New Risk • May 21
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.2x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Board Change • May 21
Less than half of directors are independent There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 5 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. 3 independent directors (5 non-independent directors). Independent Director Roberto Siagri was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Annonce • Mar 20
Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026 Aquafil S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026, at 14:00 W. Europe Standard Time. Annonce • Mar 25
Aquafil Breaks New Ground in Textile Recycling by Chemically Separating Elastic Fibers from Nylon After more than ten years of relentless research and innovation, Aquafil has unveiled a breakthrough in textile recycling: the world’s first demonstration plant capable of chemically separating elastic fibers from nylon. This pioneering technology tackles one of the textile industry’s most complex challenges, opening the door to new possibilities in recycling and circularity, confirming Aquafil’s role at the forefront of responsible innovation. Now, with the launch of this pilot plant, lab successes have translated into real-world application: for the first time ever, elastic fibers can be effectively separated from nylon in blended fabrics. This is a game-changer for recycling notoriously difficult textile waste—particularly from sportswear and swimwear—where different fibers are tightly bound and nearly impossible to recover. For years, these composite textiles have been destined for landfills, despite containing valuable material that could be recycled. Aquafil’s breakthrough process has solved this challenge. By overcoming the fiber separation barrier, the company can now unlock the potential of materials that were once discarded. The next step? Refining and scaling the process to an industrial level in order to process impactful volumes of material. To support this, Aquafil has built a network of strategic partners to secure a steady supply of post-use materials and ensure the development of a robust, efficient recycling supply chain. The nylon recovered through this process will be regenerated at the ECONYL® plant, transforming waste into high-quality regenerated nylon ready for new textile applications—significantly reducing reliance on virgin resources and lowering the environmental footprint of the textile sector. Reported Earnings • Oct 29
Third quarter 2024 earnings released Third quarter 2024 results: €0.053 loss per share. Revenue: €131.3m (down 1.4% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: €2.65m (loss narrowed 80% from 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. New Risk • Oct 11
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €87.9m (US$96.1m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (15% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (167% payout ratio). Market cap is less than US$100m (€87.9m market cap, or US$96.1m). Annonce • Sep 19
Aquafil S.p.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 28, 2024 Aquafil S.p.A. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 28, 2024 Reported Earnings • Aug 30
Second quarter 2024 earnings released Second quarter 2024 results: Revenue: €142.3m (down 2.9% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: €3.03m (loss narrowed 59% from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 52 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Reported Earnings • Apr 24
Full year 2023 earnings released: €0.51 loss per share (vs €0.57 profit in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: €0.51 loss per share (down from €0.57 profit in FY 2022). Revenue: €571.7m (down 18% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 20% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Mar 18
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: €580.7m (down 15% from FY 2022). Net loss: €25.8m (down 189% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 18% per year. Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Third quarter 2023 earnings released Third quarter 2023 results: €0.26 loss per share. Revenue: €133.1m (down 28% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: €12.9m (down 253% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 14% per year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 19
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to €2.15, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1113x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Luxury industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 33% over the past three years. New Risk • Oct 16
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.5x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 167% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.1% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.1% net profit margin). Reported Earnings • Sep 01
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: €146.5m (down 18% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: €7.43m (down 187% from profit in 2Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 80% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. New Risk • Aug 08
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (1.5% operating cash flow to total debt). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 17% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Reported Earnings • May 12
First quarter 2023 earnings released First quarter 2023 results: EPS: €0.066. Revenue: €169.5m (down 1.6% from 1Q 2022). Net income: €3.29m (down 64% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 5.3% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Upcoming Dividend • May 01
Upcoming dividend of €0.24 per share at 4.8% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 08 May 2023. Payment date: 10 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Within top quartile of German dividend payers (4.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.8%). Reported Earnings • Mar 19
Full year 2022 earnings released Full year 2022 results: Revenue: €696.9m (up 22% from FY 2021). Net income: €29.2m (up 173% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 1.9% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.9% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Third quarter 2022 earnings released Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.17. Revenue: €185.0m (up 27% from 3Q 2021). Net income: €8.46m (up 58% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from 3.7% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Reported Earnings • Sep 01
Second quarter 2022 earnings released Second quarter 2022 results: Revenue: €181.1m (up 26% from 2Q 2021). Net income: €8.55m (up 58% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 4.7% (up from 3.8% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.7%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Annonce • Aug 25
Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) signed a non-binding term sheet to acquire unknown majority share in Gujarat Polyfilms Private Limited. Aquafil S.p.A. (BIT:ECNL) signed a non-binding term sheet to acquire unknown majority share in Gujarat Polyfilms Private Limited on August 24, 2022. In the financial year ended March 31, 2022, Gujarat Polyfilms reported revenues amounting to approximately €55 million. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 19
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 25% share price gain to €6.95, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Luxury industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 13% over the past year. Board Change • May 17
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Ilaria Maria Riva was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • May 15
First quarter 2022 earnings released First quarter 2022 results: EPS: €0.18. Net income: €9.12m (up 161% from 1Q 2021). Buying Opportunity • Mar 21
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 18%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.81, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 4.1% per annum over the last 3 years. Reported Earnings • Mar 17
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: Revenue: €573.6m (up 31% from FY 2020). Net income: €10.7m (up €10.1m from FY 2020). Profit margin: 1.9% (up from 0.1% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 2.9%, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 05
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to €5.40, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Luxury industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 6.7% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €5.59 per share. Reported Earnings • Nov 14
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.10 The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €146.5m (up 38% from 3Q 2020). Net income: €5.35m (up €6.31m from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 3Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Reported Earnings • Sep 02
Second quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: €145.9m (up 79% from 2Q 2020). Net income: €5.42m (up €11.4m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from net loss in 2Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Executive Departure • Jul 13
GM & Executive Director Fabrizio Calenti has left the company On the 30th of June, Fabrizio Calenti's tenure as GM & Executive Director ended. We don't have any record of a personal shareholding under Fabrizio's name. Fabrizio is the only executive to leave the company over the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2020 earnings released The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €446.7m (down 19% from FY 2019). Net income: €595.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019). Reported Earnings • Mar 14
Full year 2020 earnings released The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €446.7m (down 19% from FY 2019). Net income: €595.0k (down 93% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 0.1% (down from 1.6% in FY 2019). Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Mar 14
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 14%, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 16
New 90-day high: €5.42 The company is up 42% from its price of €3.83 on 18 November 2020. The German market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 5.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €5.27 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 08
New 90-day high: €4.34 The company is up 25% from its price of €3.47 on 09 September 2020. The German market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 11% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €3.86 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 19
New 90-day high: €4.18 The company is up 9.0% from its price of €3.83 on 21 August 2020. The German market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Luxury industry, which is up 12% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €4.09 per share. Reported Earnings • Nov 19
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: €0.019 loss per share The company reported a soft third quarter result with weaker revenues and control over expenses, though losses reduced. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: €106.1m (down 20% from 3Q 2019). Net loss: €964.0k (loss narrowed 14% from 3Q 2019). Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Nov 19
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 9.4%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 6.6%, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Luxury industry in Germany.