Norfolk Southern Corporation

NYSE:NSC Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : US$69.9b

Norfolk Southern Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 1/6

Norfolk Southern devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 7.9% et de 4.8% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 7.8% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 16.1% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

7.9%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

7.76%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Transportation croissance des bénéfices14.1%
Taux de croissance des recettes4.8%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres16.08%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour22 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • May 04

NSC: Rail Partnerships And Merger Synergies Will Support Future Infrastructure Appeal

Norfolk Southern's analyst price target has been revised higher to about $332 from roughly $311. Analysts cite updated assumptions for modestly stronger revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E, supported by a recent wave of target increases across major research firms.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Norfolk Southern: Watch It, But Union Pacific Is The Better Trade In The Deal Now (Earnings Review)

Summary Norfolk Southern (NSC) now trades in tight correlation with Union Pacific (UNP) due to the pending merger, with deal terms implying $326 per NSC share. NSC’s Q1 2026 results showed flat revenue at $3B, a 1% volume decline, and deteriorating operating ratio, with EPS down 1.5% year-over-year. The standalone valuation for NSC is $213 per share, presenting a poor risk/reward profile given current pricing and the narrow arbitrage spread. UNP is the superior investment choice regardless of deal outcome, as NSC’s risk/reward is skewed and optionality is no longer attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 20

NSC: Rail Partnerships And Merger Synergies Will Shape Future Infrastructure Appeal

The analyst price target for Norfolk Southern has been adjusted slightly lower to $311.21 from $312.63, as analysts balance recent target cuts with continued interest in rail infrastructure and potential merger related synergies. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Norfolk Southern reflects a split view, with some firms trimming price targets and others lifting them meaningfully.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 06

NSC: Merger Synergies And Rail Projects Will Shape Future Infrastructure Appeal

The analyst price target for Norfolk Southern has been trimmed by about $1 to reflect a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to revenue growth and margin assumptions, and a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street as analysts reassess merger related opportunities and risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Norfolk Southern presents a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting price targets and views as the Union Pacific merger proposal moves through the regulatory process.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 22

NSC: Merger Synergies And Rail Expansion Will Drive Future Infrastructure Appeal

Analysts have nudged the Norfolk Southern fair value estimate up by about $1 to roughly $314, reflecting slightly higher target multiples and continued focus on long lived rail infrastructure as well as potential merger related synergies highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Norfolk Southern reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts adjust targets and ratings around the proposed Union Pacific transaction and the broader appeal of rail infrastructure.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 08

NSC: Merger Synergies And Rail Corridor Expansion Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have nudged their blended fair value estimate for Norfolk Southern higher to roughly $313 per share, reflecting modestly adjusted assumptions on growth, margins and P/E multiples. They also highlight potential merger related synergies with Union Pacific and the appeal of rail infrastructure as a long lived, hard to replicate asset base.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 20

NSC: Merger Scrutiny And Corridor Expansion Will Guide Fairly Balanced Rail Outlook

Norfolk Southern's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $308, with analysts pointing to slightly adjusted fair value and discount rate assumptions as they reassess sector risks and recent target cuts across the rail group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Norfolk Southern reflects a mixed setup, with some firms trimming price targets or ratings while others are modestly lifting their valuation work as they refresh rail sector assumptions.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 05

NSC: Merger Scrutiny And Corridor Expansion Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Norfolk Southern by about $4 per share, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates even as they factor in marginally higher revenue growth expectations, a modestly softer profit margin outlook, and small adjustments to discount rate and future P/E assumptions following recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Norfolk Southern clusters around two main themes, where price target cuts are balanced against prior target increases and broader views on the proposed Union Pacific tie up and the freight rail backdrop.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 22

NSC: Merger Scrutiny And New Corridor Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Norfolk Southern higher to about US$311 from roughly US$309, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E following recent sector research and price target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the proposed Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern merger has sharpened how analysts think about Norfolk Southern's valuation, regulatory risk, and long term growth profile.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 07

NSC: Merger Review And Labor Deal Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Norfolk Southern higher to approximately US$309 from about US$308, reflecting small updates to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. What's in the News The US Department of Justice has begun investigating Union Pacific's proposed acquisition of Norfolk Southern and is expected to file a formal notice to participate in the Surface Transportation Board review of the deal (CTFN).
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 15

NSC: Shares Will Navigate Merger Scrutiny Amid Resilient Earnings Expectations

Analysts have nudged their price target for Norfolk Southern slightly higher, citing a series of upward target revisions across the Street that emphasize resilient 2025 earnings expectations and relatively stable margins, despite modestly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a cautious backdrop for the broader transports group. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into Norfolk Southern's relative earnings resilience, lifting price targets even as the broader transports group remains out of favor.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 30

NSC: Shares Will Pursue Opportunities Amid Merger Review And Industry Headwinds

Norfolk Southern's analyst price target has been modestly increased from $311.50 to $311.68. This reflects analyst optimism in light of higher sector targets, despite ongoing industry challenges such as weak industrial growth and muted rail volumes.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 16

NSC: Shares Will Navigate Merger Uncertainty And Industry Shifts Ahead

The analyst consensus price target for Norfolk Southern was adjusted slightly lower to $311.50 from $311.63, as analysts factor in modestly increased revenue growth expectations. This is offset by a lower profit margin and discount rate, reflecting resilience despite mixed transports sector outlooks.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 01

NSC: Sector Merger Activity And Industry Pressures Will Influence Performance Ahead

Norfolk Southern’s analyst price target has increased substantially, with recent updates reflecting a rise of over $60 per share. Analysts cite resilient earnings expectations and improving industry sentiment despite broader transportation sector pressures.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 18

PSR 20 Transformation Will Unlock Operational Efficiencies And Cost Savings

Analysts have modestly increased their average price target for Norfolk Southern, raising it from approximately $307 to $313 per share. They cite resilient profit margin projections and relatively unchanged earnings outlooks, despite ongoing sector headwinds and uncertainty following the pending Union Pacific merger.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 03

PSR 20 Transformation Will Unlock Operational Efficiencies And Cost Savings

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Norfolk Southern by approximately $7 to $307. They cite resilience in 2025 earnings forecasts and upward price target revisions, despite sector underperformance and ongoing merger developments.
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 18

PSR 20 Transformation Will Unlock Operational Efficiencies And Cost Savings

Analysts modestly raised Norfolk Southern’s price target to $300.42, driven by the merger premium with Union Pacific and anticipated strategic benefits, but note that regulatory uncertainty and near-term valuation constraints are likely to keep the shares trading sideways until greater clarity emerges. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note near-term financial upside for Norfolk Southern has become limited after the merger announcement with Union Pacific, as share prices are now close to the proposed deal value and the extended regulatory review period constrains further appreciation.
Article d’analyse • Jul 25

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.35

Norfolk Southern Corporation's ( NYSE:NSC ) investors are due to receive a payment of $1.35 per share on 20th of...
Article d’analyse • Jul 11

Should You Investigate Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE:NSC) At US$263?

Norfolk Southern Corporation ( NYSE:NSC ) led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of...
Article d’analyse • Jun 27

Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Norfolk Southern: This Is What CSX Earnings Suggest

Summary Norfolk Southern Corporation's Q1 earnings might outperform CSX Corporation due to fewer operational disruptions and lower costs from infrastructure projects and rerouting expenses. CSX was impacted by infrastructure rebuild projects which could drive more traffic on Norfolk Southern's network. Intermodal volumes increased by 2% for CSX, partly due to tariff-related pull-forwards, indicating potential revenue growth for NSC. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 27

Norfolk Southern: An Undervalued Dividend Stock To Buy Now

Summary Since my previous article, shares of Norfolk Southern have delivered 19% total returns. Volume growth and productivity gains should return the railroad operator to solid growth in 2025 and beyond. Norfolk Southern's debt-to-capitalization ratio meaningfully improved in 2024. The railroad operator appears to be trading at a 7% discount to fair value. Norfolk Southern could be poised for 40%-plus cumulative total returns through 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Norfolk Southern: From Setback To Comeback

Summary Norfolk Southern has shown strong recovery post-derailment, with improved margins and profits, driven by cost savings and increased intermodal traffic. Q4 earnings highlighted a 7% improvement in operating expenses and an 11% increase in operating income, despite a 2% revenue decrease. The company is resuming share repurchases and maintaining a steady dividend, signaling confidence in future growth and balance sheet strength. Trading at a forward PE below 20, Norfolk Southern offers a compelling investment opportunity with expected EPS growth and a dividend yield above 2%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 31

Norfolk Southern: It's Way More Expensive Than The S&P 500

Summary I sold Norfolk Southern at a 38% profit; shares have since dropped 5.2%, validating my decision. Despite recent earnings looking good, Norfolk Southern's valuation remains high, and the company is less profitable and more indebted than in 2019. The market's growth expectations for Norfolk Southern are excessive, especially given its lower profitability and deteriorating balance sheet. With the 10 Year Treasury yielding more than Norfolk Southern's dividend, the risk-adjusted returns do not justify investing in this stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 18

Norfolk Southern: Moving Efficiently Into 2025

Summary Norfolk Southern is currently undervalued, presenting a buying opportunity for investors. NSC's improving balance sheet, infrastructure investments, and expanding intermodal train capacity position it well for future growth. Despite short-term challenges, NSC's positive Q3 2024 results and expected FY 2025 performance indicate strong future demand and revenue growth. Management's cost reduction initiatives and share buyback plans further enhance NSC's attractiveness. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

Norfolk Southern: Q3, Superb Profitability And Productivity Improvements

Summary Norfolk Southern's Q3 showed significant operational efficiency improvements at the railroad. Productivity gains, including increased car velocities and reduced fuel expenses, have enhanced profitability and improved the operating ratio. NSC's improved safety measures and reduced accident rates are crucial, especially after the 2023 derailments, bolstering long-term stability. With the major costs of the East Palestine derailment behind, Norfolk Southern can focus on share repurchases and capital improvements, enhancing shareholder value. Buy rating maintained. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 17

Selling Norfolk Southern Corporation

Summary I’m selling my Norfolk Southern shares due to excessive valuation and lower profitability compared to pre-pandemic levels. The company faces significant contractual obligations, with potential risks from elevated interest rates impacting debt refinancing. Financial performance has deteriorated, with revenue and net income down, and long-term debt significantly increased. Current market valuation is high, with Norfolk Southern trading at a premium, indicating overly optimistic growth expectations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

Norfolk Southern's Undeniable Potential: A Turnaround You Don't Want To Miss

Summary I initially considered selling Norfolk Southern Corporation to reduce my portfolio but decided to hold due to its wide moat, promising turnaround potential, and dividend growth. Despite recent struggles, including intermodal weakness and derailments, Norfolk Southern is improving operations, cutting costs, and positioning itself for future growth. In the long term, I expect economic reshoring and efficiency gains to drive strong returns. Norfolk Southern's dividend growth and recovery make it a valuable part of my portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 21

Norfolk Southern Q2: This Freight Train Is On Track For Long-Term Returns

Summary Norfolk Southern's Q2 was mostly positive in my opinion, with the firm expanding operating income thanks to efficiency improvements at the railroad. The firm's ability to deliver real cost-savings and efficiency improvements in Q2 increases the credibility of their long-term target of an operating ratio below 60%. My base-case valuation suggests shares are fairly valued at present time, which, combined with margin expansion, suggests a long-term opportunity may be present in shares. Some uncertainty still exists regarding macroeconomic conditions, with a recessionary environment potentially placing real strain on Norfolk Southern's revenues. Buy rating issued (upgrade). Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 13

Norfolk Southern: Sit Back, Watch Buybacks Boost Shares

Summary Norfolk Southern is a freight railroad company operating in the eastern USA, shipping merchandise, intermodal units, and coal. The company faced a significant financial impact in 2023 due to a train derailment incident in Eastern Ohio, resulting in decreased net income. Norfolk Southern has a strong economic moat due to factors such as limited competition, barriers to land acquisition, and monopolist status, leading to high margins and returns on equity. By price to earnings and operating cash flow to market cap metrics, NSC is currently trading at a relatively high valuation historically speaking. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

NYSE:NSC - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/202813,8093,3572,6295,04310
12/31/202713,2523,0302,6374,64018
12/31/202612,6892,6632,2193,87319
3/31/202612,1852,6671,6183,755N/A
12/31/202512,1802,8702,1574,361N/A
9/30/202512,2302,9592,0994,249N/A
6/30/202512,1783,3472,0244,204N/A
3/31/202512,1123,3161,8894,163N/A
12/31/202412,1232,619284,052N/A
9/30/202412,1722,413-4283,774N/A
6/30/202412,0921,791-9613,208N/A
3/31/202412,0281,411-1,2752,845N/A
12/31/202312,1561,8248303,179N/A
9/30/202312,3202,0871,1423,304N/A
6/30/202312,6922,5681,9984,057N/A
3/31/202312,9623,0302,4144,401N/A
12/31/202212,7453,2682,2744,222N/A
9/30/202212,3603,2392,6394,366N/A
6/30/202211,8693,0332,4894,169N/A
3/31/202211,4183,0342,6404,234N/A
12/31/202111,1423,0032,7854,255N/A
9/30/202110,8632,9142,7174,183N/A
6/30/202110,5172,7292,5903,976N/A
3/31/20219,8032,3022,3043,697N/A
12/31/20209,7892,0102,1433,637N/A
9/30/20209,9062,0042,0843,662N/A
6/30/202010,2412,0931,9233,698N/A
3/31/202011,0812,4212,0483,966N/A
12/31/201911,2962,717N/A3,892N/A
9/30/201911,5022,752N/A3,839N/A
6/30/201911,6082,796N/A3,852N/A
3/31/201911,5812,785N/A3,791N/A
12/31/201811,4582,660N/A3,726N/A
9/30/201811,2315,927N/A3,672N/A
6/30/201810,9545,732N/A3,503N/A
3/31/201810,6935,519N/A3,223N/A
12/31/201710,5515,400N/A3,253N/A
9/30/201710,3721,849N/A3,187N/A
6/30/201710,2261,801N/A3,178N/A
3/31/201710,0431,709N/A3,001N/A
12/31/20169,8881,663N/A3,034N/A
9/30/20169,9161,607N/A3,012N/A
6/30/201610,1051,600N/A2,839N/A
3/31/201610,3641,628N/A3,156N/A
12/31/201510,5111,550N/A2,908N/A
9/30/201510,8631,700N/A2,714N/A
6/30/201511,1731,808N/A2,916N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de NSC ( 7.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de NSC ( 7.9% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de NSC devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de NSC ( 4.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de NSC ( 4.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de NSC devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 16.1 %).

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/22 16:58
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/22 00:00
Les revenus2026/03/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Norfolk Southern Corporation est couverte par 40 analystes. 19 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Daniel MooreBaird
Brandon OglenskiBarclays