nCino Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
nCino devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 58.4% et de 8.1% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 58.8% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 15.5% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
58.4%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
58.77%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Software croissance des bénéfices | 19.8% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 8.1% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 15.47% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 18 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 03
NCNO: AI Adoption And Banking Wins Will Support Future Repricing
The average analyst price target on nCino edges slightly lower to about $23.86 from $24.00, as analysts recalibrate expectations in response to a series of target cuts across the vertical software group that are only partly offset by a few upward revisions and an upgrade. Analyst Commentary Street research on nCino has turned more mixed, with a cluster of target cuts across the vertical software group and a smaller set of price target increases and an upgrade supporting the stock.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 19
NCNO: AI Agent Adoption And Moat Resilience Will Support Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on nCino by single to mid teens dollar amounts, with reductions of up to $15 partially offset by smaller $1 to $2 increases, as they reassess sector risks and the impact of AI on competitive moats in vertical software. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on nCino points to a mixed setup, with several price target cuts offset by a smaller group of modest upward adjustments.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 03
NCNO: AI Moat Resilience And Lending Workflow Adoption Will Support Repricing
The updated analyst price target for nCino has been revised to $24.00 from $33.14 as analysts reset valuation assumptions following a series of mixed target cuts and a few modest raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Analysts are split on nCino, with several firms trimming price targets by wide margins while a smaller group is lifting targets or upgrading the stock.Seeking Alpha • Apr 01
nCino: The Picture Is Getting Better, But It's Not Cheap Enough For An Upgrade
Summary nCino delivered a strong Q4 FY2026, beating revenue and earnings expectations, and shares surged 19.4% after hours. Despite operational improvements and positive guidance for FY2027, NCNO remains a 'soft sell' due to elevated valuation, particularly on an EV/EBITDA basis. Growth is driven by expanding subscription revenue, international gains, and deepening customer relationships, with AI integration enhancing platform value and upsell potential. Management guides for FY2027 revenue of $639–$643 million and adjusted operating income of $165–$170 million, reflecting continued momentum but not enough for a rating upgrade. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Mar 20
NCNO: AI Moat Resilience And Mortgage Workflow Automation Will Support Repricing
Analysts trimmed nCino's price target to $16 from $30, citing broad concern that the rapid spread of AI could pressure competitive moats across vertical software names and weigh on valuation support. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on how rapid AI adoption could affect nCino's long term positioning and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 05
NCNO: AI Moat Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have cut their price target on nCino to $16 from $30, citing broad pressure across vertical software names as rapid AI adoption raises fresh questions about competitive moats and long term defensibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Some bullish analysts see the lower US$16 price target as a reset that better aligns expectations with current sector sentiment, which can reduce pressure on nCino to deliver near term outperformance.
Nouveau récit • Mar 05
Slow AI Adoption And Tough Renewals Will Eventually Reward Patient Belief In Modernization
Catalysts About nCino nCino provides a unified cloud platform that financial institutions use to manage lending, onboarding, account opening and portfolio management. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour du récit • Feb 19
NCNO: AI Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Multiple Expansion
Analysts have reduced their price target on nCino to $16 from $30. This reflects sector-wide pressure on vertical software valuations as rapid AI adoption raises new questions about competitive moats and long-term defensibility.
Nouveau récit • Feb 18
AI Banking Adoption And International Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About nCino nCino provides a unified, cloud based operating platform that helps financial institutions run lending, onboarding, account opening and portfolio management. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Article d’analyse • Feb 16
Some Confidence Is Lacking In nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) As Shares Slide 33%
The nCino, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCNO ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 33...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 22
NCNO: Q3 Beat And Raise Setup May Drive Future Multiple Expansion
Narrative Update The analyst price target for nCino has been trimmed by about US$0.64 to reflect slightly lower fair value. Analysts still highlight what they see as an achievable near term setup, a potential Q3 beat and raise, and progress toward FY25 ACV and Rule of 40 goals that could support the current P/E multiple.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 08
NCNO: Potential Q3 Beat And Raise Could Drive Multiple Expansion
Analysts recently trimmed their nCino fair value estimate by about $0.75 to roughly $34.79, tying the adjustment to updated views on achievable near term performance targets, potential Q3 "beat and raise" outcomes, and expectations that progress toward FY25 ACV and Rule of 40 goals could still support P/E multiple expansion over time. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the current setup as achievable in the near term, which they argue reduces execution risk around upcoming quarters.Article d’analyse • Dec 01
Is nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Trading At A 25% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, nCino fair value estimate is US$32.92 nCino's US$24.70 share...Mise à jour du récit • Aug 28
AI-Driven Banking And Cloud Platforms Will Expand Global Reach
nCino’s price target has been raised to $35.18 as stronger-than-expected Q2 results, accelerating subscription growth, strategic expansion initiatives, and increasing confidence in margin improvement outweigh valuation concerns and near-term reacceleration risks. Analyst Commentary Positive Q2 results with subscription revenue and profit exceeding expectations, notably driven by better-than-expected mortgage volumes and strong execution, supporting upward estimate revisions.Article d’analyse • Jul 29
nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Nouveau récit • May 17
AI Banking And nSight Launch Will Broaden Digital Banking Services
Strategic pivot to AI banking and product enhancements are expected to drive revenue growth and improve customer retention and efficiency.Article d’analyse • May 06
Estimating The Fair Value Of nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO)
Key Insights The projected fair value for nCino is US$27.26 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity nCino's US$22.25...Article d’analyse • Apr 04
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Shares Dive 28%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, nCino, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCNO ) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last...Article d’analyse • Mar 26
Is nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Seeking Alpha • Jan 15
nCino, Inc.: Rising Rates Heavily Impact Growth Outlook (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I am downgrading nCino, Inc. to a hold rating due to macroeconomic pressures and heightened competition impacting growth prospects. The higher-for-longer interest rate environment is negatively affecting the US housing market, leading to reduced mortgage demand and higher churn for NCNO. Given these challenges, I see limited upside for NCNO in the near term and recommend staying away from the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Jan 12
Is nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Trading At A 23% Discount?
Key Insights nCino's estimated fair value is US$42.20 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 764 | 112 | 222 | 227 | 5 |
| 1/31/2028 | 699 | 62 | 164 | 174 | 15 |
| 1/31/2027 | 642 | 32 | 135 | 142 | 15 |
| 1/31/2026 | 595 | 5 | 83 | 90 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 586 | -22 | 60 | 67 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 573 | -34 | 60 | 68 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 557 | -29 | 52 | 55 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 541 | -38 | 53 | 55 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 523 | -18 | 71 | 73 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 506 | -29 | 71 | 73 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 491 | -34 | 78 | 80 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 477 | -42 | 53 | 57 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 462 | -65 | 19 | 27 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 445 | -72 | 5 | 17 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 428 | -83 | -1 | 15 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 408 | -103 | -34 | -15 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 374 | -89 | -31 | -14 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 339 | -79 | -43 | -29 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 306 | -65 | -35 | -26 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 274 | -49 | -25 | -19 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 255 | -54 | -14 | -10 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 240 | -50 | -4 | -2 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 222 | -51 | 5 | 8 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 204 | -41 | 5 | 9 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 186 | -38 | 4 | 10 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 170 | -35 | 6 | 12 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 153 | -29 | -12 | -5 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 138 | -28 | -15 | -9 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 92 | -22 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 58 | -19 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de NCNO ( 58.4% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de NCNO ( 58.4% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de NCNO devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de NCNO ( 8.1% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de NCNO ( 8.1% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de NCNO devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 15.5 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/24 18:40 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/01/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2026/01/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
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| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
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* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
nCino, Inc. est couverte par 22 analystes. 15 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Joseph Vruwink | Baird |
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Koji Ikeda | BofA Global Research |