Deutsche Post Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
Deutsche Post devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 5.8% et de 3.4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 6.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 16.8% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
5.8%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
6.21%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Logistics croissance des bénéfices | 16.0% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 3.4% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 16.77% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 07 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour de l'analyse • May 10
DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions And Guidance Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €58.00, citing a slightly higher discount rate, updated assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent Street research shows a mix of higher price targets and a downgrade in rating.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 22
DHL: Airfreight Tailwinds And Capital Returns Will Support Fairly Valued Shares
Narrative Update: Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts have lifted the price target for Deutsche Post by €2.48, with updates citing a higher fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions, and Street research pointing to a more supportive airfreight environment and upgraded ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Deutsche Post focuses on how changes in airfreight conditions and updated price targets feed into expectations for valuation, growth and execution over the next few years.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 08
DHL: Airfreight Support Will Later Expose Fragile Earnings Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Deutsche Post, with recent moves such as a €1.50 increase at one major firm and a shift to an Overweight rating from another, citing a supportive airfreight supply and demand setup and potential upside to fiscal 2026 assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post, trading as DHL Group, reflect a mix of optimism around specific business drivers and caution around execution and growth risks.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 24
DHL: Airfreight Tailwind Will Mask Fragile Earnings And Rich Pricing
Narrative Update on Deutsche Post (DHL Group) Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Deutsche Post from €34.00 to €38.00, citing a more supportive airfreight supply and demand backdrop and potential upside to medium term earnings that has also fed through to a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on DHL Group, with some analysts highlighting supportive airfreight conditions and others dialing back expectations and ratings.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 10
DHL: Tighter Airfreight Conditions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have lifted their price target for Deutsche Post to €59.09 from €56.22, citing updated views on fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E assumptions, as well as recent research highlighting potential benefits from tighter airfreight supply and demand conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has sharpened the bullish case around Deutsche Post, with some price targets moving higher and pointing to what bullish analysts see as a more supportive backdrop for execution and earnings quality.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 23
DHL: Cost Execution And Seasonal Trends Will Support Fairly Valued Shares
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly higher from about €45.24 to roughly €45.79. This reflects updated views on discount rates, modest revenue growth assumptions, and a broadly steady profit margin outlook, informed in part by recent mixed research that includes cost execution improvements and peak season trends.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 09
DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Steady Rerated Share Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post higher to €45.24 from €44.84, reflecting recent price target increases from several firms and a shift in focus toward cost execution, steadying peak season trends, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple despite mixed rating changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight better cost execution, which they see as supporting earnings resilience and justifying higher price targets such as €42.50 and €47.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 25
DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Divisions Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post slightly lower to €56.22 from €56.65, reflecting a modest reset in price targets after mixed research moves that highlight better cost execution and seasonal improvement on one hand, and concerns about limited incremental upside after strong rerating on the other. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Deutsche Post, which operates as DHL Group, shows a split tape, with some firms trimming ratings after a strong rerating and others highlighting improving execution and seasonal trends.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 09
DHL: Cost Execution And Peak Season Recovery Will Support Earnings Quality
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post to €56.65 from €55.18, reflecting updated views on cost execution, sequential peak season trends, and revised revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions following recent research moves on DHL Group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on DHL Group points to a more balanced but still constructive stance on Deutsche Post, with several bullish analysts highlighting improved execution and refined expectations around earnings quality and valuation.Article d'analyse • Jan 05
Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Mise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 26
DHL: Cost Execution And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Near-Term Outlook
The analyst price target for Deutsche Post has edged higher to EUR 44.84 from EUR 44.66, as analysts point to improving cost execution, sequentially better peak season trends and resilient earnings from more defensive segments, even as some see limited incremental upside after the recent rerating. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Deutsche Post highlight a mixed but generally constructive view, with price targets edging higher and ratings converging towards a more balanced stance after a period of strong share price performance.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 12
DHL: Cost Discipline And Defensive Segments Will Support Balanced Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Deutsche Post DHL Group slightly higher to EUR 44.66 from EUR 43.81. This reflects a modest rerating as they point to improving cost execution, resilient defensive segments and early signs of peak season strength despite cautious views on incremental upside.Article d'analyse • Dec 10
Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 27
DHL: Operational Efficiencies And Balance Sheet Strength Will Support Earnings Resilience
Deutsche Post’s analyst fair value target increased modestly from €43.25 to €43.81, as analysts cited improved cost efficiency and incremental earnings resilience in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have increased fair value targets for Deutsche Post, with several raising their estimates due to demonstrated progress in cost control and execution.Article d'analyse • Nov 27
Are Investors Undervaluing Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) By 47%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Deutsche Post fair value estimate is €85.04 Deutsche Post's...Article d'analyse • Nov 14
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL)
The market for Deutsche Post AG's ( ETR:DHL ) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week...Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 12
DHL: Revenue Gains And Margin Outlook Will Balance Competitive Risks Ahead
Deutsche Post's analyst price target has slightly increased to €43.25, with analysts citing strengthened revenue growth expectations and a modest improvement in profit margin outlook, even as some peer price targets have been reduced. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity regarding Deutsche Post reflects a mix of positive expectations and caution, influencing the latest price targets and recommendations.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Sep 23
E-commerce And Global Trade Trends Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Deutsche Post's consensus price target was modestly reduced to €42.82 as analysts grew more cautious on near-term earnings and shipping volatility, particularly after soft Q2 trends, though longer-term confidence remains from some bullish voices. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have lowered price targets due to concerns that DHL Group will struggle to achieve its fiscal 2025 outlook.Article d'analyse • Aug 24
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Deutsche Post AG's (ETR:DHL) Earnings Yet
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...Article d'analyse • Jun 25
Is There Now An Opportunity In Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL)?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Deutsche Post AG ( ETR:DHL ). The company's stock saw a...Article d'analyse • Jun 12
Is Deutsche Post (ETR:DHL) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Article d'analyse • May 30
Are Investors Undervaluing Deutsche Post AG (ETR:DHL) By 47%?
Key Insights Deutsche Post's estimated fair value is €73.22 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Deutsche Post's...Article d'analyse • May 16
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Deutsche Post's (ETR:DHL) Returns On Capital
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Nouvelle analyse • Nov 07
E-commerce Expansion And Innovative Strategies Propel Growth Amidst Global Challenges
Deutsche Post anticipates growth in e-commerce and parcel segments, driven by last-mile delivery volume increases and effective yield management strategies.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 90,738 | 4,207 | 3,815 | 9,895 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 87,834 | 3,967 | 3,547 | 9,642 | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 84,868 | 3,672 | 3,346 | 9,002 | 16 |
| 3/31/2026 | 83,044 | 3,527 | 6,840 | 9,620 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 83,433 | 3,501 | 6,324 | 9,119 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 83,769 | 3,538 | 6,721 | 9,567 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 84,233 | 3,449 | 6,136 | 8,998 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 85,051 | 3,378 | 6,031 | 8,899 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 84,771 | 3,332 | 5,786 | 8,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 83,363 | 3,214 | 5,264 | 8,135 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 82,169 | 3,270 | 5,550 | 8,626 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 81,640 | 3,504 | 5,575 | 8,864 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 82,291 | 3,675 | 5,877 | 9,258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 84,526 | 4,031 | 5,913 | 9,868 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 89,166 | 4,444 | 6,772 | 10,799 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 93,133 | 4,919 | 6,952 | 10,934 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 94,776 | 5,359 | 7,053 | 10,965 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 94,339 | 5,508 | 6,630 | 10,491 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 90,337 | 5,375 | 5,881 | 9,675 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 85,817 | 5,214 | 6,158 | 9,929 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 82,048 | 5,053 | 6,257 | 9,993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 77,840 | 4,871 | 6,756 | 10,295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 74,026 | 4,635 | 6,736 | 10,031 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 70,499 | 3,868 | 6,410 | 9,439 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 67,094 | 2,979 | 4,777 | 7,699 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 64,826 | 2,535 | 4,848 | 7,444 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 64,156 | 2,245 | 4,123 | 6,928 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 63,706 | 2,178 | 2,972 | 6,547 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 63,588 | 2,623 | N/A | 6,049 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 63,272 | 2,578 | N/A | 6,038 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 62,569 | 2,163 | N/A | 5,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 62,442 | 2,221 | N/A | 5,680 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 61,769 | 2,075 | N/A | 5,796 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 60,814 | 2,099 | N/A | 4,671 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 60,604 | 2,594 | N/A | 4,204 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 60,391 | 2,680 | N/A | 3,575 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 60,652 | 2,713 | N/A | 3,297 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 60,302 | 2,717 | N/A | 3,695 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 59,525 | 2,694 | N/A | 3,628 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 58,859 | 2,633 | N/A | 2,741 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 57,804 | 2,639 | N/A | 2,439 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 57,685 | 2,468 | N/A | 2,821 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 58,247 | 1,899 | N/A | 2,726 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 58,758 | 1,684 | N/A | 3,153 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 59,681 | 1,540 | N/A | 3,444 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 59,726 | 1,510 | N/A | 2,796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 59,303 | 1,929 | N/A | 2,818 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de DHL ( 5.8% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 1.9% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de DHL ( 5.8% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché German ( 16.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de DHL devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de DHL ( 3.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de German ( 6.5% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de DHL ( 3.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de DHL devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 16.8 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/11 09:51 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Deutsche Post AG est couverte par 39 analystes. 16 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Arancha Piñeiro | Banco de Sabadell. S.A. |
| Susanna Invernizzi | Barclays |
| Marco Limite | Barclays |