Annonce • Apr 04
Capral Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2025 Capral Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2025. Annonce • Feb 27
Capral Limited announces Annual dividend, payable on March 26, 2025 Capral Limited announced Annual dividend of AUD 0.4000 per share payable on March 26, 2025, ex-date on March 04, 2025 and record date on March 05, 2025. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 04
Now 23% overvalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at €5.50. The fair value is estimated to be €4.47, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.6% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 3.1% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to decline by 2.0% in the next 2 years. Reported Earnings • Sep 01
First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.84 (vs AU$0.93 in 1H 2023) First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.84 (down from AU$0.93 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$313.4m (down 4.9% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$14.7m (down 12% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 4.7% (down from 5.0% in 1H 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.9% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 3% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. New Risk • Aug 14
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 6.5% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.7% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€90.0m market cap, or US$99.0m). New Risk • Jul 25
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €92.0m (US$99.8m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 6.5% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (€92.0m market cap, or US$99.8m). New Risk • Jun 14
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €91.4m (US$97.8m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 6.5% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Market cap is less than US$100m (€91.4m market cap, or US$97.8m). Reported Earnings • Feb 26
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.78 (vs AU$2.31 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$1.78 (down from AU$2.31 in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$614.8m (down 4.4% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$31.8m (down 22% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.2% (down from 6.3% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to decline by 6.9% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, while revenues in the Metals and Mining industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 13% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Annonce • Feb 16
Capral Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Feb 23, 2024 Capral Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Feb 23, 2024 Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 27
MD, CEO & Non Independent Director recently sold €201k worth of stock On the 20th of December, Anthony Dragicevich sold around 37k shares on-market at roughly €5.43 per share. This transaction amounted to 6.1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Anthony has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €184k. Reported Earnings • Aug 18
First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.93 (vs AU$1.27 in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.93 (down from AU$1.27 in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$329.6m (down 5.6% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$16.6m (down 25% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 5.0% (down from 6.4% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 35% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Annonce • Aug 18
Capral Limited Declares Fully Franked Interim Dividend for the Half Year Ended 30 June 2023, Payable on 15 September 2023 Capral Limited has declared a fully franked interim dividend of 20 cents per ordinary share in respect of the half year ended 30 June 2023 which will be paid on 15 September 2023. The dividend will be paid to all shareholders on the register of members as at the Record Date of 25 August 2023. Buying Opportunity • Jun 08
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 12%. The fair value is estimated to be €5.47, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 21% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Buying Opportunity • May 18
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 15%. The fair value is estimated to be €5.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 21% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. Reported Earnings • Feb 26
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$2.31 (vs AU$2.52 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: AU$2.31 (down from AU$2.52 in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$696.0m (up 26% from FY 2021). Net income: AU$40.8m (down 4.7% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 5.9% (down from 7.8% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 46% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Annonce • Feb 10
Capral Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Feb 24, 2023 Capral Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2022 results on Feb 24, 2023 Upcoming Dividend • Aug 23
Upcoming dividend of AU$0.20 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 August 2022. Payment date: 15 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 25% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 8.9%. Within top quartile of German dividend payers (4.6%). In line with average of industry peers (9.6%). Reported Earnings • Aug 19
First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.27 (vs AU$0.93 in 1H 2021) First half 2022 results: EPS: AU$1.27 (up from AU$0.93 in 1H 2021). Revenue: AU$349.0m (up 34% from 1H 2021). Net income: AU$22.2m (up 41% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 6.4% (up from 6.0% in 1H 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 86% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 54% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 12
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to €5.05, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 3.2x. Average trailing P/E is 6x in the Metals and Mining industry in Germany. Total returns to shareholders of 198% over the past three years. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 09
MD, CEO & Non Independent Director recently bought €119k worth of stock On the 7th of March, Anthony Dragicevich bought around 24k shares on-market at roughly €5.02 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Anthony has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €130k worth in shares. Reported Earnings • Feb 26
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint Full year 2021 results: EPS: AU$2.52 (up from AU$1.58 in FY 2020). Revenue: AU$596.2m (up 47% from FY 2020). Net income: AU$42.7m (up 65% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 7.2% (up from 6.4% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.4%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 45% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Aug 27
First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.93 (vs AU$0.29 in 1H 2020) The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: AU$261.2m (up 33% from 1H 2020). Net income: AU$15.7m (up 227% from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 2.5% in 1H 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 72% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 27% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 14
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 19% share price gain to AU$4.68, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.7x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Metals and Mining industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 128% over the past three years. Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 09
New 90-day high: €4.42 The company is up 37% from its price of €3.22 on 09 December 2020. The German market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Metals and Mining industry, which is up 52% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Feb 26
Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS AU$1.57 (vs AU$0.26 loss in FY 2019) The company reported a strong full year result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: AU$432.3m (up 10% from FY 2019). Net income: AU$25.9m (up AU$30.2m from FY 2019). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from net loss in FY 2019). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 10% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 14% per year. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 15
New 90-day high: €4.30 The company is up 84% from its price of €2.34 on 16 October 2020. The German market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Metals and Mining industry, which is up 52% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 09
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to AU$4.28, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 12.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 10.5x. This compares to an average P/E of 15x in the Metals and Mining industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 103%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 22
New 90-day high: €3.54 The company is up 70% from its price of €2.09 on 23 September 2020. The German market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Metals and Mining industry, which is up 36% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 17
New 90-day high: €3.44 The company is up 91% from its price of €1.80 on 19 August 2020. The German market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Metals and Mining industry, which is up 5.0% over the same period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 16
Market bids up stock over the past week After last week's 26% share price gain to AU$3.44, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 10x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 7.9x. This compares to an average P/E of 13x in the Metals and Mining industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders over the past year are 108%.