Prada Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
Prada devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 5.2% et de 6.3% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 5.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 17.1% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
5.2%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
5.24%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Luxury croissance des bénéfices | 9.4% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 6.3% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 17.09% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 20 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 05
1913: Brand Elevation And Execution On Cash Generation Will Support 2026 Luxury Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ price targets on Prada, citing a lower fair value estimate and a more conservative future P/E multiple. A series of recent downgrades has reinforced a cautious stance on the stock.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21
1913: 2026 Recovery Hopes Will Confront Cautious Stance On Execution Risks
Analysts have reduced their HK$ fair value estimate for Prada from about HK$40.81 to around HK$37.66, reflecting recent price target cuts and downgrades to more cautious stances. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more cautious tone around Prada, with bearish analysts trimming fair value estimates and shifting to more neutral positions.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 06
1913: 2026 Dividend Catalyst Will Reward Patience After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Prada to about HK$54 from roughly HK$59, citing slightly more conservative growth assumptions, a higher discount rate and lower future P/E expectations, along with recent rating downgrades from firms such as Kepler Cheuvreux and Macquarie, partly offset by a more constructive view from Barclays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Prada shows a clear split between more constructive voices looking at potential upside and more cautious views focused on execution risk and valuation reset.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 23
1913: Brand Elevation And Direct Channels Will Underpin 2026 Luxury Recovery Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their Prada price target to about HK$75 from roughly HK$83, reflecting slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. At the same time, they factor in a higher future P/E and note mixed recent views that range from a Neutral stance with a HK$46 target to an Overweight call at HK$68.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 08
1913: Recovery In 2026 Will Reward Patience After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for Prada shares to about HK$59 from roughly HK$61. This reflects a more cautious stance after a recent downgrade to Neutral at HK$46, alongside a still constructive HK$68 Overweight target, and updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, modestly stronger revenue growth, and a slightly lower profit margin and future P/E.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 22
1913: Recovery Expectations For 2026 Will Renew Interest After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ price target on Prada by a small amount, reflecting slightly adjusted fair value and growth assumptions after what they expect to be a challenging 2025, followed by a potential recovery for the wider luxury sector in 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the HK$68 price target as reflecting confidence that the brand can sustain its premium positioning once conditions for luxury spending improve after the period they expect to be challenging in 2025.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 08
1913: 2026 Sector Recovery Expectations Meet Measured View On Execution Risks
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Prada higher to HK$40.81 from HK$40.27, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with renewed optimism that the luxury sector could see a recovery after 2025. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Prada points to a split view.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 24
1913: Recovery Setup In 2026 Balances Margin Concerns And Reduced Market Multiple
Prada’s updated analyst price target moves from about $45.04 to $40.27, as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E, while still describing a potential recovery setup for luxury in 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames Prada as part of a potential recovery setup for luxury in 2026.Article d’analyse • Jan 23
Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Prada is HK$59.16 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Prada is...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 10
1913: Higher Growth Forecasts Will Support Renewed Interest Despite Margin Pressure
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Prada to €61.26 from €61.94, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modest adjustment to profit margin expectations, and a revised future P/E input. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate reduced slightly to €61.26 from €61.94.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 27
1913: Brand Elevation And Direct Channels Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Prada to HK$53 from HK$50, reflecting slightly higher long term growth and valuation assumptions, even as they flag a multi year "hangover" period for the broader luxury sector and an increasingly crowded field of creative directors. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge a more challenging backdrop for the luxury sector, but still see room for Prada to outperform select peers over the medium term.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 13
1913: Brand Momentum And Direct Channels Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Prada to HK$53 from HK$60, citing a reassessment of sector growth prospects after an extended boom period and increased competitive uncertainty as more creative directors debut across leading luxury houses. Analyst Commentary While the latest move reflects a more cautious sector stance, bullish analysts still highlight several supportive factors underpinning Prada’s long term investment case, particularly around brand momentum, execution discipline, and structural growth opportunities.Article d’analyse • Dec 12
Prada (HKG:1913) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 29
1913: New Creative Leadership Will Drive Renewed Interest Amid Sector Slowdown
Analysts have reduced their price target for Prada from HK$60 to HK$53. This change reflects a more cautious sector outlook amid a slowdown following several years of above-average luxury market growth.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 15
1913: Future Creative Direction Will Drive Momentum After Sector Challenges
Prada's analyst price target has been revised slightly upward to approximately HK$63.22 from HK$62.32. Analysts cite ongoing sector headwinds but maintain optimism for the brand's long-term fundamentals despite a period of industry adjustment.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 31
1913: Rising Creative Director Presence Will Shape Luxury Sector Dynamics Ahead
Prada's analyst price target has increased slightly from HK$61.64 to HK$62.32, as analysts acknowledge stable fundamentals and moderate growth expectations. This comes amid a cautious outlook for the luxury sector.Article d’analyse • Oct 19
Getting In Cheap On Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Is Unlikely
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...Mise à jour du récit • Oct 17
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Narrative Update on Prada Analysts have lowered their price target for Prada from HK$60 to HK$53, citing expectations of a slower period of growth for the luxury sector and adjusting projections accordingly. Analyst Commentary The recent reassessment of Prada's rating and price target reflects a nuanced view on the company's near-term outlook as well as the broader luxury sector's trajectory.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 03
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Adjustment for Prada Analysts have revised their price target for Prada downward from €64.60 to €62.78. Updated forecasts for revenue growth and profit margin are cited as key factors in the adjustment.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 17
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Prada’s future P/E ratio has surged markedly, indicating much higher expected earnings multiples, while the consensus analyst price target has remained nearly flat, rising only marginally from HK$63.71 to HK$64.60. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled to approve and announce unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2025.Mise à jour du récit • Aug 27
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Despite the analyst price target for Prada remaining essentially stable, a sharp increase in the future P/E ratio suggests significantly higher earnings expectations have not materialized, ultimately leaving the fair value nearly unchanged at HK$63.77. What's in the News Meta and EssilorLuxottica plan to release AI-powered smart glasses under both Oakley and Prada brands, signaling Meta’s effort to expand wearable hardware into the luxury fashion segment through new partnerships (CNBC).Article d’analyse • Aug 19
An Intrinsic Calculation For Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Prada fair value estimate is HK$56.13 Prada's HK$41.52 share...Mise à jour du récit • Aug 07
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
With the consensus analyst price target for Prada unchanged at HK$63.92, the notable surge in the forward P/E ratio from 23.18x to 211.31x suggests sharply diminished earnings expectations, supporting the lack of upward revision in fair value. What's in the News Meta and EssilorLuxottica are launching AI-powered smart glasses under the Prada and Oakley brands, expanding Meta's wearable hardware to more fashion companies, with Prada marking a first-time partnership in this product category (CNBC).Article d’analyse • Aug 01
Earnings Miss: Prada S.p.A. Missed EPS By 5.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's been a sad week for Prada S.p.A. ( HKG:1913 ), who've watched their investment drop 16% to HK$40.60 in the week...Article d’analyse • Jul 28
Is Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Potentially Undervalued?
Let's talk about the popular Prada S.p.A. ( HKG:1913 ). The company's shares saw significant share price movement...Article d’analyse • Jul 10
Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
Prada S.p.A.'s ( HKG:1913 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x might make it look like a sell right now...Article d’analyse • May 23
These 4 Measures Indicate That Prada (HKG:1913) Is Using Debt Safely
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Nouveau récit • Mar 09
Expansion Of Miu Miu Will Broaden Market Presence In Future
Prada's strategic investments in store renovation and Miu Miu expansion are set to enhance consumer experience and drive substantial revenue growth.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,221 | 971 | 1,094 | 2,043 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,792 | 872 | 1,259 | 1,909 | 17 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,403 | 786 | 1,154 | 1,766 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,718 | 852 | 1,043 | 1,654 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,670 | 847 | 1,019 | 1,598 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,623 | 841 | 994 | 1,541 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,527 | 840 | 1,093 | 1,597 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,432 | 839 | 1,192 | 1,652 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,237 | 794 | 980 | 1,606 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,043 | 749 | 768 | 1,561 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,885 | 710 | 582 | 1,358 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,726 | 671 | 396 | 1,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,629 | 627 | 618 | 1,149 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,532 | 582 | 840 | 1,143 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,366 | 524 | 861 | 1,133 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,201 | 465 | 882 | 1,124 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,983 | 425 | 831 | 1,068 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,766 | 385 | 780 | 1,011 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,566 | 340 | 852 | 1,077 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,366 | 294 | 924 | 1,144 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,176 | 259 | 868 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,986 | 223 | 812 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,704 | 85 | 647 | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,423 | -54 | 483 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,508 | -67 | 453 | 595 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,593 | -79 | 423 | 597 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,909 | 88 | 461 | 703 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,226 | 256 | 499 | 810 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,201 | 255 | N/A | 680 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,177 | 255 | N/A | 549 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,160 | 230 | N/A | 457 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,142 | 205 | N/A | 365 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,990 | 238 | N/A | 487 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 3,099 | 252 | N/A | 573 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 3,141 | 265 | N/A | 603 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 3,184 | 278 | N/A | 632 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 3,334 | 306 | N/A | 617 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 3,278 | 284 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 3,497 | 343 | N/A | 476 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 3,548 | 331 | N/A | 368 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 3,582 | 366 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 3,625 | 394 | N/A | 338 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de 1913 ( 5.2% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de 1913 ( 5.2% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché Hong Kong ( 12.5% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de 1913 devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de 1913 ( 6.3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de Hong Kong ( 8.6% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de 1913 ( 6.3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de 1913 devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 17.1 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/21 20:36 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/12/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Prada S.p.A. est couverte par 51 analystes. 17 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jiaying Huang | Barclays |
| Carole Madjo | Barclays |
| Julian Easthope | Barclays |