook on profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have slightly increased their price targets, which suggests renewed confidence in Serco Group's valuation prospects.Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 13
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised Serco Group’s price target to £2.45, reflecting improved contract wins, stronger order book momentum, and enhanced margin guidance, despite ongoing caution around cyclical risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are revising price targets upwards, citing improved contract wins and stronger order book momentum.Aggiornamento narrativa • Aug 27
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Serco Group's consensus price target has been raised to £2.40, reflecting upgrades driven by stronger recent results, robust contract momentum, margin expansion, and improved confidence in revenue growth and international diversification. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have increased price targets due to stronger-than-expected performance in recent results.
Nuova narrativa • Mar 10
International Expansion And Defense Focus Will Boost Future Prospects
Strategic growth initiatives in the defense sector and North America are expected to drive revenue and profit, boosted by key acquisitions.Articolo di analisi • Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Articolo di analisi • May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Serco Group fair value estimate is UK£2.05 Serco Group's...Articolo di analisi • Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Articolo di analisi • Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£1.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Articolo di analisi • Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Articolo di analisi • Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Articolo di analisi • Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Articolo di analisi • Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 21% on the 6th of...Articolo di analisi • Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Come Serco Group guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.
Storico di utili e ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Spese G+A | Spese di R&S |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 4,877 | 146 | 270 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 4,862 | 97 | 270 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 4,847 | 49 | 270 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,817 | 46 | 269 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4,787 | 44 | 268 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 4,774 | 92 | 270 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 4,761 | 139 | 273 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 4,817 | 171 | 274 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 4,874 | 202 | 276 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 4,851 | 207 | 273 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 4,828 | 212 | 271 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 4,681 | 184 | 268 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 4,534 | 155 | 264 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 4,485 | 158 | 260 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 4,436 | 160 | 255 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 4,430 | 232 | 249 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 4,425 | 304 | 243 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 4,327 | 301 | 236 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 4,230 | 299 | 229 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 4,057 | 216 | 224 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,885 | 134 | 220 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 3,740 | 128 | 219 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,595 | 123 | 218 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,422 | 86 | 216 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,248 | 50 | 214 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,097 | 51 | 211 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,946 | 51 | 207 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 2,891 | 59 | 205 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 2,837 | 67 | 202 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 2,823 | 46 | 202 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 2,810 | 26 | 202 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 2,880 | 9 | 210 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 2,951 | -8 | 218 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 2,988 | -33 | 220 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 3,025 | -57 | 221 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 3,018 | -20 | 216 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,011 | 17 | 212 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 3,034 | 5 | 212 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 3,058 | -7 | 212 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 3,117 | -47 | 231 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 3,177 | -86 | 249 | 0 |
Guadagni di qualità: SRP ha guadagni di alta qualità.
Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di SRP (3%) SRP sono più alti rispetto allo scorso anno (0.9%).
Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili
Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato
Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di SRP sono diminuiti del 21.3% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.
Accelerare la crescita: La crescita degli utili di SRP nell'ultimo anno ( 229.4% ) supera la media quinquennale ( -21.3% all'anno).
Guadagni vs Settore: La crescita degli utili SRP nell'ultimo anno ( 229.4% ) ha superato la percentuale del settore Commercial Services 1.8%.
Rendimento del capitale proprio
ROE elevato: Il Return on Equity ( 16.7% ) di SRP è considerato basso.
Rendimento delle attività
Rendimento del capitale investito
Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/07/27 15:26 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/07/27 00:00 |
| Utili | 2025/12/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina GitHub; abbiamo anche delle guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e dei tutorial su YouTube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Serco Group plc è coperta da 25 analisti. 10 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| James Rosenthal | Barclays |
| Paul Daniel Sullivan | Barclays |
| Alex Smith | Berenberg |