Carrier Global Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Carrier Global devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 19.2% et de 5% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 20.1% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 20.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
19.2%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
20.14%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Building croissance des bénéfices | 20.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 5.0% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 20.57% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 21 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 14
CARR: Data Center Cooling For AI Workloads Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have raised their $ fair value estimate for Carrier Global to $75.51 from $71.03, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. These updates are broadly consistent with recent price target increases from Baird, Citi, and Barclays, alongside fresh coverage from Evercore ISI and BNP Paribas.Article d’analyse • May 08
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Carrier Global's (NYSE:CARR) Soft Earnings
Carrier Global Corporation's ( NYSE:CARR ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We...Seeking Alpha • May 06
Carrier Global: Momentum Has Improved, But Macroeconomics And Valuation Carry Downside Risks
Summary Carrier Global faces slowing growth and margin contraction due to cost pressures and weak housing demand. CARR's Q1 2026 net sales rose 2.4% YoY, but operating margin dropped sharply to 4.8% from 12.0%. Valuation appears stretched, with P/S at 2.54x above the 2.28x average and technicals signaling overbought conditions. I maintain a 'Hold' rating, citing macro risks, full valuation, and potential for profit-taking despite resilient sales and a strong balance sheet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Apr 27
CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Drive Future Repricing
Carrier Global's analyst price target has been trimmed by a few dollars to reflect slightly higher discount rate assumptions and more conservative revenue growth expectations, even as analysts factor in modestly better profit margins and a similar forward P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets both raised and trimmed as analysts update their models for execution risk, growth assumptions, and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 12
CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $71 and a modestly higher discount rate, while still factoring in firmer profit margins and updated P/E expectations following recent mixed target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Carrier Global has centered on shifting price targets, with some firms trimming estimates around the mid $70s while others have raised their targets in recent weeks.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 28
CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Carrier Global slightly higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving by about $0.05 per share as they factor in modestly adjusted growth, margin and P/E assumptions following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global highlights a mix of optimism around long term execution and pockets of caution around valuation and near term assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 10
CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Support Future Upside
Carrier Global's analyst price target has inched higher to about $71.80 from roughly $71.66 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate and steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Carrier Global show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and fine tuning expectations around execution and growth.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 24
CARR: Heat Pump And AI Efficiency Advances Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged our Carrier Global price target lower by about $0.53 to $71.66, as slightly higher revenue growth and a richer forward P/E are now being weighed against reduced profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global reflects a mix of optimism around growth execution and caution around valuation and earnings power.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09
CARR: Heat Pump Progress And AI Energy Tools Will Support Future Upside
Our updated view on Carrier Global lifts the fair value estimate by about US$1 to roughly US$72, as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a richer future P/E multiple, partially offset by more conservative margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting their price targets within a relatively tight range.Article d’analyse • Feb 08
Carrier Global Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
It's been a good week for Carrier Global Corporation ( NYSE:CARR ) shareholders, because the company has just released...
Nouveau récit • Jan 26
Data Center Cooling Momentum Will Offset Residential Weakness And Keep Long Term Prospects Intact
Catalysts About Carrier Global Carrier Global provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration and building solutions across residential, commercial, transportation and data center markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
CARR: Commercial Heat Pump Progress And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Carrier Global's analyst price targets have seen mixed revisions recently, with our fair value estimate shifting modestly by about $0.05 as analysts updated their assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while still reflecting a range of views from recent JPMorgan, Citi and Morgan Stanley reports. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global highlights a split in how analysts are thinking about upside versus execution risk, with one major bank lifting its target while others trimmed theirs as they refreshed models ahead of upcoming results.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 09
CARR: Commercial HVAC Progress And Larger Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update Overview Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global by about $1 to roughly $71, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates and modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions after recent research updates, including a reduced $55 target from Morgan Stanley. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global centers on updated earnings assumptions ahead of the next quarterly report, which has fed into a lower fair value range and a trimmed price target near US$55 from US$60.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
CARR: Commercial HVAC Momentum Will Support Recovery As Expanded Buybacks Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global slightly by about $0.55 per share, citing a marginally higher discount rate and only modest upward revisions to long term revenue growth that together temper their view of the stock's future valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research commentary on related industrial and cyclical names offers a useful framework for interpreting sentiment around Carrier Global, particularly on how investors are weighing cyclical demand, pricing power, and valuation against execution risk.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 28
CARR: Commercial HVAC Momentum Will Support Recovery As Channel Inventories Reach Lows
Carrier Global’s analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, decreasing from $72.94 to $72.69. Analysts cite tempered near-term expectations for U.S. HVAC sales, while highlighting ongoing strength in commercial and aftermarket segments that support long-term prospects.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 08
CARR: Commercial HVAC Strength Will Drive Improved Operating Leverage In Coming Periods
Carrier Global's analyst price target has been revised down from $74.29 to $72.94, as analysts cite ongoing headwinds in U.S. RHVAC sales and a slightly weaker profit margin outlook, both impacting near-term earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent price target adjustments for Carrier Global reflect a mixed outlook among Wall Street analysts, balancing the company’s resilient segments against noticeable ongoing headwinds.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 25
Thermal Management And Digital Upgrades Will Drive New Energy Demand Trends
Carrier Global's analyst price target has been reduced from $76.18 to $74.29. Analysts cite softer U.S. residential HVAC demand and lowered earnings outlooks based on recent industry trends and updates from the company.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 11
Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy
Carrier Global's analyst price target has been reduced from $77.18 to $76.18. Analysts cite a softer residential HVAC outlook and ongoing margin pressures as key factors behind the revision.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 27
Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy
Carrier Global’s consensus price target has been revised downward from $81.13 to $77.18 as analysts note weaker near-term residential HVAC demand and inflation headwinds, despite strength in commercial segments and long-term growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Lowered 2025 U.S. residential HVAC outlook and weaker residential volumes are weighing on near-term sales and EPS estimates.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 12
Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy
Carrier Global’s price target was revised down to $81.13 as analysts factor in a softer U.S. residential HVAC outlook and near-term sales headwinds, despite continued strength in commercial and aftermarket segments. Analyst Commentary Lowered U.S. residential HVAC outlook and weaker residential volumes are pressuring near-term sales and earnings forecasts, leading to price target reductions.Article d’analyse • Jun 27
Does Carrier Global (NYSE:CARR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Article d’analyse • Jun 13
Carrier Global (NYSE:CARR) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Article d’analyse • May 29
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE:CARR)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Carrier Global fair value estimate is US$74.56 Current share...Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Carrier Global: A Climate Giant Entering A New Phase Of Transformation
Summary Carrier Global has transformed into a focused HVAC leader, bolstered by acquiring Viessmann, enhancing its heat pump segment and European market presence. The company’s strategic shift towards climate solutions and sustainable growth has improved margins and positioned it well for megatrends like decarbonization and energy efficiency. Carrier's financial health is strong, with increased profitability, significant free cash flow, and substantial shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Despite competitive pressures and potential macroeconomic risks, Carrier's diversified strategy and strong market position support a "Buy" rating with a target price of $64.51. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 12
Carrier Global: Still Cheap With A Temperate Outlook
Summary Carrier Global completed its strategic transformation and is now a focused HVAC and transport refrigeration company with 5% sales growth and expanding margins. Carrier has a lower valuation than peers despite higher growth estimates, making it a Buy. Key growth drivers include product development, aftermarket services, and systems integration, with significant contributions from North American Residential HVAC and data center cooling. Carrier's balance sheet is solid after using disposal proceeds to help buy back stock and pay off debt issued in the Viessmann deal. This sets up for healthy dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Carrier: Fairly Valued After Transition Nears Completion
Summary Carrier has transformed into a near pure play HVAC business, driven by strategic acquisitions and divestments, notably the Viessmann Climate Solutions acquisition. Despite substantial earnings expectations and reasonable leverage, shares are fairly valued, trading at 23-25 times 2025 earnings, making near to medium-term appeal limited. The company’s revised 2024 earnings guidance of $2.50 per share was underwhelming, but potential for organic growth and cost reductions could boost 2025 earnings. With shares up 15% since May and trading at $70, I am cautious and considering selling a modest long position on further price increases. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 24,715 | 2,585 | 3,018 | 3,645 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 23,344 | 2,099 | 2,518 | 3,135 | 23 |
| 12/31/2026 | 22,235 | 1,738 | 2,097 | 2,590 | 24 |
| 3/31/2026 | 21,870 | 1,282 | 1,686 | 2,109 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 21,747 | 1,455 | 2,121 | 2,513 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 22,058 | 1,379 | 1,127 | 1,605 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 22,463 | 1,536 | 542 | 995 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 22,284 | 1,343 | 526 | 1,006 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 22,486 | 1,108 | 44 | 563 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 21,654 | 1,573 | 969 | 1,493 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 20,605 | 1,279 | 2,298 | 2,803 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 19,098 | 1,191 | 2,056 | 2,527 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 18,951 | 1,387 | 2,168 | 2,607 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 19,740 | 1,240 | 2,311 | 2,668 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 20,256 | 2,282 | 2,042 | 2,417 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 21,040 | 2,528 | 1,698 | 2,065 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 17,288 | 3,157 | 1,426 | 1,743 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 20,449 | 3,588 | 1,182 | 1,533 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 20,339 | 2,745 | 988 | 1,322 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 20,568 | 2,659 | 1,504 | 1,851 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 20,613 | 1,664 | 1,893 | 2,237 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20,074 | 2,224 | 1,156 | 1,523 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 19,735 | 2,496 | 1,531 | 1,881 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 18,267 | 2,270 | 1,512 | 1,829 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 17,456 | 1,982 | 1,380 | 1,692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 17,363 | 1,538 | 2,312 | 2,567 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 17,183 | 1,289 | 2,000 | 2,248 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 18,173 | 1,812 | 2,043 | 2,293 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 18,608 | 2,116 | N/A | 2,063 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 18,914 | 2,734 | N/A | 2,055 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 17,814 | 1,227 | N/A | 2,098 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de CARR ( 19.2% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de CARR ( 19.2% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de CARR devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de CARR ( 5% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de CARR ( 5% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de CARR devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 20.6 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/22 12:08 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Carrier Global Corporation est couverte par 30 analystes. 24 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Timothy Wojs | Baird |
| Julian Mitchell | Barclays |