This company has been acquired
Confluent (CFLT) Resumen de Acciones
Confluent, Inc. explota una plataforma de flujo de datos en Estados Unidos y a escala internacional. Saber más
| Puntuación del snowflake | |
|---|---|
| Valoración | 0/6 |
| Crecimiento futuro | 1/6 |
| Rendimiento pasado | 0/6 |
| Salud financiera | 5/6 |
| Dividendos | 0/6 |
CFLT Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 64 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Competidores de Confluent, Inc.
Historial de precios y rendimiento
| Precios históricos de las acciones | |
|---|---|
| Precio actual de la acción | US$30.99 |
| Máximo en las últimas 52 semanas | US$31.00 |
| Mínimo de 52 semanas | US$15.64 |
| Beta | 0.95 |
| Cambio en 1 mes | 1.08% |
| Variación en 3 meses | 3.44% |
| Cambio de 1 año | 16.94% |
| Variación en 3 años | 48.99% |
| Variación en 5 años | n/a |
| Variación desde la OPV | -31.16% |
Noticias y actualizaciones recientes
Recent updates
CFLT: IBM Takeover And AI Features Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Confluent at $31.00, down from $34.11, citing reduced revenue growth and margin expectations, along with the pending IBM takeover, as key drivers of the updated targets and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Confluent and the pending IBM acquisition has been mixed, but there are a few clear themes you can use to frame the setup.
CFLT: Fair Value View Will Reflect IBM Takeover And Integration Risks
Narrative Update on Confluent Analysts have nudged their Confluent price target to $30.00 as they factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside a higher future P/E of about 77x. This largely reflects the pending IBM takeover and recent downgrades tied to that deal.CFLT: Fair Value Outlook Weighs IBM Takeover Risks And Execution Uncertainty
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Confluent to US$30.00 from about US$28.35, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E in light of the pending IBM takeover and recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the pending IBM acquisition has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts flagging risks around both the deal outcome and Confluent's stand alone execution.
CFLT: IBM Deal And Cloud Momentum Will Guide Future Share Performance
Narrative Update Analysts trimmed their fair value estimate for Confluent slightly from about $30.77 to $30.65, reflecting a mix of cautious views around the pending IBM acquisition and downgrades, as well as more upbeat commentary on stabilizing cloud growth, improving margins, and ongoing product momentum that supports a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split in how professionals view Confluent, with some focused on execution and product momentum and others centering on the pending IBM takeover and deal mechanics.CFLT: Fair Value View Balances IBM Deal Overhang And Cloud Execution
Our fair value estimate for Confluent moves from about US$20.00 to roughly US$28.35 per share, as analysts point to stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger Confluent Cloud driven results, healthier optimization trends, and improved revenue outlooks following recent quarterly performance and price target increases across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Confluent has tilted more supportive on fundamentals, but there are still a few caution flags you should keep in mind as you think about valuation and execution risk.CFLT: Cloud Demand And Sale Prospects Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have nudged our Confluent fair value estimate higher to approximately $34 from about $31, citing stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger than expected Confluent Cloud driven upside, and improving execution. This has led to a wave of Street price target increases into the high $20s to around $30.CFLT: Sale Exploration And Cloud Stabilization Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Confluent higher from approximately $27.87 to $30.77 per share, reflecting increased confidence in stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger than expected subscription and cloud growth, and improved execution that has driven a series of upward price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has skewed clearly positive, with multiple firms lifting price targets in response to Confluent's improving cloud trends, stronger than expected subscription performance, and a more constructive demand backdrop.CFLT: Recent Sale Exploration And Cloud Stabilization Will Drive Share Price Momentum
Confluent's analyst price target has been raised by as much as $6. The new average reflects increased confidence in the company's stabilized growth and improving execution, according to analysts.CFLT: Cloud Momentum And Acquisition Interest Will Drive Renewed Upside Potential
Confluent's analyst price target was raised by $1 to $29. Analysts cited solid cloud consumption trends, strong quarterly results, and signs of improving execution, which are driving renewed confidence in the company's growth outlook.Cloud Stability And Acquisition Interest Will Impact Future Market Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Confluent from approximately $25.20 to $27.87 per share. They cite stabilizing cloud consumption and improving growth prospects as the primary drivers for the upward revision.Confluent: Robust Demand At A Great Price
Summary Confluent is a compelling "Buy" as Q3 results reinforce its robust ~20% subscription revenue growth and significant total addressable market. CFLT trades at attractive valuation multiples (6.3x EV/FY25 revenue), notably lower than peers with similar or slower growth profiles. The company's horizontal data streaming platform and strong customer expansion, even in a tough macro, support a durable growth thesis. Recent go-to-market improvements and a successful land-and-expand model drive continued enterprise adoption and justify maintaining a bullish outlook. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaReal Time AI And Streaming Solutions Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Confluent from $24.69 to $25.20. They cite continued takeover interest, strong positioning in data streaming, and positive momentum among enterprise customers as supporting factors for the modest increase.Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) 32% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
NasdaqGS:CFLT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Confluent's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Confluent's estimated fair value is US$40.76 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Confluent's...Pinning Down Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
Confluent, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.6x might make it look like a strong sell right...Confluent: Cloud Momentum Drives Re-Rating
Summary I initiate coverage on Confluent with a Buy rating and $36 PT, predicated on cloud momentum and a 21.5% CY25E revenue estimate. Confluent trades at a 19.1% discount to peer group despite strong fundamentals (45% YoY cloud growth, $1.01bn RPO, 58% CY25E revs visibility). Cloud, now 55% of sub revs, is a key lever for Confluent growth, supported by non-GAAP operating margin expansion and enterprise demand for AI/ML workloads. Risks include hyperscaler competition, Kafka dependency, and regulatory headwinds, but we see these priced into shares, justifying our Buy rating and 9.5x EV/Sales multiple. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaConfluent: A Software Powerhouse That's Just Too Pricey
Summary I love Confluent’s business model and its strong revenue growth, but 105x forward free cash flow is just too rich for me. The company’s $1 billion subscription revenue milestone and 800% free cash flow growth are impressive, but not enough to justify a buy at this valuation. With institutional investors likely stepping in, Confluent’s stock could remain elevated—but that doesn’t mean I want to chase it. While I no longer see a reason to be bearish, I’m not ready to be bullish either—so I’m staying neutral for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Partnership With Databricks Will Integrate Data Streaming With Real-Time AI Analytics
Strategic partnerships and new products enhance Confluent's market reach and customer adoption, potentially boosting revenue and solidifying its leadership in data streaming.Confluent: Product Innovation Yet To Pay Off
Summary While Confluent's stock has performed well recently, fundamental business issues persist, including weak customer growth and a declining net retention rate. Expansion of the company's product portfolio and a shift in sales strategy could eventually turn this situation around, but there are no signs of this so far. The macro environment likely isn't helping the situation but I continue to question the breadth of Confluent's appeal given the cost of its products. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaConfluent: Strong Subscription Momentum
Summary Confluent's strong Q4 results and bullish FY25 outlook indicate the stock's rally has further momentum, making it a compelling buy for long-term holders. Confluent's leadership in data streaming, wide applicability across industries in a $100 billion TAM, and nearly pure subscription revenue base create a reliable and sticky revenue stream. The company's Q4 revenue grew 23% y/y to $261.2 million, beating expectations, with subscription revenue expected to maintain above 20% growth in FY25. I'm reiterating my buy rating on CFLT with a $32 price target. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRentabilidad de los accionistas
| CFLT | US Software | Mercado US | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.0% | -1.9% | 1.7% |
| 1Y | 16.9% | -18.3% | 25.1% |
Rentabilidad vs. Industria: CFLT superó a la industria US Software, que obtuvo un rendimiento del -18.3% el año pasado.
Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: CFLT igualó el mercado US, que obtuvo un rendimiento del 25.1% el año pasado.
Volatilidad de los precios
| CFLT volatility | |
|---|---|
| CFLT Average Weekly Movement | 0.6% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 10.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Precio estable de las acciones: CFLT no ha tenido una volatilidad de precios significativa en los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.
Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de CFLT ha disminuido de 9% a 1% en el último año.
Acerca de la empresa
| Fundada | Empleados | CEO | Página web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3,241 | n/a | www.confluent.io |
Confluent, Inc. opera una plataforma de flujo de datos en Estados Unidos e internacionalmente. La empresa proporciona plataformas que permiten a los clientes conectar sus aplicaciones, sistemas y capas de datos que comprenden Confluent Cloud, un software como servicio (SaaS) nativo de la nube gestionado; y Confluent Platform y Confluent Private Cloud, un software autogestionado de nivel empresarial. También ofrece conectores para las aplicaciones existentes y la infraestructura de TI y en la nube; servicios Apache Flink que permiten a los equipos crear flujos de datos reutilizables que pueden entregarse en tiempo real; confluent intelligence, un conjunto de funciones creadas para abordar las necesidades críticas de datos de Inteligencia Artificial aportando datos en tiempo real directamente a los sistemas de Inteligencia Artificial de producción; Tableflow, un servicio totalmente gestionado que materializa los temas de Kafka directamente en formatos de tabla abiertos, como Apache Iceberg y Delta Lake; y WarpStream, un servicio de streaming gestionado en la nube "traiga su propia nube".
Resumen de fundamentos de Confluent, Inc.
| Estadísticas fundamentales de CFLT | |
|---|---|
| Capitalización bursátil | US$11.08b |
| Beneficios(TTM) | -US$295.27m |
| Ingresos (TTM) | US$1.17b |
¿Está CFLT sobrevalorada?
Ver valor justo y análisis de valoraciónBeneficios e Ingresos
| Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de CFLT | |
|---|---|
| Ingresos | US$1.17b |
| Coste de los ingresos | US$299.91m |
| Beneficio bruto | US$866.84m |
| Otros gastos | US$1.16b |
| Beneficios | -US$295.27m |
Últimos beneficios comunicados
Dec 31, 2025
Próxima fecha de beneficios
n/a
| Beneficios por acción (BPA) | -0.83 |
| Margen bruto | 74.30% |
| Margen de beneficio neto | -25.31% |
| Ratio deuda/patrimonio | 93.7% |
¿Cómo se ha desempeñado CFLT a largo plazo?
Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativaAnálisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/03/20 11:03 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/03/16 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/12/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Confluent, Inc. está cubierta por 8 analistas. 8 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Tyler Radke | Citigroup Inc |
| Chirag Ved | Evercore ISI |