Rio Tinto Group

NYSE:RIO Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : US$180.1b

Rio Tinto Group Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 1/6

Rio Tinto Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 6.9% et de 2.9% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 4.7% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 18.2% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

6.9%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

4.72%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Metals and Mining croissance des bénéfices13.8%
Taux de croissance des recettes2.9%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres18.23%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour22 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 02

Rio Tinto: Strong Operations, But Priced For Perfection Amid Rising Execution Risk

Summary Production was broadly in line with or ahead of expectations, yet achieving full-year guidance requires sustained elevated run rates at Pilbara, concentrating execution risk in the remaining quarters. Rising diesel, FX, and input costs are pushing margins toward the high end of guidance, while sell-side estimates are starting to move lower on weaker volumes and higher operating expenses. Despite supportive commodity prices, the stock appears priced to perfection, even accounting for a higher EV/EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 27

Rio Tinto Vs. Vale: Inventory Doesn't Lie

Summary Since my last analysis, new tariffs announced by President Trump have added additional – and large – uncertainties to mining stocks. I expect high tariffs to disrupt global trade flows, decrease demand for basic metals, and increase operational costs for both RIO and VALE. As a reflection of these macroscopic pressures, the latest data show that both companies are experiencing elevated inventory. The inventory build up is even more concerning in the case of VALE. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Rio Tinto: Debt Before Dividend

Summary Rio Tinto is diversifying from iron ore to copper and lithium to mitigate risks and capitalize on electrification, but this requires significant capital and increased debt. Iron ore's diminishing returns and reliance on China pose risks, leading to expected dividend reductions to service debt and fund diversification. I will hold Rio Tinto stock long-term, but won't reinvest dividends now, anticipating further stock price decline and lower dividends amidst diversification efforts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Rio Tinto: Underappreciated Copper Growth

Summary Rio Tinto has a supportive copper growth ahead, excluding M&A. China's economic activity started in 2025 with solid momentum. This will provide solid results on the iron ore EBITDA. A solid balance sheet, supportive shareholders' remuneration, and upside on critical metals make Rio Tinto a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 12

Rio Tinto Has A Nice Blend Of Commodities At A Reasonable Price

Summary Rio Tinto's diversified portfolio, including its recent lithium acquisition, aims to reduce reliance on iron ore amid fluctuating Chinese demand and market dynamics. Despite low valuation metrics, Rio Tinto boasts strong profitability with a 20.25% ROE and a 6.45% dividend yield, appealing to income investors. The $6.7B Arcadium Lithium acquisition positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, leveraging low market prices for future growth. Risks include heavy dependence on iron ore and the Chinese market, which could impact operations if market conditions remain unstable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

Rio Tinto: Financial Weakness To Continue In 2025

Summary Rio Tinto's 2024 performance was weak, with a 1% decline in sales revenue and an 8% drop in underlying EPS due to challenges with its chief commodity, iron ore. The financial outlook for 2025 isn't positive either, with projected declines in revenue and EPS, and continued weakness in iron ore prices and limited expected change to production. Dividends can drop again in 2025, though the forward yield still isn't too bad at 5.5%. Despite high market multiples and unlikely price gains, RIO's consistent dividends still encourage a Hold rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 01

Rio Tinto: China's Economic Stimulus Is Failing To Save Iron And Copper

Summary Iron ore prices have fallen 22% in 2024 due to weaker demand from China, significantly impacting Rio Tinto's profit outlook. China's collapsing property market, driven by a massive bubble, poses a severe risk to Rio Tinto's iron ore sales and global metal prices. Despite efforts to diversify into other metals like lithium, Rio Tinto's profits are highly sensitive to declines in iron ore and copper prices. Due to China's economic crisis, I expect a significant and lasting decline in Rio Tinto's EBITDA, around 30-50%, making RIO a risky investment. China's recent stimulus efforts have likely slowed or delayed the impact of the property market crisis, but I expect commodity price pressures to return in early 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Rio Tinto: Depressed Environment, Still A Buy

Summary The acquisition of Arcadium Lithium, despite a high valuation, positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, enhancing long-term growth and maintaining a stable dividend payout. Q3 2024 production results were aligned with guidance, except for the Iron Ore Company of Canada segment, which saw reduced output due to operational issues. Unchanged guidance and a depressed valuation make Rio Tinto a Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 08

Update On Rio Tinto Before Earnings

Summary RIO shares are undervalued compared to competitors, offering a compelling buy opportunity, especially with potential price declines post earnings on Oct. 15. Despite a 10.8% share price drop in 2024, RIO remains a leading mining company with diverse capabilities and a strong market position. RIO's potential acquisition of a lithium producer at low prices could be highly accretive if lithium prices recover, enhancing its market position. The 6.55% dividend yield is attractive, though dividend safety is a concern. However, higher metal prices should boost earnings and support dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

NYSE:RIO - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/202866,48114,22213,82322,54517
12/31/202764,66814,16211,41621,23118
12/31/202663,21413,8719,95919,58218
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de RIO ( 6.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de RIO ( 6.9% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de RIO devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de RIO ( 2.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de RIO ( 2.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de RIO devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 18.2 %).

Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/25 09:05
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/22 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Rio Tinto Group est couverte par 52 analystes. 18 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays